Todays Series Game 2 Matchup Details

Player match stat positives for San Francisco at Colorado Series Game 2 Matchup Today

Logan Webb has been given a longer leash than the average pitcher this year, tallying 7.5 more adjusted pitches-per-game than league average.

The Colorado Rockies have 6 batters in their projected batting order today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (per the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Ezequiel Tovar, Ryan McMahon, Sam Hilliard, Michael Toglia, Brenton Doyle, Jake Cave).

Chris Conroy grades out as a Pitchers Umpire and is likely to be umping in today’s game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jorge Soler in the 96th percentile as it relates to his home run skill.

Jorge Soler is projected to hit 1st in the batting order today.

Coors Field projects as the #1 park in the game for run-scoring, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Ryan Feltner will have the handedness advantage over Jorge Soler today.

Ryan Feltner will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Wilmer Flores today.

Wilmer Flores has been unlucky in regards to his home runs this year; his 10.1 HR per 600 plate appearances mark is quite a bit lower than his 21.2 Expected HR/600, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

Placing in the 84th percentile, Brett Wisely has put up a .277 batting average this year.

Brenton Doyle’s BABIP ability is projected in the 87th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Brenton Doyle is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in this game.

Brenton Doyle will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which should improve all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Tyler Fitzgerald in the 84th percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent.

Batting from the same side that Ryan Feltner throws from, Tyler Fitzgerald has a tough challenge today.

Tyler Fitzgerald is quite toolsy, ranking in the 98th percentile in Sprint Speed at 29.73 ft/sec this year.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Michael Toglia in the 92nd percentile when estimating his home run skill.

The switch-hitting Michael Toglia will bat from his weak side (0) today against Blake Snell, Home field advantage typically improves hitter metrics in all categories, and Michael Toglia will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

Ryan McMahon’s BABIP skill is projected in the 79th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Ryan McMahon is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card today.

The #1 ballpark in the majors for boosting batting average to lefties, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Coors Field.

Blake Snell will hold the platoon advantage against Ryan McMahon today.

Patrick Bailey has made sizeable gains with his Barrel% in recent games, improving his 6.2% seasonal rate to 25% over the past week.

In the last week, Patrick Bailey’s 37.5% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 18.5%.

Patrick Bailey’s ability to hit the ball at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has improved from last year to this one, rising from 46.3% to 52.8%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) forecasts Logan Webb as the 11th-best pitcher in MLB currently.

The 2nd-weakest projected offense of the day in terms of overall hitting ability is that of the the Colorado Rockies.

Logan Webb is an extreme groundball pitcher (56.8% GB% via the leading projection system, THE BAT), which should make him somewhat immune to the dangers of pitching in Coors Field — the #3 HR venue among all parks — in this matchup.

The #2 stadium in MLB for boosting home runs to LHB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Coors Field.

Blake Snell will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jake Cave in today’s matchup.

Home field advantage typically bolsters batter stats across the board, and Jake Cave will hold that advantage in today’s game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Heliot Ramos in the 95th percentile when assessing his BABIP skill.

Heliot Ramos is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup in today’s game.

Ryan Feltner will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Heliot Ramos in today’s game.

The #2 park in the league for boosting home runs to right-handed batters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Coors Field.

Brendan Rodgers will possess the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which figures to boost all of his stats.

Elias Diaz is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in this game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Coors Field as the best venue in the game for RHB batting average.

Elias Diaz will benefit from the home field advantage in today’s game, which ought to improve all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Heliot Ramos in the 86th percentile when it comes to his home run ability.

Home field advantage typically bolsters pitcher metrics in all categories, and Kyle Freeland will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

In his previous outing, Kyle Freeland was in good form and put up 9 strikeouts.

Kyle Freeland’s 91.2-mph velocity on his fastball this year is a notable 3-mph rise from last year’s 88.2-mph mark.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ryan McMahon in the 84th percentile when it comes to his home run talent.

Ezequiel Tovar is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in today’s game.

Ezequiel Tovar will benefit from the home field advantage today, which ought to boost all of his stats.

In the last two weeks’ worth of games, Ezequiel Tovar’s exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 92.5-mph over the course of the season to 99.1-mph of late.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brendan Rodgers in the 79th percentile as it relates to his batting average ability.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Matt Chapman as the majors’s 19th-best home run batter.

Matt Chapman is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in this game.

Ryan Feltner will have the handedness advantage against Matt Chapman today.

When assessing his overall offensive skill, Michael Conforto ranks in the 85th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Michael Conforto is penciled in 5th in the batting order in this game.

Michael Conforto has seen a notable improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs recently; just compare his 106.5-mph average in the last 7 days to his seasonal figure of 93.7-mph.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jake Cave in the 82nd percentile when assessing his BABIP ability.

Michael Toglia has made notable strides with his Barrel% lately, bettering his 18.1% seasonal rate to 23.8% in the past two weeks.

