Mariners vs Marlins match player stats | 2026 Series Game 3 Thursday, July 9th

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SEA @ MIA

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Mariners @ Marlins Series Game 3 Matchup Details

Teams : Seattle Mariners at Miami Marlins
Series Game 3
Date : Todays Game is on Thursday, July 9th
Time : 09/07/26 18:40:00 PM EST First Pitch

Positives for the Seattle Mariners Series Game 3 Game Today

Joe Mack will have the handedness advantage over Bryce Miller in today’s matchup.

,Among every team in action today, the 2nd-worst infield defense belongs to the Seattle Mariners.

,Joe Mack will benefit from the home field advantage in today’s game, which should bolster all of his stats.

,Joe Mack has averaged 27.4 long-balls per 600 plate appearances this year, ranking in the 84th percentile for power.

,Hitting from the opposite that Janson Junk throws from, Colt Emerson will have an edge today.

,Over the last two weeks, Colt Emerson’s 26.3% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 17.5%.

,Colt Emerson has recorded a .305 Isolated Power rate (ISO) this year, checking in at the 82nd percentile.

,Victor Robles has seen a substantial gain in his exit velocity on flyballs this year; just compare his 90.8-mph average to last year’s 87.5-mph average.

,Victor Robles’s speed has improved this year. His 28.08 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last year sits at 28.87 ft/sec now.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Dominic Canzone in the 89th percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill.

,Dominic Canzone has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this year (79% of the time), but he is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup today.

,Dominic Canzone will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Janson Junk in today’s game.

,This season, Dominic Canzone has experienced a significant improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs, now sitting at an average of 96.5 mph compared to last year’s 94.1 mph mark.

,Dominic Canzone has seen a big improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs in recent games; just compare his 99.6-mph average in the last two weeks to his seasonal mark of 96.5-mph.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Heriberto Hernandez in the 88th percentile as it relates to his home run talent.

,Home field advantage typically boosts hitter stats in all categories, and Heriberto Hernandez will hold that advantage in today’s game.

,In the past week’s worth of games, Heriberto Hernandez’s Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 10.1% up to 23.1%.

,Heriberto Hernandez has seen a big gain in his exit velocity this season; just compare his 92.2-mph average to last season’s 90.2-mph EV.

,Heriberto Hernandez has been hot in recent games, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 92.2-mph to 95.7-mph in the last week.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Owen Caissie in the 97th percentile when assessing his BABIP skill.

,Owen Caissie has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this year (93% of the time), but he is projected to hit 5th in the lineup in this game.

,Owen Caissie will hold the platoon advantage over Bryce Miller today.

,Owen Caissie hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.5% — 86th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting towards baseball’s 6th-shallowest CF fences today.

,Liam Hicks is projected to hit 1st in the lineup today.

,Liam Hicks will have the handedness advantage over Bryce Miller today.

,Home field advantage typically boosts hitter metrics across the board, and Liam Hicks will hold that advantage today.

,Liam Hicks has exhibited strong plate discipline this year, placing in the 98th percentile with a 0.95 K/BB rate.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Otto Lopez as the 7th-best batter in the majors when it comes to his batting average ability.

,Otto Lopez is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in this game.

,Otto Lopez will possess the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which should improve all of his stats.

,Otto Lopez has made substantial gains with his Barrel% of late, bettering his 7.5% seasonal rate to 13% over the past 7 days.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Bryce Miller in the 88th percentile when estimating his strikeout ability.

,According to the leading projection system (THE BAT), Cal Raleigh (the Mariners’s expected catcher in today’s game) profiles as an elite pitch framer.

,The #8 venue in MLB for boosting strikeouts, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is LoanDepot Park.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Javier Sanoja in the 95th percentile when estimating his batting average skill.

,Javier Sanoja will hold the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which figures to boost all of his stats.

,Javier Sanoja has seen a notable increase in his exit velocity on flyballs lately; just compare his 88.7-mph average in the past two weeks’ worth of games to his seasonal mark of 86.5-mph.

,Javier Sanoja’s ability to hit the ball at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has increased of late, increasing from 42.9% on the season to 56.7% over the past two weeks.

,Given the 2.34 disparity between Bryce Miller’s 1.71 ERA and his 4.05 estimated true talent ERA (according to the leading projection system, THE BAT), it’s safe to say he’s been one of the luckiest pitchers in MLB this year and figures to negatively regress going forward.

,Jakob Marsee will hold the platoon advantage against Bryce Miller in today’s game.

,Jakob Marsee will hold the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which should bolster all of his stats.

,Jakob Marsee’s launch angle this year (18.1°) is a significant increase over his 10.9° mark last year.

,Jakob Marsee has been unlucky this year, putting up a .283 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .310 — a .027 discrepancy.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Xavier Edwards as the 15th-best batter in baseball as it relates to his batting average talent.

,Xavier Edwards is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in this matchup.

,As a switch-hitter who is best from the 0 side of the plate, Xavier Edwards will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his strong side against Bryce Miller in today’s matchup.

,Xavier Edwards will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which figures to boost all of his stats.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Randy Arozarena in the 92nd percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill.

,Randy Arozarena is penciled in 2nd in the batting order today.

,Randy Arozarena hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.1% — 77th percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting out towards the league’s 6th-shallowest CF fences in today’s game.

,Randy Arozarena has seen a big increase in his exit velocity on flyballs in recent games; just compare his 105.2-mph average over the last week to his seasonal mark of 95-mph.

,Randy Arozarena’s ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has gotten better lately, increasing from 49.3% on the season to 81.8% in the last week’s worth of games.

,As it relates to his home run ability, Luke Raley ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Batting from the opposite that Janson Junk throws from, Luke Raley will have an edge in today’s matchup.

,Luke Raley has big-time power (95th percentile) if he makes contact, but that’s always far from assured (31% K%). Today, however, opposing pitcher Janson Junk doesn’t generate many whiffs (7th percentile K%) — great news for Raley.

,Luke Raley has made sizeable gains with his Barrel%, upping his 10.7% rate last year to 17.4% this season.

,Luke Raley has seen a significant improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs this season; just compare his 96.6-mph average to last season’s 91-mph figure.

,Hitting from the opposite that Janson Junk throws from, Cole Young will have an edge in today’s matchup.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Luke Raley in the 84th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability.

,Luke Raley’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased from last year to this one, increasing from 14.9% to 20.3%.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects J.P. Crawford in the 76th percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability.

,J.P. Crawford is penciled in 1st on the lineup card in this game.

,J.P. Crawford will hold the platoon advantage against Janson Junk in today’s matchup.

,J.P. Crawford has posted a .343 Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season, placing in the 79th percentile for offensive ability according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

,Sporting a 1.43 K/BB rate this year, J.P. Crawford has shown impressive plate discipline, checking in at the 90th percentile.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kyle Stowers in the 95th percentile when assessing his home run talent.

,Kyle Stowers is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in this game.

,Batting from the opposite that Bryce Miller throws from, Kyle Stowers will have the upper hand in today’s matchup.

,Home field advantage typically bolsters batter stats in all categories, and Kyle Stowers will hold that advantage in today’s game.

,Kyle Stowers has seen a sizeable gain in his exit velocity in recent games; just compare his 95.8-mph average in the last two weeks to his seasonal 91.5-mph EV.

,With a 1.5 K/BB rate this year, Javier Sanoja has displayed good plate discipline, ranking in the 87th percentile.

,J.P. Crawford has compiled a .293 Expected Batting Average since the start of last season, placing in the 95th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

,Josh Naylor is penciled in 5th in the batting order today.

,Hitting from the opposite that Janson Junk throws from, Josh Naylor will have the upper hand in today’s matchup.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Josh Naylor’s true offensive ability to be a .320, implying that he has been unlucky this year given the .026 disparity between that figure and his actual .294 wOBA.

,As it relates to plate discipline, Josh Naylor’s skill is quite good, putting up a 1.63 K/BB rate this year while grading out in in the 81st percentile.

,Cal Raleigh projects as the 7th-best home run hitter in Major League Baseball, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Cal Raleigh is projected to bat 4th in the batting order today.

,The switch-hitting Cal Raleigh will have the advantage of batting from from his strong side (0) today against Janson Junk.

