Mariners vs Dodgers match player stats | 2026 Tuesday, July 28th

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SEA @ LAD

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Mariners @ Dodgers Matchup Details

Teams : Seattle Mariners at Los Angeles Dodgers

Date : Todays Game is on Tuesday, July 28th
Time : 28/07/26 22:10:00 PM EST First Pitch

Positives for the Seattle Mariners Game Today

Mookie Betts’s batting average ability is projected to be in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Mookie Betts is projected to bat 5th in the batting order in today’s game.

,Mookie Betts hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.8% — 97th percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting out towards the game’s 9th-shallowest CF fences in today’s game.

,The Seattle Mariners infield defense profiles as the 3rd-worst out of all the teams in action today.

,Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter metrics across the board, and Mookie Betts will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

,As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Kyle Tucker ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

,The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Dodger Stadium as the best field in the game for LHB home runs.

,Dodger Stadium has the shortest average fence height among all major league stadiums.

,Kyle Tucker will hold the platoon advantage over Luis Castillo in today’s matchup… and even more favorably, Castillo has a large platoon split.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Andy Pages in the 89th percentile when assessing his batting average talent.

,Andy Pages is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in this matchup.

,Dodger Stadium projects as the #1 ballpark in MLB for RHB home runs, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

,In Major League Baseball, Dodger Stadium’s CF dimensions are the 9th-shallowest.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Cal Raleigh as the game’s 9th-best home run batter.

,Cal Raleigh is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in today’s game.

,When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Randy Arozarena ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

,Randy Arozarena is projected to bat 1st in the batting order today.

,Randy Arozarena will hold the platoon advantage over Justin Wrobleski in today’s game.

,Home field advantage generally boosts hitter metrics in all categories, and Kyle Tucker will hold that advantage today.

,Over the last week, Kyle Tucker’s Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 6.2% up to 12.5%.

,As it relates to his home run talent, Max Muncy ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Max Muncy is penciled in 4th in the lineup in this game.

,Max Muncy will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Luis Castillo today… and even better, Castillo has a large platoon split.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Freddie Freeman as the 14th-best hitter in the league when it comes to his batting average ability.

,Freddie Freeman is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in today’s game.

,Hitting from the opposite that Justin Wrobleski throws from, Weston Wilson will have the upper hand in today’s matchup.

,In the past 7 days, Weston Wilson’s Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 6.5% up to 12.5%.

,When assessing his batting average skill, Julio Rodriguez is projected as the 9th-best hitter in Major League Baseball by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Julio Rodriguez is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order in this game.

,Hitting from the opposite that Justin Wrobleski throws from, Julio Rodriguez will have the upper hand in today’s game.

,Julio Rodriguez hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.1% — 94th percentile) and is fortunate to face the game’s 9th-shallowest CF fences in today’s game.

,Julio Rodriguez’s launch angle this season (12.7°) is a considerable increase over his 9.3° mark last season.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Julio Rodriguez in the 96th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent.

,Home field advantage generally boosts batter metrics in all categories, and Tommy Edman will hold that advantage in today’s game.

,When it comes to his home run ability, Mitch Garver ranks in the 85th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Mitch Garver will have the handedness advantage against Justin Wrobleski today.

,When assessing his overall offensive ability, Mookie Betts ranks in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

,Cole Young’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better lately, rising from 15.7% on the season to 23.5% in the past week.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Teoscar Hernandez in the 91st percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent.

,Teoscar Hernandez will hold the home field advantage in today’s game, which figures to bolster all of his stats.

,According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Freddie Freeman ranks as the 19th-best hitter in MLB.

,Because of Luis Castillo’s large platoon split, Freddie Freeman will have an enormous advantage hitting from the opposite side of the dish today.

,Posting a .325 BABIP this year, Teoscar Hernandez grades out in the 81st percentile.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Andy Pages in the 87th percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill.

,Josh Naylor’s batting average ability is projected to be in the 85th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Josh Naylor is penciled in 5th in the lineup today.

,Josh Naylor has exhibited strong plate discipline this year, grading out in the 88th percentile with a 1.49 K/BB rate.

,Since the start of last season, Mitch Garver has an average exit velocity of 91.3 mph, which ranks among the best in the game at the 87th percentile.

,When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Max Muncy ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

,Max Muncy will hold the home field advantage today, which figures to bolster all of his stats.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Teoscar Hernandez in the 88th percentile when it comes to his home run skill.

