Todays Series Game 2 Matchup Details

Player match stat positives for Cleveland at Tampa Bay Series Game 2 Matchup Today

Angel Martinez is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in this game.

Angel Martinez pulls many of his flyballs (34.3% — 82nd percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting them towards the game’s 5th-shallowest RF fences in today’s matchup.

Angel Martinez has been hot recently, hitting his way to a .395 wOBA over the last 14 days.

In the last two weeks’ worth of games, Angel Martinez’s swing has been well optimized for home runs, notching a 22.7% of balls hit with a launch angle in the optimal range of 23° to 34°.

When assessing his overall offensive skill, Randy Arozarena ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Randy Arozarena is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in today’s game.

Home field advantage generally boosts hitter metrics across the board, and Randy Arozarena will hold that advantage in today’s game.

Randy Arozarena has made substantial improvements with his Barrel% in recent games, upping his 9% seasonal rate to 15.2% over the last 14 days.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Randy Arozarena’s true offensive ability to be a .343, indicating that he has suffered from bad luck this year given the .041 deviation between that figure and his actual .302 wOBA.

The 5th-shallowest RF dimensions among all stadiums are found in Tropicana Field.

Bo Naylor will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Zack Littell in today’s game.

Steven Kwan’s batting average ability is projected to be in the 97th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Steven Kwan is projected to hit 1st in the batting order in this game.

Steven Kwan will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Zack Littell in today’s game.

Steven Kwan has a 95th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (38.6%) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting them towards baseball’s 6th-shallowest LF fences in today’s game.

Steven Kwan has seen a big gain in his exit velocity on flyballs this year; just compare his 87.8-mph average to last year’s 85.3-mph average.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jose Siri in the 92nd percentile when it comes to his home run talent.

Jose Siri pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (35.5% — 89th percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting them towards the league’s 6th-shallowest LF fences in today’s game.

Home field advantage generally improves batter metrics in all categories, and Jose Siri will hold that advantage in today’s game.

Jose Siri has seen a notable increase in his exit velocity on flyballs this season; just compare his 96.6-mph average to last season’s 94-mph average.

In the last two weeks’ worth of games, Jose Siri’s exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 96.6-mph over the course of the season to 98.8-mph lately.

Hitting from the opposite that Gavin Williams throws from, Ben Rortvedt will have an advantage today.

The Cleveland Guardians have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Ben Rortvedt can likely count on holding the advantage against every reliever all game.

Ben Rortvedt will possess the home field advantage today, which figures to improve all of his stats.

Checking in at the 84th percentile, Ben Rortvedt has posted a .281 batting average this year.

Richie Palacios will hold the platoon advantage against Gavin Williams in today’s game.

Richie Palacios will probably have an edge against every reliever for the duration of the game, since the bullpen of the Cleveland Guardians has just 1 same-handed RP.

Richie Palacios pulls many of his flyballs (35.3% — 88th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting them towards the league’s 5th-shallowest RF fences today.

Home field advantage generally boosts hitter stats in all categories, and Richie Palacios will hold that advantage today.

Richie Palacios has suffered from bad luck when it comes to his wOBA this year; his .309 figure is deflated compared to his .326 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

When assessing his overall offensive ability, Josh Naylor ranks in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Josh Naylor is projected to bat 4th in the lineup in this matchup.

Josh Naylor will hold the platoon advantage over Zack Littell in today’s game.

Josh Naylor has seen a significant improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs this season; just compare his 94.9-mph average to last season’s 91.3-mph EV.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jose Ramirez in the 96th percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill.

Jose Ramirez is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in this game.

As a switch-hitter who is best from the 0 side of the dish, Jose Ramirez will get to bat from his strong side against Zack Littell in today’s game.

Jose Ramirez pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (41.1% — 99th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards baseball’s 5th-shallowest RF fences today.

Over the past week, Jose Ramirez’s exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 90.8-mph over the course of the season to 101.1-mph recently.

Stu Scheurwater profiles as a Hitters Umpire and is expected to be behind the plate today.

Playing on the road typically diminishes pitcher metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Gavin Williams in today’s game.

Considering the 0.63 gap between Gavin Williams’s 3.45 ERA and his 4.08 estimated true talent ERA (per the leading projection system, THE BAT), it’s safe to say he’s been one of the most fortunate pitchers in the majors since the start of last season and figures to negatively regress the rest of the season.

