Todays Matchup Details

Player match stat positives for New York at Pittsburgh Matchup Today

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ke’Bryan Hayes in the 77th percentile when estimating his batting average skill.

In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast predicts for the 2nd-most favorable hitting conditions of the day.

The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 9-mph in this game, the 2nd-strongest of the day for hitters.

Among every team on the slate today, the 2nd-worst infield defense is that of the the New York Mets.

Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter metrics across the board, and Ke’Bryan Hayes will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

Joey Bart will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which should boost all of his stats.

Joey Bart has gotten much quicker this year, improving from last season’s 26.21 ft/sec to 27.13 ft/sec now (according to Statcast’s Sprint Speed metric).

Rowdy Tellez is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in this matchup.

Hitting from the opposite that Luis Severino throws from, Rowdy Tellez will have an advantage in today’s game.

The New York Mets have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Rowdy Tellez has a strong chance of never losing the platoon advantage against the ‘pen all game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Tyrone Taylor in the 78th percentile as it relates to his home run ability.

Among every team today, the 3rd-worst infield defense is that of the Pittsburgh Pirates.

Tyrone Taylor has made substantial improvements with his Barrel% in recent games, upping his 8.8% seasonal rate to 21.7% over the last 14 days.

As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Francisco Lindor ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Francisco Lindor is projected to bat 1st in the batting order in today’s game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Francisco Alvarez in the 81st percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent.

Francisco Alvarez is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup in this game, which would be an upgrade from his 65% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this season.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Joey Bart in the 77th percentile when estimating his home run ability.

Joey Bart can really hit the cover off the ball. If you were to take the top 5% of his batted balls by exit velocity, their average (109.3 mph) put him among MLB’s best: in the 80th percentile since the start of last season.

When assessing his overall offensive talent, Bryan Reynolds ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Bryan Reynolds is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in this game.

As a switch-hitter who is stronger from the 0 side of the plate, Bryan Reynolds will have the advantage of batting from from his strong side against Luis Severino in this game.

Over the past two weeks, Tyrone Taylor’s exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 92.3-mph over the course of the season to 97.6-mph lately.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Pete Alonso as MLB’s 11th-best home run batter.

Pete Alonso is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in today’s game.

When assessing his overall offensive talent, Brandon Nimmo ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Brandon Nimmo is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order today.

Brandon Nimmo will have the handedness advantage against Paul Skenes in today’s game.

Francisco Lindor has been hot recently, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 90.4-mph to 92.9-mph in the last 14 days.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Oneil Cruz as Major League Baseball’s 19th-best home run hitter.

Oneil Cruz is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in today’s game.

Oneil Cruz will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Luis Severino in today’s game.

By putting up a .337 Expected wOBA (or xwOBA, an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) using Statcast data) this year, Pete Alonso finds himself in the 81st percentile for hitting ability.

Jeff McNeil’s batting average skill is projected to be in the 84th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Jeff McNeil will have the handedness advantage against Paul Skenes in today’s game.

When assessing his overall offensive talent, Andrew McCutchen ranks in the 85th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Andrew McCutchen is projected to hit 1st in the lineup in this game.

Home field advantage generally bolsters batter stats in all categories, and Andrew McCutchen will hold that advantage today.

Home field advantage generally improves hitter metrics in all categories, and Nick Gonzales will hold that advantage today.

When it comes to his home runs, Nick Gonzales has had bad variance on his side this year. His 16.5 HR per 600 plate appearances mark has been significantly deflated relative to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected HR/600 at 23.3.

Nick Gonzales’s 10.6% Barrel% (an advanced stat to measure power) grades out in the 77th percentile this year.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Francisco Alvarez in the 90th percentile when it comes to his home run ability.

Jeff McNeil has been hot in recent games, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 86.9-mph to 91.9-mph in the past week’s worth of games.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Rowdy Tellez in the 89th percentile as it relates to his home run skill.

