Mets vs Cardinals match player stats | 2025 Series Game 3 Sunday, May 4th

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Mets vs Cardinals match player stats | 2025 Series Game 3 Sunday, May 4th

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Series Game 3 Matchup Details

New York Mets at St. Louis Cardinals
Series Game 3
Todays Game is on Sunday, May 4th
04/05/25 18:15:00 PM EST First Pitch

Positive Match Player Stats for Mets vs Cardinals Series Game 3 Matchup Today

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brendan Donovan in the 97th percentile when estimating his batting average ability.

Brendan Donovan is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup today.

Busch Stadium has the 8th-lowest fences in MLB.

Batting from the opposite that Tylor Megill throws from, Brendan Donovan will have an advantage in today’s game.

The New York Mets have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Brendan Donovan has a strong chance of holding the platoon advantage against every reliever all game.

Among every team playing today, the 4th-weakest infield defense is that of the New York Mets.

When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Brendan Donovan ranks in the 91st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Masyn Winn has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this year (83% of the time), but he is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup today.

Masyn Winn will hold the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which ought to bolster all of his stats.

In the last 7 days, Masyn Winn’s Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 10.9% up to 17.6%.

Masyn Winn’s launch angle this year (18°) is considerably better than his 13° figure last season.

Luisangel Acuna hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.7% — 95th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the game’s 7th-shallowest CF fences today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Luisangel Acuna in the 86th percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent.

Victor Scott II will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Tylor Megill in today’s game.

The New York Mets have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Victor Scott II can likely count on never losing the platoon advantage against the ‘pen all game.

Victor Scott II will benefit from the home field advantage in today’s game, which ought to bolster all of his stats.

In the last week, Victor Scott II’s Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 5.9% up to 14.3%.

As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Willson Contreras ranks in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Willson Contreras is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in this matchup.

Willson Contreras hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.8% — 85th percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting out towards the game’s 7th-shallowest CF fences in today’s matchup.

Extreme groundball hitters like Willson Contreras usually hit better against extreme flyball pitchers like Tylor Megill.

When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Francisco Lindor ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Francisco Lindor is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card in this game.

Francisco Lindor has recorded a .367 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) since the start of last season, ranking in the 94th percentile.

Francisco Lindor has notched a .303 batting average this year, ranking in the 89th percentile.

Ranking in the 90th percentile for power, Francisco Lindor has paced 28.1 home runs per 600 plate appearances since the start of last season.

Francisco Lindor’s launch angle of late (22.2° in the last week’s worth of games) is considerably higher than his 11.5° seasonal angle.

Nolan Arenado is penciled in 4th in the batting order in this matchup.

Home field advantage generally bolsters batter metrics across the board, and Nolan Arenado will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

Posting a 1.79 K/BB rate since the start of last season, Nolan Arenado has displayed strong plate discipline, ranking in the 85th percentile.

Nolan Arenado has put up a .266 batting average since the start of last season, checking in at the 79th percentile.

Juan Soto projects as the 4th-best batter in the majors, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Juan Soto is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in this matchup.

Batting from the opposite that Andre Pallante throws from, Juan Soto will have the upper hand in today’s game.

Juan Soto hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.4% — 76th percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting out towards baseball’s 7th-shallowest CF fences today.

In the past 7 days, Juan Soto’s Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 7.8% up to 21.4%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brandon Nimmo in the 92nd percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability.

Brandon Nimmo is projected to bat 4th in the lineup in this matchup.

Brandon Nimmo will hold the platoon advantage against Andre Pallante in today’s matchup.

Brandon Nimmo has been hot lately, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 92.9-mph to 95.9-mph over the past 14 days.

Brandon Nimmo has seen a sizeable improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs this season; just compare his 95.9-mph average to last year’s 93.1-mph mark.

Pete Alonso projects as the 13th-best batter in the majors, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Pete Alonso is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order in this matchup.