When estimating his home run talent, Brandon Lowe ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Brandon Lowe is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order in today’s game.

Brandon Lowe will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Gavin Williams today.

The Cleveland Guardians have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Brandon Lowe can likely count on never losing the platoon advantage against the ‘pen all game.

Brandon Lowe will possess the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which ought to bolster all of his stats.

When estimating his overall offensive ability, Brandon Lowe ranks in the 91st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Will Brennan will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Zack Littell in today’s matchup.

This season, Will Brennan has experienced a significant increase in his exit velocity on flyballs, now sitting at an average of 90 mph compared to last year’s 87.8 mph mark.

Last season, Will Brennan had an average launch angle of 7.8° on his hardest-hit balls, while this season it has significantly increased to 13.2°.

Will Brennan has shown favorable plate discipline this year, ranking in the 86th percentile with a 1.76 K/BB rate.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Josh Lowe in the 91st percentile when assessing his BABIP ability.

Josh Lowe is projected to bat 4th in the lineup today.

Hitting from the opposite that Gavin Williams throws from, Josh Lowe will have an edge in today’s matchup.

The Cleveland Guardians have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Josh Lowe has a strong chance of holding the platoon advantage against every reliever all game.

Josh Lowe has a 93rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.7%) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting them in the direction of MLB’s 6th-shallowest LF fences in today’s game.

With 8 batters of opposing handedness in the opposing team’s projected lineup, Zack Littell encounters a tough challenge while lacking the platoon advantage in most plate appearances in this outing.

Zack Littell allowed a monstrous 7 earned runs in his last game started.

Zack Littell’s 92-mph velocity on his fastball this season is a sizeable 1.4-mph fall off from last season’s 93.4-mph figure.

Home field advantage typically improves hitter metrics across the board, and Josh Lowe will hold that advantage in today’s game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Yandy Diaz as the 13th-best batter in baseball when assessing his batting average ability.

Yandy Diaz is penciled in 1st in the lineup today.

Yandy Diaz has a 98th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (41.6%) and will have a big advantage hitting them out towards the game’s 5th-shallowest RF fences in today’s matchup.

Yandy Diaz will hold the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which figures to boost all of his stats.

Yandy Diaz has been hot in recent games, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 92.3-mph to 94.3-mph in the last 14 days.

When it comes to his strikeout talent, the leading projection system (THE BAT) forecasts Gavin Williams in the 77th percentile among all SPs in baseball.

The Tampa Bay Rays have 3 batters in their projected lineup today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (per the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Ben Rortvedt, Josh Lowe, Jose Siri).

The #3 venue in the league for boosting strikeouts, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Tropicana Field.

Home field advantage generally boosts batter metrics across the board, and Taylor Walls will hold that advantage today.

Taylor Walls’s average launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls this season (24.1°) is considerably higher than his 17.3° mark last year.

David Fry is projected to hit 5th in the batting order today.

David Fry pulls a lot of his flyballs (35.6% — 90th percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting them towards the league’s 6th-shallowest LF fences in today’s matchup.

In the last week, David Fry’s exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 91.8-mph over the course of the season to 100.9-mph recently.

David Fry’s 17.5° launch angle (a reliable metric to study a batter’s ability to lift the ball for power) is among the highest in MLB: 84th percentile.

Ranking in the 89th percentile, David Fry sits with a .362 wOBA (widely regarded as the top indicator of overall offense) this year.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Isaac Paredes in the 83rd percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability.

Isaac Paredes is penciled in 3rd in the lineup today.

Isaac Paredes pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (46% — 100th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting them towards MLB’s 6th-shallowest LF fences in today’s matchup.

Home field advantage generally boosts batter metrics in all categories, and Isaac Paredes will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

Isaac Paredes has made big strides with his Barrel% recently, upping his 6.2% seasonal rate to 19.4% in the past two weeks.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Andres Gimenez in the 88th percentile when estimating his batting average skill.

Batting from the opposite that Zack Littell throws from, Andres Gimenez will have an advantage in today’s matchup.

Andres Gimenez has seen a big improvement in his exit velocity recently; just compare his 91.1-mph average over the past 7 days to his seasonal 86.1-mph mark.

Andres Gimenez’s ability to hit the ball at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has improved of late, rising from 46.3% on the season to 55.3% in the past two weeks’ worth of games.

Isaac Paredes’s average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls this season (22.1°) is quite a bit higher than his 18° figure last year.

