Todays Series Game 3 Matchup Details

Player match stat positives for Cleveland at Tampa Bay Series Game 3 Matchup Today

The 5th-shallowest right field fences in Major League Baseball are found in Tropicana Field.

Hitting from the opposite that Ryan Pepiot throws from, Andres Gimenez will have the upper hand today.

Extreme groundball hitters like Andres Gimenez tend to be more successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Ryan Pepiot.

Andres Gimenez has seen a big gain in his exit velocity lately; just compare his 92.2-mph average in the past 7 days to his seasonal 86.1-mph figure.

In the past 7 days, Andres Gimenez’s 38.5% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 15.8%.

Steven Kwan is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card in this game.

Steven Kwan will have the handedness advantage against Ryan Pepiot today.

Steven Kwan has a 95th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (38.6%) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting them towards the game’s 6th-shallowest LF fences in today’s game.

This season, Steven Kwan has experienced a significant gain in his exit velocity on flyballs, now sitting at an average of 87.8 mph compared to last year’s 85.3 mph mark.

Compared to last year, Steven Kwan has improved his ability to hit the ball at a launch angle ideal for home runs, increasing his percentage of balls hit between 23° and 34° from 15.1% to 18.7% this season.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Steven Kwan in the 97th percentile when assessing his batting average ability.

Angel Martinez is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card today.

Angel Martinez pulls a lot of his flyballs (33.4% — 76th percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting them towards the league’s 5th-shallowest RF fences in today’s game.

Over the past week, Angel Martinez has posted a 21.9° launch angle, lifting the ball well and indicating strong home run potential.

Angel Martinez has been hot lately, hitting his way to a .361 wOBA in the past two weeks.

When it comes to his home run ability, Brandon Lowe ranks in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Brandon Lowe is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in this game.

Because of Ben Lively’s large platoon split, Brandon Lowe will have a big advantage batting from the opposite side of the dish in today’s matchup.

The Cleveland Guardians have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Brandon Lowe stands a good chance of never losing the platoon advantage against the ‘pen all game.

Home field advantage typically boosts hitter stats across the board, and Brandon Lowe will hold that advantage in today’s game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Josh Lowe in the 91st percentile when assessing his BABIP talent.

Josh Lowe is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in today’s game.

Given Ben Lively’s large platoon split, Josh Lowe will have a massive advantage hitting from the opposite side of the dish in today’s game.

Josh Lowe may have an advantage against every reliever for the whole game, since the bullpen of the Cleveland Guardians only has 1 same-handed RP.

Josh Lowe has a 93rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.7%) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting them towards baseball’s 6th-shallowest LF fences in today’s matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Andres Gimenez in the 88th percentile as it relates to his batting average skill.

Isaac Paredes is penciled in 3rd in the lineup today.

Isaac Paredes pulls many of his flyballs (46% — 100th percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting them towards the game’s 6th-shallowest LF fences today.

Isaac Paredes will benefit from the home field advantage in today’s game, which should improve all of his stats.

Isaac Paredes has made substantial strides with his Barrel% lately, improving his 6.2% seasonal rate to 22.2% in the past 14 days.

Isaac Paredes’s average launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls this year (22.1°) is considerably higher than his 18° figure last year.

Given Ben Lively’s large platoon split, Ben Rortvedt will have an enormous advantage hitting from the opposite side of the dish in today’s matchup.

The Cleveland Guardians have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Ben Rortvedt has a strong chance of holding the platoon advantage against every reliever all game.

Ben Rortvedt will possess the home field advantage today, which should bolster all of his stats.

Grading out in the 85th percentile, Ben Rortvedt sports a .281 batting average this year.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Yandy Diaz as the 10th-best hitter in the majors when assessing his batting average skill.

Yandy Diaz is penciled in 1st on the lineup card today.

Yandy Diaz has a 98th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (41.4%) and has the good fortune of hitting them in the direction of baseball’s 5th-shallowest RF fences in today’s game.

Home field advantage typically boosts hitter metrics across the board, and Yandy Diaz will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

Over the past week, Yandy Diaz’s Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 6.8% up to 25%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Ben Lively in the 23rd percentile when assessing his overall pitching abilities.

It is scheduled that we will see a Hitters Umpire (Mark Carlson) calling pitches in today’s game.

Ben Lively will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today’s game.

Ben Lively conceded a monstrous 6 earned runs in his last GS.

The Cleveland Guardians have 8 hitters in the projected lineup that will hold the platoon advantage against Ryan Pepiot in today’s game.

Ryan Pepiot has notched a .256 BABIP this year, a sign that he has been one of the luckiest mound aces in MLB on balls in play and regression likely forthcoming.

When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Josh Naylor ranks in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Josh Naylor is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in this game.

Hitting from the opposite that Ryan Pepiot throws from, Josh Naylor will have the upper hand in today’s matchup.

This season, Josh Naylor has experienced a significant increase in his exit velocity on flyballs, now sitting at an average of 94.9 mph compared to last year’s 91.3 mph mark.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jose Ramirez in the 96th percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill.

Jose Ramirez is penciled in 3rd in the lineup today.