Pete Alonso has made sizeable gains with his Barrel%, upping his 13.2% rate last season to 19.2% this season.

Pete Alonso has seen a big improvement in his exit velocity this season; just compare his 94.3-mph average to last season’s 89.7-mph EV.

In the last week’s worth of games, Pete Alonso’s exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 96.2-mph over the course of the season to 105.8-mph in recent games.

Hitting from the opposite that Andre Pallante throws from, Jeff McNeil will have an advantage in today’s matchup.

In the past 14 days, Jeff McNeil’s swing has been well optimized for base hits, notching a 58.8% of balls hit with a launch angle in the optimal range of -4° to 26°.

Jeff McNeil has shown strong plate discipline since the start of last season, ranking in the 83rd percentile with a 1.86 K/BB rate.

Playing on the road typically reduces pitcher metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Tylor Megill in today’s matchup.

When assessing his home run skill, Mark Vientos ranks in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Mark Vientos has big-time HR ability (92nd percentile) if he makes contact, but that’s always far from assured (26.9% K%). Today, however, opposing pitcher Andre Pallante struggles to strike batters out (23rd percentile K%) — great news for Vientos.

Mark Vientos hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.4% — 93rd percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the league’s 7th-shallowest CF fences today.

Mark Vientos has made big gains with his Barrel% of late, bettering his 6.5% seasonal rate to 12.5% in the past week.

When assessing his overall offensive skill, Mark Vientos ranks in the 75th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Mark Vientos has notched a .340 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) since the start of last season, grading out in the 81st percentile.

In the last 14 days, Francisco Alvarez has posted a 24.9° launch angle, lifting the ball well and indicating strong home run potential.

When assessing his home run talent, Francisco Alvarez ranks in the 86th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Lars Nootbaar in the 95th percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent.

Lars Nootbaar is projected to bat 1st in the lineup in this matchup.

Lars Nootbaar will have the handedness advantage over Tylor Megill in today’s game.

Lars Nootbaar is likely to have an edge against every reliever for the duration of the game, since the bullpen of the New York Mets has just 1 same-handed RP.

Lars Nootbaar hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.2% — 91st percentile) and is fortunate to face MLB’s 7th-shallowest CF fences today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nolan Gorman in the 97th percentile when it comes to his home run ability.

Nolan Gorman will hold the platoon advantage against Tylor Megill today.

The New York Mets have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Nolan Gorman can likely count on holding the advantage against every reliever all game.

Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter metrics across the board, and Nolan Gorman will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

In the past week’s worth of games, Nolan Gorman’s 50% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 42.5%.

Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter stats across the board, and Yohel Pozo will hold that advantage in today’s game.

The 2nd-best projected lineup of all teams on the slate in terms of overall hitting skill belongs to the New York Mets.

New York Mets batters as a group have been one of the best in baseball this year (3rd-) as far as their 90.3-mph average exit velocity.

Alec Burleson’s batting average skill is projected to be in the 85th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Hitting from the opposite that Tylor Megill throws from, Alec Burleson will have the upper hand in today’s matchup.

The New York Mets have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Alec Burleson stands a good chance of never losing the platoon advantage against the ‘pen all game.

Alec Burleson will possess the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which figures to boost all of his stats.

Alec Burleson has seen a substantial increase in his exit velocity in recent games; just compare his 95.5-mph average in the last 7 days to his seasonal 90.4-mph EV.

Negative Match Player Stats with Mets vs Cardinals Series Game 3

Busch Stadium profiles as the #26 stadium in the game for run-scoring, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).

In today’s matchup, Brendan Donovan is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 8th-deepest LF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the opposite field at a 34.8% rate (85th percentile).

Busch Stadium grades out as the #26 park in Major League Baseball for left-handed home runs, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Brendan Donovan’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has fallen off from last year to this one, falling from 17% to 11.3%.

Despite posting a .377 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Brendan Donovan has had positive variance on his side given the .040 gap between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .337.