Steven Kwan’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved from last year to this one, going from 15.1% to 18.9%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Yandy Diaz in the 95th percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability.

In the past week, Andres Gimenez’s 25% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 15.5%.

Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (.319) provides evidence that Andres Gimenez has been unlucky this year with his .281 actual wOBA.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jose Siri in the 88th percentile when assessing his BABIP talent.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Will Brennan in the 87th percentile as it relates to his batting average talent.

As it relates to his batting average, Will Brennan has been unlucky this year. His .252 BA falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .270.

Saturday Series Game 2 player match stat slumps with Guardians vs Rays Matchup

When estimating his home run ability, Angel Martinez ranks in the 22nd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

The Tropicana Field roof projects to be closed today, making conditions in this match-up -11° colder than the average outdoor game on the schedule today — favorable for pitching.

The switch-hitting Angel Martinez will be less advantaged while batting from his bad side (0) today against Zack Littell, Playing on the road generally weakens batter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Angel Martinez in today’s game.

Angel Martinez has been cold recently, notching a 83.5-mph average exit velocity over the last 14 days.

Gavin Williams will hold the platoon advantage over Randy Arozarena today.

Randy Arozarena hits many of his flyballs to center field (38% — 75th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards baseball’s 9th-deepest CF fences in today’s game.

Randy Arozarena’s exit velocity on flyballs has declined of late; his 94.3-mph seasonal mark has dropped to 87.8-mph over the last 7 days.

Randy Arozarena’s average launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls lately (2.8° in the past two weeks) is a considerable dropoff from his 10.6° seasonal figure.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bo Naylor in the 10th percentile when assessing his batting average ability.

Bo Naylor is projected to bat 8th on the lineup card in this matchup.

This year, Bo Naylor has been pulled from the game early in 11% of his appearances when starting against righty hurler.

Tropicana Field grades out as the #28 ballpark in MLB for left-handed BABIP, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Steven Kwan will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today’s matchup.

Steven Kwan’s ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has declined recently, going from 46.2% on the season to 37.5% over the last week.

Steven Kwan has been lucky this year, putting up a .407 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .311 — a .096 gap.

Jose Siri is penciled in 7th in the batting order in today’s game.

Tropicana Field ranks as the #28 stadium in the league for right-handed base hits, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Batting from the same side that Gavin Williams throws from, Jose Siri encounters a tough challenge in today’s matchup.

The Cleveland Guardians infield defense profiles as the best among every team playing today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ben Rortvedt in the 10th percentile when it comes to his batting average ability.

Ben Rortvedt is projected to hit 8th in the batting order in today’s game.

This year, Ben Rortvedt has been pinch hit for in 18% of his appearances when starting against righty hurler.

When it comes to his home run talent, Richie Palacios ranks in the 14th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Richie Palacios is projected to bat 6th in the lineup in this game.

11% of the time that Richie Palacios has started against a right-handed pitcher this year, he has been replaced by a pinch-hitter.

Josh Naylor will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today’s matchup.

Josh Naylor’s exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off of late; his 94.9-mph seasonal figure has fallen off to 89.1-mph over the past 7 days.

Josh Naylor’s average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls in recent games (1.9° over the last 14 days) is significantly worse than his 11.9° seasonal figure.

Playing on the road generally weakens batter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Jose Ramirez in today’s matchup.

Compared to his seasonal figure of 18.1°, Jose Ramirez has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (2.7°) in the last two weeks.

Jose Ramirez’s ability to hit the ball at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has fallen off from last season to this one, falling from 44.3% to 36.9%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Gavin Williams in the 78th percentile as it relates to his overall pitching skills.

The Tampa Bay Rays have been the 9th-luckiest offense in Major League Baseball this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to negatively regress in future games, Projected catcher Bo Naylor grades out as a good pitch framer, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).

The #2 stadium in the league for suppressing BABIP, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Tropicana Field.

Brandon Lowe has been pinch hit for 20% of the time when starting against a right-handed pitcher this year.

Brandon Lowe hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.1% — 93rd percentile) and will have to hit them out towards MLB’s 9th-deepest CF fences in today’s matchup.

As it relates to his home run ability, Will Brennan ranks in the 10th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Will Brennan is projected to bat 7th on the lineup card in this matchup.

When starting against a righty on the mound this year, Will Brennan has been pinch hit for 19% of the time.

