Orioles @ Astros Series Game 2 Matchup Details

Positives for the Baltimore Orioles Series Game 2 Game Today

When assessing his overall offensive skill, Dylan Beavers ranks in the 75th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

,The #6 ballpark in baseball for boosting home runs to left-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Minute Maid Park.

,Dylan Beavers will hold the platoon advantage over Spencer Arrighetti in today’s game.

,Dylan Beavers has a 75th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.1%) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting them out towards baseball’s 2nd-shallowest LF fences in today’s game.

,Dylan Beavers’s launch angle recently (33.5° in the last two weeks) is considerably higher than his 18.1° seasonal figure.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Colton Cowser in the 88th percentile as it relates to his home run talent.

,Colton Cowser will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Spencer Arrighetti in today’s matchup.

,Colton Cowser has a 78th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.5%) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting them out towards baseball’s 2nd-shallowest LF fences in today’s matchup.

,Out of all the teams today, the 2nd-worst outfield defense belongs to the Houston Astros.

,Colton Cowser has seen a big increase in his exit velocity lately; just compare his 94.2-mph average over the past two weeks to his seasonal 86.6-mph EV.

,When estimating his home run talent, Christian Walker ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Christian Walker is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in today’s game.

,Among all parks, Minute Maid Park’s left field fences are the 2nd-shallowest.

,Hitting from the opposite that Trevor Rogers throws from, Christian Walker will have the upper hand today.

,Home field advantage typically improves batter metrics across the board, and Christian Walker will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

,Pete Alonso projects as the 19th-best hitter in baseball, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Pete Alonso is projected to hit 4th in the lineup today.

,Over the last 7 days, Pete Alonso’s Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 12.6% up to 18.2%.

,When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Jose Altuve ranks in the 75th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

,Jose Altuve is penciled in 1st in the lineup in this game.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Minute Maid Park as the 6th-best field in the league for righty home runs.

,Jose Altuve will have the handedness advantage over Trevor Rogers in today’s game.

,Jose Altuve pulls a lot of his flyballs (41.4% — 99th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the game’s 2nd-shallowest LF fences in today’s game.

,Yordan Alvarez projects as the 2nd-best hitter in the majors, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Yordan Alvarez is penciled in 2nd in the batting order today.

,Yordan Alvarez has a good chance to have the upper hand against every reliever for the game’s entirety, since the bullpen of the Baltimore Orioles has just 1 same-handed RP.

,Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter stats in all categories, and Yordan Alvarez will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

,Yordan Alvarez has seen a sizeable increase in his exit velocity in recent games; just compare his 96.7-mph average in the last two weeks to his seasonal 94.4-mph average.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Samuel Basallo in the 84th percentile as it relates to his home run talent.

,Samuel Basallo is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in this game.

,Dingers are generally more common at stadiums with shallow fences, and Minute Maid Park has the 2nd-shallowest in the majors.

,Samuel Basallo will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Spencer Arrighetti in today’s game.

,Isaac Paredes is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in today’s game.

,Isaac Paredes will have the handedness advantage over Trevor Rogers in today’s game.

,Isaac Paredes pulls a lot of his flyballs (46.7% — 100th percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting them towards the game’s 2nd-shallowest LF fences today.

,Home field advantage typically boosts hitter stats in all categories, and Isaac Paredes will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

,In terms of the ability to lift the ball for power, Isaac Paredes ranks in the 99th percentile with a 23.9° launch angle, which is among the highest angles in MLB.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Adley Rutschman in the 89th percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill.

,Adley Rutschman is penciled in 2nd in the batting order today.

,Adley Rutschman’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved from last season to this one, increasing from 17.4% to 22%.

,When assessing his overall offensive talent, Gunnar Henderson ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

,Gunnar Henderson is penciled in 1st in the lineup today.

,Batting from the opposite that Spencer Arrighetti throws from, Gunnar Henderson will have an advantage today.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Zach Dezenzo in the 93rd percentile when estimating his BABIP skill.

,Batting from the opposite that Trevor Rogers throws from, Zach Dezenzo will have an advantage in today’s game.

,Zach Dezenzo will possess the home field advantage in today’s game, which should improve all of his stats.

,Zach Dezenzo has been unlucky in regards to his home runs since the start of last season; his 10.5 HR per 600 plate appearances mark is deflated compared to his 26.4 Expected HR/600, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

,Zach Dezenzo’s 95.7-mph exit velocity on flyballs (an advanced standard to evaluate power) ranks in the 90th percentile since the start of last season.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Taylor Ward in the 93rd percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability.

,Taylor Ward is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in this game.

,Taylor Ward has made notable gains with his Barrel% lately, bettering his 5.8% seasonal rate to 22.2% over the past week.

