Marlins @ Cardinals Series Game 3 Matchup Details

Positives for the Miami Marlins Series Game 3 Game Today

As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Ivan Herrera ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

,Ivan Herrera is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in this matchup.

,Busch Stadium has the 8th-shortest fences in the majors.

,The weather forecast expects temperatures in this game to reach the highest level of all games today at 90°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).

,Home field advantage typically improves batter stats across the board, and Ivan Herrera will hold that advantage in today’s game.

,When estimating his overall offensive ability, JJ Wetherholt ranks in the 87th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

,JJ Wetherholt is projected to hit 1st in the batting order in today’s game.

,The #9 stadium in Major League Baseball for boosting base hits to left-handed batters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Busch Stadium.

,JJ Wetherholt will have the handedness advantage over Tyler Phillips in today’s matchup.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alec Burleson in the 95th percentile when it comes to his batting average skill.

,Alec Burleson is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card today.

,Hitting from the opposite that Tyler Phillips throws from, Alec Burleson will have an edge today.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Otto Lopez as the 8th-best batter in MLB when it comes to his batting average skill.

,Otto Lopez is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order today.

,Otto Lopez has seen a substantial improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs in recent games; just compare his 98.1-mph average over the past 7 days to his seasonal EV of 91.7-mph.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Owen Caissie in the 96th percentile when assessing his BABIP ability.

,Owen Caissie has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this year (93% of the time), but he is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in this game.

,Owen Caissie will hold the platoon advantage over Kyle Leahy in today’s game.

,As it relates to his home run talent, Jordan Walker ranks in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Jordan Walker is projected to bat 4th in the batting order today.

,Jordan Walker hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (40% — 98th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the league’s 7th-shallowest CF fences today.

,When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Kyle Stowers ranks in the 83rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

,Kyle Stowers is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup today.

,Hitting from the opposite that Kyle Leahy throws from, Kyle Stowers will have an advantage today.

,It is scheduled that we will see a Hitters Umpire (Stu Scheurwater) calling pitches in this game.

,With 6 bats who bat from the opposite side in the opposing team’s projected lineup, Kyle Leahy has a tough challenge while lacking the platoon advantage in most plate appearances in today’s matchup.

,Kyle Leahy’s 2187-rpm spin rate on his fastball this season is a big 187-rpm decline from last year’s 2374-rpm rate.

,When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Lars Nootbaar ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

,Lars Nootbaar is projected to bat 5th in the batting order in this matchup.

,Batting from the opposite that Tyler Phillips throws from, Lars Nootbaar will have the upper hand in today’s matchup.

,Hitting from the opposite that Kyle Leahy throws from, Joe Mack will have an edge in today’s matchup.

,Joe Mack will probably have an advantage against every reliever for the whole game, since the bullpen of the St. Louis Cardinals only has 1 same-handed RP.

,Joe Mack has made notable strides with his Barrel% in recent games, improving his 9.6% seasonal rate to 20% in the last two weeks’ worth of games.

,Masyn Winn hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.6% — 87th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the game’s 7th-shallowest CF fences in today’s game.

,Home field advantage typically boosts batter metrics in all categories, and Masyn Winn will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Owen Caissie in the 87th percentile as it relates to his home run skill.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Heriberto Hernandez in the 83rd percentile when assessing his home run ability.

,Heriberto Hernandez is projected to hit 4th in the lineup today.

,Heriberto Hernandez has been hot lately, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 91.8-mph to 94.3-mph in the past two weeks’ worth of games.

,When it comes to his home run talent, Griffin Conine ranks in the 79th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Hitting from the opposite that Kyle Leahy throws from, Griffin Conine will have the upper hand today.

,The St. Louis Cardinals have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Griffin Conine can likely count on holding the platoon advantage against every reliever all game.

,Hitting from the opposite that Tyler Phillips throws from, Nathan Church will have an advantage in today’s game.

,Nathan Church will hold the home field advantage today, which ought to boost all of his stats.

,Nathan Church has hit one of the hardest balls in MLB in the past 7 days — 109.7-mph — which is a strong measure of recent form and raw power.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jimmy Crooks in the 84th percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent.

,Jimmy Crooks will hold the platoon advantage over Tyler Phillips today.

,Jimmy Crooks will hold the home field advantage in today’s game, which figures to improve all of his stats.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kyle Stowers in the 94th percentile as it relates to his home run ability.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Xavier Edwards as the 16th-best hitter in Major League Baseball when estimating his batting average ability.

,Xavier Edwards is projected to hit 1st in the lineup in today’s game.

,As a switch-hitter who bats better from the 0 side of the plate, Xavier Edwards will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his better side against Kyle Leahy in today’s matchup.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jordan Walker in the 89th percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Busch Stadium as the 9th-best field in the game for RHB BABIP.

,Using Statcast metrics, Griffin Conine grades out in the 84th percentile for offensive ability via the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season at .339.

,Xavier Edwards has displayed good plate discipline this year, ranking in the 96th percentile with a 1.05 K/BB rate.

