Mariners vs Padres match player stats | 2026 Series Game 2 Wednesday, April 15th

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SEA @ SD

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Mariners @ Padres Series Game 2 Matchup Details

Teams : Seattle Mariners at San Diego Padres
Series Game 2
Date : Todays Game is on Wednesday, April 15th
Time : 15/04/26 21:40:00 PM EST First Pitch

Positives for the Seattle Mariners Series Game 2 Game Today

Fernando Tatis Jr. projects as the 10th-best hitter in the majors, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Fernando Tatis Jr. is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup in this game.

,Fernando Tatis Jr. hits many of his flyballs to center field (40.3% — 98th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting towards MLB’s 2nd-shallowest CF fences today.

,The Seattle Mariners infield defense profiles as the weakest among every team today.

,Fernando Tatis Jr. will possess the home field advantage today, which should improve all of his stats.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Cal Raleigh as the majors’s 5th-best home run batter.

,Cal Raleigh is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup.

,Petco Park has the 5th-lowest average fence height in MLB.

,As a switch-hitter who is stronger from the 0 side of the plate, Cal Raleigh will have the advantage of batting from from his good side against Randy Vasquez in today’s game.

,Cal Raleigh has big-time HR ability (99th percentile) if he makes contact, but that’s always far from assured (27.6% K%). Today, however, opposing pitcher Randy Vasquez is a pitch-to-contact type (23rd percentile K%) — great news for Raleigh.

,Cole Young will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Randy Vasquez today.

,Cole Young has experienced some negative variance in regards to his wOBA since the start of last season; his .284 rate is significantly deflated relative to his .320 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

,When it comes to plate discipline, Cole Young’s talent is quite good, posting a 1.66 K/BB rate since the start of last season while checking in at in the 83rd percentile.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Xander Bogaerts in the 97th percentile when it comes to his batting average ability.

,Xander Bogaerts is projected to bat 5th in the batting order in this matchup.

,Xander Bogaerts hits many of his flyballs to center field (37.9% — 77th percentile) and is fortunate to face MLB’s 2nd-shallowest CF fences today.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jake Cronenworth in the 78th percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill.

,Petco Park has the shallowest centerfield dimensions in Major League Baseball.

,Hitting from the opposite that Emerson Hancock throws from, Jake Cronenworth will have the upper hand in today’s matchup.

,Jake Cronenworth will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today’s game, which ought to boost all of his stats.

,Josh Naylor is penciled in 4th in the lineup in this matchup.

,Hitting from the opposite that Randy Vasquez throws from, Josh Naylor will have an edge in today’s matchup.

,Compared to last season, Josh Naylor has improved his ability to hit the ball at a launch angle ideal for home runs, increasing his percentage of balls hit between 23° and 34° from 14.2% to 21.3% this season.

,Josh Naylor has exhibited good plate discipline since the start of last season, placing in the 84th percentile with a 1.64 K/BB rate.

,Freddy Fermin hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.2% — 84th percentile) and is fortunate to face baseball’s 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today’s matchup.

,Freddy Fermin will possess the home field advantage in today’s game, which ought to bolster all of his stats.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Randy Arozarena in the 92nd percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability.

,Randy Arozarena is penciled in 5th in the batting order in this game.

,Randy Arozarena hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.5% — 88th percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting out towards the league’s 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today’s matchup.

,Randy Arozarena’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased in recent games, increasing from 14% on the season to 18.2% in the past week’s worth of games.

,Randy Arozarena’s 91.3-mph average exit velocity is among the best in the game since the start of last season: 84th percentile.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Julio Rodriguez as the 9th-best batter in MLB when estimating his BABIP ability.

,Julio Rodriguez is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup in today’s game.

,Julio Rodriguez hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.1% — 82nd percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting towards the league’s 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today’s matchup.

,Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Batting Average (.278) provides evidence that Julio Rodriguez has been unlucky since the start of last season with his .262 actual batting average.

,When assessing his overall offensive skill, Ramon Laureano ranks in the 89th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

,Ramon Laureano is projected to bat 1st in the lineup in this matchup.

,Ramon Laureano will hold the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which figures to boost all of his stats.