,Taylor Ward has been hot in recent games, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 89.4-mph to 91.8-mph over the last week.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT) forecasts Trevor Rogers in the 77th percentile when it comes to his overall pitching talent level.

,It is expected that we will see a Pitchers Umpire (Brian O’Nora) calling pitches today.

,Minute Maid Park profiles as the #27 park in the majors for batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).

,Jackson Holliday’s BABIP talent is projected in the 87th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Hitting from the opposite that Spencer Arrighetti throws from, Jackson Holliday will have an edge today.

,Jackson Holliday has an 87th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35%) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting them in the direction of the game’s 2nd-shallowest LF fences in today’s matchup.

,In the last 7 days, Jackson Holliday’s 80% rate of hitting balls at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 41.3%.

,Spencer Arrighetti will hold the home field advantage in today’s game, which should boost all of his metrics in all categories.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Yainer Diaz in the 93rd percentile when it comes to his batting average talent.

,Yainer Diaz will have the handedness advantage over Trevor Rogers in today’s matchup.

,Yainer Diaz will benefit from the home field advantage today, which figures to bolster all of his stats.

,Posting a .272 Expected Batting Average (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) based on Statcast data) since the start of last season , Yainer Diaz is ranked in the 78th percentile.

,Christian Walker has made substantial gains with his Barrel% in recent games, bettering his 10.3% seasonal rate to 15.4% in the last 7 days.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Cam Smith in the 90th percentile as it relates to his BABIP ability.

,Cam Smith is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in today’s game.

,Cam Smith will have the handedness advantage over Trevor Rogers today.

,Cam Smith will possess the home field advantage today, which ought to boost all of his stats.

,Cam Smith has seen a significant improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs of late; just compare his 100.8-mph average in the last two weeks’ worth of games to his seasonal figure of 93.5-mph.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jose Altuve in the 82nd percentile when assessing his batting average ability.

,Jose Altuve will possess the home field advantage in today’s game, which ought to boost all of his stats.

,Dylan Beavers is an extreme flyball batter and faces the weak outfield defense of Houston (#2-worst of the day).

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Coby Mayo in the 93rd percentile as it relates to his home run skill.

,Coby Mayo pulls many of his flyballs (40.2% — 97th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting them towards the game’s 2nd-shallowest LF fences in today’s matchup.

,Coby Mayo has seen a sizeable improvement in his exit velocity this season; just compare his 92-mph average to last season’s 87.5-mph mark.

,Coby Mayo has been unlucky this year, compiling a .281 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .321 — a .040 disparity.

,In the last two weeks’ worth of games, Yainer Diaz’s 14.3% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 7.6%.

,Minute Maid Park projects as the #1 ballpark in the game for strikeouts, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).

,Trevor Rogers’s 2462-rpm fastball spin rate this year is in the 84th percentile among all starting pitchers.

,As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Jackson Holliday ranks in the 80th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

,Jackson Holliday’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved from last season to this one, rising from 14% to 20%.

,Samuel Basallo has seen a significant gain in his exit velocity on flyballs this season; just compare his 94.7-mph average to last year’s 92.6-mph average.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Colton Cowser in the 77th percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill.

,When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Isaac Paredes ranks in the 78th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Cam Smith in the 81st percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability.

,Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (.343) provides evidence that Zach Dezenzo has experienced some negative variance since the start of last season with his .296 actual wOBA.

Negatives with the Houston Astros Series Game 2 Game Today

Dylan Beavers is projected to hit 6th in the lineup in this matchup.

,28% of the time that Dylan Beavers has started against a right-handed pitcher this year, he has been replaced by a pinch-hitter.

,Among all major league stadiums, the 3rd-highest fence height (on average) are at Minute Maid Park.

,Built just 20 feet above sea level, Minute Maid Park has one of the lowest elevations in the league, which often leads to worse offense.

,The Minute Maid Park roof figures to be closed today, making conditions in this contest -13° colder than the average outdoor game on the schedule today — favorable for pitching.

,Colton Cowser is penciled in 7th on the lineup card in this matchup.

,This year, Colton Cowser has been lifted for a pinch-hitter in 30% of his appearances when starting against right-handed pitcher.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Minute Maid Park as the 8th-worst field in the game for run-scoring.

,Christian Walker’s average exit velocity has decreased of late; his 89.6-mph seasonal figure has fallen off to 85.5-mph over the past two weeks.

,Christian Walker has posted a .228 Expected Batting Average since the start of last season, checking in at the 22nd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

,Spencer Arrighetti will hold the platoon advantage over Pete Alonso in today’s matchup.

,Pete Alonso will be at a disadvantage playing away from home today.