,Jimmy Crooks has seen a notable increase in his exit velocity on flyballs of late; just compare his 99.3-mph average in the last 7 days to his seasonal mark of 90.9-mph.

,Tyler Phillips was firing on all cylinders in his last GS and conceded 0 ER.

,Tyler Phillips’s high utilization rate of his secondary pitches (62.2% since the start of last season) figures to work in his favor since they are generally much more effective than fastballs.

,As a team, St. Louis Cardinals hitters have done poorly in regard to hitting balls in the launch angle range that tends to best-produce home runs (between 23° and 34°), placing 4th-worst in the game.

,The Miami Marlins have 4 hitters in their projected offense today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (via the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Kyle Stowers, Owen Caissie, Griffin Conine, Heriberto Hernandez).

,Jakob Marsee will hold the platoon advantage against Kyle Leahy today.

,The St. Louis Cardinals have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Jakob Marsee has a strong chance of never losing the platoon advantage against the ‘pen all game.

,In the past two weeks’ worth of games, Jakob Marsee’s 55.6% rate of hitting balls at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 45.1%.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Heriberto Hernandez in the 77th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability.

,Jakob Marsee’s launch angle this season (17.7°) is quite a bit better than his 10.9° mark last season.

,Tyler Phillips will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today’s game.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Javier Sanoja in the 93rd percentile when assessing his batting average talent.

,Utilizing Statcast data, Javier Sanoja ranks in the 82nd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Batting Average since the start of last season at .275.

,When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Otto Lopez ranks in the 85th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alec Burleson in the 90th percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill.

Negatives with the St. Louis Cardinals Series Game 3 Game Today

Busch Stadium grades out as the #30 venue in baseball for right-handed home runs, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).

,Batting from the same side that Tyler Phillips throws from, Ivan Herrera will be at a disadvantage in today’s game.

,Ivan Herrera has an 82nd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34%) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards the game’s 2nd-deepest RF fences today.

,There has been a significant decline in Ivan Herrera’s launch angle from last season’s 10.4° to 7.2° this season.

,Compared to his seasonal figure of 7.2°, Ivan Herrera has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (0.7°) over the past two weeks.

,In the past week, JJ Wetherholt’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 7.2% down to 0%.

,JJ Wetherholt’s average exit velocity has decreased in recent games; his 89.8-mph seasonal mark has fallen to 85-mph over the past week.

,JJ Wetherholt’s launch angle recently (1.8° in the last two weeks’ worth of games) is quite a bit lower than his 13.4° seasonal figure.

,The #1 stadium in the league for suppressing home runs to left-handed batters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Busch Stadium.

,The 2nd-deepest right field dimensions among all major league parks are found in Busch Stadium.

,Alec Burleson has struggled with his Barrel% recently; his 10.6% seasonal rate has fallen off to 0% over the last week.

,Alec Burleson’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has decreased lately, going from 16.9% on the season to 0% in the past week.

,Batting from the same side that Kyle Leahy throws from, Otto Lopez will have a tough challenge today.

,Otto Lopez has a 96th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.6%) and will be challenged by the game’s 2nd-deepest RF fences in today’s game.

,Playing on the road generally weakens batter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Otto Lopez in today’s game.

,Compared to his seasonal angle of 6.8°, Otto Lopez has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (0.5°) over the past 14 days.

,When starting against a right-handed starter this year, Owen Caissie has been replaced by a pinch-hitter 39% of the time.

,Playing on the road generally lowers batter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Owen Caissie in today’s matchup.

,Owen Caissie has put up a .240 Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season, grading out in the 15th percentile for offensive ability according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

,In notching a .190 Expected Batting Average (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) utilizing Statcast data) since the start of last season , Owen Caissie finds himself in the 16th percentile.

,Tyler Phillips will hold the platoon advantage against Jordan Walker in today’s game.

,Jordan Walker’s launch angle in recent games (8.7° over the last two weeks) is considerably worse than his 12.7° seasonal figure.

,Jordan Walker has been lucky this year, compiling a .366 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .334 — a .032 gap.

,Jordan Walker has compiled a .208 Expected Batting Average since the start of last season, checking in at the 7th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

,Kyle Stowers pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (34% — 77th percentile) but may find it hard to clear the league’s 2nd-deepest RF fences today.

,Playing on the road generally reduces hitter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Kyle Stowers in today’s matchup.

,The Miami Marlins have been the 8th-luckiest offense in MLB this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to perform worse in future games,Busch Stadium grades out as the #30 park in the majors for home runs, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).

,Home field advantage generally improves pitcher stats across the board, and Kyle Leahy will hold that advantage in today’s game.

,Kyle Leahy has been one of the unluckiest mound aces in the league on balls in play this year with a .328 BABIP and figures to see that luck normalize going forward.

,There has been a significant decline in Lars Nootbaar’s launch angle from last year’s 15.9° to 8.9° this season.

,Joe Mack is penciled in 9th in the lineup today.

,Joe Mack has been lifted for a pinch-hitter 16% of the time when starting against a righty hurler this year.

,Joe Mack pulls a lot of his flyballs (33.9% — 76th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards the league’s 2nd-deepest RF fences today.

