Marlins vs Rockies match player stats | 2026 Series Game 3 Wednesday, July 1st

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MIA @ COL

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Marlins @ Rockies Series Game 3 Matchup Details

Teams : Miami Marlins at Colorado Rockies
Series Game 3
Date : Todays Game is on Wednesday, July 1st
Time : 01/07/26 20:40:00 PM EST First Pitch

Positives for the Miami Marlins Series Game 3 Game Today

Built 5197 feet above sea level, Coors Field has the highest altitude among all major league parks, which generally leads to more offense.

,Home field advantage generally bolsters batter stats in all categories, and Kyle Karros will hold that advantage in today’s game.

,Kyle Karros has made substantial strides with his Barrel% lately, bettering his 7.6% seasonal rate to 13.3% in the past two weeks.

,Over the past 14 days, Kyle Karros’s exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 91-mph over the course of the season to 100.1-mph in recent games.

,Kyle Karros’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better of late, increasing from 15.1% on the season to 33.3% in the past week.

,The Miami Marlins have been the 7th-luckiest offense in the game this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to negatively regress in the future,Home field advantage generally boosts pitcher stats across the board, and Kyle Freeland will hold that advantage today.

,Kyle Freeland was on point in his last GS and conceded 2 ER.

,When assessing his batting average talent, Otto Lopez is projected as the 9th-best batter in Major League Baseball by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Otto Lopez is projected to hit 1st in the batting order in this game.

,Coors Field ranks as the #1 park in baseball for run-scoring, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).

,Batting from the opposite that Kyle Freeland throws from, Otto Lopez will have the upper hand in today’s game.

,Cole Carrigg is projected to hit 5th in the lineup today.

,Home field advantage generally improves hitter metrics in all categories, and Cole Carrigg will hold that advantage in today’s game.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Heriberto Hernandez in the 84th percentile as it relates to his home run talent.

,Heriberto Hernandez is projected to hit 4th in the lineup today.

,Heriberto Hernandez will have the handedness advantage against Kyle Freeland in today’s game.

,Home field advantage typically boosts hitter stats in all categories, and Ezequiel Tovar will hold that advantage in today’s game.

,Compared to his seasonal average of 16.9°, Ezequiel Tovar has significantly improved his launch angle lately, posting a 27.5° angle over the last week.

,Ezequiel Tovar has been unlucky this year, notching a .256 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .294 — a .038 discrepancy.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kyle Stowers in the 93rd percentile when it comes to his home run ability.

,Kyle Stowers is projected to bat 5th in the batting order today.

,Kyle Stowers will probably have an edge against every reliever from start to finish, since the bullpen of the Colorado Rockies only has 1 same-handed RP.

,Jake McCarthy’s batting average ability is projected to be in the 79th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Jake McCarthy has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this year (56% of the time), but he is penciled in 1st in the lineup in this matchup.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Coors Field as the best field in baseball for LHB batting average.

,Hitting from the opposite that Max Meyer throws from, Jake McCarthy will have an edge in today’s matchup.

,Using Statcast metrics, Ezequiel Tovar ranks in the 77th percentile per the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Batting Average since the start of last season at .271.

,Hunter Goodman projects as the 14th-best home run hitter in MLB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Hunter Goodman is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card today.

,Hunter Goodman will benefit from the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which figures to improve all of his stats.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kyle Karros in the 89th percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill.

,Javier Sanoja’s batting average skill is projected to be in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Coors Field as the best stadium in the game for RHB batting average.

,Batting from the opposite that Kyle Freeland throws from, Javier Sanoja will have an edge today.

,In the past two weeks’ worth of games, Javier Sanoja’s 47.6% rate of hitting balls at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 40.8%.

,Esteury Ruiz is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in today’s game, which would be an upgrade from his 91% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this season.

,Hitting from the opposite that Kyle Freeland throws from, Esteury Ruiz will have an advantage today.

,Esteury Ruiz’s launch angle lately (29.5° in the last two weeks) is considerably higher than his 26.3° seasonal angle.

,Esteury Ruiz has been hot recently, tallying a .382 wOBA in the past two weeks.

,Jake McCarthy will possess the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which ought to improve all of his stats.

,Jake McCarthy has made substantial strides with his Barrel% in recent games, upping his 5.8% seasonal rate to 12.5% in the last week.

,The Colorado Rockies have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Jakob Marsee stands a good chance of never losing the platoon advantage against the ‘pen all game.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Jakob Marsee’s true offensive skill to be a .307, indicating that he has experienced some negative variance this year given the .023 difference between that figure and his actual .284 wOBA.

,Based on Statcast data, Jakob Marsee is in the 92nd percentile for offensive skills according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season at .354.

,When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Kyle Stowers ranks in the 82nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

,Javier Sanoja’s launch angle recently (15.2° in the past two weeks) is considerably higher than his 11.3° seasonal mark.

,As it relates to his home run talent, Mickey Moniak ranks in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Mickey Moniak is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in this matchup.

,Mickey Moniak will have the handedness advantage against Max Meyer in today’s matchup.

