Todays Game 2 Matchup Details

Player match stat positives for Miami at New York Game 2 Matchup Today

When estimating his home run talent, Jake Burger ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Jake Burger is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in today’s game.

The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 12.6-mph in this contest, the strongest of the day for hitters.

Jake Burger pulls many of his flyballs (35.8% — 90th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting them towards the league’s 4th-shallowest LF fences today.

The New York Mets infield defense profiles as the 4th-weakest among all the teams playing today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects J.D. Martinez in the 87th percentile as it relates to his home run skill.

J.D. Martinez is penciled in 4th in the batting order in today’s game.

The shallowest CF fences in MLB are found in Citi Field.

Home field advantage generally improves hitter metrics across the board, and J.D. Martinez will hold that advantage today.

Throwing 94 adjusted pitches per start this year on average, Luis Severino checks in at the 86th percentile.

The 5th-worst projected batting order of the day in terms of overall batting skill belongs to the Miami Marlins.

It is expected that we will see a Pitchers Umpire (Jeremie Rehak) in charge of the strike zone in this game.

Projected catcher Francisco Alvarez grades out as a good pitch framer, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Citi Field ranks as the #30 ballpark in MLB for batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Mark Vientos in the 94th percentile when assessing his home run talent.

Mark Vientos is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order in this matchup, which would be an upgrade from his 64% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this year.

Mark Vientos hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.8% — 90th percentile) and is fortunate to face baseball’s shallowest CF fences in today’s matchup.

Home field advantage typically bolsters batter stats across the board, and Mark Vientos will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

Xavier Edwards is projected to hit 1st in the batting order in today’s game.

Xavier Edwards has an 86th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.5%) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the game’s 4th-shallowest LF fences today.

Xavier Edwards has compiled a .380 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) this year, placing in the 94th percentile.

In terms of plate discipline, Xavier Edwards’s talent is quite impressive, posting a 1.25 K/BB rate this year while ranking in in the 97th percentile.

When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Pete Alonso ranks in the 97th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Pete Alonso is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in today’s game.

Pete Alonso pulls a lot of his flyballs (33.9% — 79th percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting them towards baseball’s 4th-shallowest LF fences in today’s matchup.

Home field advantage typically improves batter metrics across the board, and Pete Alonso will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

Harrison Bader hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39% — 92nd percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the game’s shallowest CF fences in today’s matchup.

Harrison Bader will benefit from the home field advantage in today’s game, which should boost all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brandon Nimmo in the 94th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill.

Brandon Nimmo is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in this matchup.

Hitting from the opposite that Max Meyer throws from, Brandon Nimmo will have the upper hand today.

Brandon Nimmo has a 96th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (39%) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting them towards baseball’s 4th-shallowest LF fences today.

Hitting from the opposite that Max Meyer throws from, Jeff McNeil will have an advantage in today’s game.

Jeff McNeil hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.4% — 84th percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting out towards the game’s shallowest CF fences in today’s matchup.

Home field advantage typically boosts hitter stats in all categories, and Jeff McNeil will hold that advantage today.

Jeff McNeil has been hot recently, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 87.2-mph to 89.6-mph over the last 7 days.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Francisco Lindor in the 95th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent.

Francisco Lindor is projected to bat 1st in the batting order in this matchup.

Francisco Lindor will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today’s game, which ought to bolster all of his stats.

As it relates to his home run ability, Francisco Alvarez ranks in the 85th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Home field advantage generally boosts batter metrics across the board, and Francisco Alvarez will hold that advantage in today’s game.

In the last week, Francisco Alvarez’s 30% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 12.7%.

Jake Burger has made significant gains with his Barrel% recently, improving his 13.3% seasonal rate to 27.3% over the past two weeks.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Derek Hill in the 92nd percentile when estimating his BABIP ability.

Derek Hill has seen a notable increase in his exit velocity on flyballs lately; just compare his 103.9-mph average over the last two weeks to his seasonal mark of 93.4-mph.

The Miami Marlins have 3 bats in their projected lineup today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (according to the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Kyle Stowers, Derek Hill, Jake Burger).

Citi Field profiles as the #7 stadium in Major League Baseball for strikeouts, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).

As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Jesse Winker ranks in the 83rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Hitting from the opposite that Max Meyer throws from, Jesse Winker will have the upper hand today.

Jesse Winker has an 84th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.2%) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards MLB’s 4th-shallowest LF fences today.

Home field advantage generally boosts hitter stats in all categories, and Jesse Winker will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

In the past 14 days, Emmanuel Rivera’s exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 89.7-mph over the course of the season to 97-mph of late.

Emmanuel Rivera has experienced some negative variance in regards to his batting average this year; his .211 rate is quite a bit lower than his .251 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

Max Meyer’s 2402-rpm fastball spin rate this year is in the 82nd percentile out of all starting pitchers.