Wilmer Flores has been unlucky this year, posting a .261 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .308 — a .047 disparity.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ezequiel Tovar in the 84th percentile as it relates to his BABIP skill.

Posting a .282 Expected Batting Average (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) utilizing Statcast data) this year , Patrick Bailey is positioned in the 88th percentile.

Patrick Bailey has seen a substantial gain in his exit velocity this year; just compare his 91.7-mph average to last season’s 88.7-mph figure.

Utilizing Statcast data, Patrick Bailey is in the 76th percentile for hitting ability per the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) this year at .334.

Charlie Blackmon is penciled in 1st on the lineup card today.

Batting from the same side that Blake Snell throws from, Charlie Blackmon will have a tough matchup in today’s game.

Home field advantage generally bolsters batter metrics in all categories, and Charlie Blackmon will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

Thairo Estrada is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in this matchup, which would be an upgrade from his 66% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this season.

Ryan Feltner will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Thairo Estrada today.

Despite posting a .266 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Thairo Estrada has suffered from bad luck given the .027 gap between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .293.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Matt Chapman in the 96th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jorge Soler in the 93rd percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brenton Doyle in the 80th percentile as it relates to his home run ability.

Saturday Series Game 2 player match stat slumps with Giants vs Rockies Matchup

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT), Curt Casali (the Giants’s expected catcher in today’s game) grades out as a weak pitch framer.

Coors Field profiles as the #30 venue in the league for strikeouts, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Built 5197 feet above sea level, Coors Field has the highest elevation in the league, which tends to lead to better offense.

Playing on the road generally reduces pitcher metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Logan Webb in today’s matchup.

Logan Webb’s change-up rate has dropped by 8.7% from last season to this one (41.6% to 32.9%) .

The Colorado Rockies infield defense projects as the strongest out of every team in action today.

Playing on the road generally reduces hitter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Jorge Soler in today’s matchup.

In the last week’s worth of games, Jorge Soler’s Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 9.6% up to 22.2%.

Jorge Soler’s exit velocity on flyballs has declined of late; his 92.2-mph seasonal average has dropped to 76.3-mph in the past two weeks.

Over the last two weeks, Jorge Soler’s 0% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 14.2%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Wilmer Flores in the 1st percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent.

Wilmer Flores has primarily hit in the top-half of the batting order this year (85% of the time), but he is projected to hit 6th in the lineup in today’s game.

Playing on the road typically lessens hitter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Wilmer Flores today.

There has been a decrease in Wilmer Flores’s average exit velocity this year, from 86.4 mph last year to 83.6 mph now, Brett Wisely is projected to bat 9th in the batting order in today’s game.

Dry weather has a small but significant correlation with less offense (and more Ks), and the weather report calls for the 2nd-driest conditions of all games on the slate at 36%.

Brett Wisely will hold the platoon advantage against Ryan Feltner in today’s game.

Playing on the road typically weakens hitter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Brett Wisely in today’s matchup.

Brenton Doyle will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Blake Snell in today’s game.

Despite posting a .350 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Brenton Doyle has had some very good luck given the .054 gap between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .296.

Tyler Fitzgerald is projected to hit 8th in the batting order in this game.

This year, Tyler Fitzgerald has been replaced by a pinch-hitter in 18% of his appearances when starting against lefty on the mound.

Tyler Fitzgerald will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today’s game.

When it comes to his wOBA and overall offense, Tyler Fitzgerald has had some very good luck this year. His .334 rate has been significantly inflated relative to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .278.

Michael Toglia is projected to bat 8th on the lineup card today.

Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected HR per 600 plate appearances (36.1) may lead us to conclude that Michael Toglia has been lucky this year with his 49.0 actual HR/600.

Checking in at the 2nd percentile, Michael Toglia sits with a .182 batting average this year.

Ryan McMahon has been lucky this year, putting up a .343 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .314 — a .029 discrepancy.

Patrick Bailey has primarily hit in the top-half of the batting order this season (68% of the time), but he is projected to bat 6th in the lineup in this matchup.

Patrick Bailey will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today’s game.

Despite posting a .343 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Patrick Bailey has been very fortunate given the .046 discrepancy between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .297.

The Colorado Rockies have been the 10th-unluckiest offense in baseball this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to hit better in the future, The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Coors Field as the best field in the majors for batting average.

Jake Cave is projected to hit 7th on the lineup card in this game.

This year, Jake Cave has been pulled from the game early in 17% of his appearances when starting against righty hurler.

Jake Cave’s average exit velocity has declined this year; his 89.3-mph average last year has lowered to 86.6-mph.

There has been a significant decline in Jake Cave’s launch angle from last year’s 15.1° to 5.5° this season.

Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (.274) may lead us to conclude that Jake Cave has had some very good luck this year with his .301 actual wOBA.

Heliot Ramos will be at a disadvantage playing on the road today.