,Home field advantage generally bolsters batter metrics in all categories, and Mickey Moniak will hold that advantage in today’s game.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Edouard Julien as the 19th-best batter in the game when estimating his BABIP skill.

,Edouard Julien will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Max Meyer today.

,Edouard Julien will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today’s game, which figures to bolster all of his stats.

,The Miami Marlins have 3 hitters in their projected batting order today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (via the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Joe Mack, Kyle Stowers, Heriberto Hernandez).

,Kyle Freeland’s higher utilization rate of his secondary pitches this year (69.5% vs. 60.3% last year) ought to work in his favor since they are typically much more effective than fastballs.

,When assessing his overall offensive ability, Hunter Goodman ranks in the 81st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

,Hunter Goodman has made sizeable strides with his Barrel% of late, improving his 17.6% seasonal rate to 25% in the past two weeks.

,The Colorado Rockies have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Joe Mack has a strong chance of never facing a bullpen mismatch all game.

,Over the past 14 days, Joe Mack’s Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 9% up to 13.6%.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Xavier Edwards as the 15th-best hitter in MLB when it comes to his batting average skill.

,Xavier Edwards is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in this game.

,Xavier Edwards has seen a significant increase in his exit velocity on flyballs this year; just compare his 90.7-mph average to last season’s 85.6-mph mark.

,T.J. Rumfield is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in this game.

,T.J. Rumfield will have the handedness advantage against Max Meyer today.

,Home field advantage typically boosts batter metrics across the board, and T.J. Rumfield will hold that advantage in today’s game.

,By putting up a .353 wOBA (a leading indicator of offensive ability) this year, Xavier Edwards has performed in the 81st percentile.

,By putting up a 1.06 K/BB rate this year, Xavier Edwards has shown favorable plate discipline, placing in the 96th percentile.

,Using Statcast metrics, Jakob Marsee ranks in the 95th percentile via the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Batting Average since the start of last season at .289.

,As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Heriberto Hernandez ranks in the 76th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

,Edouard Julien has seen a big improvement in his exit velocity this year; just compare his 91.5-mph average to last year’s 89.3-mph figure.

,Edouard Julien’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased from last season to this one, rising from 14.6% to 17.7%.

,Max Meyer will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today’s game.

,With a 1.27 discrepancy between Max Meyer’s 2.60 ERA and his 3.87 estimated true talent ERA (according to the leading projection system, THE BAT), it’s safe to say he’s been one of the luckiest pitchers in the game this year and ought to negatively regress going forward.

,As a team, Colorado Rockies hitters have shined when it comes to hitting balls in the launch angle span that tends to best-produce base hits (between -4° and 26°), rating best in Major League Baseball.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Otto Lopez in the 84th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent.

,In the past 7 days, Otto Lopez’s exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 91.9-mph over the course of the season to 98.2-mph in recent games.

,Over the last 14 days, T.J. Rumfield’s 25% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 17.5%.

,This season, Heriberto Hernandez has experienced a significant improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs, now sitting at an average of 95.8 mph compared to last year’s 93.6 mph mark.

,Max Meyer has tallied 17.1 outs per outing this year, checking in at the 75th percentile.

,Kyle Stowers has made substantial strides with his Barrel% of late, upping his 10.6% seasonal rate to 26.3% in the past two weeks.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Max Meyer in the 90th percentile when estimating his strikeout ability.

,Max Meyer has relied on his slider 8.1% more often this season (54.9%) than he did last year (46.8%).

,Among all starting pitchers, Max Meyer’s fastball spin rate of 2609 rpm is in the 98th percentile this year.

Negatives with the Colorado Rockies Series Game 3 Game Today

Kyle Karros is projected to bat 8th on the lineup card in this matchup.

,Cold weather is strongly correlated with less offense (and more Ks), and the weather report forecasts the 3rd-coldest temperature of all games today at 85°.

,The wind projects to be blowing in from RF at 12.4-mph in this contest, the strongest of the day for mound aces.

,Hitting from the same side that Max Meyer throws from, Kyle Karros meets a tough challenge in today’s game.

,In notching a .247 Expected wOBA (or xwOBA, an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) using Statcast data) since the start of last season, Kyle Karros is ranked in the 17th percentile for offensive ability.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Coors Field as the best venue in the league for batting average.

,With 6 batters of opposing handedness in the opposing team’s projected lineup, Kyle Freeland encounters a tough challenge while lacking the platoon advantage in most plate appearances today.

,Kyle Freeland has recorded a 5.31 FIP (Fielding Independent Pitching, an estimator of ERA that is concerned with the aspects of pitching most within the pitcher’s control) this year, ranking in the 13th percentile.

,Playing on the road typically weakens batter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Otto Lopez in today’s matchup.

,In the last week, Otto Lopez’s 5.9% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 12.9%.

,Otto Lopez has been lucky this year, compiling a .361 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .326 — a .035 gap.

,Over the past 14 days, Cole Carrigg’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 7.7% down to 0%.

,Cole Carrigg has been cold lately, with his seasonal exit velocity of 83.9-mph dropping to 81.4-mph in the last 14 days.

,Cole Carrigg’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has decreased lately, falling from 12.8% on the season to 0% in the last 7 days.