,As it relates to his home run ability, Luke Raley ranks in the 88th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Luke Raley will have the handedness advantage against Randy Vasquez today.

,Luke Raley has a ton of pop (88th percentile) if he makes contact, but that’s never a sure thing (31.3% K%). Today, however, opposing pitcher Randy Vasquez struggles to strike batters out (7th percentile K%) — great news for Raley.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Dominic Canzone in the 82nd percentile as it relates to his home run skill.

,Dominic Canzone will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Randy Vasquez today.

,Dominic Canzone has seen a notable improvement in his exit velocity this year; just compare his 95.2-mph average to last year’s 92.5-mph EV.

,Batting from the opposite that Emerson Hancock throws from, Gavin Sheets will have an edge in today’s game.

,Gavin Sheets will benefit from the home field advantage today, which figures to bolster all of his stats.

,In the last week, Gavin Sheets has displayed impressive power, recording a a 20% Barrel% (a reliable metric to study power).

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Manny Machado in the 94th percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability.

,Manny Machado is penciled in 4th in the lineup today.

,Manny Machado hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.6% — 89th percentile) and is fortunate to face MLB’s 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today’s matchup.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Julio Rodriguez in the 96th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability.

,Utilizing Statcast data, Julio Rodriguez ranks in the 81st percentile for offensive skills per the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season at .347.

,Dominic Canzone’s launch angle this season (29.1°) is quite a bit better than his 10.5° angle last year.

,Dominic Canzone has been hot lately, compiling a 98.1-mph average exit velocity in the past week’s worth of games.

,Checking in at the 89th percentile, Josh Naylor has posted a .279 batting average since the start of last season.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jackson Merrill in the 97th percentile when it comes to his batting average ability.

,Jackson Merrill is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in this matchup.

,Jackson Merrill will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Emerson Hancock in today’s matchup.

,Jackson Merrill hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.1% — 82nd percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting towards baseball’s 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today’s matchup.

,J.P. Crawford will have the handedness advantage against Randy Vasquez in today’s game.

,In the past 7 days, J.P. Crawford’s exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 95.2-mph over the course of the season to 97.2-mph recently.

,Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (.343) provides evidence that J.P. Crawford has suffered from bad luck since the start of last season with his .323 actual wOBA.

,J.P. Crawford has experienced some negative variance in regards to his batting average since the start of last season; his .263 figure is considerably lower than his .293 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

,Home field advantage generally improves batter stats in all categories, and Xander Bogaerts will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

,When estimating his overall offensive skill, Xander Bogaerts ranks in the 90th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects J.P. Crawford in the 80th percentile as it relates to his batting average talent.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Luke Raley in the 78th percentile when estimating his BABIP ability.

,Luke Raley has made substantial improvements with his Barrel%, bettering his 10.7% rate last year to 18.5% this season.

,Luke Raley has seen a substantial improvement in his exit velocity this year; just compare his 92.8-mph average to last year’s 89.3-mph figure.

,Ranking in the 97th percentile, Cal Raleigh has notched a .384 wOBA (widely regarded as the top indicator of overall offense) since the start of last season.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brendan Donovan in the 96th percentile when estimating his batting average ability.

,Brendan Donovan is penciled in 1st in the lineup today.

,Batting from the opposite that Randy Vasquez throws from, Brendan Donovan will have an edge today.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jackson Merrill in the 95th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability.

,Bill Miller projects as a Huge Pitchers Umpire and is expected to be in charge of the strike zone in this game.

,According to the leading projection system (THE BAT), Cal Raleigh (the Mariners’s expected catcher in today’s game) is considered to be an elite pitch framer.

,The #3 park in the game for suppressing batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Petco Park.

,With 6 batters who bat from the same side in the opposing team’s projected lineup, Emerson Hancock should benefit from owning the platoon advantage in most plate appearances in this game.

,Playing on the road generally lowers pitcher stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Emerson Hancock in today’s matchup.

,Petco Park grades out as the #5 ballpark in MLB for strikeouts, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

,In the last 7 days, Gavin Sheets has averaged an impressive 104.4-mph exit velocity on his flyballs, an advanced proxy for home run potential.