In the last week, Heliot Ramos’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 16% down to 0%.

Heliot Ramos has been cold lately, with his seasonal exit velocity of 92-mph dropping to 89.1-mph over the past 14 days.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Heliot Ramos’s true offensive ability to be a .318, suggesting that he has had some very good luck this year given the .057 discrepancy between that figure and his actual .375 wOBA.

Brendan Rodgers is penciled in 6th on the lineup card in this game.

Brendan Rodgers will have the handedness advantage over Blake Snell in today’s game.

Extreme groundball hitters like Brendan Rodgers tend to be less successful against extreme groundball pitchers like Logan Webb.

In the past week, Brendan Rodgers’s Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 5% up to 20%.

Compared to his seasonal average of 4.5°, Brendan Rodgers has significantly improved his launch angle in recent games, posting a 7.7° mark in the past 7 days.

Elias Diaz’s BABIP talent is projected in the 16th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Batting from the opposite that Blake Snell throws from, Elias Diaz will have an advantage today.

Elias Diaz’s average exit velocity has declined recently; his 86.8-mph seasonal average has fallen off to 82.2-mph over the past 14 days.

Elias Diaz’s exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off this year; his 91.2-mph EV last year has lowered to 87.8-mph.

In the past two weeks’ worth of games, Elias Diaz’s average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls (-1.5°) has significantly dropped compared to his seasonal mark of 5.9°.

Considering both his underlying tendencies and the matchup, Kyle Freeland is projected to throw 85 pitches today by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) system, which is the 6th-least of the day.

With 8 batters who hit from the other side in the opposing team’s projected offense, Kyle Freeland will have a tough challenge while lacking the platoon advantage in most plate appearances in today’s matchup.

Kyle Freeland’s four-seam fastball percentage has increased by 6.9% from last season to this one (18.4% to 25.3%) .

Given the 0.64 discrepancy between Logan Webb’s 3.47 ERA and his 2.83 FIP, it’s safe to say he’s been one of the unluckiest pitchers in Major League Baseball this year and should see positive regression going forward.

Ezequiel Tovar will hold the platoon advantage against Blake Snell in today’s game.

Ezequiel Tovar has had some very good luck with with his wOBA this year; his .328 rate is a fair amount higher than his .275 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

Ezequiel Tovar has shown bad plate discipline this year, checking in at the 1st percentile with a 9.13 K/BB rate.

As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Elias Diaz ranks in the 24th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Playing on the road generally lowers hitter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Matt Chapman in today’s matchup.

Matt Chapman has negatively regressed with his Barrel% in recent games; his 11.8% seasonal rate has decreased to 0% over the last week.

In the last week, Matt Chapman’s exit velocity on flyballs has dropped from his seasonal figure of 94.7 mph to 84.8 mph.

Batting from the opposite that Ryan Feltner throws from, Michael Conforto will have an advantage today.

Playing on the road generally lessens hitter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Michael Conforto today.

Michael Conforto has taken a step back with his Barrel% lately; his 10.9% seasonal rate has dropped to 0% over the past 7 days.

In the past 7 days, Michael Conforto’s 0% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 17.3%.

Kyle Freeland was firing on all cylinders in his previous outing and allowed 2 ER.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Michael Toglia in the 8th percentile when it comes to his batting average talent.

Posting a 4.06 K/BB rate this year, Michael Toglia has demonstrated bad plate discipline, grading out in the 19th percentile.

Charlie Blackmon’s BABIP skill is projected in the 24th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Charlie Blackmon’s average exit velocity has fallen off this season; his 86.4-mph mark last year has dropped off to 84.4-mph.

Charlie Blackmon has averaged 11.5 home runs per 600 plate appearances this year, ranking in the 24th percentile for power.

When assessing his home run ability, Thairo Estrada ranks in the 24th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Playing on the road typically reduces batter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Thairo Estrada today.

In the last 14 days, Thairo Estrada’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 5.2% down to 0%.

In the past two weeks’ worth of games, Thairo Estrada’s exit velocity on flyballs has decreased from his seasonal figure of 91.1 mph to 86.7 mph.

Brett Wisely’s exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off lately; his 88.1-mph seasonal average has dropped to 86-mph in the last two weeks’ worth of games.

When estimating his home run skill, Charlie Blackmon ranks in the 25th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Wilmer Flores’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has decreased from last year to this one, falling from 17.7% to 14.3%.

With a .261 wOBA (a leading indicator of offensive ability) this year, Wilmer Flores finds himself in the 9th percentile.

Compared to his seasonal mark of 9.1°, Ryan McMahon’s average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls has dropped significantly in recent games (0.7° in the past 14 days).

Thairo Estrada’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has decreased from last year to this one, going from 15.7% to 11.9%.

Charlie Blackmon has had some very good luck with with his wOBA this year; his .324 figure is considerably higher than his .302 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Tyler Fitzgerald in the 23rd percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill.