Mets vs Padres match player stats | 2025 Monday, July 28th

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Mets vs Padres match player stats | 2025 Monday, July 28th

NYM @ SD

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Matchup Details

New York Mets at San Diego Padres

Todays Game is on Monday, July 28th
28/07/25 21:40:00 PM EST First Pitch

Positive Match Player Stats for Mets vs Padres Matchup Today

The #5 field in the game for suppressing base hits, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Petco Park.

This contest is projected to have the 3rd-most suitable conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today.

Frankie Montas was firing on all cylinders in his previous game started and gave up 0 ER.

Frankie Montas has relied on his four-seam fastball 7.5% less often this season (25.7%) than he did last year (33.2%).

Out of all starters, Frankie Montas’s fastball velocity of 95.1 mph ranks in the 83rd percentile this year.

The #7 venue in Major League Baseball for boosting strikeouts, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Petco Park.

Petco Park’s altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest in Major League Baseball, which tends to lead to lower offensive output.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT)’s estimation, Dylan Cease’s overall pitching ability grades out in the 94th percentile among all SPs in baseball right now.

Recording 94.4 adjusted pitches per game per started this year on average, Dylan Cease falls in the 90th percentile.

Among all starters, Dylan Cease’s fastball velocity of 96.4 mph grades out in the 92nd percentile this year.

Dylan Cease projects as the 10th-best pitcher in baseball right now when assessing his strikeout talent, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Negative Match Player Stats with Mets vs Padres

Frankie Montas has averaged 78.5 adjusted pitches per GS this year, checking in at the 15th percentile.

The shallowest centerfield dimensions in the majors are found in Petco Park.

On average, the fence height at Petco Park is the 4th-shortest among all major league baseball stadiums.

Frankie Montas has posted a 4.73 FIP (Fielding Independent Pitching, an estimator of ERA that concentrates on the things a pitcher has the most control over) since the start of last season, ranking in the 23rd percentile.

Frankie Montas has displayed poor control since the start of last season, notching a 17th percentile walk rate of 9.4%.

Considering the 0.52 deviation between Frankie Montas’s 8.74 K/9 and his 8.22 estimated true talent K/9 (via the leading projection system, THE BAT), it’s safe to say he’s been one of the luckiest pitchers in Major League Baseball since the start of last season as it relates to strikeouts and figures to perform worse going forward.

Dylan Cease has experienced some positive variance in regards to his strikeouts this year, compiling an 11.40 K/9 despite the leading projection system (THE BAT) estimating his true talent level to be 11.18 — a 0.22 K/9 gap.

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