Contrary to popular belief, fastballs are typically a pitcher’s least effective pitch. Max Meyer must realize this, because he has utilized his secondary pitches a lot this year: 58.5% of the time, placing in the 75th percentile.

When assessing his overall offensive talent, Jesus Sanchez ranks in the 83rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Jesus Sanchez is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in this game.

Hitting from the opposite that Luis Severino throws from, Jesus Sanchez will have an edge in today’s game.

Jesus Sanchez is apt to have the upper hand against every reliever throughout the game, since the bullpen of the New York Mets has just 1 same-handed RP.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jeff McNeil in the 86th percentile when estimating his batting average skill.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Pete Alonso as the league’s 14th-best home run hitter.

Jonah Bride is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in this matchup.

Jonah Bride pulls many of his flyballs (33.4% — 76th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards baseball’s 4th-shallowest LF fences today.

Jonah Bride has made notable gains with his Barrel% recently, bettering his 6.2% seasonal rate to 21.4% over the past week.

When assessing his home run ability, Jesus Sanchez ranks in the 86th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Posting a .337 BABIP this year, Francisco Alvarez is positioned in the 87th percentile.

The 9% Barrel% of the New York Mets ranks them as the #8 team in the majors this year by this metric.

Collectively, New York Mets hitters have done well as it relates to hitting balls in the launch angle band that tends to optimize base hits (between -4° and 26°), placing 5th-best in the majors.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Otto Lopez in the 90th percentile when estimating his batting average talent.

Otto Lopez hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.6% — 87th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting towards MLB’s shallowest CF fences in today’s game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Otto Lopez’s true offensive skill to be a .299, suggesting that he has suffered from bad luck this year given the .051 disparity between that figure and his actual .248 wOBA.

Jonah Bride’s launch angle lately (29° over the past week) is considerably higher than his 12° seasonal angle.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects J.D. Martinez in the 87th percentile when assessing his BABIP skill.

Kyle Stowers is projected to bat 5th in the batting order in this matchup.

Batting from the opposite that Luis Severino throws from, Kyle Stowers will have the upper hand in today’s game.

Kyle Stowers is apt to have an edge against every reliever throughout the game, since the bullpen of the New York Mets only has 1 same-handed RP.

Kyle Stowers hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.1% — 92nd percentile) and is fortunate to face the league’s shallowest CF fences in today’s matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kyle Stowers in the 79th percentile when it comes to his home run talent.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Xavier Edwards in the 96th percentile when estimating his batting average ability.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Mark Vientos in the 78th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jake Burger in the 91st percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill.

Emmanuel Rivera has been unlucky in regards to his home runs this year; his 2.7 HR per 600 plate appearances figure is a fair amount lower than his 10.0 Expected HR/600, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

Saturday Game 2 player match stat slumps with Marlins vs Mets Matchup

The #1 stadium in the majors for suppressing offensive stats to right-handed hitters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Citi Field.

Built just 13 feet above sea level, Citi Field has one of the lowest elevations among all parks, which often leads to less offense.

Luis Severino will have the handedness advantage over Jake Burger in today’s matchup.

Playing on the road typically diminishes batter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Jake Burger in today’s matchup.

Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected HR per 600 plate appearances (30.9) provides evidence that Jake Burger has had some very good luck this year with his 33.6 actual HR/600.

Hitting from the same side that Max Meyer throws from, J.D. Martinez will have a tough challenge today.

J.D. Martinez’s exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off this season; his 96.9-mph figure last season has dropped to 94.3-mph.

Luis Severino’s higher usage rate of his fastball this year (61.3 vs. 48.9% last year) is not ideal consider they are generally much less effective than breaking or off-speed pitches.

Among all starting pitchers, Luis Severino’s fastball spin rate of 2209 rpm is in the 23rd percentile this year.

Max Meyer will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Mark Vientos in today’s matchup.

Mark Vientos has struggled with his Barrel% lately; his 15.4% seasonal rate has lowered to 0% over the last week.

Mark Vientos’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased lately, increasing from 12.4% on the season to 15.4% over the last week.

As it relates to his home run talent, Xavier Edwards ranks in the 1st percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Citi Field as the 10th-worst field in baseball for left-handed home runs.

As a switch-hitter who performs worse from the 0 side of the dish, Xavier Edwards will be at a disadvantage batting from his bad side against Luis Severino in today’s game.

Playing on the road typically lowers batter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Xavier Edwards today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Citi Field as the worst stadium in the majors for RHB batting average.

Max Meyer will hold the platoon advantage against Pete Alonso today.

Harrison Bader is projected to bat 9th on the lineup card today.

Max Meyer will have the handedness advantage against Harrison Bader in today’s game.