,Home field advantage generally boosts pitcher metrics across the board, and Randy Vasquez will hold that advantage in today’s game.

,In his previous outing, Randy Vasquez performed well and allowed 0 ER.

,In terms of his wOBA and overall offense, Brendan Donovan has had some very poor luck since the start of last season. His .346 mark falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .366.

,Manny Machado will hold the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which ought to boost all of his stats.

,Ty France’s batting average skill is projected to be in the 86th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Home field advantage generally boosts batter metrics in all categories, and Ty France will hold that advantage today.

,Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Batting Average (.290) suggests that Ty France has experienced some negative variance since the start of last season with his .258 actual batting average.

,Ty France ranks in the 95th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between -4° and 26°, the launch angle range that tends to best-produce base hits (49.9% rate since the start of last season).

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brendan Donovan in the 92nd percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent.

,When assessing his overall offensive talent, Ty France ranks in the 75th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

,Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (.338) suggests that Ty France has had some very poor luck since the start of last season with his .305 actual wOBA.

,Ty France can really hit the ball hard. If you were to look at the top 5% of his batted balls by exit velocity, their average (105 mph) rate him as one of the game’s best: in the 87th percentile since the start of last season.

Negatives with the San Diego Padres Series Game 2 Game Today

Petco Park profiles as the #26 stadium in Major League Baseball for right-handed batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).

,Petco Park’s elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest in Major League Baseball, which generally leads to less offense.

,According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this contest will be the best for pitching of all games today.

,Emerson Hancock will hold the platoon advantage over Fernando Tatis Jr. in today’s matchup.

,Fernando Tatis Jr.’s launch angle this season (5.1°) is a considerable dropoff from his 9.6° mark last season.

,Today, Cal Raleigh is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 6th-deepest RF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the pull field at a 43.9% rate (100th percentile).

,Cal Raleigh will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today’s matchup.

,This year, Cal Raleigh’s Barrel% has decreased significantly, dropping from 19% last year to just 8.1% this year.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Cole Young in the 25th percentile when estimating his BABIP talent.

,Cole Young is projected to bat 9th in the lineup in this matchup.

,Petco Park projects as the #26 stadium in Major League Baseball for overall lefty offense, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).

,The #1 venue in the league for suppressing offensive stats to right-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Petco Park.

,Batting from the same side that Emerson Hancock throws from, Xander Bogaerts encounters a tough challenge today.

,Jake Cronenworth is projected to hit 9th in the batting order in this matchup.

,Jake Cronenworth has been cold of late, with his seasonal exit velocity of 88.2-mph dropping to 86.1-mph in the past week.

,Jake Cronenworth’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has decreased from last year to this one, decreasing from 15% to 5.1%.

,Jake Cronenworth has performed at a clip of 11.2 Expected Home Runs per 600 plate appearances since the start of last season, placing in the 18th percentile for power according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Josh Naylor in the 10th percentile when estimating his BABIP skill.

,Josh Naylor pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (35.8% — 86th percentile) but may find it hard to clear MLB’s 6th-deepest RF fences in today’s game.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Freddy Fermin in the 19th percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability.

,Freddy Fermin is penciled in 8th in the lineup in today’s game.

,Randy Vasquez will hold the platoon advantage against Randy Arozarena in today’s matchup.

,Playing on the road typically lessens batter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Randy Arozarena today.

,Randy Vasquez will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Julio Rodriguez in today’s game.

,Playing on the road generally diminishes batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Julio Rodriguez in today’s game.

,Hitting from the same side that Emerson Hancock throws from, Ramon Laureano will have a tough matchup in today’s matchup.

,Luke Raley is penciled in 6th in the batting order in this game.

,Playing on the road generally diminishes hitter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Luke Raley in today’s game.

,Dominic Canzone is projected to hit 8th in the lineup in this game.

,20% of the time that Dominic Canzone has started against a righty hurler this year, he has been pulled from the game early.

,Playing on the road typically lowers batter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Dominic Canzone in today’s matchup.

,Gavin Sheets’s BABIP talent is projected in the 23rd percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Gavin Sheets is projected to hit 6th in the batting order in today’s game.

,Emerson Hancock will have the handedness advantage against Manny Machado in today’s matchup.

