Orioles vs Astros match player stats | 2026 Series Game 3 Sunday, July 19th

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BAL @ HOU

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Orioles @ Astros Series Game 3 Matchup Details

Teams : Baltimore Orioles at Houston Astros
Series Game 3
Date : Todays Game is on Sunday, July 19th
Time : 19/07/26 14:10:00 PM EST First Pitch

Positives for the Baltimore Orioles Series Game 3 Game Today

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Colton Cowser in the 76th percentile as it relates to his BABIP skill.

,Batting from the opposite that Hunter Brown throws from, Colton Cowser will have an edge today.

,Colton Cowser has a 78th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.6%) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting them out towards MLB’s 2nd-shallowest LF fences today.

,Out of every team in action today, the 5th-weakest infield defense belongs to the Houston Astros.

,Despite posting a .290 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Colton Cowser has had bad variance on his side given the .030 gap between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .320.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Adley Rutschman in the 89th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill.

,Adley Rutschman is penciled in 1st in the batting order today.

,Minute Maid Park has the 2nd-smallest outfield in Major League Baseball — generally good for long-balls.

,Adley Rutschman’s ability to hit the ball at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has increased from last season to this one, going from 45% to 51.7%.

,Jackson Holliday’s BABIP ability is projected in the 88th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Jackson Holliday will have the handedness advantage over Hunter Brown in today’s game.

,Jackson Holliday has an 87th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35%) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting them in the direction of the game’s 2nd-shallowest LF fences in today’s game.

,Compared to last year, Jackson Holliday has improved his ability to hit the ball at a launch angle ideal for home runs, increasing his percentage of balls hit between 23° and 34° from 14% to 19% this season.

,The #6 field in the majors for boosting home runs to RHB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Minute Maid Park.

,Yainer Diaz will benefit from the home field advantage today, which ought to boost all of his stats.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Dylan Beavers in the 75th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Minute Maid Park as the 6th-best field in the game for LHB home runs.

,Hitting from the opposite that Hunter Brown throws from, Dylan Beavers will have an advantage in today’s game.

,Extreme flyball hitters like Dylan Beavers tend to be more successful against extreme groundball pitchers like Hunter Brown.

,When estimating his home run skill, Christian Walker ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Christian Walker is projected to bat 4th in the lineup in this matchup.

,Christian Walker will benefit from the home field advantage in today’s game, which figures to boost all of his stats.

,Isaac Paredes is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in this game.

,Isaac Paredes pulls many of his flyballs (46.6% — 100th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting them towards the league’s 2nd-shallowest LF fences in today’s matchup.

,Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter metrics across the board, and Isaac Paredes will hold that advantage in today’s game.

,Isaac Paredes has seen a significant gain in his exit velocity on flyballs of late; just compare his 96.2-mph average in the past 7 days to his seasonal EV of 90.7-mph.

,Compared to his seasonal average of 24°, Isaac Paredes has significantly improved his launch angle recently, posting a 29.5° figure over the past 7 days.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Taylor Ward in the 94th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill.

,Taylor Ward is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in this game.

,Extreme flyball batters like Taylor Ward tend to perform better against extreme groundball pitchers like Hunter Brown.

,Taylor Ward has paced 26.4 Expected Home Runs per 600 plate appearances since the start of last season, grading out in the 78th percentile for power according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

,Christian Walker has seen a substantial gain in his exit velocity on flyballs recently; just compare his 99.9-mph average in the past week’s worth of games to his seasonal average of 91.6-mph.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Gunnar Henderson in the 92nd percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability.

,Gunnar Henderson is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in this game.

,Gunnar Henderson will hold the platoon advantage over Hunter Brown today.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Colton Cowser in the 87th percentile when estimating his home run talent.

,It is anticipated that we will see a Pitchers Umpire (Chris Segal) in charge of the strike zone today.

,The #1 ballpark in the game for boosting strikeouts, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Minute Maid Park.

,Lucas Spence will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Kyle Bradish in today’s game.