,As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Dominic Canzone ranks in the 84th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

,Dominic Canzone is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order today, which would be an upgrade from his 65% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this season.

,Dominic Canzone hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.4% — 83rd percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting out towards the league’s 9th-shallowest CF fences in today’s matchup.

,When assessing his home run skill, Dalton Rushing ranks in the 87th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Because of Luis Castillo’s large platoon split, Dalton Rushing will have a colossal advantage batting from the opposite side of the plate in today’s game.

,In the past week, Cal Raleigh’s exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 91.8-mph over the course of the season to 101.5-mph recently.

,Despite posting a .256 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Cal Raleigh has experienced some negative variance given the .086 discrepancy between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .342.

,Cal Raleigh has recorded a .358 Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season, placing in the 88th percentile for offensive skills according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

,Tommy Edman’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased from last season to this one, going from 12.6% to 18.3%.

,Randy Arozarena hits many of his flyballs to center field (38% — 76th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting towards baseball’s 9th-shallowest CF fences today.

,Randy Arozarena’s ability to hit the ball at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has improved from last season to this one, increasing from 39.2% to 48.9%.

,Tommy Edman’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased recently, going from 18.3% on the season to 27.3% in the last two weeks’ worth of games.

,Home field advantage generally boosts hitter stats across the board, and Andy Pages will hold that advantage today.

,Dalton Rushing will possess the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which ought to boost all of his stats.

,According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Shohei Ohtani ranks as the 4th-best hitter in MLB.

,Shohei Ohtani is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card today.

,The best projected batting order on the slate in terms of overall offensive ability is that of the Los Angeles Dodgers.

,It may be best to expect better numbers for the Los Angeles Dodgers offense in the future, given that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) sees them as the 9th-unluckiest offense in baseball this year.

,The #3 park in MLB for boosting home runs, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Dodger Stadium.

,Because of Luis Castillo’s large platoon split, Shohei Ohtani will have an enormous advantage hitting from the opposite side of the dish today.

,Over the last 7 days, Weston Wilson’s 25% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 19.1%.

,Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Batting Average (.256) suggests that Weston Wilson has been unlucky since the start of last season with his .210 actual batting average.

,Luis Castillo has averaged 96.5 adjusted pitches per outing this year, grading out in the 96th percentile.

,Dominic Canzone has seen a notable increase in his exit velocity on flyballs this season; just compare his 96.4-mph average to last year’s 94.1-mph average.

,Based on Statcast data, Dominic Canzone ranks in the 97th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Batting Average since the start of last season at .298.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Dodger Stadium as the 7th-best stadium in the league for strikeouts.

,Luis Castillo was in good form in his previous GS and accumulated 7 strikeouts.

,Compared to his seasonal average of 18.3°, Dalton Rushing has significantly improved his launch angle of late, posting a 23.7° mark over the past two weeks.

,In the past 7 days, Dalton Rushing has displayed impressive power, recording a a 16.7% Barrel% (an advanced stat to evaluate power).

Negatives with the Los Angeles Dodgers Game Today

The #5 field in MLB for suppressing base hits to righties, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Dodger Stadium.

,Luis Castillo will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Mookie Betts in today’s game… and it’s a particular mismatch considering Castillo’s large platoon split.

,Checking in at the 16th percentile, the hardest ball Mookie Betts has connected with this year reached a maximum exit velocity of 108.1 mph — an advanced indication of underlying power ability.

,Posting a .226 BABIP this year, Mookie Betts has performed in the 1st percentile.

,Kyle Tucker has primarily hit in the top-half of the batting order this year (67% of the time), but he is penciled in 7th in the lineup in today’s game.

,Kyle Tucker pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (35.2% — 83rd percentile) and will be challenged by MLB’s 8th-deepest RF fences in today’s game.

,Kyle Tucker’s exit velocity on flyballs has declined this year; his 92.4-mph EV last year has fallen off to 87.9-mph.

,Ranking in the 25th percentile for power, Kyle Tucker has averaged 12.7 HRs per 600 plate appearances this year.

,Because of Luis Castillo’s large platoon split, Andy Pages will be at a colossal disadvantage hitting from the same side of the plate today.

,Over the past 7 days, Andy Pages’s exit velocity on flyballs has lowered from his seasonal average of 90.6 mph to 83.4 mph.

