Nationals vs Padres match player stats | 2025 Series Game 2 Tuesday, June 24th

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Nationals vs Padres match player stats | 2025 Series Game 2 Tuesday, June 24th

WSH @ SD

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Series Game 2 Matchup Details

Washington Nationals at San Diego Padres
Series Game 2
Todays Game is on Tuesday, June 24th
24/06/25 21:40:00 PM EST First Pitch

Positive Match Player Stats for Nationals vs Padres Series Game 2 Matchup Today

James Wood projects as the 16th-best batter in Major League Baseball, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

James Wood is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in this game.

The #7 park in Major League Baseball for boosting home runs to left-handed hitters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Petco Park.

The 2nd-shallowest CF fences among all parks are found in Petco Park.

On average, the fence height at Petco Park is the 4th-lowest among all major league baseball stadiums.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects James Wood as the best hitter in the majors when assessing his BABIP skill.

James Wood will have the handedness advantage over Ryan Bergert in today’s game.

Extreme flyball hitters like James Wood generally hit better against extreme groundball pitchers like Ryan Bergert.

The #7 venue in Major League Baseball for boosting home runs to righties, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Petco Park.

Bats such as Jacob Young with extreme flyball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Ryan Bergert who skew towards the groundball end of the spectrum.

Jacob Young has seen a big gain in his exit velocity on flyballs this season; just compare his 87.9-mph average to last season’s 84.9-mph mark.

Jacob Young’s average launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls recently (4.8° in the past 14 days) is considerably better than his -0.1° seasonal mark.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jacob Young in the 85th percentile when estimating his BABIP ability.

In terms of his batting average, Jacob Young has had bad variance on his side this year. His .245 mark falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .285.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brady House in the 89th percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill.

Daylen Lile will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Ryan Bergert in today’s game.

Daylen Lile has been hot lately, compiling a 94.2-mph average exit velocity over the past 7 days.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Daylen Lile in the 78th percentile when assessing his batting average talent.

Over the last week, Daylen Lile has posted a 20.6° launch angle, lifting the ball well and indicating strong home run potential.

The Washington Nationals have been the 10th-luckiest offense in baseball this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to perform worse in the future,Gabe Morales projects as a Pitchers Umpire and is likely to be calling pitches today.

The #5 park in baseball for suppressing walks, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Petco Park.

Ryan Bergert will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today’s game, which ought to bolster all of his metrics in all categories.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Petco Park as the 8th-best stadium in the league for strikeouts.

Xander Bogaerts’s batting average talent is projected to be in the 95th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Xander Bogaerts is projected to hit 5th in the lineup in this matchup.

Xander Bogaerts hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.1% — 89th percentile) and is fortunate to face the league’s 2nd-shallowest CF fences today.

Home field advantage generally boosts batter stats across the board, and Xander Bogaerts will hold that advantage in today’s game.

Xander Bogaerts has made notable improvements with his Barrel% lately, upping his 5.2% seasonal rate to 13% in the last week’s worth of games.

When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Xander Bogaerts ranks in the 86th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Keibert Ruiz’s ability to hit the ball at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has increased recently, going from 45.4% on the season to 60% over the past week.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Luis Garcia Jr. in the 96th percentile when assessing his batting average skill.

Luis Garcia Jr. is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order in this matchup.

Hitting from the opposite that Ryan Bergert throws from, Luis Garcia Jr. will have the upper hand in today’s matchup.

Luis Garcia Jr. hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.9% — 97th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting towards baseball’s 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today’s game.

Extreme flyball bats like Luis Garcia Jr. tend to be more successful against extreme groundball pitchers like Ryan Bergert.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Luis Garcia Jr. in the 84th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill.

It may be wise to expect stronger performance for the San Diego Padres offense in future games, considering that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) sees them as the 10th-unluckiest offense in Major League Baseball this year.

Keibert Ruiz, the Nationals’s expected catcher today, grades out as a weak pitch framer according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Trevor Williams is an extreme flyball pitcher (36.3% FB% according to the leading projection system, THE BAT) and is stuck pitching in the #8 HR venue among all stadiums in today’s game.

