Mets vs Padres match player stats | 2025 Series Game 2 Tuesday, July 29th

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Mets vs Padres match player stats | 2025 Series Game 2 Tuesday, July 29th

NYM @ SD

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Series Game 2 Matchup Details

New York Mets at San Diego Padres
Series Game 2
Todays Game is on Tuesday, July 29th
29/07/25 21:40:00 PM EST First Pitch

Positive Match Player Stats for Mets vs Padres Series Game 2 Matchup Today

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jackson Merrill in the 96th percentile as it relates to his batting average talent.

Jackson Merrill is projected to hit 4th in the lineup today.

Petco Park grades out as the #6 ballpark in baseball for lefty home runs, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Among all major league stadiums, Petco Park has the 4th-lowest average fence height.

Jackson Merrill hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.9% — 97th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting towards MLB’s 2nd-shallowest CF fences today.

Petco Park profiles as the #6 park in the game for RHB home runs, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Jose Iglesias will hold the platoon advantage over Sean Manaea in today’s game.

Jose Iglesias will benefit from the home field advantage in today’s game, which ought to boost all of his stats.

Jose Iglesias has been unlucky this year, putting up a .257 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .279 — a .022 gap.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Xander Bogaerts in the 95th percentile as it relates to his batting average ability.

Xander Bogaerts is projected to hit 5th in the lineup in this game.

Batting from the opposite that Sean Manaea throws from, Xander Bogaerts will have an edge in today’s matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Francisco Lindor in the 93rd percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent.

Francisco Lindor is penciled in 2nd in the batting order today.

Francisco Lindor’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better in recent games, increasing from 15% on the season to 35.3% over the past week.

Juan Soto projects as the 3rd-best batter in MLB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Juan Soto is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in this matchup.

The shallowest centerfield fences among all stadiums are found in Petco Park.

As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Brandon Nimmo ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Brandon Nimmo is projected to hit 1st in the lineup today.

Pete Alonso projects as the 13th-best home run batter in Major League Baseball, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Pete Alonso is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in this game.

Jeff McNeil is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in today’s game.

Hitting from the opposite that Yu Darvish throws from, Jeff McNeil will have the upper hand in today’s matchup.

Over the last two weeks, Jeff McNeil’s 33.3% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 19%.

The San Diego Padres have been the 9th-unluckiest offense in baseball this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to perform better in the future,The San Diego Padres have 6 hitters in the projected offense that will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Sean Manaea in this game.

Sean Manaea will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today’s game.

Sean Manaea has been granted more leash than the average pitcher since the start of last season, recording 3.0 more adjusted pitches-per-start than the average hurler.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Manny Machado in the 96th percentile when assessing his batting average ability.

Manny Machado is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in today’s game.

Hitting from the opposite that Sean Manaea throws from, Manny Machado will have an edge in today’s matchup.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Fernando Tatis Jr. ranks as the 9th-best batter in the league.

Fernando Tatis Jr. is penciled in 1st on the lineup card in today’s game.

Hitting from the opposite that Sean Manaea throws from, Fernando Tatis Jr. will have an edge in today’s matchup.

Luis Arraez is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in this matchup.

Home field advantage typically boosts hitter metrics across the board, and Luis Arraez will hold that advantage today.

As it relates to his home run skill, Mark Vientos ranks in the 81st percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Mark Vientos hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (40.2% — 98th percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting out towards MLB’s 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today’s game.

Mark Vientos has seen a big improvement in his exit velocity of late; just compare his 97.5-mph average over the last 7 days to his seasonal 91.2-mph EV.

As a switch-hitter who bats better from the 0 side of the plate, Ronny Mauricio will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his strong side against Yu Darvish today.

Batting from the opposite that Yu Darvish throws from, Brett Baty will have an edge in today’s matchup.

Brett Baty has seen a sizeable increase in his exit velocity on flyballs recently; just compare his 102-mph average in the last two weeks’ worth of games to his seasonal figure of 96.3-mph.

Negative Match Player Stats with Mets vs Padres Series Game 2

Petco Park’s altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest in MLB, which generally leads to less offense.

According to the weather forecast, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 2nd-best for pitching of all games on the slate.

Batting from the same side that Sean Manaea throws from, Jackson Merrill encounters a tough challenge today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jose Iglesias in the 1st percentile as it relates to his home run skill.

Jose Iglesias is projected to bat 7th in the lineup in this matchup.

Jose Iglesias has an 81st percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.4%) and will be challenged by the game’s 6th-deepest RF fences today.

Xander Bogaerts has averaged 9.4 home runs per 600 plate appearances this year, placing in the 18th percentile for power.

As a switch-hitter who performs worse from the 0 side of the plate, Francisco Lindor will bat from his worse side against Yu Darvish in this game.

Francisco Lindor pulls a lot of his flyballs (36.1% — 93rd percentile) and will be challenged by the game’s 6th-deepest RF fences in today’s game.

Among all the teams today, the 4th-strongest infield defense is that of the the San Diego Padres.

Playing on the road generally lowers hitter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Juan Soto in today’s matchup.

Juan Soto’s average exit velocity has fallen off in recent games; his 93.6-mph seasonal average has dropped off to 87-mph in the past week.

In the past 14 days, Juan Soto’s 19% rate of hitting balls at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 43.2%.

Brandon Nimmo will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today’s matchup.

As it relates to his home runs, Brandon Nimmo has had positive variance on his side this year. His 26.9 HR per 600 plate appearances figure has been a fair amount higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected HR/600 at 22.2.

Batting from the same side that Yu Darvish throws from, Pete Alonso meets a tough challenge in today’s matchup.

Pete Alonso will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today’s game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jeff McNeil in the 15th percentile when estimating his home run talent.

Jeff McNeil has been pinch hit for 11% of the time when starting against a righty hurler this year.

In today’s game, Jeff McNeil is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 6th-deepest RF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the pull field at a 34% rate (82nd percentile).

Petco Park grades out as the #26 park in the game for BABIP, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).

In his last GS, Sean Manaea turned in a great performance and gave up 1 ER.

Ranking in the 79th percentile, Sean Manaea has put up a 3.6 K/BB rate since the start of last season.

San Diego Padres hitters as a group rank 28th- in the majors for power this year when judging by their 7.2% Barrel%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Manny Machado’s true offensive skill to be a .351, indicating that he has had some very good luck this year given the .019 deviation between that figure and his actual .370 wOBA.

Fernando Tatis Jr.’s ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has decreased from last season to this one, decreasing from 48.8% to 41.1%.

As it relates to his home run ability, Luis Arraez ranks in the 0th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Hitting from the same side that Sean Manaea throws from, Luis Arraez will be at a disadvantage in today’s game.

Luis Arraez’s exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off this season; his 87.9-mph mark last season has dropped to 85.6-mph.

Luis Arraez’s exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off lately; his 85.6-mph seasonal EV has dropped to 82.3-mph in the past two weeks.

Mark Vientos is projected to hit 6th on the lineup card in this matchup.

Yu Darvish will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Mark Vientos in today’s matchup.

Ronny Mauricio is penciled in 9th in the batting order today.

Ronny Mauricio pulls many of his flyballs (35% — 89th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of the league’s 6th-deepest RF fences today.

Brett Baty is projected to hit 7th on the lineup card in this matchup.

10% of the time that Brett Baty has started against a right-handed starter this year, he has been lifted for a pinch-hitter.

Playing on the road generally diminishes batter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Brett Baty in today’s game.

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