Harrison Bader has taken a step back with his Barrel% of late; his 6.5% seasonal rate has decreased to 0% in the past two weeks.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Citi Field as the worst stadium in MLB for boosting offensive stats to lefties.

Brandon Nimmo has struggled with his Barrel% recently; his 10% seasonal rate has lowered to 0% over the last two weeks.

Brandon Nimmo’s average exit velocity has dropped off recently; his 91.7-mph seasonal average has lowered to 88.9-mph over the past two weeks.

Brandon Nimmo’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has fallen off lately, falling from 15.7% on the season to 0% in the last 7 days.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jeff McNeil in the 13th percentile as it relates to his home run ability.

Jeff McNeil is penciled in 8th in the batting order today.

Jeff McNeil has had some very good luck with his home runs this year; his 15.9 HR per 600 plate appearances mark is a good deal higher than his 10.8 Expected HR/600, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

The switch-hitting Francisco Lindor will be at a disadvantage batting from his weak side (0) today against Max Meyer, In the past two weeks’ worth of games, Francisco Lindor’s average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls (2.3°) has significantly dropped compared to his seasonal mark of 18°.

Francisco Alvarez is projected to hit 7th in the batting order in today’s game.

Citi Field grades out as the #21 venue in the league for righty home runs, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Hitting from the same side that Max Meyer throws from, Francisco Alvarez will have a disadvantage in today’s matchup.

Francisco Alvarez has struggled with his Barrel% in recent games; his 6.1% seasonal rate has fallen to 0% over the last two weeks.

Derek Hill is projected to bat 7th on the lineup card in this matchup.

Batting from the same side that Luis Severino throws from, Derek Hill faces a tough challenge in today’s matchup.

Derek Hill will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today’s matchup.

Luis Severino has compiled an 8.6% Swinging Strike% this year, ranking in the 14th percentile.

Jesse Winker is penciled in 6th on the lineup card in this matchup, which would be a downgrade from his 88% rate of hitting in the top-half of the lineup this year.

Over the last two weeks, Jesse Winker’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 7.7% down to 0%.

Jesse Winker’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has declined from last season to this one, decreasing from 14.7% to 9.2%.

Emmanuel Rivera is projected to bat 8th in the batting order today.

Batting from the same side that Luis Severino throws from, Emmanuel Rivera will have a tough matchup in today’s matchup.

Playing on the road typically reduces batter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Emmanuel Rivera in today’s matchup.

Taking into account both his underlying tendencies and the matchup, Max Meyer is projected to throw 85 pitches in this matchup by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) system, which is the 7th-least of all pitchers today.

Playing on the road generally weakens pitcher stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Max Meyer in today’s game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Citi Field as the worst ballpark in the game for LHB batting average.

Jesus Sanchez will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team today.

Compared to his seasonal mark of 8°, Jesus Sanchez has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (0.1°) in the last two weeks’ worth of games.

As it relates to plate discipline, Jesus Sanchez’s skill is quite poor, putting up a 4.26 K/BB rate this year while ranking in in the 15th percentile.

Jeff McNeil has posted a .283 Expected wOBA (xwOBA) this year, grading out in the 17th percentile for hitting ability according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

Grading out in the 13th percentile, Jeff McNeil sits with a .257 BABIP this year.

Pete Alonso has had positive variance on his side thus far when it comes to his home runs this year; his 29.8 HR per 600 plate appearances rate is quite a bit higher than his 27.6 Expected HR/600, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

Batting from the same side that Luis Severino throws from, Jonah Bride will be in a tough position today.

Playing on the road generally diminishes batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Jonah Bride in today’s matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Jonah Bride’s true offensive talent to be a .309, providing some evidence that he has had some very good luck this year given the .057 disparity between that figure and his actual .366 wOBA.

It may be wise to expect negative regression for the New York Mets offense in future games, given that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) sees them as the 7th-luckiest offense in MLB this year.

Otto Lopez is projected to hit 6th in the batting order in this matchup.

Luis Severino will have the handedness advantage over Otto Lopez today.

Otto Lopez will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today’s matchup.

Kyle Stowers’s batting average skill is projected to be in the 22nd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Playing on the road typically lowers hitter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Kyle Stowers in today’s matchup.

Kyle Stowers has taken a step back with his Barrel% of late; his 17% seasonal rate has dropped off to 9.1% over the last 14 days.

Kyle Stowers has been cold recently, with his seasonal exit velocity of 90-mph dropping to 87.8-mph in the last 7 days.

Xavier Edwards’s average exit velocity has fallen off of late; his 86.8-mph seasonal figure has dropped off to 83.9-mph over the last two weeks.

Jake Burger has displayed poor plate discipline this year, checking in at the 11th percentile with a 4.64 K/BB rate.

When assessing his home run talent, Otto Lopez ranks in the 11th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Derek Hill in the 19th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent.