Guardians @ Braves 2025 WorldSeries Matchup Details

Positives for the Cleveland Guardians World Game Today

Truist Park projects as the #9 venue in Major League Baseball for right-handed base hits, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest elevation in the league. High elevation generally leads to better offense.

According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this contest will be the 2nd-most favorable for hitting of all games on the slate.

Mauricio Dubon will benefit from the home field advantage today, which should bolster all of his stats.

Mauricio Dubon has made sizeable strides with his Barrel%, upping his 1.4% rate last year to 13.8% this year.

The 5th-shallowest CF fences among all stadiums are found in Truist Park.

Home field advantage generally bolsters batter stats in all categories, and Ozzie Albies will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

Over the past two weeks, Ozzie Albies has been successful in optimizing the launch angle of his hardest hit balls to hit for power, putting up a 22.9° angle.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Michael Harris II in the 90th percentile as it relates to his batting average skill.

Truist Park profiles as the #9 stadium in Major League Baseball for left-handed BABIP, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Michael Harris II will hold the platoon advantage over Slade Cecconi today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Austin Riley in the 95th percentile when assessing his home run talent.

Austin Riley is projected to bat 4th in the lineup in today’s game.

Drake Baldwin’s batting average ability is projected to be in the 89th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Drake Baldwin is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order in today’s game.

Dominic Smith will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Slade Cecconi today.

Dominic Smith hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.5% — 96th percentile) and is fortunate to face MLB’s 5th-shallowest CF fences in today’s game.

Bryce Elder has averaged 93.4 adjusted pitches per start since the start of last season, checking in at the 83rd percentile.

Home field advantage typically boosts pitcher metrics across the board, and Bryce Elder will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

Bryce Elder was firing on all cylinders in his last start and allowed 0 ER.

Bryce Elder has used his sinker 15.5% less often this year (26.7%) than he did last year (42.2%).

Generating 17.1 outs per GS since the start of last season on average, Slade Cecconi ranks in the 82nd percentile.

It may be best to expect worse numbers for the Atlanta Braves offense in future games, given that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes they are the 8th-luckiest offense in baseball this year.

Slade Cecconi has utilized his cutter 23.7% more often this season (26.4%) than he did last year (2.7%).

Atlanta has performed as the #27 offense in baseball when it comes to hitting balls between 23° and 34°, the launch angle range that tends to best-produce home runs (14.9% rate since the start of last season).

Rhys Hoskins is projected to bat 5th in the lineup today.

Extreme groundball batters like Rhys Hoskins tend to perform better against extreme flyball pitchers like Bryce Elder.

The switch-hitting Juan Brito will have the advantage of batting from from his better side (0) today against Bryce Elder.

As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Mike Yastrzemski ranks in the 80th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Mike Yastrzemski is projected to hit 5th in the lineup in this game.

Hitting from the opposite that Bryce Elder throws from, C.J. Kayfus will have an edge today.

C.J. Kayfus has been hot recently, notching a a 37.5% Barrel% (a reliable metric to assess power) in the past 7 days.

Kyle Manzardo is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in this game.

Austin Riley hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.2% — 84th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the league’s 5th-shallowest CF fences in today’s matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jose Ramirez in the 93rd percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability.

Jose Ramirez is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in this game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Chase DeLauter in the 87th percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent.

Chase DeLauter is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order today.

Bo Naylor will hold the platoon advantage against Bryce Elder today.

Bo Naylor hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.2% — 84th percentile) and is fortunate to face the game’s 5th-shallowest CF fences in today’s matchup.

C.J. Kayfus’s BABIP talent is projected in the 84th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

In the last 7 days, Brayan Rocchio’s exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 86.7-mph over the course of the season to 101.7-mph in recent games.

Brayan Rocchio’s launch angle this year (16°) is a significant increase over his 11.3° mark last season.

Steven Kwan is penciled in 1st on the lineup card in today’s game.

Steven Kwan will have the handedness advantage against Bryce Elder in today’s matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Steven Kwan in the 93rd percentile as it relates to his batting average ability.

Mauricio Dubon has seen a sizeable gain in his exit velocity this year; just compare his 90.5-mph average to last year’s 84.8-mph figure.

Home field advantage generally boosts batter stats in all categories, and Dominic Smith will hold that advantage in today’s game.

Ronald Acuna Jr. projects as the 7th-best batter in the league, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Ronald Acuna Jr. is penciled in 1st in the batting order today.

Ronald Acuna Jr. hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.1% — 94th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting towards the game’s 5th-shallowest CF fences today.

When assessing his overall offensive skill, Austin Riley ranks in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kyle Manzardo in the 91st percentile when it comes to his home run talent.

When it comes to his home run skill, Bo Naylor ranks in the 78th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Compared to last season, Steven Kwan has improved his ability to hit the ball at a launch angle ideal for home runs, increasing his percentage of balls hit between 23° and 34° from 18% to 27.3% this season.

