SEA @ LAA






Mariners @ Angels Series Game 3 Matchup Details
Series Game 3
Date : Todays Game is on Wednesday, September 16th
Time : 16/09/26 21:38:00 PM EST First Pitch
Positives for the Seattle Mariners Series Game 3 Game Today
The Los Angeles Angels infield defense projects as the 4th-weakest out of all the teams today.
,Cole Young has made big improvements with his Barrel% of late, improving his 5.2% seasonal rate to 15.8% in the last week’s worth of games.
,In the past 14 days, Cole Young’s exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 91-mph over the course of the season to 97.6-mph of late.
,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Christian Moore in the 86th percentile when estimating his BABIP talent.
,Out of all the teams today, the worst infield defense belongs to the Seattle Mariners.
,Christian Moore will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which ought to bolster all of his stats.
,Christian Moore has seen a substantial gain in his exit velocity on flyballs of late; just compare his 95.9-mph average in the last week to his seasonal EV of 89.2-mph.
,Despite posting a .218 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Christian Moore has had bad variance on his side given the .076 discrepancy between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .294.
,Among all major league stadiums, Angel Stadium has the lowest average fence height.
,Tyler Heineman will hold the home field advantage today, which should boost all of his stats.
,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Tyler Heineman’s true offensive talent to be a .250, suggesting that he has experienced some negative variance this year given the .045 discrepancy between that figure and his actual .205 wOBA.
,According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Mike Trout ranks as the 7th-best hitter in the league.
,Mike Trout is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in this game.
,Home field advantage generally boosts hitter stats in all categories, and Mike Trout will hold that advantage in today’s game.
,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Julio Rodriguez as the 13th-best hitter in baseball when estimating his batting average talent.
,Julio Rodriguez is penciled in 5th on the lineup card today.
,Julio Rodriguez will have the handedness advantage against Yusei Kikuchi today.
,Julio Rodriguez has been hot of late, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 90.3-mph to 97-mph over the last 7 days.
,Josh Lowe’s BABIP skill is projected in the 75th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
,Josh Lowe will hold the platoon advantage against George Kirby in today’s matchup.
,Home field advantage generally boosts batter stats across the board, and Josh Lowe will hold that advantage today.
,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Josh Lowe’s true offensive ability to be a .309, implying that he has had some very poor luck this year given the .035 discrepancy between that figure and his actual .274 wOBA.
,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Vaughn Grissom in the 76th percentile when it comes to his batting average skill.
,Vaughn Grissom is projected to hit 4th in the batting order today.
,Vaughn Grissom will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which figures to improve all of his stats.
,Moises Ballesteros is penciled in 5th in the lineup in this game.
,Batting from the opposite that George Kirby throws from, Moises Ballesteros will have an advantage in today’s matchup.
,Home field advantage typically improves hitter metrics across the board, and Moises Ballesteros will hold that advantage in today’s game.
,When assessing his overall offensive skill, Dominic Canzone ranks in the 82nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
,Dominic Canzone is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in this game.
,Dominic Canzone has seen a big increase in his exit velocity on flyballs recently; just compare his 97.4-mph average in the last week to his seasonal EV of 95.3-mph.
,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Julio Rodriguez in the 94th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill.
,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects J.P. Crawford in the 78th percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent.
,J.P. Crawford is projected to bat 1st in the batting order today.
,With a .293 Expected Batting Average (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) based on Statcast data) since the start of last season , J.P. Crawford grades out in the 95th percentile.
,Michael Arroyo will have the handedness advantage over Yusei Kikuchi today.
,Over the last week, Michael Arroyo has displayed impressive power, recording a a 16.7% Barrel% (a reliable metric to study power).
,Michael Arroyo has displayed some good exit velocity benchmarks lately, averaging 103.6-mph on his flyballs in the last 7 days.
,Hitting from the opposite that Yusei Kikuchi throws from, Weston Wilson will have an advantage today.
,Using Statcast metrics, Weston Wilson is in the 80th percentile for offensive ability via the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season at .333.
,Weston Wilson has paced 22.9 Expected Home Runs per 600 plate appearances since the start of last season, ranking in the 75th percentile for power according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.
,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Randy Arozarena in the 96th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent.
,Randy Arozarena is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup today.
,Randy Arozarena will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Yusei Kikuchi in today’s matchup.
,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Cal Raleigh as MLB’s 4th-best home run batter.
,Cal Raleigh is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in today’s game.
,Cal Raleigh has been unlucky this year, notching a .295 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .344 — a .049 gap.
,Cal Raleigh has paced 42.2 Expected Home Runs per 600 plate appearances since the start of last season, placing in the 99th percentile for power according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.
,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Wade Meckler as the 10th-best batter in MLB when assessing his BABIP talent.
,Wade Meckler is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order in this matchup.
,Hitting from the opposite that George Kirby throws from, Wade Meckler will have the upper hand in today’s game.
,Dominic Canzone’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better in recent games, increasing from 17% on the season to 24.4% in the last two weeks’ worth of games.
,Mike Trout has made big strides with his Barrel% of late, improving his 15.6% seasonal rate to 22.2% in the last 7 days.
,Denzer Guzman will benefit from the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which figures to bolster all of his stats.
,Denzer Guzman has seen a sizeable gain in his exit velocity on flyballs recently; just compare his 95.3-mph average over the past two weeks to his seasonal mark of 90.6-mph.
,Over the past 14 days, Denzer Guzman’s 56.3% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 44%.
,Denzer Guzman and his 16.9° launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls rank in 82nd percentile, among the highest in MLB since the start of last season.
,Michael Arroyo has been zeroed in on the ideal launch angle for base hits lately, lifting balls between -4° and 26° 66.7% of the time in the last week’s worth of games.
,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Zach Neto in the 90th percentile when estimating his home run ability.
,Zach Neto is penciled in 1st in the batting order today.
,Home field advantage typically improves batter metrics in all categories, and Zach Neto will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.
,Josh Naylor’s batting average skill is projected to be in the 85th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
,Josh Naylor has put up a .280 batting average this year, ranking in the 89th percentile.
,Josh Lowe’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better from last year to this one, increasing from 14.3% to 19.3%.
,The Seattle Mariners have been the unluckiest offense in the game this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to perform better in future games,Chad Fairchild grades out as a Hitters Umpire and is likely to be umping in this game.
,Yusei Kikuchi has used his four-seam fastball 5.3% more often this season (40.3%) than he did last season (35%).
,By putting up a 1.71 K/BB rate this year, Josh Naylor has shown impressive plate discipline, grading out in the 79th percentile.
,Compared to his seasonal average of 13.2°, J.P. Crawford has significantly improved his launch angle recently, posting a 20.4° mark over the past week.
,J.P. Crawford has put up a .343 Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season, placing in the 79th percentile for offensive skills according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.
,Using Statcast metrics, Cal Raleigh grades out in the 88th percentile for offensive skills per the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season at .358.
,Over the past 14 days, Randy Arozarena’s exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 93.6-mph over the course of the season to 97-mph lately.
,Zach Neto has seen a notable gain in his exit velocity on flyballs recently; just compare his 102.2-mph average in the last week to his seasonal average of 95.2-mph.
,Michael Arroyo has been hot of late, putting up a .460 wOBA over the last week.
,Wade Meckler will hold the home field advantage in today’s game, which should improve all of his stats.
,George Kirby has averaged 93.6 adjusted pitches per GS this year, ranking in the 84th percentile.
,Cal Raleigh, the Mariners’s expected catcher today, projects as a good pitch framer according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).
,George Kirby turned in a great performance in his last game started and gave up 1 ER.
,George Kirby’s sinker rate has decreased by 6% from last year to this one (26.9% to 20.9%) .
,Moises Ballesteros has made notable improvements with his Barrel% recently, improving his 9.1% seasonal rate to 16.7% in the past week’s worth of games.
,The Los Angeles Angels have 5 batters in their projected batting order today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (via the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Zach Neto, Mike Trout, Denzer Guzman, Josh Lowe, Christian Moore).
,Angel Stadium profiles as the #4 park in the league for strikeouts, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).
,When estimating his overall offensive talent, Zach Neto ranks in the 87th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
,Denzer Guzman’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved in recent games, increasing from 13.7% on the season to 18.8% in the past two weeks’ worth of games.
,In the last two weeks, Wade Meckler’s 14.8% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 11.6%.
Negatives with the Los Angeles Angels Series Game 3 Game Today
Cole Young is projected to hit 8th in the batting order in today’s game.
,Angel Stadium profiles as the #25 ballpark in the league for left-handed batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).
