
CLE @ SEA



Matchup Details
Todays Game is on Friday, June 13th
13/06/25 22:10:00 PM EST First Pitch
Positive Match Player Stats for Guardians vs Mariners Matchup Today
Long-balls are generally more common at ballparks with shallow fences, and T-Mobile Park has the 3rd-shallowest in the league.
Dominic Canzone will hold the platoon advantage over Gavin Williams in today’s game.
Dominic Canzone will hold the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which figures to bolster all of his stats.
In terms of his batting average, Dominic Canzone has had bad variance on his side since the start of last season. His .198 mark falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .224.
Dominic Canzone’s 11.7% Barrel% (a reliable standard to study power) grades out in the 83rd percentile since the start of last season.
Grading out in the 96th percentile, the hardest ball Dominic Canzone has hit since the start of last season reached a maximum exit velocity of 115.9 mph — a reliable indication of underlying power ability.
When estimating his home run talent, Dominic Canzone ranks in the 78th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
T-Mobile Park projects as the #7 field in baseball for LHB home runs, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).
Cole Young will hold the platoon advantage against Gavin Williams today.
Home field advantage typically improves batter stats across the board, and Cole Young will hold that advantage in today’s game.
Over the past week, Cole Young’s swing has been well optimized for home runs, notching a 26.7% of balls hit with a launch angle in the optimal range of 23° to 34°.
The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Gavin Williams in the 86th percentile when estimating his strikeout talent.
Compared to the average starter, Gavin Williams has been granted an above-average leash this year, recording an extra 7.6 adjusted pitches each start.
Bo Naylor, the Guardians’s expected catcher today, projects as a good pitch framer according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).
The #2 ballpark in the majors for boosting strikeouts, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is T-Mobile Park.
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT)’s estimation, Gavin Williams’s overall pitching skill is in the 78th percentile among all SPs in the majors currently.
It may be sensible to expect weaker performance for the Seattle Mariners offense in the future, given that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) views them as the 7th-luckiest offense in the game this year.
T-Mobile Park grades out as the #29 stadium in MLB for batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).
The #7 ballpark in the game for boosting home runs to RHB, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is T-Mobile Park.
Benjamin Williamson has a 98th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (40.2%) and has the good fortune of hitting them out towards baseball’s 4th-shallowest RF fences in today’s game.
Home field advantage generally boosts batter metrics in all categories, and Benjamin Williamson will hold that advantage today.
Benjamin Williamson has seen a sizeable gain in his exit velocity of late; just compare his 92.9-mph average over the last 7 days to his seasonal 88.2-mph average.
Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected HR per 600 plate appearances (9.9) provides evidence that Benjamin Williamson has suffered from bad luck this year with his 3.5 actual HR/600.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Benjamin Williamson in the 95th percentile when assessing his BABIP talent.
Compared to the average pitcher, Luis Castillo has been given more leash than the average pitcher this year, tallying an additional 4.9 adjusted pitches each start.
The 5th-weakest projected offense of all teams on the slate in terms of overall hitting ability is that of the Cleveland Guardians.
Projected catcher Cal Raleigh projects as an elite pitch framer, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).
The Cleveland Guardians have 3 bats in their projected offense today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (via the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Gabriel Arias, Nolan Jones, Bo Naylor).
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects J.P. Crawford in the 83rd percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill.
J.P. Crawford is penciled in 1st in the lineup in today’s game.
Hitting from the opposite that Gavin Williams throws from, J.P. Crawford will have the upper hand in today’s game.
J.P. Crawford will possess the home field advantage in today’s game, which ought to bolster all of his stats.
As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Randy Arozarena ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
Randy Arozarena is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in this game.
Randy Arozarena pulls a lot of his flyballs (33.4% — 76th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards baseball’s 8th-shallowest LF fences in today’s game.
Randy Arozarena will possess the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which ought to boost all of his stats.
Randy Arozarena has seen a sizeable increase in his exit velocity this year; just compare his 92.4-mph average to last season’s 90.4-mph average.
Hitting from the opposite that Gavin Williams throws from, Rowdy Tellez will have an edge in today’s game.
Rowdy Tellez will possess the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which figures to improve all of his stats.
Rowdy Tellez has made notable gains with his Barrel%, upping his 8.1% rate last season to 16% this season.
Rowdy Tellez has been hot in recent games, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 90.7-mph to 99-mph over the last 7 days.
When it comes to his home run skill, Rowdy Tellez ranks in the 86th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Jorge Polanco ranks in the 76th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
Jorge Polanco is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in this matchup.
Jorge Polanco pulls a lot of his flyballs (39.2% — 98th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the game’s 4th-shallowest RF fences in today’s matchup.
Jorge Polanco will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today’s game, which figures to improve all of his stats.
Jorge Polanco has put up a .342 Expected wOBA (xwOBA) this year, ranking in the 77th percentile for hitting ability according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.
As it relates to his batting average, Jorge Polanco has experienced some negative variance this year. His .263 mark falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .280.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Cal Raleigh in the 95th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill.
Cal Raleigh is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in today’s game.
Cal Raleigh pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (43.2% — 100th percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting them towards the game’s 4th-shallowest RF fences today.
Cal Raleigh will benefit from the home field advantage today, which should bolster all of his stats.
Cal Raleigh has made substantial gains with his Barrel%, upping his 15.5% rate last year to 21.5% this season.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Cal Raleigh as baseball’s 5th-best home run hitter.
