Todays Series Game 2 Matchup Details

Marlins at Reds Matchup Prediction for Today

The Cincinnati Reds and Miami Marlins face off on July 13, 2024, at Great American Ball Park in the second game of their series. The Reds, who boast a 46-49 record, have had a below-average season but remain competitive. The Marlins, languishing with a 32-62 record, are enduring a challenging year. Both teams will be looking to gain some momentum in this National League matchup., The Reds will send Andrew Abbott to the mound. Abbott, a left-handed pitcher, has an ERA of 3.06###101, which is excellent, but his 4.84 xFIP suggests he’s been a bit fortunate this season. Despite this, Abbott’s 9-6 win/loss record and his consistent performance over 18 starts make him a solid option. However, THE BAT X, the leading MLB projection system, forecasts Abbott to allow 3.0 earned runs over 5.3 innings, which is concerning against any lineup., Opposing Abbott will be Edward Cabrera for the Marlins. Cabrera, a right-handed pitcher, has struggled with a 6.84 ERA over just six starts this year. However, his 3.47 xFIP indicates he’s been unlucky and could be due for better results. Cabrera’s 30.7 K% aligns well against a Reds offense that ranks 6th in MLB for most strikeouts. THE BAT X projects Cabrera to allow 2.5 earned runs over 4.6 innings, with an average of 5.8 strikeouts., Offensively, the Reds rank 17th overall, a ranking that belies their 26th position in team batting average but is buoyed by a 14th place in home runs and 1st in stolen bases. Rece Hinds has been a standout recently, hitting .474 with three home runs and an impressive 1.711 OPS over the last week., The Marlins’ offense struggles mightily, ranking 30th overall. They have the fewest home runs and rank 24th in both team batting average and stolen bases. Dane Myers has been a rare bright spot, hitting .417 with a 1.128 OPS over the last week.

Saturday Series Game 2 Prediction Explination for Marlins vs Reds Matchup

Generating 12.5 outs per outing this year on average, Edward Cabrera ranks in the 5th percentile., Edward Cabrera – Over/Under Pitching Outs, Over the last week, Bryan De La Cruz’s Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 11.5% up to 23.1%., Bryan De La Cruz – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+110/-140), Emmanuel Rivera has an 89th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.2%) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting them out towards MLB’s 8th-shallowest RF fences today., Emmanuel Rivera – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-190/+145), With 8 hitters who bat from the opposite side in the opposing team’s projected offense, Andrew Abbott will have a disadvantage while lacking the platoon advantage in most plate appearances today., Andrew Abbott – Over/Under 5.5 Strikeouts (-125/-105), Jonathan India’s exit velocity on flyballs has declined this season; his 92.4-mph average last year has lowered to 86.8-mph., Jonathan India – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+140/-185), The Cincinnati Reds have 3 bats in their projected offense today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (via the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Will Benson, Rece Hinds, Elly De La Cruz)., The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Team Total Under in 26 of their last 39 games at home (+11.95 Units / 27% ROI), Cincinnati Reds – Over/Under 4.5 Team Total (-125/-105), The Miami Marlins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 48 of their last 79 games (+13.70 Units / 14% ROI), Miami Marlins – Over/Under 1.5 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total (-150/+115), Will Benson has hit the Total Bases Under in 11 of his last 12 games (+9.60 Units / 61% ROI), Will Benson – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (+135/-170)

A pitcher who averages more outs per start than his Outs prop may be a good bet to go over, and visa-versa for the under., Barrel% measures how often a player hits the ball at the optimal exit velocity and launch angle and is a terrific measure of underlying power., This player’s skill set matches up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to better-than-usual performance., Right-handed pitchers perform worse against left-handed hitters (and visa-versa). If several hitters hold this advantage against the pitcher, it can have a huge impact on whether he will perform well or struggle on any given day., Most home runs are flyballs, and the harder those flyballs are hit, the more often they turn into home runs. This is a strong indicator of power., Teams that have multiple high-strikeout hitters will make it much easier for the opposing pitcher to record strikeouts