,Playing on the road typically reduces batter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Heriberto Hernandez in today’s game.

,Heriberto Hernandez’s average exit velocity has declined in recent games; his 91.7-mph seasonal EV has dropped off to 87.9-mph in the last week.

,In the past two weeks, Heriberto Hernandez’s 23.8% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 40.8%.

,Ezequiel Tovar is penciled in 9th in the batting order today.

,Max Meyer will have the handedness advantage against Ezequiel Tovar today.

,In the last two weeks’ worth of games, Ezequiel Tovar’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 7.4% down to 0%.

,Kyle Freeland will hold the platoon advantage over Kyle Stowers today.

,Playing on the road generally lowers hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Kyle Stowers today.

,Kyle Stowers’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has fallen off recently, falling from 16.3% on the season to 0% over the past 7 days.

,21% of the time that Jake McCarthy has started against a right-handed pitcher this year, he has been pulled from the game early.

,The Miami Marlins outfield defense grades out as the 5th-best among every team playing today.

,Jake McCarthy’s exit velocity on flyballs has decreased this season; his 90.9-mph average last year has lowered to 88.5-mph.

,Batting from the same side that Max Meyer throws from, Hunter Goodman meets a tough challenge in today’s matchup.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Hunter Goodman’s true offensive ability to be a .322, indicating that he has had some very good luck this year given the .033 deviation between that figure and his actual .355 wOBA.

,Javier Sanoja is projected to bat 8th on the lineup card in this game.

,Playing on the road generally weakens hitter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Javier Sanoja today.

,Javier Sanoja has been cold in recent games, compiling a 0% Barrel% (an advanced standard to study power) in the past two weeks.

,Playing on the road typically weakens batter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Esteury Ruiz in today’s matchup.

,Esteury Ruiz’s average exit velocity has dropped off of late; his 86.4-mph seasonal EV has dropped to 80.5-mph in the past two weeks’ worth of games.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Esteury Ruiz’s true offensive skill to be a .302, indicating that he has had positive variance on his side this year given the .080 discrepancy between that figure and his actual .382 wOBA.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jake McCarthy in the 12th percentile when estimating his home run talent.

,Jakob Marsee has primarily hit in the top-half of the lineup this season (63% of the time), but he is projected to hit 7th in the batting order today.

,Kyle Freeland will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jakob Marsee in today’s game.

,Jakob Marsee will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today’s matchup.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Javier Sanoja in the 8th percentile when it comes to his home run talent.

,19% of the time that Mickey Moniak has started against a righty on the mound this year, he has been pulled from the game early.

,Over the last week, Mickey Moniak’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 12.4% down to 0%.

,Mickey Moniak’s launch angle of late (17° in the past 7 days) is quite a bit lower than his 24.1° seasonal angle.

,Edouard Julien is projected to bat 7th in the batting order in this game, which would be a downgrade from his 56% rate of hitting in the top-half of the lineup this season.

,26% of the time that Edouard Julien has started against a righty hurler this year, he has been lifted for a pinch-hitter.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Coors Field as the worst venue in the league for strikeouts.

,Kyle Freeland wasn’t on when it came to striking batters out in his previous GS and put up 2 Ks.

,In terms of plate discipline, Hunter Goodman’s talent is quite weak, sporting a 4.51 K/BB rate this year while ranking in in the 9th percentile.

,Joe Mack is penciled in 9th on the lineup card in this matchup.

,Kyle Freeland will hold the platoon advantage against Joe Mack in today’s game.

,Playing on the road typically reduces batter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Joe Mack today.

,The switch-hitting Xavier Edwards will be at a disadvantage batting from his weak side (0) today against Kyle Freeland,Xavier Edwards will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today’s matchup.

,Xavier Edwards has struggled with his Barrel% in recent games; his 5% seasonal rate has dropped to 0% over the past 14 days.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects T.J. Rumfield in the 18th percentile as it relates to his BABIP skill.

,T.J. Rumfield has been cold of late, with his seasonal exit velocity of 84.3-mph dropping to 79.7-mph in the past two weeks’ worth of games.

,As it relates to his home run ability, Xavier Edwards ranks in the 3rd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Edouard Julien has taken a step back with his Barrel%; his 12.2% rate last year has dropped off to 6.9% this year.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Max Meyer in the 89th percentile as it relates to his overall pitching talent level.

,According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), the projected lineup for the Colorado Rockies in this game carries an estimated true talent wOBA of .306, which is quite a bit lower than their actual wOBA of .322 this year.

,It may be best to expect weaker performance for the Colorado Rockies offense in the future, considering that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes they are the 10th-luckiest offense in the league this year.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates T.J. Rumfield’s true offensive talent to be a .300, providing some evidence that he has had some very good luck this year given the .073 discrepancy between that mark and his actual .373 wOBA.

,T.J. Rumfield’s 84.3-mph average exit velocity ranks among the worst in Major League Baseball this year: 3rd percentile.

,Max Meyer has been lucky in regards to his strikeouts this year, notching a 9.93 K/9 despite the leading projection system (THE BAT) estimating his true talent level to be 9.60 — a 0.33 K/9 difference.

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