,From last year to this one, Andy Pages’s ability to hit the ball at a launch angle that optimizes BABIP (-4° to 26°) has decreased substantially, plummeting from 47.6% to 42.1%.

,As a switch-hitter who performs worse from the 0 side of the dish, Cal Raleigh will be less advantaged while batting from his bad side against Justin Wrobleski today.

,Playing on the road typically lowers hitter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Cal Raleigh in today’s game.

,This year, Cal Raleigh’s Barrel% has decreased significantly, dropping from 19% last year to just 11% this year.

,Cal Raleigh’s ability to hit the ball at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has declined from last season to this one, falling from 39% to 30.8%.

,Ranking in the 6th percentile, Cal Raleigh has posted a .270 wOBA (widely regarded as the top indicator of overall offense) this year.

,Playing on the road generally lessens batter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Randy Arozarena today.

,Over the last 7 days, Randy Arozarena’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 7.5% down to 0%.

,Randy Arozarena’s launch angle this year (7.8°) is significantly lower than his 13.4° angle last season.

,Compared to his seasonal angle of 7.8°, Randy Arozarena has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (-1.2°) in the last 14 days.

,Colt Emerson is projected to bat 9th in the lineup in this game.

,Hitting from the same side that Justin Wrobleski throws from, Colt Emerson will have a disadvantage in today’s game.

,Playing on the road generally weakens hitter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Colt Emerson today.

,In the last 14 days, Colt Emerson’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 5.7% down to 0%.

,Colt Emerson’s average exit velocity has decreased lately; his 86.3-mph seasonal average has fallen to 83.1-mph in the last two weeks’ worth of games.

,The #5 ballpark in Major League Baseball for suppressing BABIP to LHB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Dodger Stadium.

,Max Muncy pulls a lot of his flyballs (40.5% — 98th percentile) and will have to hit them out towards baseball’s 8th-deepest RF fences in today’s game.

,Max Muncy’s exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off in recent games; his 96-mph seasonal figure has fallen to 91.6-mph over the past 7 days.

,Max Muncy’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has dropped off from last year to this one, falling from 20.6% to 17%.

,Despite posting a .367 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Max Muncy has had some very good luck given the .020 discrepancy between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .347.

,Over the last two weeks, Freddie Freeman’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 10.3% down to 4.3%.

,Freddie Freeman’s average exit velocity has fallen off in recent games; his 90.2-mph seasonal mark has decreased to 86.3-mph over the last 14 days.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Weston Wilson in the 9th percentile when estimating his batting average talent.

,Weston Wilson is penciled in 8th in the batting order in this game.

,Playing on the road generally lowers hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Weston Wilson in today’s matchup.

,Weston Wilson’s exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off in recent games; his 90.8-mph seasonal average has dropped to 88.5-mph in the past 7 days.

,Playing on the road generally weakens hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Julio Rodriguez today.

,In the past 14 days, Julio Rodriguez’s exit velocity on flyballs has fallen from his seasonal EV of 93.8 mph to 87.6 mph.

,Julio Rodriguez’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has fallen off of late, going from 13.7% on the season to 5.3% over the last 14 days.

,Tommy Edman is penciled in 6th in the lineup today.

,As a switch-hitter who is weaker from the 0 side of the plate, Tommy Edman will be at a big disadvantage against Luis Castillo and his large platoon split in today’s game.

,Tommy Edman’s exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off this season; his 89.3-mph average last season has decreased to 85.4-mph.

,In terms of his home runs, Tommy Edman has experienced some positive variance since the start of last season. His 18.5 HR per 600 plate appearances figure has been a good deal higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected HR/600 at 7.8.

,Sporting a .272 BABIP since the start of last season, Tommy Edman is ranked in the 24th percentile.

,Mitch Garver is projected to bat 7th on the lineup card in this game.

,Playing on the road typically diminishes hitter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Mitch Garver today.

,Utilizing Statcast metrics, Mitch Garver is in the 19th percentile for offensive ability via the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season at .251.

,Mitch Garver has posted a .287 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) since the start of last season, ranking in the 20th percentile.

,Sporting a .339 Slugging Percentage (SLG) since the start of last season, Mitch Garver finds himself in the 12th percentile.

,Cole Young is penciled in 6th in the lineup today.

,Justin Wrobleski will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Cole Young today.

,Today, Cole Young is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 8th-deepest RF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the pull field at a 36.1% rate (87th percentile).