Oneil Cruz’s BABIP talent is projected in the 92nd percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Francisco Alvarez has made significant strides with his Barrel% lately, improving his 8.5% seasonal rate to 21.7% in the last two weeks.

When assessing his home run ability, Mark Vientos ranks in the 90th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Mark Vientos has made sizeable gains with his Barrel% lately, bettering his 15.7% seasonal rate to 26.1% in the past 14 days.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Ke’Bryan Hayes’s true offensive talent to be a .303, suggesting that he has had bad variance on his side this year given the .035 difference between that figure and his actual .268 wOBA.

Nick Gonzales’s BABIP ability is projected in the 97th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

The New York Mets projected lineup profiles as the 4th-strongest on the slate in terms of overall offensive ability.

New York Mets bats as a unit grade out 3rd- in the majors for power this year when assessing with their 9.7% Barrel%.

Mark Vientos has seen a sizeable gain in his exit velocity on flyballs recently; just compare his 99.8-mph average over the last 14 days to his seasonal mark of 93.7-mph.

The Pittsburgh Pirates have been the 3rd-unluckiest offense in the majors this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to hit better the rest of the season, Playing on the road generally lowers pitcher metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Luis Severino in today’s matchup.

Jeff McNeil’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved from last season to this one, going from 12.7% to 16.3%.

Mark Vientos has made big gains with his Barrel%, bettering his 10.7% rate last year to 15.7% this year.

Pete Alonso projects as the 19th-best hitter in the game, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Friday player match stat slumps with Mets vs Pirates Matchup

Ke’Bryan Hayes is projected to hit 7th in the batting order in this game, which would be a downgrade from his 83% rate of hitting in the top-half of the batting order this season.

Luis Severino will have the handedness advantage over Ke’Bryan Hayes today.

Ke’Bryan Hayes’s exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off this season; his 92.6-mph figure last year has decreased to 88.5-mph.

Ke’Bryan Hayes’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has decreased from last year to this one, falling from 15.6% to 5.7%.

Ke’Bryan Hayes’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has decreased in recent games, falling from 5.7% on the season to 0% in the last 7 days.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Joey Bart in the 23rd percentile when assessing his batting average ability.

Joey Bart is projected to bat 9th in the lineup in this game.

Batting from the same side that Luis Severino throws from, Joey Bart will have a tough matchup in today’s game.

Joey Bart pulls a lot of his flyballs (34.8% — 86th percentile) and will have to hit them out towards MLB’s 9th-deepest LF fences in today’s game.

In terms of his wOBA and overall offense, Joey Bart has been lucky since the start of last season. His .290 rate has been considerably higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .267.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Rowdy Tellez in the 4th percentile when estimating his BABIP ability.

This year, Rowdy Tellez has been replaced by a pinch-hitter in 24% of his appearances when starting against righty hurler.

Rowdy Tellez’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has fallen off from last season to this one, going from 16.1% to 12.7%.

Based on Statcast data, Rowdy Tellez is in the 15th percentile for offensive skills via the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) this year at .277.

Sporting a .274 wOBA (a leading indicator of offensive ability) this year, Rowdy Tellez finds himself in the 17th percentile.

Tyrone Taylor is projected to hit 8th in the batting order in this matchup.

Batting from the same side that Paul Skenes throws from, Tyrone Taylor will have a tough matchup in today’s game.

Tyrone Taylor pulls many of his flyballs (34.4% — 83rd percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards the game’s 9th-deepest LF fences in today’s game.

Playing on the road typically weakens hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Tyrone Taylor in today’s game.

By putting up a 4.41 K/BB rate this year, Tyrone Taylor has shown weak plate discipline, grading out in the 11th percentile.

The switch-hitting Francisco Lindor will bat from his worse side (0) today against Paul Skenes, Francisco Lindor will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today’s matchup.

Hitting from the same side that Paul Skenes throws from, Francisco Alvarez will not have the upper hand in today’s matchup.

Playing on the road typically weakens hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Francisco Alvarez today.

Francisco Alvarez has been very fortunate when it comes to with his wOBA this year; his .374 figure is a fair amount higher than his .304 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

By putting up a .268 BABIP since the start of last season, Francisco Alvarez has performed in the 16th percentile.

Joey Bart is in the 19th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between 23° and 34°, the launch angle range that tends to optimize home runs (12.3% rate since the start of last season).

In the past week, Bryan Reynolds’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 10.2% down to 0%.

Hitting from the same side that Paul Skenes throws from, Pete Alonso will be at a disadvantage today.

Pete Alonso pulls a lot of his flyballs (33.7% — 78th percentile) and will have to hit them out towards baseball’s 9th-deepest LF fences today.

Playing on the road generally diminishes batter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Pete Alonso today.

Pete Alonso’s exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off this year; his 94.9-mph figure last season has dropped to 91.1-mph.

Last season, Pete Alonso had a launch angle of 16.3° on his highest exit velocity balls, but this year he experienced a significant decline to just 13.2°.

Brandon Nimmo has a 94th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (38.2%) but may find it hard to clear the game’s 9th-deepest LF fences in today’s matchup.

Brandon Nimmo will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today’s matchup.

In terms of plate discipline, Oneil Cruz’s skill is quite poor, posting a 4.23 K/BB rate this year while ranking in in the 14th percentile.

Jeff McNeil is projected to hit 9th on the lineup card in today’s game.

Jeff McNeil will be at a disadvantage playing on the road today.

Jeff McNeil’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has decreased of late, decreasing from 16.3% on the season to 0% over the last week.

Utilizing Statcast data, Jeff McNeil grades out in the 12th percentile for offensive ability via the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) this year at .271.

Checking in at the 11th percentile, Jeff McNeil has put up a .260 wOBA (widely regarded as the top indicator of overall offense) this year.

Luis Severino will have the handedness advantage over Andrew McCutchen in today’s game.

In today’s matchup, Andrew McCutchen is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 9th-deepest LF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the pull field at a 34.2% rate (81st percentile).

Over the past week, Andrew McCutchen’s 20% rate of hitting balls at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 45.4%.

Compared to his seasonal angle of 11.6°, Andrew McCutchen has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (4°) over the last 14 days.

Nick Gonzales is projected to bat 6th in the batting order today.

Batting from the same side that Luis Severino throws from, Nick Gonzales will not have the upper hand in today’s matchup.

Nick Gonzales has been cold of late, with his seasonal exit velocity of 88.8-mph dropping to 83.5-mph in the last two weeks’ worth of games.

Nick Gonzales’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has decreased in recent games, decreasing from 16.1% on the season to 0% in the past week.

As it relates to plate discipline, Nick Gonzales’s talent is quite bad, posting a 5.13 K/BB rate this year while ranking in in the 6th percentile.

As it relates to his home run ability, Jeff McNeil ranks in the 6th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Ranking in the 19th percentile, Rowdy Tellez has notched a .167 Isolated Power rate (ISO) this year.

Mark Vientos is projected to hit 6th in the lineup in this game.

Paul Skenes will have the handedness advantage against Mark Vientos in today’s matchup.

Mark Vientos will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today’s game.

Mark Vientos has had some very good luck with his batting average this year; his .305 BA is a fair amount higher than his .255 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Paul Skenes as the 3rd-best starting pitcher in Major League Baseball currently.

It may be sensible to expect worse results for the New York Mets offense going forward, considering that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) sees them as the 6th-luckiest offense in baseball this year.

Paul Skenes will possess the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which figures to boost all of his metrics in all categories.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT), Francisco Alvarez (the Mets’s expected catcher in today’s game) grades out as a good pitch framer.

Placing 3rd-least steep in the league this year, Pittsburgh Pirates bats jointly have compiled a 11.1° launch angle (an advanced standard to assess the ability to lift the ball for power).

Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected HR per 600 plate appearances (19.9) implies that Brandon Nimmo has been lucky this year with his 22.5 actual HR/600.

Mark Vientos has been lucky this year, posting a .394 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .313 — a .081 disparity.