Considering both his underlying tendencies and the matchup, Gavin Williams is projected to throw 82 pitches today by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) system, which is the 8th-least of all pitchers on the slate.

This year, Josh Lowe has been pinch hit for in 18% of his appearances when starting against northpaw.

It may be sensible to expect worse numbers for the Cleveland Guardians offense in future games, considering that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) views them as the 2nd-luckiest offense in Major League Baseball this year.

Home field advantage typically bolsters pitcher metrics across the board, and Zack Littell will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

Zack Littell’s four-seamer usage has decreased by 7.4% from last season to this one (27.9% to 20.5%) .

Hitting from the same side that Gavin Williams throws from, Yandy Diaz has a tough challenge in today’s matchup.

Compared to his seasonal figure of 3.6°, Yandy Diaz has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (-10.3°) over the last two weeks.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Taylor Walls in the 6th percentile when estimating his batting average skill.

Taylor Walls is penciled in 9th in the lineup in this game.

As a switch-hitter who is weaker from the 0 side of the dish, Taylor Walls will bat from his weak side against Gavin Williams in this game.

Zack Littell will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against David Fry today.

David Fry will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today’s game.

David Fry’s launch angle of late (-3.3° over the last 7 days) is considerably worse than his 17.5° seasonal figure.

Despite posting a .374 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes David Fry has had positive variance on his side given the .062 deviation between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .312.

Gavin Williams will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Isaac Paredes in today’s game.

In terms of his wOBA and overall offense, Isaac Paredes has experienced some positive variance this year. His .358 rate has been inflated compared to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .322.

Andres Gimenez is projected to bat 6th in the lineup in this game, which would be a downgrade from his 72% rate of hitting in the top-half of the lineup this season.

Playing on the road typically diminishes hitter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Andres Gimenez today.

Andres Gimenez’s launch angle this year (8.1°) is considerably worse than his 12.9° figure last year.

Isaac Paredes’s BABIP talent is projected in the 2nd percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Cleveland’s #1-ranked outfield defense on the slate today poses a formidable challenge for Yandy Diaz, who tends to hit a lot of flyballs.

When estimating his home run talent, Brayan Rocchio ranks in the 5th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Brayan Rocchio is penciled in 9th on the lineup card in this matchup.

The switch-hitting Brayan Rocchio will bat from his bad side (0) today against Zack Littell, The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Steven Kwan in the 1st percentile when assessing his home run skill.

The Cleveland Guardians (17.5 K% (per the leading projection system, THE BAT X) are projected to have the 2nd-least strikeout-prone team of batters of all teams on the slate today.

Out of all SPs, Zack Littell’s fastball spin rate of 2022 rpm grades out in the 7th percentile this year.

Bo Naylor will be at a disadvantage playing away from home today.

In the last two weeks’ worth of games, Bo Naylor’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 5.4% down to 0%.

Compared to his seasonal mark of 13.3°, Steven Kwan has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (9.9°) in the past two weeks.

Yandy Diaz’s average launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls this season (-1°) is a significant dropoff from his 4.9° figure last season.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Andres Gimenez in the 23rd percentile as it relates to his home run talent.

When estimating his overall offensive ability, Taylor Walls ranks in the 22nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Over the last 7 days, Taylor Walls’s exit velocity on flyballs has fallen from his seasonal EV of 89.8 mph to 75.3 mph.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ben Rortvedt in the 21st percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent.

Ben Rortvedt has negatively regressed with his Barrel% recently; his 5.1% seasonal rate has fallen off to 0% over the past 14 days.

Posting a 4.25 K/BB rate this year, Jose Siri has demonstrated poor plate discipline, grading out in the 15th percentile.

Will Brennan hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.3% — 96th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of the league’s 9th-deepest CF fences today.

In terms of his home runs, Jose Ramirez has had positive variance on his side this year. His 35.6 HR per 600 plate appearances rate has been quite a bit higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected HR/600 at 30.2.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brayan Rocchio in the 19th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent.

Richie Palacios has been cold of late, with his seasonal exit velocity of 86.4-mph dropping to 78.9-mph over the last two weeks.

Brandon Lowe has struggled with his Barrel% lately; his 14.6% seasonal rate has fallen to 0% in the last week.

Brayan Rocchio will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today’s matchup.

When it comes to his home runs, Josh Naylor has experienced some positive variance this year. His 36.1 HR per 600 plate appearances rate has been a good deal higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected HR/600 at 29.0.