,Cal Raleigh has big-time power (99th percentile) if he makes contact, but that’s usually a big “IF” (27.8% K%). Today, however, opposing pitcher Janson Junk is a pitch-to-contact type (20th percentile K%) — great news for Raleigh.

,Despite posting a .258 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Cal Raleigh has had some very poor luck given the .091 gap between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .349.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Otto Lopez in the 87th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability.

,In the past two weeks’ worth of games, Otto Lopez’s 26.2% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 14.9%.

,Victor Robles has been unlucky this year, compiling a .251 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .300 — a .049 disparity.

,Jakob Marsee has notched a .354 Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season, checking in at the 92nd percentile for offensive skills according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

,With a .356 wOBA (a leading indicator of offensive ability) this year, Liam Hicks is positioned in the 84th percentile.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Heriberto Hernandez in the 87th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill.

,Bryce Miller has recorded 17.9 outs per game per started this year, checking in at the 91st percentile.

,When assessing his home run talent, Owen Caissie ranks in the 88th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Home field advantage generally improves hitter stats in all categories, and Owen Caissie will hold that advantage in today’s game.

,Home field advantage typically boosts pitcher metrics across the board, and Janson Junk will hold that advantage in today’s game.

,Xavier Edwards has seen a notable gain in his exit velocity in recent games; just compare his 89-mph average in the last week’s worth of games to his seasonal 87-mph EV.

,Xavier Edwards has seen a significant increase in his exit velocity on flyballs this season; just compare his 90.4-mph average to last year’s 85.6-mph EV.

,Joe Mack’s launch angle recently (18° in the past two weeks) is quite a bit better than his 14° seasonal figure.

,The Seattle Mariners have been the 7th-unluckiest offense in the game this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to positively regress in the future,Seattle’s 92.6-mph exit velocity on flyballs grades them out as the #9 team in the majors this year by this stat.

,Randy Arozarena’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved in recent games, going from 16.2% on the season to 27.3% in the last week.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Victor Robles in the 83rd percentile when assessing his BABIP ability.

,Victor Robles has put up a .313 BABIP since the start of last season, checking in at the 78th percentile.

,When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Kyle Stowers ranks in the 85th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

,Utilizing Statcast data, Cal Raleigh grades out in the 88th percentile for offensive ability per the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season at .358.

Negatives with the Miami Marlins Series Game 3 Game Today

Joe Mack is projected to hit 8th on the lineup card in this matchup.

,14% of the time that Joe Mack has started against a right-handed pitcher this year, he has been pinch hit for.

,LoanDepot Park grades out as the #29 stadium in the league for run-scoring, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).

,The 4th-deepest right field dimensions in the league are found in LoanDepot Park.

,LoanDepot Park’s altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all major league parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to worse offense.

,Colt Emerson is projected to hit 9th in the batting order in this matchup.

,The LoanDepot Park roof is expected to be closed today, making the temperature in this match-up -9° colder than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate — favorable for pitching.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Victor Robles in the 12th percentile as it relates to his home run talent.

,Victor Robles is projected to bat 8th on the lineup card in today’s game.

,Dominic Canzone has been lifted for a pinch-hitter 34% of the time when starting against a righty on the mound this year.

,The #5 venue in Major League Baseball for suppressing batting average to lefties, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is LoanDepot Park.

,Heriberto Hernandez is penciled in 6th on the lineup card in this game.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects LoanDepot Park as the 2nd-worst field in the game for right-handed home runs.

,Batting from the same side that Bryce Miller throws from, Heriberto Hernandez faces a tough challenge in today’s game.

,41% of the time that Owen Caissie has started against a righty on the mound this year, he has been pinch hit for.

,With a .240 Expected wOBA (or xwOBA, an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) using Statcast data) since the start of last season, Owen Caissie is positioned in the 15th percentile for offensive ability.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Liam Hicks in the 15th percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability.

,The #5 stadium in baseball for suppressing batting average to RHB, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is LoanDepot Park.

,Hitting from the same side that Bryce Miller throws from, Otto Lopez has a tough challenge in today’s game.