,Lucas Spence may have an edge against every reliever for the game’s entirety, since the bullpen of the Baltimore Orioles has just 1 same-handed RP.

,Home field advantage generally boosts batter metrics across the board, and Lucas Spence will hold that advantage today.

,According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Yordan Alvarez ranks as the 2nd-best batter in the league.

,Yordan Alvarez is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in today’s game.

,Batting from the opposite that Kyle Bradish throws from, Yordan Alvarez will have the upper hand today.

,The Baltimore Orioles have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Yordan Alvarez has a strong chance of never losing the platoon advantage against the ‘pen all game.

,Pete Alonso projects as the 19th-best batter in Major League Baseball, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Pete Alonso is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card today.

,In the past 7 days, Pete Alonso’s Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 12.7% up to 20%.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Yainer Diaz in the 94th percentile when it comes to his batting average skill.

,Based on Statcast data, Yainer Diaz ranks in the 78th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Batting Average since the start of last season at .272.

,Hitting from the opposite that Kyle Bradish throws from, LaMonte Wade Jr. will have the upper hand in today’s matchup.

,The Baltimore Orioles have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so LaMonte Wade Jr. has a strong chance of holding the platoon advantage against every reliever all game.

,LaMonte Wade Jr. will possess the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which figures to improve all of his stats.

,In the last week, LaMonte Wade Jr.’s Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 10% up to 25%.

,In terms of plate discipline, Taylor Ward’s skill is quite good, putting up a 1.21 K/BB rate this year while placing in in the 95th percentile.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Cam Smith in the 90th percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent.

,Home field advantage typically boosts batter stats in all categories, and Cam Smith will hold that advantage in today’s game.

,The Barrel% of Cam Smith has significantly improved, with an increase from 7.1% last year to 12.2% this year.

,Cam Smith has been unlucky this year, compiling a .290 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .331 — a .041 deviation.

,This year, the hardest ball Cam Smith has hit reached a maximum exit velocity of 114.7 mph (a reliable stat to assess power), checking in at the 93rd percentile.

,The Baltimore Orioles projected offense profiles as the 4th-strongest of all teams on the slate today in terms of overall offensive ability.

,The Baltimore Orioles have been the 4th-unluckiest offense in the league this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to perform better in future games,According to the leading projection system (THE BAT), Yainer Diaz (the Astros’s expected catcher in today’s matchup) profiles as a weak pitch framer.

,Given that flyball hitters hold a significant edge over groundball pitchers, Hunter Brown and his 49.1% underlying GB% (via the leading projection system, THE BAT) finds himself in a difficult position in this outing being matched up with 2 opposing GB batters.

,LaMonte Wade Jr. has seen a substantial increase in his exit velocity of late; just compare his 90.1-mph average in the last 7 days to his seasonal 84.5-mph EV.

,Jose Altuve’s batting average skill is projected to be in the 82nd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Jose Altuve is penciled in 5th in the batting order today.

,Jose Altuve pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (41.5% — 99th percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting them towards MLB’s 2nd-shallowest LF fences in today’s game.

,Home field advantage generally improves hitter stats in all categories, and Jose Altuve will hold that advantage today.

,Jose Altuve has made significant gains with his Barrel% in recent games, upping his 6.6% seasonal rate to 16.7% in the last week.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Samuel Basallo in the 85th percentile when assessing his home run ability.

,Samuel Basallo is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in today’s game.

,Hitting from the opposite that Hunter Brown throws from, Samuel Basallo will have an advantage in today’s matchup.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jeremy Pena as the 19th-best batter in the game as it relates to his batting average ability.

,Jeremy Pena is projected to bat 1st in the batting order in this game.

,Jeremy Pena pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (35% — 81st percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting them towards MLB’s 2nd-shallowest LF fences today.

,Home field advantage typically improves hitter metrics in all categories, and Jeremy Pena will hold that advantage in today’s game.

,Jeremy Pena has been hot lately, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 87.5-mph to 93.6-mph in the past week’s worth of games.

,Brandon Young performed well in his last start and gave up 0 ER.