,Playing on the road typically weakens hitter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Joe Mack in today’s game.

,When estimating his home run talent, Masyn Winn ranks in the 23rd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Masyn Winn is projected to hit 6th in the batting order in today’s game.

,Hitting from the same side that Tyler Phillips throws from, Masyn Winn encounters a tough challenge in today’s matchup.

,Masyn Winn’s exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off this year; his 89.6-mph figure last season has fallen to 85.9-mph.

,When it comes to plate discipline, Owen Caissie’s skill is quite bad, sporting a 5.2 K/BB rate this year while placing in in the 5th percentile.

,Batting from the same side that Kyle Leahy throws from, Heriberto Hernandez will be at a disadvantage in today’s game.

,Heriberto Hernandez pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (36.1% — 87th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of the game’s 7th-deepest LF fences in today’s game.

,Playing on the road generally diminishes hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Heriberto Hernandez today.

,Over the past 7 days, Heriberto Hernandez’s 18.2% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 41.7%.

,Griffin Conine is projected to hit 7th in the lineup today.

,When starting against a righty hurler this year, Griffin Conine has been lifted for a pinch-hitter 25% of the time.

,Griffin Conine pulls many of his flyballs (33.9% — 76th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards MLB’s 2nd-deepest RF fences in today’s game.

,Griffin Conine will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today’s game.

,Nathan Church is projected to hit 9th in the batting order in today’s game.

,This year, Nathan Church has been lifted for a pinch-hitter in 15% of his appearances when starting against righty hurler.

,In the last week’s worth of games, Nathan Church’s 0% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 15%.

,Jimmy Crooks is projected to bat 8th in the batting order in this game.

,This year, Jimmy Crooks has been pulled from the game early in 22% of his appearances when starting against righty on the mound.

,Jimmy Crooks has negatively regressed with his Barrel% lately; his 6.2% seasonal rate has dropped off to 0% in the past 14 days.

,Xavier Edwards has a 96th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.7%) but may find it hard to clear MLB’s 7th-deepest LF fences in today’s game.

,Playing on the road typically lessens batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Xavier Edwards in today’s game.

,Xavier Edwards has negatively regressed with his Barrel% of late; his 5.2% seasonal rate has fallen off to 0% in the past two weeks’ worth of games.

,Xavier Edwards’s average exit velocity has fallen off lately; his 87-mph seasonal figure has dropped to 84.8-mph over the past 14 days.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Griffin Conine in the 18th percentile as it relates to his batting average skill.

,When assessing his home run ability, Xavier Edwards ranks in the 3rd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Javier Sanoja in the 7th percentile as it relates to his home run skill.

,Javier Sanoja is projected to hit 8th in the lineup in today’s game.

,Hitting from the same side that Kyle Leahy throws from, Javier Sanoja has a tough challenge in today’s matchup.

,In today’s game, Javier Sanoja is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 7th-deepest LF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the pull field at a 35.2% rate (83rd percentile).

,Masyn Winn’s launch angle recently (1° over the last week) is considerably lower than his 12° seasonal mark.

,Masyn Winn’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has decreased from last season to this one, going from 14.8% to 9.7%.

,Tyler Phillips has averaged 80 adjusted pitches per game per started this year, checking in at the 20th percentile.

,With 6 batters of the opposite hand in the opposing team’s projected offense, Tyler Phillips will have a disadvantage while lacking the platoon advantage in most plate appearances in this matchup.

,Busch Stadium ranks as the #29 ballpark in the game for strikeouts, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

,Kyle Leahy struggled when it came to striking batters out in his last start and notched 1 Ks.

,Jakob Marsee is penciled in 6th on the lineup card today.

,Jakob Marsee will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today’s game.

,Jakob Marsee’s average exit velocity has decreased this season; his 88.9-mph figure last season has decreased to 86.5-mph.

,Jakob Marsee’s exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off of late; his 90.3-mph seasonal figure has dropped to 84.5-mph in the past 7 days.

,Sporting a .262 Expected wOBA (or xwOBA, an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) using Statcast data) since the start of last season, Nathan Church is positioned in the 25th percentile for offensive skills.

,In the last week, Jimmy Crooks’s 0% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 24.2%.

,When it comes to his strikeout talent, the leading projection system (THE BAT) puts Tyler Phillips in the 19th percentile among all SPs in Major League Baseball.

,The St. Louis Cardinals (20.1 K% (via the leading projection system, THE BAT X) are forecasted to have the 3rd-least strikeout-prone team of hitters on the slate.

,Javier Sanoja will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today’s matchup.

,Javier Sanoja’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has fallen off recently, going from 12.3% on the season to 8.3% over the past two weeks.

,Jordan Walker has compiled a .273 Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season, checking in at the 8th percentile for hitting ability according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Otto Lopez’s true offensive talent to be a .328, indicating that he has been very fortunate this year given the .036 gap between that figure and his actual .364 wOBA.

,Compared to his seasonal mark of 10.4°, Xavier Edwards has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (0.7°) in the past 14 days.

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