,Cole Young will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today’s matchup.

,Cole Young’s average exit velocity has fallen off in recent games; his 88.3-mph seasonal mark has dropped to 85.8-mph in the last week’s worth of games.

,Teoscar Hernandez is penciled in 8th in the batting order in today’s game.

,Luis Castillo will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Teoscar Hernandez in today’s matchup… and it’s an even larger mismatch considering Castillo’s large platoon split.

,Teoscar Hernandez has a 92nd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.9%) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of baseball’s 8th-deepest RF fences today.

,Teoscar Hernandez has taken a step back with his Barrel% lately; his 9.4% seasonal rate has lowered to 0% over the past two weeks.

,Teoscar Hernandez’s average exit velocity has declined lately; his 89.5-mph seasonal average has fallen to 84.5-mph over the last 7 days.

,Over the last week, Freddie Freeman’s 5.6% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 15.4%.

,From last season to this one, Andy Pages’s ability to hit the ball at a launch angle that optimizes home runs (23° to 34°) has decreased substantially, plummeting from 19.4% to 16.4%.

,Hitting from the same side that Justin Wrobleski throws from, Josh Naylor will have a tough matchup in today’s game.

,In today’s matchup, Josh Naylor is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 8th-deepest RF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the pull field at a 35.2% rate (83rd percentile).

,Josh Naylor will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today’s matchup.

,Over the past two weeks, Josh Naylor’s exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off from his seasonal mark of 89.6 mph to 79.7 mph.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Mitch Garver in the 6th percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill.

,Mitch Garver’s speed has decreased this year. His 25.95 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last year sits at 25.12 ft/sec now.

,Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Batting Average (.168) may lead us to conclude that Mitch Garver has had some very good luck since the start of last season with his .199 actual batting average.

,Cal Raleigh’s average exit velocity has declined this year; his 90.8-mph mark last year has decreased to 88.2-mph.

,Hitting from the same side that Justin Wrobleski throws from, Dominic Canzone will have a tough challenge today.

,Dominic Canzone will be at a disadvantage playing on the road today.

,Dominic Canzone has taken a step back with his Barrel% of late; his 14.1% seasonal rate has fallen to 0% over the last 14 days.

,In the last 14 days, Dominic Canzone’s 0% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 16.7%.

,Dominic Canzone has been lucky this year, posting a .350 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .329 — a .021 gap.

,Dalton Rushing is projected to bat 9th in the lineup in this matchup.

,In today’s game, Dalton Rushing is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 8th-deepest RF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the pull field at a 36.8% rate (90th percentile).

,Dalton Rushing has been cold in recent games, with his seasonal exit velocity of 88.8-mph dropping to 83.1-mph over the past two weeks.

,Dalton Rushing has been lucky this year, putting up a .342 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .320 — a .022 deviation.

,Compared to his seasonal angle of 12.7°, Josh Naylor has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (4.1°) over the past 14 days.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Cal Raleigh in the 2nd percentile when estimating his BABIP talent.

,Despite posting a .393 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Tommy Edman has been lucky given the .093 difference between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .300.

,Shohei Ohtani has taken a step back with his Barrel%; his 23.7% rate last season has dropped off to 16.8% this season.

,Shohei Ohtani’s exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off this year; his 100.7-mph figure last year has lowered to 96.7-mph.

,Compared to his seasonal figure of 12.8°, Shohei Ohtani has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (-0.3°) in the last 14 days.

,In his previous outing, Luis Castillo was in good form and conceded 0 ER.

,Contrary to popular belief, fastballs are generally a pitcher’s least effective pitch. Luis Castillo has used his off-speed and breaking balls 8.5% more often this season (40.3%) than he did last year (31.8%).

,Given the 0.48 discrepancy between Luis Castillo’s 4.85 ERA and his 4.37 estimated true talent ERA (via the leading projection system, THE BAT), it’s safe to say he’s been one of the least fortunate pitchers in MLB this year and figures to perform better in future games.

,The Los Angeles Dodgers have 6 bats in the projected lineup that will hold the platoon advantage over Luis Castillo in this matchup, which is especially problematic given his large platoon split.

,Playing on the road generally weakens pitcher stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Luis Castillo today.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Weston Wilson in the 23rd percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill.

,Weston Wilson has been lucky this year, notching a .306 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .285 — a .021 deviation.

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