As it relates to his batting average ability, Julio Rodriguez is projected as the 9th-best hitter in the league by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Julio Rodriguez is penciled in 2nd in the lineup today.
Julio Rodriguez will benefit from the home field advantage in today’s game, which ought to improve all of his stats.
Despite posting a .319 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Julio Rodriguez has had some very poor luck given the .043 deviation between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .362.
Julio Rodriguez projects as the 20th-best batter in the league, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Negative Match Player Stats with Guardians vs Mariners
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Dominic Canzone in the 19th percentile when assessing his BABIP skill.
Dominic Canzone is penciled in 7th in the batting order in this game.
T-Mobile Park grades out as the #30 field in baseball for LHB batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).
T-Mobile Park’s elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest in the majors, which generally leads to less offense.
According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this game will be the most suitable for pitching on the schedule today.
The #2 park in MLB for suppressing offensive stats, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is T-Mobile Park.
When it comes to his home runs, Dominic Canzone has had some very good luck since the start of last season. His 27.3 HR per 600 plate appearances rate has been a fair amount higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected HR/600 at 23.3.
As it relates to his home run skill, Cole Young ranks in the 11th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Cole Young is projected to hit 9th on the lineup card today.
Cole Young has been cold lately, posting a .219 wOBA over the last 14 days.
With 6 bats who hit from the other side in the opposing team’s projected offense, Gavin Williams has a tough challenge while lacking the platoon advantage in most plate appearances in this matchup.
Playing on the road typically diminishes pitcher stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Gavin Williams today.
In his last GS, Gavin Williams struggled when it came to striking batters out and only managed to post 2 Ks.
Gavin Williams’s change-up rate has dropped by 5.2% from last year to this one (5.4% to 0.2%) .
Given the 0.32 gap between Gavin Williams’s 9.78 K/9 and his 9.46 estimated true talent K/9 (via the leading projection system, THE BAT), it’s safe to say he’s been one of the luckiest pitchers in MLB this year as it relates to strikeouts and should see negative regression in the future.
Among all parks, T-Mobile Park’s right field dimensions are the 4th-shallowest.
Gavin Williams has compiled a 1.91 K/BB rate this year, grading out in the 19th percentile.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Benjamin Williamson in the 4th percentile when it comes to his home run talent.
Benjamin Williamson is penciled in 8th in the batting order in today’s game.
Gavin Williams will have the handedness advantage against Benjamin Williamson today.
T-Mobile Park projects as the #30 field in Major League Baseball for right-handed batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).
Due to his large platoon split, Luis Castillo will not have the upper hand matching up with 8 bats in the projected offense of opposing handedness today.
Luis Castillo is an extreme flyball pitcher (34.8% FB% per the leading projection system, THE BAT) and has the misfortune of pitching in the #8 HR venue among all major league parks in today’s game.
Among all the teams today, the 2nd-worst infield defense belongs to the Seattle Mariners.
Luis Castillo’s 94.4-mph velocity on his fastball this year is a substantial 1.1-mph decrease from last season’s 95.5-mph figure.
Out of all starting pitchers, Luis Castillo’s fastball spin rate of 2204 rpm grades out in the 15th percentile this year.
Luis Castillo’s high utilization rate of his fastball (67.1% this year) is likely weakening his results, since they are typically much less effective than breaking or off-speed pitches.
In the last two weeks, J.P. Crawford’s exit velocity on flyballs has decreased from his seasonal average of 90.3 mph to 84.3 mph.
Despite posting a .357 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes J.P. Crawford has been very fortunate given the .031 deviation between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .326.
Compared to his seasonal figure of 14°, J.P. Crawford has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (4.3°) over the past 14 days.
Gavin Williams will hold the platoon advantage over Randy Arozarena in today’s matchup.
Randy Arozarena’s exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off lately; his 95.7-mph seasonal figure has dropped off to 93.5-mph in the last 14 days.
Rowdy Tellez’s BABIP skill is projected in the 1st percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Rowdy Tellez is projected to hit 6th in the batting order today.
Rowdy Tellez’s average launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls lately (2.9° in the last 14 days) is quite a bit lower than his 10.3° seasonal mark.
Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected HR per 600 plate appearances (28.9) provides evidence that Rowdy Tellez has had some very good luck this year with his 36.1 actual HR/600.
Over the past two weeks, Jorge Polanco’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 10.7% down to 0%.
Over the last 14 days, Jorge Polanco’s exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off from his seasonal figure of 94 mph to 87.9 mph.
Compared to his seasonal angle of 13.4°, Jorge Polanco has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (-4°) in the last two weeks.
As a switch-hitter who bats worse from the 0 side of the dish, Cal Raleigh will be less advantaged while batting from his worse side against Gavin Williams in today’s game.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Cal Raleigh’s true offensive skill to be a .349, implying that he has experienced some positive variance this year given the .067 gap between that figure and his actual .416 wOBA.
When it comes to his home runs, Cal Raleigh has had some very good luck this year. His 54.9 HR per 600 plate appearances rate has been a good deal higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected HR/600 at 39.2.
Gavin Williams will have the handedness advantage against Julio Rodriguez today.
Over the last two weeks, Julio Rodriguez’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 8.1% down to 2.8%.
Over the past 14 days, Julio Rodriguez’s exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off from his seasonal figure of 94 mph to 83.7 mph.
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