,Houston has performed as the #23 offense in baseball when it comes to hitting balls between -4° and 26°, the launch angle range that tends to optimize base hits (42.7% rate this year).

,Home field advantage typically bolsters batter metrics in all categories, and Yordan Alvarez will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

,Samuel Basallo has made significant improvements with his Barrel% of late, upping his 13.1% seasonal rate to 25% in the past two weeks’ worth of games.

,Tallying 99.6 adjusted pitches per game per started this year on average, Hunter Brown places him the 100th percentile.

,Adley Rutschman’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better from last season to this one, increasing from 17.4% to 21.3%.

,When assessing his overall offensive ability, Isaac Paredes ranks in the 78th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

,When estimating his overall offensive skill, Jackson Holliday ranks in the 79th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jose Altuve in the 76th percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT) forecasts Hunter Brown in the 88th percentile when estimating his strikeout talent.

,When assessing his overall offensive skill, Cam Smith ranks in the 83rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

,When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Jeremy Pena ranks in the 87th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Negatives with the Houston Astros Series Game 3 Game Today

Colton Cowser is projected to bat 7th on the lineup card in today’s game.

,Colton Cowser has been pinch hit for 31% of the time when starting against a right-handed starter this year.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Minute Maid Park as the 3rd-worst stadium in baseball for left-handed batting average.

,The Minute Maid Park roof is expected to be closed today, making weather conditions in this match-up -10° colder than the average outdoor game on the slate — favorable for pitching.

,Playing on the road generally lowers batter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Colton Cowser in today’s game.

,The switch-hitting Adley Rutschman will bat from his worse side (0) today against Hunter Brown,Adley Rutschman will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today’s game.

,In the past two weeks, Adley Rutschman’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 7.3% down to 0%.

,Jackson Holliday is penciled in 9th in the lineup in this matchup.

,18% of the time that Jackson Holliday has started against a righty on the mound this year, he has been replaced by a pinch-hitter.

,Extreme flyball hitters like Jackson Holliday usually hit worse against extreme flyball pitchers like Hunter Brown.

,Yainer Diaz is penciled in 9th on the lineup card in today’s game.

,Kyle Bradish will have the handedness advantage over Yainer Diaz in today’s game.

,In today’s matchup, Yainer Diaz is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 8th-deepest CF center field fences given that he hits his flyballs towards center field at a 38.8% rate (89th percentile).

,There has been a decrease in Yainer Diaz’s average exit velocity this year, from 89.9 mph last year to 87.7 mph now,Dylan Beavers is projected to hit 6th in the lineup in today’s game.

,Dylan Beavers has been lifted for a pinch-hitter 28% of the time when starting against a northpaw this year.

,Playing on the road generally diminishes hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Dylan Beavers in today’s game.

,Batting from the same side that Kyle Bradish throws from, Christian Walker will have a tough matchup today.

,Christian Walker has negatively regressed with his Barrel% in recent games; his 10% seasonal rate has fallen to 0% in the last week’s worth of games.

,In the last week, Christian Walker’s 0% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 15.6%.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Isaac Paredes in the 2nd percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Minute Maid Park as the 8th-worst stadium in MLB for run-scoring.

,Hitting from the same side that Kyle Bradish throws from, Isaac Paredes will be at a disadvantage today.

,Isaac Paredes has struggled with his Barrel% recently; his 5.9% seasonal rate has lowered to 0% in the last week.

,Hunter Brown will hold the platoon advantage against Taylor Ward in today’s game.

,Taylor Ward has an 88th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.2%) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of MLB’s 9th-deepest RF fences in today’s matchup.

,Playing on the road generally lowers hitter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Taylor Ward today.

,Gunnar Henderson will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today’s game.

,Checking in at the 16th percentile, Gunnar Henderson has put up a .258 BABIP this year.

,Samuel Basallo, the Orioles’s expected catcher in today’s game, profiles as a weak pitch framer according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

,In his last game started, Brandon Young wasn’t on when it came to striking batters out and only managed to post 2 Ks.