Jose Ramirez pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (41.1% — 99th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards baseball’s 5th-shallowest RF fences today.

Jose Ramirez has seen a notable improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs recently; just compare his 96.1-mph average in the past week’s worth of games to his seasonal figure of 90.8-mph.

Last year, Jose Ramirez had an average launch angle of 8.6° on his hardest-contacted balls, while this year it has significantly increased to 12°.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Isaac Paredes in the 83rd percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Randy Arozarena in the 95th percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability.

Randy Arozarena is projected to bat 5th in the lineup today.

Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter stats in all categories, and Randy Arozarena will hold that advantage today.

Over the last 14 days, Randy Arozarena has improved his Barrel% substantially, increasing it from his seasonal rate of 9.3% to 18.2%.

Randy Arozarena’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better in recent games, going from 15.9% on the season to 27.3% in the last two weeks’ worth of games.

Richie Palacios will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Ben Lively in today’s game… and even better, Lively has a large platoon split.

The Cleveland Guardians have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Richie Palacios can likely count on holding the advantage against every reliever all game.

Richie Palacios pulls a lot of his flyballs (35.3% — 88th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards MLB’s 5th-shallowest RF fences in today’s matchup.

Home field advantage typically improves batter metrics in all categories, and Richie Palacios will hold that advantage in today’s game.

Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (.326) provides evidence that Richie Palacios has been unlucky this year with his .307 actual wOBA.

Tropicana Field grades out as the #3 field in Major League Baseball for strikeouts, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Home field advantage typically bolsters batter metrics in all categories, and Josh Lowe will hold that advantage today.

Daniel Schneemann will hold the platoon advantage over Ryan Pepiot in today’s game.

Batters such as Daniel Schneemann with extreme groundball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Ryan Pepiot who skew towards the flyball end of the spectrum.

Daniel Schneemann’s exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off lately; his 90.5-mph seasonal EV has dropped off to 86.4-mph in the past 7 days.

Daniel Schneemann’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased recently, going from 18.5% on the season to 25% in the past 14 days.

As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Brandon Lowe ranks in the 91st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

The leading projection system (THE BAT) forecasts Ryan Pepiot in the 89th percentile when estimating his strikeout skill.

Ryan Pepiot was on point in his previous outing and notched 7 strikeouts.

Batting from the opposite that Ryan Pepiot throws from, Bo Naylor will have an edge in today’s game.

Bo Naylor’s ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has increased from last season to this one, going from 37.7% to 43.9%.

Sporting a .366 Isolated Power (ISO) this year, Jose Ramirez is ranked in the 94th percentile.

In terms of the ability to lift the ball for power, Bo Naylor ranks in the 93rd percentile with a 19.9° launch angle, which is among the steepest angles in the league.

As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Yandy Diaz ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

In notching a .348 wOBA (a leading indicator of offensive ability) this year, Jose Ramirez is positioned in the 84th percentile.

Sunday Series Game 3 player match stat slumps with Guardians vs Rays Matchup

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Andres Gimenez in the 23rd percentile when estimating his home run ability.

Andres Gimenez is penciled in 6th in the lineup today, which would be a downgrade from his 72% rate of hitting in the top-half of the batting order this season.

The Tropicana Field roof projects to be closed today, making conditions in this game -14° colder than the average outdoor game of the day — favorable for pitching.

Playing on the road typically lessens hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Andres Gimenez today.

Andres Gimenez’s launch angle this season (8.2°) is quite a bit worse than his 12.9° figure last year.

When it comes to his home run skill, Steven Kwan ranks in the 1st percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

The #3 ballpark in MLB for suppressing base hits to LHB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Tropicana Field.

Steven Kwan will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today’s game.

Steven Kwan’s launch angle of late (9.5° in the past week’s worth of games) is a significant dropoff from his 13.4° seasonal angle.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Steven Kwan’s true offensive ability to be a .311, suggesting that he has had some very good luck this year given the .093 difference between that mark and his actual .404 wOBA.

When assessing his home run ability, Angel Martinez ranks in the 21st percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

The switch-hitting Angel Martinez will be less advantaged while batting from his worse side (0) today against Ryan Pepiot, Angel Martinez will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player today.

Notching a lowly an 82.3-mph average exit velocity in the past two weeks, Angel Martinez has been in a slump recently.

Brandon Lowe has been lifted for a pinch-hitter 20% of the time when starting against a right-handed pitcher this year.

Brandon Lowe hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.3% — 96th percentile) but may find it hard to clear the league’s 9th-deepest CF fences in today’s game.

Out of all the teams in action today, the strongest infield defense belongs to the Cleveland Guardians.

Josh Lowe has been replaced by a pinch-hitter 18% of the time when starting against a righty hurler this year.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Isaac Paredes in the 2nd percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Tropicana Field as the 3rd-worst park in MLB for right-handed BABIP.

Ben Lively will hold the platoon advantage against Isaac Paredes in today’s game… and it’s a particular mismatch considering Lively’s large platoon split.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ben Rortvedt in the 10th percentile as it relates to his batting average talent.