Josh Bell is projected to bat 5th in the batting order in today’s game.

The switch-hitting Josh Bell will have the advantage of batting from from his strong side (0) today against Ryan Bergert.

Hitters such as Josh Bell with extreme groundball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Ryan Bergert who skew towards the flyball end of the spectrum.

Josh Bell has been hot of late, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 90-mph to 94.1-mph in the past 14 days.

As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Josh Bell ranks in the 77th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Manny Machado’s batting average talent is projected to be in the 95th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Manny Machado is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in this game.

Manny Machado hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.4% — 92nd percentile) and will have a big advantage facing MLB’s 2nd-shallowest CF fences today.

Home field advantage typically boosts hitter stats in all categories, and Manny Machado will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

In the past 7 days, Manny Machado’s exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 95.3-mph over the course of the season to 97.5-mph of late.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Manny Machado in the 94th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability.

When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Jake Cronenworth ranks in the 83rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Considering Trevor Williams’s large platoon split, Jake Cronenworth will have an enormous advantage batting from the opposite side of the plate in this game.

Jake Cronenworth is apt to have an edge against every reliever for the game’s entirety, since the bullpen of the Washington Nationals has just 1 same-handed RP.

Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter metrics across the board, and Jake Cronenworth will hold that advantage today.

Fernando Tatis Jr. projects as the 8th-best hitter in the league, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Fernando Tatis Jr. is penciled in 1st on the lineup card in this game.

Fernando Tatis Jr. hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.8% — 96th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing baseball’s 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today’s matchup.

Fernando Tatis Jr. will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today’s game, which ought to improve all of his stats.

Fernando Tatis Jr.’s launch angle lately (17.2° in the past week’s worth of games) is a significant increase over his 8.1° seasonal angle.

Nathaniel Lowe is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in today’s game.

Nathaniel Lowe will have the handedness advantage against Ryan Bergert in today’s matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nathaniel Lowe in the 79th percentile as it relates to his BABIP ability.

In the past 14 days, Nathaniel Lowe’s exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 93.7-mph over the course of the season to 97.5-mph lately.

Luis Arraez is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in this game.

Luis Arraez will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Trevor Williams in today’s game… and moreover, Williams has a large platoon split.

When estimating his batting average skill, Luis Arraez is projected as the 3rd-best batter in Major League Baseball by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Luis Arraez is apt to have an edge against every reliever for the duration of the game, since the bullpen of the Washington Nationals has just 1 same-handed RP.

Considering Trevor Williams’s large platoon split, Tyler Wade will have a gigantic advantage batting from the opposite side of the dish in today’s matchup.

Tyler Wade is likely to have the upper hand against every reliever from start to finish, since the bullpen of the Washington Nationals only has 1 same-handed RP.

Batters such as Tyler Wade with extreme flyball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Trevor Williams who skew towards the groundball end of the spectrum.

Home field advantage generally improves batter stats across the board, and Tyler Wade will hold that advantage in today’s game.

Gavin Sheets is projected to bat 4th in the lineup in today’s game.

Given Trevor Williams’s large platoon split, Gavin Sheets will have a massive advantage batting from the opposite side of the dish in today’s matchup.

The Washington Nationals have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Gavin Sheets has a strong chance of never facing a bullpen mismatch all game.

Home field advantage typically improves batter metrics across the board, and Gavin Sheets will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

Gavin Sheets has seen a big improvement in his exit velocity this year; just compare his 92-mph average to last season’s 87.8-mph average.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects CJ Abrams in the 78th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent.

CJ Abrams is projected to bat 1st in the lineup in this matchup.

Hitting from the opposite that Ryan Bergert throws from, CJ Abrams will have the upper hand in today’s game.

CJ Abrams’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved from last year to this one, increasing from 14.6% to 18.3%.

CJ Abrams has notched a .272 Expected Batting Average this year, checking in at the 76th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

Negative Match Player Stats with Nationals vs Padres Series Game 2

As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 2nd-best pitching weather on the schedule is expected for this matchup.