,Yusei Kikuchi will hold the platoon advantage over Cole Young in today’s game.
,Cole Young will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team today.
,Compared to his seasonal figure of 13.3°, Cole Young has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (8.1°) in the past two weeks.
,Christian Moore is projected to bat 8th in the lineup in today’s game.
,The #5 park in MLB for suppressing batting average to right-handed batters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Angel Stadium.
,Batting from the same side that George Kirby throws from, Christian Moore meets a tough challenge in today’s game.
,Christian Moore’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has decreased from last year to this one, going from 16.2% to 7.7%.
,In the last 7 days, Christian Moore’s 28.6% rate of hitting balls at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 38.5%.
,As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Tyler Heineman ranks in the 1st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
,Tyler Heineman is penciled in 9th in the batting order in today’s game.
,Tyler Heineman has been replaced by a pinch-hitter 18% of the time when starting against a righty hurler this year.
,The #1 field in the majors for suppressing offensive stats, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Angel Stadium.
,As a switch-hitter who performs worse from the 0 side of the plate, Tyler Heineman will be less advantaged while batting from his weak side against George Kirby in today’s matchup.
,George Kirby will have the handedness advantage against Mike Trout today.
,Julio Rodriguez will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today’s matchup.
,Julio Rodriguez has taken a step back with his Barrel% in recent games; his 8.8% seasonal rate has lowered to 2.4% in the last 14 days.
,Julio Rodriguez’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has fallen off in recent games, falling from 14% on the season to 0% over the past 14 days.
,Josh Lowe is penciled in 7th in the lineup in today’s game.
,Josh Lowe has been lifted for a pinch-hitter 26% of the time when starting against a righty hurler this year.
,Josh Lowe has an 81st percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34%) but may find it hard to clear MLB’s 11th-deepest LF fences today.
,From last season to this one, Josh Lowe’s ability to hit the ball at a launch angle that optimizes BABIP (-4° to 26°) has decreased substantially, plummeting from 47.7% to 36.4%.
,Batting from the same side that George Kirby throws from, Vaughn Grissom will be in a tough position in today’s matchup.
,Over the past week, Vaughn Grissom’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 7% down to 0%.
,Vaughn Grissom’s average exit velocity has dropped off lately; his 87.7-mph seasonal figure has dropped to 83.5-mph over the last 7 days.
,In the last week, Vaughn Grissom’s 14.3% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 48%.
,This year, Moises Ballesteros has been pinch hit for in 33% of his appearances when starting against righty on the mound.
,Moises Ballesteros has an 81st percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34%) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of the league’s 11th-deepest LF fences in today’s game.
,Moises Ballesteros has posted a .282 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) this year, placing in the 9th percentile.
,By putting up a .222 batting average this year, Moises Ballesteros is positioned in the 16th percentile.
,Hitting from the same side that Yusei Kikuchi throws from, Dominic Canzone will have a disadvantage today.
,Dominic Canzone will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today’s game.
,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Dominic Canzone’s true offensive ability to be a .326, providing some evidence that he has experienced some positive variance this year given the .018 gap between that mark and his actual .344 wOBA.
,The #8 field in Major League Baseball for suppressing home runs to RHB, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Angel Stadium.
,Yusei Kikuchi will hold the platoon advantage against J.P. Crawford in today’s matchup.
,Playing on the road generally lessens hitter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for J.P. Crawford in today’s game.
,J.P. Crawford has been cold of late, with his seasonal exit velocity of 87.6-mph dropping to 83.8-mph in the past 7 days.
,J.P. Crawford’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has decreased from last season to this one, falling from 19% to 14.3%.
,Michael Arroyo is projected to hit 7th in the lineup in this matchup.
,Michael Arroyo will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today’s matchup.
,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Weston Wilson in the 11th percentile as it relates to his batting average ability.
,Weston Wilson is penciled in 9th on the lineup card in today’s game.
,Weston Wilson will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today’s matchup.
,Weston Wilson’s exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off lately; his 90.7-mph seasonal EV has lowered to 81.1-mph in the last 7 days.
,When assessing his overall offensive talent, Weston Wilson ranks in the 20th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
,Playing on the road typically lessens hitter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Randy Arozarena today.
,Randy Arozarena’s launch angle this year (9.7°) is significantly lower than his 13.4° angle last season.