Ben Rortvedt is penciled in 6th on the lineup card in this game.

18% of the time that Ben Rortvedt has started against a righty on the mound this year, he has been replaced by a pinch-hitter.

Ben Lively will hold the platoon advantage against Yandy Diaz today… and it’s an over-sized mismatch considering Lively’s large platoon split.

Last season, Yandy Diaz had a launch angle of 4.9° on his highest exit velocity balls, but this year he experienced a significant decline to just -0.4°.

The Tampa Bay Rays have been the 9th-luckiest offense in the game this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to perform worse going forward, According to the leading projection system (THE BAT), Bo Naylor (the Guardians’s expected catcher in today’s matchup) profiles as a good pitch framer.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Tropicana Field as the 3rd-worst venue in the league for batting average.

Over the last week, Brandon Lowe’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 14% down to 0%.

Brandon Lowe has been lucky this year, posting a .349 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .334 — a .015 discrepancy.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT)’s appraisal, Ryan Pepiot’s overall pitching talent is in the 83rd percentile among all SPs in MLB currently.

The Cleveland Guardians have been the 2nd-luckiest offense in the game this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to negatively regress the rest of the season, Ryan Pepiot will possess the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which ought to bolster all of his stats across the board.

Cleveland’s #1-ranked outfield defense of all teams on the slate today poses a formidable challenge for Yandy Diaz, who tends to hit a lot of flyballs.

Playing on the road generally weakens batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Josh Naylor in today’s matchup.

In the last week’s worth of games, Josh Naylor’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 11.1% down to 0%.

In the past two weeks’ worth of games, Josh Naylor’s average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls (1.9°) has significantly dropped compared to his seasonal mark of 11.9°.

In terms of his home runs, Josh Naylor has had positive variance on his side this year. His 35.7 HR per 600 plate appearances rate has been quite a bit higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected HR/600 at 28.8.

Extreme flyball batters like Jose Ramirez tend to be less successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Ryan Pepiot.

Jose Ramirez will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player today.

Jose Ramirez’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has declined recently, going from 16.6% on the season to 5.6% in the past week’s worth of games.

As it relates to his home runs, Jose Ramirez has been lucky this year. His 35.2 HR per 600 plate appearances figure has been significantly inflated relative to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected HR/600 at 29.8.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ben Rortvedt in the 20th percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent.

Over the past two weeks, Ben Rortvedt’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 5.1% down to 0%.

Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (.321) suggests that Isaac Paredes has experienced some positive variance this year with his .356 actual wOBA.

Considering Ben Lively’s large platoon split, Randy Arozarena will be at a colossal disadvantage batting from the same side of the dish in this game.

Randy Arozarena hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38% — 75th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of MLB’s 9th-deepest CF fences today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Richie Palacios in the 14th percentile when assessing his home run talent.

Richie Palacios has primarily hit in the top-half of the lineup this year (53% of the time), but he is projected to bat 8th in the lineup today.

Richie Palacios has been lifted for a pinch-hitter 10% of the time when starting against a northpaw this year.

Over his last 3 GS, Ben Lively has seen a notable decrease in his fastball spin rate: from 2008 rpm over the whole season to 1941 rpm recently.

Despite conventional wisdom, fastballs are generally a pitcher’s least effective pitch. Ben Lively has relied on his secondary pitches 6.1% less often this year (39.5%) than he did last year (45.6%).

Ben Lively’s 89.3-mph fastball velocity this year is in the 4th percentile among all SPs.

Randy Arozarena has been cold of late, with his seasonal exit velocity of 90.2-mph dropping to 85.2-mph in the last week’s worth of games.

Daniel Schneemann is projected to hit 7th in the lineup today.

This year, Daniel Schneemann has been replaced by a pinch-hitter in 25% of his appearances when starting against northpaw.

Daniel Schneemann hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.1% — 78th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards the league’s 9th-deepest CF fences today.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), the offense with the least strikeout-prone lineup on the slate today is the Cleveland Guardians with a 18.3% underlying K%.

Considering the 0.34 disparity between Ryan Pepiot’s 9.96 K/9 and his 9.62 estimated true talent K/9 (via the leading projection system, THE BAT), it’s safe to say he’s been one of the luckiest pitchers in Major League Baseball this year in terms of strikeouts and should perform worse in future games.

Bo Naylor’s batting average skill is projected to be in the 10th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Bo Naylor is penciled in 9th in the batting order today.

11% of the time that Bo Naylor has started against a righty hurler this year, he has been replaced by a pinch-hitter.

Extreme flyball bats like Bo Naylor tend to perform worse against extreme flyball pitchers like Ryan Pepiot.

Playing on the road generally diminishes batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Bo Naylor today.

Playing on the road generally lowers batter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Daniel Schneemann today.

Grading out in the 25th percentile for power, Yandy Diaz has paced 11.4 dingers per 600 plate appearances this year.

Ryan Pepiot has displayed weak control this year, posting a 13th percentile BB% of 9.7%.

Richie Palacios’s average exit velocity has decreased of late; his 86.4-mph seasonal average has dropped to 78.9-mph in the last two weeks’ worth of games.