
WSH @ BAL





Todays Matchup Details
Todays Game is on Tuesday, August 13th
2024-08-13 18:35:00 EST First Pitch
Player match stat positives for Washington at Baltimore Matchup Today
A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is projected to have the 2nd-hottest temperature on the schedule today at 81, °.
Batting from the opposite that Trevor Rogers throws from, Jacob Young will have an edge in today’s matchup.
Jacob Young has a 99th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (43.4%) and will have a big advantage hitting them in the direction of baseball’s shallowest RF fences today.
As it relates to his batting average, Jacob Young has been unlucky this year. His .247 figure falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .271.
When assessing his overall offensive skill, Adley Rutschman ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
In the league, Oriole Park at Camden Yards’s RF fences are the shallowest.
Adley Rutschman will benefit from the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which should bolster all of his stats.
Adley Rutschman’s ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has improved recently, going from 48% on the season to 57.7% in the past two weeks.
Anthony Santander is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup in today’s game.
Anthony Santander pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (40.6% — 99th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards MLB’s shallowest RF fences in today’s matchup.
Anthony Santander will benefit from the home field advantage today, which figures to boost all of his stats.
Anthony Santander’s launch angle this season (23.6°) is considerably better than his 20° mark last year.
The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Oriole Park at Camden Yards as the 9th-best stadium in the majors for left-handed base hits.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Colton Cowser as the 18th-best batter in the majors when estimating his BABIP talent.
Colton Cowser is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card in this matchup, which would be an upgrade from his 75% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this year.
Colton Cowser will hold the platoon advantage against Jake Irvin in today’s matchup.
Home field advantage generally boosts batter metrics in all categories, and Colton Cowser will hold that advantage in today’s game.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jackson Holliday in the 94th percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent.
Jackson Holliday will hold the platoon advantage against Jake Irvin today.
Alex Call is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order in today’s game, which would be an upgrade from his 71% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this year.
Hitting from the opposite that Trevor Rogers throws from, Alex Call will have an edge in today’s matchup.
Alex Call hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.1% — 78th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the league’s 4th-shallowest CF fences in today’s matchup.
Alex Call has suffered from bad luck when it comes to his home runs since the start of last season; his 10.7 HR per 600 plate appearances figure is quite a bit lower than his 13.2 Expected HR/600, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.
CJ Abrams is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card in this matchup.
CJ Abrams pulls many of his flyballs (34.1% — 81st percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting them towards MLB’s shallowest RF fences today.
CJ Abrams’s average launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls recently (25.5° in the past week) is significantly higher than his 12.7° seasonal figure.
With a .307 Isolated Power (ISO) this year, CJ Abrams is positioned in the 82nd percentile.
Juan Yepez is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order today.
Hitting from the opposite that Trevor Rogers throws from, Juan Yepez will have an edge in today’s matchup.
Juan Yepez has seen a sizeable gain in his exit velocity on flyballs in recent games; just compare his 94.7-mph average in the last week’s worth of games to his seasonal figure of 86.8-mph.
With a .326 wOBA (a leading indicator of offensive ability) since the start of last season, Juan Yepez has performed in the 78th percentile.
As it relates to his overall offensive talent, James Wood ranks in the 79th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
James Wood is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in this game.
James Wood hits many of his flyballs to center field (40% — 99th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing MLB’s 4th-shallowest CF fences in today’s matchup.
James Wood has been hot in recent games, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 94.3-mph to 97.7-mph over the past week.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Colton Cowser in the 87th percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill.
Keibert Ruiz is penciled in 4th in the batting order in this game, which would be an upgrade from his 59% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this season.
In the past two weeks’ worth of games, Keibert Ruiz’s 28.6% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 17.4%.
Keibert Ruiz has been unlucky this year, compiling a .262 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .293 — a .031 disparity.
When it comes to his BABIP talent, Harold Ramirez is projected as the 20th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Hitting from the opposite that Trevor Rogers throws from, Harold Ramirez will have the upper hand in today’s game.
Harold Ramirez has a 95th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (38.6%) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting them in the direction of the league’s shallowest RF fences in today’s matchup.
Despite posting a .268 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Harold Ramirez has had bad variance on his side given the .037 gap between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .305.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jackson Holliday in the 80th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability.
Jackson Holliday will hold the home field advantage today, which ought to bolster all of his stats.
Alex Call has displayed strong plate discipline since the start of last season, placing in the 96th percentile with a 1.43 K/BB rate.
The 4th-weakest projected batting order of all teams today in terms of overall hitting skill is that of the the Washington Nationals.
It may be wise to expect weaker performance for the Washington Nationals offense in future games, given that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) views them as the 5th-luckiest offense in the league this year.
Adley Rutschman, the Orioles’s expected catcher today, grades out as a good pitch framer according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).
Oriole Park at Camden Yards grades out as the #30 stadium in the majors for walks, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).
The deepest LF dimensions among all stadiums are found in Oriole Park at Camden Yards.
Oriole Park at Camden Yards profiles as the #9 venue in baseball for right-handed BABIP, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ryan O’Hearn in the 93rd percentile when assessing his batting average talent.