When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Michael Harris II ranks in the 76th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Michael Harris II hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.6% — 90th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting towards the game’s 5th-shallowest CF fences in today’s game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Matt Olson in the 90th percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill.

Matt Olson is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup.

When assessing his overall offensive skill, Drake Baldwin ranks in the 88th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

When estimating his home run skill, Rhys Hoskins ranks in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Batting from the opposite that Slade Cecconi throws from, Matt Olson will have the upper hand in today’s matchup.

Negatives with the Atlanta Braves World Game Today

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Mauricio Dubon in the 12th percentile as it relates to his home run skill.

Mauricio Dubon is projected to bat 9th in the lineup in today’s game.

In Major League Baseball, Truist Park’s left field dimensions are the 3rd-deepest.

Batting from the same side that Slade Cecconi throws from, Mauricio Dubon will be in a tough position today.

Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected HR per 600 plate appearances (1.8) may lead us to conclude that Mauricio Dubon has had positive variance on his side since the start of last season with his 12.3 actual HR/600.

Ozzie Albies is projected to hit 6th in the batting order in today’s game.

The #9 ballpark in Major League Baseball for suppressing home runs to left-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Truist Park.

The switch-hitting Ozzie Albies will bat from his bad side (0) today against Slade Cecconi,Ozzie Albies’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has dropped off from last year to this one, falling from 15.6% to 11.1%.

Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (.283) provides evidence that Ozzie Albies has been very fortunate since the start of last season with his .298 actual wOBA.

Michael Harris II is projected to bat 8th in the lineup in this matchup.

From last season to this one, Michael Harris II’s ability to hit the ball at a launch angle that optimizes home runs (23° to 34°) has decreased substantially, plummeting from 13.8% to 8.6%.

Checking in at the 15th percentile, Michael Harris II sits with a .284 wOBA (widely regarded as the top measure of overall offense) since the start of last season.

When it comes to plate discipline, Michael Harris II’s skill is quite poor, sporting an 8.42 K/BB rate since the start of last season while ranking in in the 1st percentile.

Slade Cecconi will hold the platoon advantage over Austin Riley today.

Austin Riley has struggled with his Barrel%; his 15.6% rate last season has fallen off to 7.4% this year.

Austin Riley’s average exit velocity has fallen off this year; his 92.3-mph figure last season has lowered to 85.9-mph.

With a 4.41 K/BB rate since the start of last season, Austin Riley has shown poor plate discipline, grading out in the 14th percentile.

In terms of his home runs, Drake Baldwin has experienced some positive variance since the start of last season. His 28.8 HR per 600 plate appearances figure has been a fair amount higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected HR/600 at 25.4.

Dominic Smith is projected to hit 7th in the lineup in this game.

Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected HR per 600 plate appearances (8.4) implies that Dominic Smith has been very fortunate since the start of last season with his 16.7 actual HR/600.

The Cleveland Guardians have been the 10th-unluckiest offense in MLB this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to hit better in the future,Truist Park grades out as the #6 park in Major League Baseball for base hits, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).

With 8 batters of opposing handedness in the opposing team’s projected lineup, Bryce Elder will be at a disadvantage while lacking the platoon advantage in most plate appearances in this game.

With 6 hitters of opposing handedness in the opposing team’s projected lineup, Slade Cecconi has a tough challenge while lacking the platoon advantage in most plate appearances in today’s matchup.

Playing on the road typically lowers pitcher metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Slade Cecconi in today’s matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Rhys Hoskins in the 5th percentile when assessing his BABIP ability.

Bryce Elder will have the handedness advantage over Rhys Hoskins in today’s matchup.

In today’s matchup, Rhys Hoskins is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 3rd-deepest LF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the pull field at a 41.1% rate (99th percentile).

Rhys Hoskins will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today’s game.

Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Batting Average (.210) suggests that Rhys Hoskins has had some very good luck since the start of last season with his .232 actual batting average.

Juan Brito is penciled in 8th in the batting order in today’s game.

Juan Brito will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today’s matchup.

Mike Yastrzemski has taken a step back with his Barrel%; his 9.1% rate last year has dropped off to 4% this year.

Mike Yastrzemski’s launch angle this season (12.5°) is considerably worse than his 20.7° figure last season.

Over the past week, Mike Yastrzemski has failed to produce much power, posting a mere a 0% Barrel% (a reliable standard to study power).

Juan Brito’s BABIP ability is projected in the 20th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Mike Yastrzemski in the 11th percentile when assessing his BABIP skill.

By putting up a .265 BABIP since the start of last season, Mike Yastrzemski has performed in the 16th percentile.

C.J. Kayfus is projected to hit 7th in the batting order today.

Playing on the road generally lowers batter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for C.J. Kayfus in today’s matchup.

Kyle Manzardo’s BABIP talent is projected in the 8th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Playing on the road typically lowers batter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Kyle Manzardo in today’s game.