James Wood will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today’s matchup.

Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected HR per 600 plate appearances (27.9) suggests that James Wood has experienced some positive variance this year with his 36.7 actual HR/600.

The #5 ballpark in the majors for suppressing batting average to left-handed batters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Petco Park.

Petco Park’s elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all major league parks, which generally leads to lower offensive output.

James Wood has been lucky this year, compiling a .395 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .366 — a .029 deviation.

When it comes to his home run ability, Jacob Young ranks in the 1st percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Jacob Young is penciled in 9th in the lineup today.

Jacob Young has been replaced by a pinch-hitter 16% of the time when starting against a righty hurler this year.

Petco Park projects as the #23 venue in the majors for right-handed batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Brady House is projected to hit 6th in the batting order in today’s game.

Ryan Bergert will have the handedness advantage over Brady House in today’s game.

Brady House will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today’s matchup.

With a .222 wOBA over the last 14 days, Brady House has been struggling at the plate.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Daylen Lile in the 18th percentile as it relates to his home run skill.

Daylen Lile is projected to bat 7th in the batting order in this game.

Playing on the road generally lessens batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Daylen Lile today.

Daylen Lile has been cold in recent games, limping his way to a .243 wOBA over the past week.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ryan Bergert to throw 81 pitches in this game (6th-least of all pitchers on the slate today), considering both his underlying tendencies and the matchup.

The Washington Nationals have 7 bats in the projected lineup that will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Ryan Bergert in today’s game.

Ryan Bergert is an extreme flyball pitcher (36% FB% according to the leading projection system, THE BAT) and is stuck pitching in the #8 HR venue among all parks in this matchup.

Given that flyball batters have a significant edge over groundball pitchers, Ryan Bergert and his 36% underlying GB% (per the leading projection system, THE BAT) finds himself in a tough spot today matching up with 4 opposing GB batters.

Ryan Bergert didn’t have his best stuff when it came to striking batters out in his previous outing and put up 2 Ks.

Despite conventional wisdom, fastballs are generally a pitcher’s least effective pitch. Ryan Bergert has used his fastball a lot since the start of last season, though: 53.3% of the time, grading out in the 100th percentile.

Given Trevor Williams’s large platoon split, Xander Bogaerts will be at a tremendous disadvantage hitting from the same side of the dish in this game.

Xander Bogaerts’s launch angle of late (2.8° in the last 7 days) is significantly worse than his 11.9° seasonal angle.

Xander Bogaerts has paced 11.4 Expected Home Runs per 600 plate appearances this year, grading out in the 18th percentile for power according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Keibert Ruiz ranks in the 14th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Keibert Ruiz has primarily hit in the top-half of the batting order this season (71% of the time), but he is projected to bat 8th in the lineup in this matchup.

In today’s game, Keibert Ruiz is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 6th-deepest RF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the pull field at a 38.2% rate (97th percentile).

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Keibert Ruiz in the 1st percentile when assessing his BABIP ability.

Playing on the road generally lessens hitter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Luis Garcia Jr. in today’s matchup.

Considering the 1.7 deviation between Trevor Williams’s 5.54 ERA and his 3.84 FIP, it’s safe to say he’s been one of the unluckiest pitchers in the league this year and figures to see better results the rest of the season.

Trevor Williams has compiled a .341 BABIP this year, a sign that he has been one of the unluckiest mound aces in Major League Baseball on balls in play with improved performance likely coming.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Trevor Williams to throw 85 pitches in today’s game (10th-least of all pitchers on the slate), considering both his underlying tendencies and the matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) forecasts Trevor Williams in the 19th percentile when assessing his strikeout skill.

The San Diego Padres (18.4 K% (according to the leading projection system, THE BAT X) are forecasted to have the least strikeout-prone lineup on the slate today.

Playing on the road typically lowers pitcher metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Trevor Williams in today’s game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Josh Bell in the 16th percentile as it relates to his BABIP skill.