,In the past week’s worth of games, Jose Altuve’s exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off from his seasonal EV of 92.6 mph to 88.4 mph.

,Jose Altuve’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has fallen off from last year to this one, going from 14.6% to 11.2%.

,Batting from the same side that Trevor Rogers throws from, Yordan Alvarez will have a tough matchup today.

,Samuel Basallo will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today’s matchup.

,Samuel Basallo’s ability to hit the ball at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has decreased recently, going from 42.9% on the season to 12.5% in the last 7 days.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Isaac Paredes in the 2nd percentile as it relates to his BABIP ability.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Minute Maid Park as the 3rd-worst venue in baseball for righty batting average.

,Isaac Paredes’s exit velocity on flyballs has declined recently; his 90.8-mph seasonal average has decreased to 87.8-mph over the last 14 days.

,The switch-hitting Adley Rutschman will be at a disadvantage batting from his worse side (0) today against Spencer Arrighetti,Playing on the road typically lessens batter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Adley Rutschman in today’s matchup.

,Adley Rutschman has struggled with his Barrel% lately; his 7.5% seasonal rate has dropped off to 0% in the past two weeks.

,The #3 stadium in MLB for suppressing batting average to LHB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Minute Maid Park.

,Playing on the road typically weakens hitter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Gunnar Henderson in today’s game.

,Gunnar Henderson has struggled with his Barrel% recently; his 7.2% seasonal rate has fallen to 0% over the last 14 days.

,Zach Dezenzo is projected to hit 8th in the batting order in this game.

,Batting from the same side that Spencer Arrighetti throws from, Taylor Ward will have a disadvantage today.

,Taylor Ward has an 89th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.2%) and will have to hit them out towards the game’s 9th-deepest RF fences today.

,With 8 hitters of opposing handedness in the opposing team’s projected batting order, Trevor Rogers will be at a disadvantage while lacking the platoon advantage in most plate appearances in this outing.

,Trevor Rogers will be at a disadvantage playing on the road today.

,Trevor Rogers’s slider percentage has decreased by 7.3% from last season to this one (19.2% to 11.9%) .

,Trevor Rogers’s 92.9-mph fastball velocity this year is in the 24th percentile among all SPs.

,Jackson Holliday is projected to hit 9th on the lineup card in this matchup.

,Jackson Holliday has been replaced by a pinch-hitter 12% of the time when starting against a righty on the mound this year.

,Gunnar Henderson’s exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off in recent games; his 93.4-mph seasonal figure has decreased to 90.4-mph in the last 14 days.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Spencer Arrighetti in the 20th percentile when it comes to his overall pitching talent level.

,The Baltimore Orioles projected lineup ranks as the 3rd-strongest of all teams today in terms of overall batting skill.

,The Baltimore Orioles have been the 3rd-unluckiest offense in the game this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to positively regress the rest of the season,According to the leading projection system (THE BAT), Yainer Diaz (the Astros’s expected catcher today) is considered to be a weak pitch framer.

,Yainer Diaz is projected to bat 6th in the lineup today.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Christian Walker in the 11th percentile when assessing his BABIP ability.

,Cam Smith hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.4% — 84th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards the game’s 8th-deepest CF fences in today’s matchup.

,Cam Smith has struggled with his Barrel% of late; his 11.8% seasonal rate has fallen to 0% over the past week.

,Pete Alonso has struggled with his Barrel%; his 18.8% rate last year has dropped to 12.6% this year.

,Yordan Alvarez hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.2% — 80th percentile) and will be challenged by MLB’s 8th-deepest CF fences in today’s matchup.

,Coby Mayo is penciled in 8th on the lineup card in this matchup.

,Yainer Diaz hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.8% — 90th percentile) and will be challenged by the game’s 8th-deepest CF fences in today’s matchup.

,Trevor Rogers has recorded an 18.3% Strikeout% this year, checking in at the 23rd percentile.

,Based on Statcast data, Samuel Basallo is in the 25th percentile for offensive ability according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season at .261.

,With 6 hitters who hit from the other side in the opposing team’s projected lineup, Spencer Arrighetti has a tough challenge while lacking the platoon advantage in most plate appearances in today’s matchup.

,Out of all SPs, Spencer Arrighetti’s fastball velocity of 91.7 mph grades out in the 17th percentile this year.

,Batting from the same side that Spencer Arrighetti throws from, Coby Mayo meets a tough challenge in today’s game.

,Isaac Paredes’s launch angle of late (20.4° over the past two weeks) is quite a bit worse than his 23.9° seasonal figure.

,Zach Dezenzo has an 84th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.3%) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards baseball’s 9th-deepest RF fences in today’s game.

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