
BAL @ ATH



Series Game 3 Matchup Details
Series Game 3
Todays Game is on Sunday, June 8th
08/06/25 16:05:00 PM EST First Pitch
Positive Match Player Stats for Orioles vs Athletics Series Game 3 Matchup Today
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jacob Wilson as the 7th-best batter in baseball as it relates to his batting average skill.
Jacob Wilson is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in this game.
A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is predicted to have the 2nd-hottest temperature on the slate at 86°.
The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 10.3-mph in this game, the 4th-most-favorable of the day for batters.
Jacob Wilson will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today’s game, which ought to improve all of his stats.
Among all stadiums, Sutter Health Park has the 5th-lowest average fence height.
Tomoyuki Sugano has averaged 17.8 outs per GS this year, ranking in the 90th percentile.
The underlying talent of the Athletics projected batting order today (.313 projected wOBA per the leading projection system, THE BAT X) figures to be a fair amount worse than their .324 wOBA this year.
The Athletics have been the 3rd-luckiest offense in the league this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to perform worse in the future,Adley Rutschman, the Orioles’s expected catcher in today’s game, profiles as a good pitch framer according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).
The Athletics have 3 hitters in their projected batting order today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (per the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Willie MacIver, Logan Davidson, Brent Rooker).
Tomoyuki Sugano’s high utilization rate of his secondary pitches (71.7% this year) ought to work in his favor consider they are generally much more effective than fastballs.
Tomoyuki Sugano has experienced some negative variance in regards to his strikeouts this year, notching a 5.07 K/9 despite the leading projection system (THE BAT) estimating his true talent level to be 6.12 — a 1.05 K/9 deviation.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brent Rooker in the 97th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill.
Brent Rooker is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card today.
Extreme groundball batters like Brent Rooker tend to perform better against extreme flyball pitchers like Tomoyuki Sugano.
Brent Rooker projects as the 13th-best home run batter in the majors, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Willie MacIver will hold the home field advantage today, which should boost all of his stats.
Over the last 7 days, Willie MacIver’s swing has been well optimized for home runs, notching a 57.1% of balls hit with a launch angle in the optimal range of 23° to 34°.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Tyler Soderstrom in the 91st percentile when it comes to his home run talent.
Tyler Soderstrom is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card today.
As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Tyler Soderstrom ranks in the 85th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
Tyler Soderstrom will hold the platoon advantage against Tomoyuki Sugano in today’s game.
JJ Bleday will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Tomoyuki Sugano today.
Extreme flyball hitters like JJ Bleday tend to be more successful against extreme groundball pitchers like Tomoyuki Sugano.
JJ Bleday will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which should improve all of his stats.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects JJ Bleday in the 79th percentile as it relates to his home run talent.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Lawrence Butler in the 87th percentile when estimating his home run ability.
Lawrence Butler is projected to hit 1st in the lineup in this matchup.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Lawrence Butler in the 85th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill.
Lawrence Butler will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Tomoyuki Sugano today.
Negative Match Player Stats with Orioles vs Athletics Series Game 3
The 6th-deepest left field dimensions among all major league stadiums are found in Sutter Health Park.
Hitting from the same side that Tomoyuki Sugano throws from, Jacob Wilson encounters a tough challenge in today’s game.
Extreme groundball bats like Jacob Wilson usually hit worse against extreme groundball pitchers like Tomoyuki Sugano.
In the past week, Jacob Wilson’s exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off from his seasonal mark of 87 mph to 82.7 mph.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Jacob Wilson’s true offensive skill to be a .315, implying that he has had some very good luck this year given the .088 disparity between that figure and his actual .403 wOBA.
When assessing his home run talent, Jacob Wilson ranks in the 4th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT)’s assessment, Tomoyuki Sugano’s overall pitching ability grades out in the 21st percentile out of all starting pitchers in baseball right now.
Sutter Health Park grades out as the #8 field in MLB for walks, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).
Tomoyuki Sugano was rolling in his previous start and conceded 2 ER.
When estimating his strikeout ability, the leading projection system (THE BAT) places Tomoyuki Sugano in the 5th percentile among all SPs in Major League Baseball.
Considering that flyball batters have a notable edge over groundball pitchers, Tomoyuki Sugano and his 43.6% underlying GB% (via the leading projection system, THE BAT) finds himself in a difficult position in today’s matchup being matched up with 2 opposing GB batters.
Tomoyuki Sugano will be at a disadvantage playing on the road today.
Tomoyuki Sugano will have the handedness advantage over Brent Rooker in today’s matchup.
Brent Rooker hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.1% — 89th percentile) but may find it hard to clear the league’s 11th-deepest CF fences today.
Over the last 7 days, Brent Rooker’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 12% down to 5.3%.
Over the last two weeks, Brent Rooker’s 7.7% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 18.3%.
In terms of his wOBA and overall offense, Brent Rooker has experienced some positive variance this year. His .358 figure has been considerably higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .336.
When it comes to his home runs, Brent Rooker has had some very good luck this year. His 27.4 HR per 600 plate appearances figure has been considerably higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected HR/600 at 20.8.
Last season, Brent Rooker had a launch angle of 18.3° on his highest exit velocity balls, but this season he experienced a significant decline to just 13.1°.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Willie MacIver in the 12th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability.
Willie MacIver is projected to bat 6th in the lineup in this matchup.
Tomoyuki Sugano will hold the platoon advantage against Willie MacIver today.
In the last week, Willie MacIver has failed to produce much power, posting a mere a 0% Barrel% (a reliable metric to evaluate power).
Tyler Soderstrom hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.4% — 93rd percentile) and will have to hit them out towards MLB’s 11th-deepest CF fences today.
From last season to this one, Tyler Soderstrom’s flyball exit velocity has decreased from an average of 98.2 mph to 95.2 mph.
In the last two weeks’ worth of games, Tyler Soderstrom’s 21.7% rate of hitting balls at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 45.6%.
Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected HR per 600 plate appearances (23.8) suggests that Tyler Soderstrom has had positive variance on his side this year with his 30.7 actual HR/600.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects JJ Bleday in the 4th percentile as it relates to his BABIP ability.
JJ Bleday has primarily hit in the top-half of the batting order this year (65% of the time), but he is projected to hit 7th in the batting order in this game.
JJ Bleday hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.4% — 76th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards the game’s 11th-deepest CF fences in today’s game.
JJ Bleday has been cold lately, with his seasonal exit velocity of 88.7-mph dropping to 86.2-mph in the past week.
JJ Bleday’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has declined recently, decreasing from 15.3% on the season to 0% over the past 7 days.
JJ Bleday has notched a .268 Expected wOBA (xwOBA) this year, grading out in the 7th percentile for offensive ability according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.
Lawrence Butler has a 91st percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.4%) and will be challenged by MLB’s 6th-deepest LF fences in today’s matchup.
Over the last 7 days, Lawrence Butler’s exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off from his seasonal mark of 94.1 mph to 86.5 mph.
Lawrence Butler’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has decreased lately, decreasing from 12.3% on the season to 3.6% in the past two weeks’ worth of games.
In terms of his wOBA and overall offense, Lawrence Butler has been very fortunate this year. His .351 mark has been considerably higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .302.
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