,Manny Machado’s average exit velocity has fallen off this season; his 92.9-mph EV last year has dropped to 86.9-mph.

,Julio Rodriguez has struggled with his Barrel%; his 10.1% rate last season has dropped off to 4.7% this year.

,Petco Park grades out as the #26 field in baseball for left-handed batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).

,Jackson Merrill’s ability to hit the ball at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has declined from last year to this one, decreasing from 47.9% to 26.5%.

,Jackson Merrill has not been honed in on the ideal launch angle for base hits recently, angling balls between -4° and 26° just 10% of the time over the last week.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects J.P. Crawford in the 20th percentile as it relates to his home run talent.

,J.P. Crawford is projected to hit 7th in the lineup in this game.

,Playing on the road typically reduces batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for J.P. Crawford today.

,In the last 7 days, J.P. Crawford has failed to produce much power, posting a mere a 0% Barrel% (a reliable metric to assess power).

,Cole Young pulls many of his flyballs (37.2% — 91st percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards the league’s 6th-deepest RF fences in today’s matchup.

,Cole Young will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today’s matchup.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Cal Raleigh in the 2nd percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability.

,Brendan Donovan will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today’s game.

,Brendan Donovan has negatively regressed with his Barrel% recently; his 6.2% seasonal rate has dropped to 0% over the past 7 days.

,Brendan Donovan’s average exit velocity has declined in recent games; his 85.5-mph seasonal figure has dropped to 78.4-mph over the past week.

,From last year to this one, Jackson Merrill’s ability to hit the ball at a launch angle that optimizes home runs (23° to 34°) has decreased substantially, plummeting from 20.1% to 16.3%.

,Taking into account both his underlying tendencies and the matchup, Emerson Hancock is projected to throw 85 pitches today by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) system, which is the 12th-least of all pitchers on the slate today.

,The San Diego Padres projected offense grades out as the 3rd-strongest on the slate today in terms of overall offensive ability.

,Emerson Hancock will have the handedness advantage over Freddy Fermin in today’s matchup.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT) forecasts Emerson Hancock in the 25th percentile when assessing his strikeout ability.

,Emerson Hancock has gone to his change-up 16.8% less often this season (3.4%) than he did last season (20.2%).

,Grading out in the 24th percentile, Emerson Hancock has put up a 17.8% strikeout rate since the start of last season.

,Gavin Sheets pulls many of his flyballs (35.5% — 85th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of the game’s 6th-deepest RF fences in today’s matchup.

,From last year to this one, Gavin Sheets’s ability to hit the ball at a launch angle that optimizes home runs (23° to 34°) has decreased substantially, plummeting from 15% to 11.8%.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Randy Vasquez to throw 85 pitches today (11th-least of all pitchers on the slate), considering both his underlying tendencies and the matchup.

,The 4th-best projected offense of all teams on the slate today in terms of overall batting skill is that of the Seattle Mariners.

,It may be best to expect positive regression for the Seattle Mariners offense going forward, considering that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) views them as the 9th-unluckiest offense in MLB this year.

,Randy Arozarena’s launch angle this season (4.7°) is a considerable dropoff from his 13.4° angle last season.

,There has been a significant decline in Manny Machado’s launch angle from last season’s 14.4° to 3.2° this year.

,Ty France is projected to bat 7th in the batting order in today’s game.

,Batting from the same side that Emerson Hancock throws from, Ty France has a tough challenge in today’s game.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT) forecasts Randy Vasquez in the 6th percentile when assessing his strikeout skill.

,The Seattle Mariners have 7 bats in the projected offense that will hold the platoon advantage over Randy Vasquez today.

,Checking in at the 6th percentile, Randy Vasquez compiled a 7.4% Swinging Strike rate since the start of last season.

,Randy Vasquez has posted a 13.8% strikeout rate since the start of last season, grading out in the 6th percentile.

,Playing on the road generally lowers batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Josh Naylor in today’s game.

,Josh Naylor has struggled with his Barrel% of late; his 6.4% seasonal rate has dropped off to 0% in the last 7 days.

,Ty France has an 88th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35%) and will have to hit them out towards baseball’s 6th-deepest RF fences in today’s matchup.

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