,Randy Arozarena’s launch angle in recent games (3° in the last 7 days) is a significant dropoff from his 9.7° seasonal mark.
,Despite posting a .370 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Randy Arozarena has been lucky given the .015 gap between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .355.
,As a switch-hitter who bats worse from the 0 side of the dish, Cal Raleigh will bat from his bad side against Yusei Kikuchi in this game.
,Cal Raleigh pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (43.6% — 100th percentile) and will be challenged by the league’s 11th-deepest LF fences in today’s matchup.
,Playing on the road generally lessens batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Cal Raleigh today.
,Cal Raleigh’s exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off this year; his 97-mph average last year has fallen off to 93.5-mph.
,Wade Meckler has been pinch hit for 19% of the time when starting against a righty on the mound this year.
,Over the last week, Wade Meckler’s exit velocity on flyballs has fallen from his seasonal mark of 90.8 mph to 81.3 mph.
,Over the last week, Wade Meckler has failed to produce much power, posting a mere a 0% Barrel% (an advanced stat to measure power).
,Despite posting a .337 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Wade Meckler has been lucky given the .028 discrepancy between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .309.
,Mike Trout’s exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off this season; his 96.8-mph EV last year has decreased to 94-mph.
,Denzer Guzman is projected to hit 6th on the lineup card in this game.
,Batting from the same side that George Kirby throws from, Denzer Guzman will not have the upper hand in today’s matchup.
,Denzer Guzman pulls many of his flyballs (35.1% — 82nd percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of the game’s 11th-deepest LF fences in today’s game.
,In notching a .188 Expected wOBA (or xwOBA, an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) based on Statcast data) since the start of last season, Denzer Guzman is positioned in the 3rd percentile for offensive skills.
,George Kirby will hold the platoon advantage over Zach Neto in today’s game.
,Zach Neto pulls a lot of his flyballs (38.8% — 95th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards baseball’s 11th-deepest LF fences in today’s game.
,When it comes to plate discipline, Zach Neto’s skill is quite poor, putting up a 3.43 K/BB rate this year while placing in in the 15th percentile.
,Josh Naylor is projected to hit 6th in the batting order today, which would be a downgrade from his 89% rate of hitting in the top-half of the batting order this season.
,Batting from the same side that Yusei Kikuchi throws from, Josh Naylor encounters a tough challenge in today’s game.
,Playing on the road generally weakens hitter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Josh Naylor today.
,Josh Naylor’s exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off this season; his 90.3-mph mark last season has lowered to 88.2-mph.
,The #8 field in MLB for suppressing home runs to left-handed hitters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Angel Stadium.
,Sporting a 12.200 Expected Home Runs per 600 plate appearances (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) using Statcast data) since the start of last season , Josh Lowe finds himself in the 21st percentile for power.
,The #2 venue in baseball for suppressing walks, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Angel Stadium.
,Yusei Kikuchi will hold the home field advantage today, which figures to improve all of his metrics across the board.
,In his last game started, Yusei Kikuchi turned in a great performance and conceded 2 ER.
,Yusei Kikuchi has recorded a .323 BABIP this year, indicating that he has been one of the unluckiest hurlers in the game on balls in play with improved performance likely coming.
,Seattle Mariners batters collectively grade out 22nd- in the league for power this year when judging by their 7.6% Barrel%.
,Generating 14.5 outs per start this year on average, Yusei Kikuchi checks in at the 21st percentile.
,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Cal Raleigh in the 1st percentile when estimating his BABIP ability.
,Playing on the road typically weakens pitcher stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for George Kirby today.
,Los Angeles has performed as the #7 squad in the league when it comes to hitting balls between -4° and 26°, the launch angle range that tends to best-produce base hits (44.4% rate this year).
,Christian Moore’s launch angle of late (4.4° over the last week) is considerably lower than his 12.2° seasonal mark.
,Over the last 14 days, Vaughn Grissom’s 3.4% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 13.7%.
,George Kirby has notched an 18.7% Strikeout% this year, checking in at the 25th percentile.
,Grading out in the 20th percentile, Moises Ballesteros sits with a .360 Slugging Percentage (SLG) this year.
,Among all starting pitchers, George Kirby’s fastball velocity of 96.1 mph ranks in the 78th percentile this year.
,When estimating his home run ability, Wade Meckler ranks in the 2nd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
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