
NYM @ WSH



Series Game 3 Matchup Details
Series Game 3
Todays Game is on Sunday, April 27th
27/04/25 13:35:00 PM EST First Pitch
Positive Match Player Stats for Mets vs Nationals Series Game 3 Matchup Today
Mitchell Parker has averaged 94.7 adjusted pitches per GS this year, placing in the 79th percentile.
Nationals Park grades out as the #25 venue in the league for batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).
Built just 23 feet above sea level, Nationals Park has one of the lowest altitudes among all major league parks, which tends to lead to worse offense.
Mitchell Parker was on point in his previous start and gave up 0 ER.
When assessing his strikeout skill, the leading projection system (THE BAT) places Tylor Megill in the 87th percentile among all starting pitchers in MLB.
Checking in at the 91st percentile, Tylor Megill has recorded a 28.2% K% since the start of last season.
With a 0.83 disparity between Tylor Megill’s 3.33 ERA and his 4.16 estimated true talent ERA (via the leading projection system, THE BAT), it’s safe to say he’s been one of the most fortunate pitchers in MLB since the start of last season and should see negative regression in the future.
Negative Match Player Stats with Mets vs Nationals Series Game 3
Nationals Park has the 8th-shallowest left field fences among all major league parks.
This matchup is predicted to have the 14th-most favorable conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today.
Mitchell Parker has gone to his curveball 5.4% less often this season (17.2%) than he did last year (22.6%).
Out of all SPs, Mitchell Parker’s fastball spin rate of 2167 rpm grades out in the 8th percentile this year.
Considering the 3.06 deviation between Mitchell Parker’s 1.39 ERA and his 4.45 estimated true talent ERA (according to the leading projection system, THE BAT), it’s safe to say he’s been one of the luckiest pitchers in the game this year and figures to see negative regression going forward.
Tylor Megill’s 94.6-mph velocity on his fastball this year is a sizeable 1.1-mph decline from last season’s 95.7-mph mark.
Despite conventional wisdom, fastballs are generally a pitcher’s least effective pitch. Tylor Megill has utilized his off-speed and breaking balls 10.9% less often this season (32.8%) than he did last season (43.7%).
Tylor Megill has been lucky in regards to his strikeouts since the start of last season, notching a 10.61 K/9 despite the leading projection system (THE BAT) estimating his true talent level to be 9.57 — a 1.04 K/9 deviation.
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT)’s judgement, Tylor Megill’s overall pitching ability grades out in the 78th percentile out of all starters in the majors currently.
Among every team playing today, the 5th-strongest infield defense belongs to the New York Mets.
Tylor Megill was firing on all cylinders in his last outing and gave up 1 ER.
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