Ryan O’Hearn is penciled in 4th in the lineup in this matchup.
Ryan O’Hearn will have the handedness advantage against Jake Irvin in today’s matchup.
Ramon Urias has an 85th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.2%) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the game’s shallowest RF fences in today’s matchup.
Home field advantage typically improves batter metrics across the board, and Ramon Urias will hold that advantage in today’s game.
Ramon Urias has seen a sizeable gain in his exit velocity recently; just compare his 96.8-mph average over the past 7 days to his seasonal 87.7-mph average.
Ramon Urias has shown strong plate discipline this year, grading out in the 76th percentile with a 2.19 K/BB rate.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Anthony Santander in the 96th percentile when it comes to his home run ability.
As it relates to his BABIP ability, James Wood is projected as the 8th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ryan O’Hearn in the 91st percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill.
Home field advantage generally boosts hitter stats across the board, and Ryan O’Hearn will hold that advantage today.
The switch-hitting Ildemaro Vargas will get to bat from his good side (0) today against Trevor Rogers.
Ildemaro Vargas has seen a sizeable improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs of late; just compare his 89.6-mph average in the last two weeks to his seasonal figure of 87-mph.
Ildemaro Vargas has shown strong plate discipline this year, checking in at the 90th percentile with a 1.62 K/BB rate.
Trevor Rogers’s high utilization rate of his fastball (56.1% this year) is likely dampening his results, considering they are typically much less effective than breaking or off-speed pitches.
Gunnar Henderson projects as the 17th-best batter in the game, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Gunnar Henderson is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in this game.
Gunnar Henderson will hold the platoon advantage against Jake Irvin in today’s game.
Home field advantage typically improves hitter metrics in all categories, and Gunnar Henderson will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.
Trevor Rogers will possess the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which ought to improve all of his metrics in all categories.
Out of all SPs, Trevor Rogers’s fastball spin rate of 2436 rpm ranks in the 84th percentile this year.
The 3rd-best projected offense of all teams today in terms of overall offensive ability belongs to the Baltimore Orioles.
With 7 batters who hit from the other side in the opposing team’s projected batting order, Jake Irvin will be at a disadvantage while lacking the platoon advantage in most plate appearances in today’s game.
Jake Irvin will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today’s game.
In his last outing, Jake Irvin allowed a monstrous 5 earned runs.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jacob Young in the 90th percentile as it relates to his BABIP ability.
There has been a significant improvement in Adley Rutschman’s launch angle from last season’s 12.5° to 17.9° this season.
Jake Irvin has averaged 94.3 adjusted pitches per outing this year, placing in the 88th percentile.
Ildemaro Vargas’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased of late, going from 10.9% on the season to 20% in the last 7 days.
Tuesday player match stat slumps with Nationals vs Orioles Matchup
When it comes to his home run ability, Jacob Young ranks in the 1st percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Jacob Young is projected to hit 9th in the batting order in this game.
The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Oriole Park at Camden Yards as the 2nd-worst field in baseball for right-handed home runs.
In the majors, the 9th-tallest fence height (on average) are at Oriole Park at Camden Yards.
The Baltimore Orioles infield defense projects as the 3rd-best out of every team playing today.
Adley Rutschman is penciled in 9th on the lineup card in this matchup, which would be a downgrade from his 100% rate of hitting in the top-half of the batting order this season.
The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Oriole Park at Camden Yards as the 2nd-worst stadium in MLB for left-handed home runs.
As a switch-hitter who bats worse from the 0 side of the plate, Adley Rutschman will be less advantaged while batting from his worse side against Jake Irvin in today’s game.
In the last two weeks’ worth of games, Adley Rutschman’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 7.5% down to 0%.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Anthony Santander in the 2nd percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent.
The switch-hitting Anthony Santander will be at a disadvantage batting from his weak side (0) today against Jake Irvin, In the last 14 days, Anthony Santander’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 11.8% down to 6.8%.
As it relates to his wOBA and overall offense, Anthony Santander has been very fortunate this year. His .352 mark has been a fair amount higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .338.
Anthony Santander has notched a .230 BABIP this year, ranking in the 4th percentile.
Colton Cowser has an 86th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.6%) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards the game’s deepest LF fences in today’s matchup.
Colton Cowser’s average exit velocity has dropped off recently; his 91.2-mph seasonal mark has fallen off to 86.3-mph in the last week’s worth of games.
In the last 7 days, Colton Cowser’s 25% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 47.4%.
Jackson Holliday is projected to bat 6th on the lineup card in today’s game.
Jackson Holliday’s average exit velocity has dropped off of late; his 89.6-mph seasonal mark has fallen to 87.2-mph in the past week.
Alex Call will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today’s matchup.
Alex Call’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has decreased from last year to this one, falling from 16.1% to 9.3%.
Alex Call has struggled to lift the ball lately, compiling a 7.7° launch angle over the past two weeks.
Trevor Rogers will have the handedness advantage over CJ Abrams today.
CJ Abrams will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player today.