,Otto Lopez has a 95th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.7%) but may find it hard to clear baseball’s 4th-deepest RF fences in today’s game.

,According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), the offense with the 4th-least strikeout-heavy lineup on the slate today is the Miami Marlins with a 20.9% underlying K%.

,Erich Bacchus projects as a Hitters Umpire and is scheduled to be umping in today’s game.

,With 6 hitters who bat from the opposite side in the opposing team’s projected lineup, Bryce Miller will be at a disadvantage while lacking the platoon advantage in most plate appearances in today’s game.

,Bryce Miller will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today’s matchup.

,Considering the 1.27 difference between Bryce Miller’s 10.59 K/9 and his 9.32 estimated true talent K/9 (via the leading projection system, THE BAT), it’s safe to say he’s been one of the luckiest pitchers in the majors this year as it relates to strikeouts and ought to see negative regression in the future.

,Javier Sanoja is projected to bat 9th in the lineup today.

,Bryce Miller will have the handedness advantage over Javier Sanoja today.

,According to the leading projection system (THE BAT)’s assessment, Bryce Miller’s overall pitching talent ranks in the 87th percentile among all starters in the majors right now.

,The Miami Marlins have been the luckiest offense in Major League Baseball this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to perform worse going forward,LoanDepot Park projects as the #29 ballpark in Major League Baseball for home runs, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

,Jakob Marsee’s BABIP ability is projected in the 24th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Jakob Marsee is projected to bat 7th in the batting order in this matchup, which would be a downgrade from his 60% rate of hitting in the top-half of the batting order this year.

,Xavier Edwards has a 97th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (38.6%) and will be challenged by the game’s 9th-deepest LF fences in today’s game.

,In the past week’s worth of games, Xavier Edwards’s 30.8% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 48.8%.

,Batting from the same side that Janson Junk throws from, Randy Arozarena encounters a tough challenge in today’s matchup.

,Playing on the road generally diminishes hitter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Randy Arozarena in today’s matchup.

,Luke Raley is projected to hit 6th in the batting order in this game.

,Luke Raley has been replaced by a pinch-hitter 30% of the time when starting against a righty hurler this year.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Cole Young in the 25th percentile when assessing his home run talent.

,Cole Young is projected to hit 7th on the lineup card in this game.

,The #2 venue in Major League Baseball for suppressing home runs to left-handed hitters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is LoanDepot Park.

,J.P. Crawford has a 78th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.5%) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of baseball’s 9th-deepest LF fences in today’s matchup.

,Playing on the road generally reduces hitter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for J.P. Crawford in today’s game.

,Kyle Stowers pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (35.2% — 82nd percentile) and will be challenged by MLB’s 4th-deepest RF fences in today’s matchup.

,Kyle Stowers’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has fallen off of late, falling from 15.5% on the season to 7.7% in the last two weeks.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Javier Sanoja in the 7th percentile when estimating his home run skill.

,Josh Naylor’s BABIP skill is projected in the 14th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Josh Naylor pulls a lot of his flyballs (35.8% — 86th percentile) and will be challenged by the league’s 4th-deepest RF fences in today’s game.

,Today, Cal Raleigh is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 4th-deepest RF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the pull field at a 43.1% rate (100th percentile).

,Cal Raleigh will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today’s matchup.

,Josh Naylor will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today’s game.

,Over the last two weeks, Liam Hicks’s exit velocity on flyballs has fallen from his seasonal mark of 88.6 mph to 82 mph.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT) forecasts Janson Junk in the 14th percentile as it relates to his strikeout ability.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) expects Janson Junk to be on a bit of a short leash in this game, projecting a maximum of 76 pitches.

,The Seattle Mariners have 7 batters in the projected batting order that will have the handedness advantage over Janson Junk in this game.

,Janson Junk has relied on his slider 5.5% less often this year (37%) than he did last season (42.5%).

,When estimating his home run talent, Xavier Edwards ranks in the 3rd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Cole Young pulls a lot of his flyballs (36.4% — 89th percentile) but may find it hard to clear the league’s 4th-deepest RF fences in today’s matchup.

,Janson Junk will have the handedness advantage against Victor Robles today.

,Cal Raleigh’s BABIP ability is projected in the 2nd percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

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