,Brandon Young’s higher usage rate of his fastball this season (54.1 compared to 43.8% last season) is not ideal considering they are typically much less effective than breaking or off-speed pitches.

,Ranking in the 22nd percentile, Brandon Young has recorded an 18.3% K% this year.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Lucas Spence in the 16th percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill.

,Lucas Spence is projected to bat 8th on the lineup card today.

,Today, Yordan Alvarez is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 8th-deepest CF center field fences given that he hits his flyballs towards center field at a 38.1% rate (78th percentile).

,The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Minute Maid Park as the 3rd-worst venue in Major League Baseball for right-handed batting average.

,Hunter Brown will have the handedness advantage against Pete Alonso in today’s game.

,Pete Alonso will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today’s matchup.

,LaMonte Wade Jr. is penciled in 6th on the lineup card in this game.

,LaMonte Wade Jr. pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (33.7% — 75th percentile) but may find it hard to clear MLB’s 9th-deepest RF fences in today’s matchup.

,LaMonte Wade Jr. has recorded a .291 Slugging Percentage (SLG) since the start of last season, placing in the 23rd percentile.

,Cam Smith is projected to bat 7th in the batting order in this game.

,Batting from the same side that Kyle Bradish throws from, Cam Smith faces a tough challenge in today’s game.

,Cam Smith hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.4% — 83rd percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards MLB’s 8th-deepest CF fences in today’s game.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT) forecasts Hunter Brown in the 92nd percentile when assessing his overall pitching abilities.

,Hunter Brown will benefit from the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which ought to bolster all of his metrics across the board.

,In his previous game started, Hunter Brown turned in a great performance and gave up 0 ER.

,LaMonte Wade Jr.’s batting average skill is projected to be in the 14th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Hitting from the same side that Kyle Bradish throws from, Jose Altuve has a tough challenge today.

,Jose Altuve’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has dropped off from last year to this one, decreasing from 14.6% to 11.2%.

,With a .284 Expected wOBA (or xwOBA, an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) using Statcast data) since the start of last season, Jose Altuve has performed in the 13th percentile for offensive skills.

,Samuel Basallo will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today’s game.

,Samuel Basallo’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has decreased lately, falling from 14.1% on the season to 0% in the past week’s worth of games.

,Samuel Basallo has recorded a .261 Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season, placing in the 25th percentile for offensive ability according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

,Colton Cowser’s average exit velocity has fallen off this year; his 90.8-mph average last season has decreased to 86.8-mph.

,Batting from the same side that Kyle Bradish throws from, Jeremy Pena will have a disadvantage in today’s game.

,Jeremy Pena’s exit velocity on flyballs has declined this season; his 91.4-mph mark last year has dropped off to 87.5-mph.

,Jeremy Pena’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has fallen off lately, decreasing from 10.5% on the season to 0% in the last week’s worth of games.

,The Houston Astros projected batting order grades out as the 5th-strongest of all teams on the slate today in terms of overall hitting ability.

,With a 1.19 gap between Brandon Young’s 3.42 ERA and his 4.61 estimated true talent ERA (according to the leading projection system, THE BAT), it’s safe to say he’s been one of the most fortunate pitchers in Major League Baseball this year and should negatively regress in future games.

,Grading out in the 19th percentile, Brandon Young has notched a 2.06 K/BB rate this year.

,Taylor Ward has taken a step back with his Barrel% recently; his 5.6% seasonal rate has dropped to 0% in the past week’s worth of games.

,In the past two weeks’ worth of games, Adley Rutschman’s exit velocity on flyballs has lowered from his seasonal EV of 93.1 mph to 89.2 mph.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Christian Walker in the 12th percentile when estimating his BABIP ability.

,Jackson Holliday will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today’s matchup.

,Pete Alonso has struggled with his Barrel%; his 18.8% rate last season has dropped to 12.7% this year.

,Hunter Brown’s sinker rate has spiked by 5.2% from last year to this one (23.6% to 28.8%) .

,Cam Smith’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has dropped off in recent games, going from 14.6% on the season to 8.3% over the last two weeks.

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