Josh Bell will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today’s game.

Josh Bell’s launch angle recently (0.2° in the past 14 days) is quite a bit lower than his 8.3° seasonal figure.

Posting a .274 wOBA (a leading indicator of offensive ability) this year, Josh Bell is ranked in the 15th percentile.

Ranking in the 20th percentile, Josh Bell has posted a .334 Slugging Percentage (SLG) this year.

Because of Trevor Williams’s large platoon split, Manny Machado will be at a tremendous disadvantage batting from the same side of the dish today.

In the last 14 days, Manny Machado’s 7.3% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 15.3%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Manny Machado’s true offensive ability to be a .349, suggesting that he has had positive variance on his side this year given the .022 discrepancy between that figure and his actual .371 wOBA.

Jake Cronenworth is penciled in 6th in the batting order today.

In the past 7 days, Jake Cronenworth’s exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off from his seasonal mark of 89.7 mph to 80.3 mph.

Jake Cronenworth’s launch angle of late (2.3° in the past 7 days) is a considerable dropoff from his 15.3° seasonal angle.

Jake Cronenworth’s ability to hit the ball at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has fallen off from last year to this one, decreasing from 47.2% to 39.6%.

Jake Cronenworth’s exit velocity on flyballs has decreased this season; his 91.9-mph average last season has dropped off to 89.7-mph.

Given Trevor Williams’s large platoon split, Fernando Tatis Jr. will be at a big disadvantage hitting from the same side of the dish in this game.

Over the last two weeks, Fernando Tatis Jr.’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 12.6% down to 5.9%.

Fernando Tatis Jr. has been cold of late, with his seasonal exit velocity of 93.7-mph dropping to 91.4-mph in the past week’s worth of games.

Fernando Tatis Jr.’s ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has fallen off from last season to this one, going from 48.8% to 38.8%.

Playing on the road typically weakens hitter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Nathaniel Lowe in today’s game.

Nathaniel Lowe’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has decreased from last year to this one, decreasing from 14.8% to 10.8%.

When it comes to his home runs, Nathaniel Lowe has been lucky this year. His 24.1 HR per 600 plate appearances figure has been considerably higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected HR/600 at 13.4.

Based on Statcast data, Nathaniel Lowe is in the 20th percentile for offensive skills according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) this year at .291.

Nathaniel Lowe’s ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has declined lately, falling from 46.6% on the season to 28.6% in the past two weeks’ worth of games.

When assessing his home run talent, Luis Arraez ranks in the 0th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Luis Arraez’s exit velocity on flyballs has decreased this season; his 87.9-mph average last year has dropped to 85.3-mph.

Luis Arraez has had some very good luck with his home runs this year; his 5.8 HR per 600 plate appearances mark is a fair amount higher than his 0.2 Expected HR/600, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

Grading out in the 10th percentile for power, Luis Arraez has averaged 4.6 HRs per 600 plate appearances this year.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Tyler Wade in the 2nd percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent.

Tyler Wade is penciled in 9th in the batting order in today’s game.

When assessing his home run ability, Tyler Wade ranks in the 1st percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

In the last two weeks, Tyler Wade’s exit velocity on flyballs has decreased from his seasonal mark of 86.9 mph to 84.3 mph.

Tyler Wade’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has fallen off from last year to this one, falling from 18.8% to 12.3%.

Gavin Sheets’s BABIP skill is projected in the 25th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Gavin Sheets pulls a lot of his flyballs (34.9% — 87th percentile) and will have to hit them out towards baseball’s 6th-deepest RF fences in today’s game.

Gavin Sheets has been lucky this year, compiling a .336 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .316 — a .020 deviation.

In today’s game, CJ Abrams is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 6th-deepest RF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the pull field at a 33.4% rate (77th percentile).

Playing on the road typically diminishes batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for CJ Abrams in today’s game.

CJ Abrams’s exit velocity on flyballs has decreased of late; his 92.1-mph seasonal figure has fallen off to 89.3-mph in the past two weeks.

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