Dingers are generally less common at venues with deep fences, and Busch Stadium has the 5th-deepest among all major league stadiums.

Tylor Megill will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Masyn Winn in today’s matchup.

Masyn Winn’s average exit velocity has dropped off of late; his 89-mph seasonal average has decreased to 87-mph in the past 7 days.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Masyn Winn’s true offensive skill to be a .302, implying that he has been very fortunate this year given the .039 discrepancy between that mark and his actual .341 wOBA.

Busch Stadium projects as the #26 stadium in the league for RHB home runs, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).

When assessing his home run talent, Luisangel Acuna ranks in the 9th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Luisangel Acuna is penciled in 9th on the lineup card in this matchup.

Luisangel Acuna has been pulled from the game early 10% of the time when starting against a northpaw this year.

Andre Pallante will hold the platoon advantage over Luisangel Acuna today.

Typically, bats like Luisangel Acuna who hit a lot of groundballs are generally less successful when facing pitchers who also induce a lot of groundballs such as Andre Pallante.

Playing on the road generally reduces batter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Luisangel Acuna in today’s game.

When assessing his home run skill, Victor Scott II ranks in the 22nd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Victor Scott II is projected to bat 9th in the batting order in this game.

Victor Scott II has been pulled from the game early 10% of the time when starting against a northpaw this year.

Victor Scott II has an 81st percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.3%) and will have to hit them out towards MLB’s 8th-deepest LF fences today.

Victor Scott II’s exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off in recent games; his 90.5-mph seasonal EV has fallen to 87.4-mph over the last 7 days.

Victor Scott II has been lucky this year, notching a .324 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .288 — a .036 difference.

Tylor Megill will hold the platoon advantage against Willson Contreras in today’s game.

Compared to his seasonal figure of 5.2°, Willson Contreras has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (-2.9°) over the past 14 days.

As a switch-hitter who is weaker from the 0 side of the plate, Francisco Lindor will be less advantaged while batting from his bad side against Andre Pallante in this game.

Francisco Lindor pulls a lot of his flyballs (35.5% — 89th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of the league’s 2nd-deepest RF fences in today’s game.

Francisco Lindor will be at a disadvantage playing away from home today.

Francisco Lindor’s average exit velocity has dropped off of late; his 88.5-mph seasonal average has dropped to 81.4-mph in the last week’s worth of games.

Francisco Lindor’s ability to hit the ball at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has declined from last season to this one, falling from 44.4% to 33.9%.

Batting from the same side that Tylor Megill throws from, Nolan Arenado meets a tough challenge in today’s matchup.

Nolan Arenado pulls many of his flyballs (41.8% — 99th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards MLB’s 8th-deepest LF fences today.

Nolan Arenado’s exit velocity on flyballs has decreased in recent games; his 90.1-mph seasonal EV has fallen to 87.4-mph over the past week.

Nolan Arenado’s launch angle recently (0.8° in the last week) is considerably lower than his 16.9° seasonal figure.

Nolan Arenado’s BABIP skill is projected in the 7th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

From last year to this one, Nolan Arenado’s ability to hit the ball at a launch angle that optimizes BABIP (-4° to 26°) has decreased substantially, plummeting from 45% to 32.7%.

Juan Soto will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today’s game.

Juan Soto’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has decreased from last year to this one, falling from 14.7% to 6.9%.

Brandon Nimmo has a 91st percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.4%) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of MLB’s 8th-deepest LF fences in today’s matchup.

Brandon Nimmo will be at a disadvantage playing away from home today.

With a .266 BABIP since the start of last season, Brandon Nimmo has performed in the 19th percentile.

Brandon Nimmo has been very fortunate when it comes to his home runs since the start of last season; his 22.7 HR per 600 plate appearances mark is quite a bit higher than his 19.3 Expected HR/600, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

Batting from the same side that Andre Pallante throws from, Pete Alonso faces a tough challenge today.