This year, there has been a decline in Kyle Manzardo’s speed with his Statcast Sprint Speed dropping from 25.36 ft/sec last year to 23.74 ft/sec currently.

Posting a .219 Expected Batting Average (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) based on Statcast data) since the start of last season , Kyle Manzardo grades out in the 13th percentile.

In notching a .256 BABIP since the start of last season, Kyle Manzardo is positioned in the 9th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Truist Park as the 9th-worst venue in the majors for right-handed home runs.

Jose Ramirez will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today’s matchup.

In terms of his home runs, Jose Ramirez has had some very good luck since the start of last season. His 25.7 HR per 600 plate appearances figure has been considerably higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected HR/600 at 23.1.

Chase DeLauter will be at a disadvantage playing on the road today.

Chase DeLauter has struggled to lift the ball lately, compiling a -4° launch angle in the past 7 days.

Bo Naylor’s BABIP talent is projected in the 4th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Bo Naylor is projected to bat 6th in the lineup today.

Playing on the road typically lessens hitter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Bo Naylor in today’s matchup.

Bo Naylor grades out in the 4th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between -4° and 26°, the launch angle range that tends to result the most in base hits (38% rate since the start of last season).

With a .287 wOBA (a leading indicator of offensive ability) since the start of last season, Bo Naylor finds himself in the 17th percentile.

C.J. Kayfus has not been zeroed in on the ideal launch angle for base hits of late, lifting balls between -4° and 26° just 16.7% of the time over the past 14 days.

When assessing his home run talent, Brayan Rocchio ranks in the 14th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Brayan Rocchio is penciled in 9th in the lineup in today’s game.

Playing on the road typically lowers hitter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Brayan Rocchio in today’s matchup.

In the last two weeks, Brayan Rocchio has not been doing well in optimizing the launch angle on his hardest hit balls to generate power, managing a mere a 0.6° angle.

When estimating his home run talent, Steven Kwan ranks in the 2nd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Steven Kwan has a 92nd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.4%) but may find it hard to clear the game’s 3rd-deepest LF fences in today’s matchup.

Playing on the road generally lowers batter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Steven Kwan in today’s game.

Steven Kwan’s average exit velocity has fallen off this year; his 86.3-mph mark last year has dropped off to 79.3-mph.

Steven Kwan has been cold recently, putting up a 79.3-mph average exit velocity over the last two weeks.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), the team with the 5th-least strikeout-heavy lineup on the slate today is the Cleveland Guardians with a 20.1% underlying K%.

Given that groundball hitters hold a substantial advantage over flyball pitchers, Bryce Elder and his 47.5% underlying GB% (according to the leading projection system, THE BAT) will be in a difficult position in this outing facing 4 opposing GB batters.

Based on Statcast data, Brayan Rocchio ranks in the 12th percentile for power according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Home Runs per 600 plate appearances since the start of last season at 8.100.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ozzie Albies in the 5th percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill.

Ozzie Albies’s ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has decreased from last year to this one, going from 41.4% to 33.3%.

Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Batting Average (.219) suggests that Ozzie Albies has had positive variance on his side since the start of last season with his .243 actual batting average.

Considering the 0.51 discrepancy between Bryce Elder’s 4.89 ERA and his 4.38 FIP, it’s safe to say he’s been one of the least fortunate pitchers in the majors since the start of last season and figures to perform better the rest of the season.

Hitting from the same side that Slade Cecconi throws from, Ronald Acuna Jr. will not have the upper hand in today’s matchup.

Ronald Acuna Jr.’s average exit velocity has dropped off this year; his 92.5-mph EV last season has fallen to 87.3-mph.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brayan Rocchio in the 20th percentile when estimating his BABIP skill.

Using Statcast metrics, Brayan Rocchio is in the 20th percentile for offensive skills via the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season at .293.

Ronald Acuna Jr.’s ability to hit the ball at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has dropped off from last season to this one, falling from 46.9% to 33.3%.

Mauricio Dubon’s BABIP ability is projected in the 17th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Mauricio Dubon has been lucky in regards to with his wOBA since the start of last season; his .295 figure is significantly inflated relative to his .270 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

Matt Olson has a 78th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.4%) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of baseball’s 3rd-deepest LF fences today.

Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Batting Average (.247) may lead us to conclude that Matt Olson has had some very good luck since the start of last season with his .273 actual batting average.

Drake Baldwin’s 6.8° launch angle (a reliable stat to measure a hitter’s ability to lift the ball for power) is among the most groundball-inducing in MLB: 6th percentile.

Rhys Hoskins has had positive variance on his side thus far when it comes to with his wOBA since the start of last season; his .321 figure is quite a bit higher than his .309 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

In terms of his wOBA and overall offense, Matt Olson has had positive variance on his side since the start of last season. His .367 mark has been inflated compared to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .349.

Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (.286) suggests that Dominic Smith has had some very good luck since the start of last season with his .331 actual wOBA.

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