CJ Abrams’s average exit velocity has dropped off recently; his 88.4-mph seasonal figure has dropped to 86.2-mph in the past two weeks.
Juan Yepez’s BABIP ability is projected in the 24th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
In today’s matchup, Juan Yepez is at a disadvantage facing the league’s deepest LF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the pull field at a 36.2% rate (92nd percentile).
Hitting from the same side that Trevor Rogers throws from, James Wood has a tough challenge in today’s game.
James Wood will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today’s matchup.
James Wood has taken a step back with his Barrel% of late; his 11.4% seasonal rate has lowered to 3.7% over the past two weeks.
CJ Abrams has been lucky this year, compiling a .328 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .311 — a .017 discrepancy.
Keibert Ruiz’s BABIP skill is projected in the 2nd percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
The switch-hitting Keibert Ruiz will bat from his weak side (0) today against Trevor Rogers, Keibert Ruiz pulls a lot of his flyballs (39.6% — 97th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of baseball’s deepest LF fences in today’s matchup.
Harold Ramirez is penciled in 6th in the lineup today, which would be a downgrade from his 77% rate of hitting in the top-half of the batting order this season.
Harold Ramirez will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team today.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alex Call in the 15th percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability.
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT)’s appraisal, Trevor Rogers’s overall pitching skill is in the 24th percentile among all SPs in MLB right now.
Generating 15 outs per game per started this year on average, Trevor Rogers places him the 23rd percentile.
The Washington Nationals have 6 hitters in the projected batting order that will hold the platoon advantage against Trevor Rogers today.
Out of all starters, Trevor Rogers’s fastball velocity of 91.3 mph grades out in the 19th percentile this year.
Harold Ramirez’s average exit velocity has dropped off this season; his 89-mph figure last year has lowered to 86.8-mph.
Harold Ramirez’s launch angle this year (-0.7°) is quite a bit lower than his 5.8° figure last season.
Playing on the road generally weakens batter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Juan Yepez in today’s matchup.
In the past two weeks’ worth of games, Juan Yepez’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 5.1% down to 0%.
Ryan O’Hearn has a 78th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.1%) but may find it hard to clear baseball’s deepest LF fences in today’s matchup.
Ramon Urias is penciled in 8th in the lineup in this matchup.
Hitting from the same side that Jake Irvin throws from, Ramon Urias encounters a tough challenge today.
Ramon Urias has negatively regressed with his Barrel% in recent games; his 6.6% seasonal rate has decreased to 0% in the past 7 days.
Ramon Urias’s ability to hit the ball at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has declined from last year to this one, going from 43.5% to 34.2%.
Using Statcast data, Ramon Urias grades out in the 24th percentile via the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Batting Average this year at .230.
When it comes to his home runs, Anthony Santander has been very fortunate this year. His 42.2 HR per 600 plate appearances figure has been quite a bit higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected HR/600 at 34.8.
Baltimore’s #3-ranked outfield defense on the slate poses a formidable challenge for James Wood, who tends to hit a lot of flyballs.
Playing on the road typically diminishes hitter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Keibert Ruiz in today’s matchup.
Adley Rutschman’s exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off of late; his 90.7-mph seasonal EV has lowered to 82.7-mph over the past week.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ildemaro Vargas in the 7th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability.
Ildemaro Vargas is projected to hit 7th in the lineup in this matchup.
Ildemaro Vargas pulls many of his flyballs (33.6% — 78th percentile) but may find it hard to clear the league’s deepest LF fences in today’s matchup.
Ildemaro Vargas will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today’s matchup.
In today’s game, Gunnar Henderson is at a disadvantage facing the league’s deepest LF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the opposite field at a 34.5% rate (81st percentile).
Over the last 7 days, Gunnar Henderson’s exit velocity on flyballs has lowered from his seasonal figure of 95.5 mph to 91 mph.
In terms of his home runs, Gunnar Henderson has been very fortunate this year. His 33.0 HR per 600 plate appearances mark has been inflated compared to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected HR/600 at 24.4.
The Washington Nationals (19.4 K% (per the leading projection system, THE BAT X) project to have the 2nd-least strikeout-heavy lineup of all teams on the slate.
In his previous GS, Trevor Rogers wasn’t on when it came to striking batters out and was only able to post 2 Ks.
Jake Irvin’s higher utilization percentage of his secondary pitches this year (44.4% vs. 35.4% last year) should work in his favor consider they are typically much more effective than fastballs.
Jake Irvin has put up a 3.78 K/BB rate this year, placing in the 77th percentile.
Jacob Young will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team today.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ildemaro Vargas in the 2nd percentile when estimating his home run talent.
Jacob Young’s exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off in recent games; his 84.6-mph seasonal figure has fallen off to 81.9-mph in the last week’s worth of games.
Jacob Young’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has dropped off recently, falling from 10.4% on the season to 7.1% in the past two weeks’ worth of games.
Despite posting a .391 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Gunnar Henderson has been very fortunate given the .026 discrepancy between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .365.
When it comes to his home run ability, Harold Ramirez ranks in the 10th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