Pete Alonso will be at a disadvantage playing on the road today.

Pete Alonso has been lucky this year, posting a .475 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .369 — a .106 difference.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jeff McNeil in the 14th percentile as it relates to his home run talent.

Jeff McNeil is projected to bat 7th in the batting order in this matchup.

This year, Jeff McNeil has been pulled from the game early in 17% of his appearances when starting against righty hurler.

Busch Stadium has the 2nd-deepest RF dimensions among all stadiums.

Jeff McNeil’s BABIP skill is projected in the 16th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Jeff McNeil will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) forecasts Tylor Megill in the 82nd percentile when it comes to his overall pitching talent.

It may be wise to expect worse numbers for the St. Louis Cardinals offense in future games, considering that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes they are the 6th-luckiest offense in the game this year.

Francisco Alvarez, the Mets’s expected catcher in today’s matchup, profiles as a good pitch framer according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

The #4 field in the league for suppressing home runs, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Busch Stadium.

Mark Vientos is penciled in 6th in the lineup today, which would be a downgrade from his 70% rate of hitting in the top-half of the lineup this year.

Batting from the same side that Andre Pallante throws from, Mark Vientos will not have the upper hand today.

Playing on the road typically lessens hitter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Mark Vientos in today’s matchup.

Mark Vientos’s ability to hit the ball at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has dropped off from last year to this one, falling from 43.5% to 34.8%.

Mark Vientos’s average exit velocity has fallen off recently; his 90.3-mph seasonal average has fallen off to 87.8-mph in the last week’s worth of games.

In the past week, Mark Vientos’s 18.8% rate of hitting balls at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 34.8%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Francisco Alvarez in the 24th percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability.

Francisco Alvarez is penciled in 8th on the lineup card in this game.

Andre Pallante will have the handedness advantage against Francisco Alvarez in today’s matchup.

Playing on the road generally lowers batter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Francisco Alvarez in today’s game.

From last season to this one, Lars Nootbaar’s flyball exit velocity has decreased from an average of 94.4 mph to 90.2 mph.

Nolan Gorman is projected to bat 7th in the lineup today.

Nolan Gorman pulls a lot of his flyballs (36% — 91st percentile) but may find it hard to clear the game’s 2nd-deepest RF fences in today’s matchup.

Typically, batters like Nolan Gorman who hit a lot of flyballs tend to perform worse when facing pitchers who also induce a lot of flyballs such as Tylor Megill.

Nolan Gorman has negatively regressed with his Barrel% lately; his 12.5% seasonal rate has decreased to 0% in the past week’s worth of games.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nolan Gorman in the 14th percentile when assessing his batting average talent.

Yohel Pozo’s BABIP ability is projected in the 8th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Yohel Pozo is projected to hit 8th in the lineup in this matchup.

Tylor Megill will hold the platoon advantage over Yohel Pozo today.

Yohel Pozo is not very toolsy, ranking in the 3rd percentile in Sprint Speed at 24.1 ft/sec this year.

When assessing his overall offensive talent, Yohel Pozo ranks in the 17th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Andre Pallante will benefit from the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which figures to boost all of his stats across the board.

New York ranks as the #27 group of hitters in the league when it comes to hitting balls between 23° and 34°, the launch angle range that tends to best-produce home runs (13.7% rate this year).

Alec Burleson has primarily hit in the top-half of the batting order this season (91% of the time), but he is projected to bat 6th in the lineup in this matchup.

When starting against a righty on the mound this year, Alec Burleson has been lifted for a pinch-hitter 15% of the time.

Alec Burleson has an 82nd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.5%) and will have to hit them out towards baseball’s 8th-deepest LF fences today.

Alec Burleson has negatively regressed with his Barrel%; his 6.6% rate last season has fallen off to 1.4% this season.

Alec Burleson’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has fallen off from last season to this one, falling from 14.1% to 5.4%.

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