Todays Series Game 2 Matchup Details

Player match stat positives for Houston at Seattle Series Game 2 Matchup Today

Cal Raleigh is projected to bat 4th in the lineup in this matchup.

High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast forecasts the 4th-highest temperatures on the slate today at 84°.

The switch-hitting Cal Raleigh will get to bat from his better side (0) today against Framber Valdez.

Cal Raleigh pulls many of his flyballs (41% — 99th percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting them towards baseball’s 9th-shallowest LF fences in today’s game.

Extreme groundball bats like Cal Raleigh generally hit better against extreme flyball pitchers like Framber Valdez.

T-Mobile Park has the 9th-lowest fences in the league.

T-Mobile Park has the shallowest fences in the majors — generally good for dingers.

Jake Meyers has made notable strides with his Barrel% in recent games, improving his 9.7% seasonal rate to 16% in the past two weeks’ worth of games.

Jake Meyers has seen a significant increase in his exit velocity on flyballs recently; just compare his 104.5-mph average in the last week to his seasonal figure of 93.3-mph.

When estimating his strikeout skill, the leading projection system (THE BAT) places George Kirby in the 80th percentile among all starting pitchers in MLB.

The Houston Astros have 3 hitters in their projected lineup today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (per the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Jon Singleton, Joey Loperfido, Trey Cabbage).

Jeremie Rehak grades out as a Pitchers Umpire and is likely to be behind the plate in today’s game.

Projected catcher Cal Raleigh profiles as an elite pitch framer, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects T-Mobile Park as the best ballpark in the game for strikeouts.

When assessing his overall offensive skill, J.P. Crawford ranks in the 79th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

J.P. Crawford is projected to hit 1st in the lineup today.

Jorge Polanco pulls a lot of his flyballs (40.5% — 98th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards MLB’s 9th-shallowest LF fences in today’s game.

Extreme flyball batters like Jorge Polanco generally hit better against extreme groundball pitchers like Framber Valdez.

Jorge Polanco will possess the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which ought to bolster all of his stats.

Batting from the opposite that Framber Valdez throws from, Victor Robles will have an advantage today.

Victor Robles pulls many of his flyballs (36.9% — 94th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards MLB’s 9th-shallowest LF fences today.

Victor Robles will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which figures to improve all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jose Altuve in the 92nd percentile as it relates to his batting average talent.

Jose Altuve is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card in this game.

Jose Altuve pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (41.8% — 99th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards baseball’s 9th-shallowest LF fences in today’s game.

Jon Singleton is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in today’s game.

Jon Singleton will hold the platoon advantage over George Kirby in today’s game.

Jon Singleton is likely to have an edge against every reliever for the whole game, since the bullpen of the Seattle Mariners has just 1 same-handed RP.

Jon Singleton pulls many of his flyballs (35.1% — 87th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the game’s 4th-shallowest RF fences in today’s game.

The Seattle Mariners have been the 9th-unluckiest offense in Major League Baseball this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to perform better in the future, Projected catcher Yainer Diaz profiles as a weak pitch framer, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).

T-Mobile Park has the shallowest RF dimensions among all parks.

As it relates to his home run talent, Dylan Moore ranks in the 88th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Batting from the opposite that Framber Valdez throws from, Dylan Moore will have the upper hand today.

Dylan Moore pulls a lot of his flyballs (38% — 96th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the game’s 9th-shallowest LF fences in today’s game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jeremy Pena in the 93rd percentile when estimating his batting average talent.

Jeremy Pena’s launch angle this season (9.1°) is quite a bit higher than his 5.5° figure last season.

Jeremy Pena has been unlucky in regards to his wOBA this year; his .305 mark is quite a bit lower than his .330 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

When it comes to his BABIP skill, Julio Rodriguez is projected as the 2nd-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Julio Rodriguez is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup in this matchup.

Batting from the opposite that Framber Valdez throws from, Julio Rodriguez will have an edge in today’s matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) forecasts George Kirby as the 13th-best SP in the game right now.

Tallying 17.6 outs per GS this year on average, George Kirby places him the 87th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ty France in the 77th percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability.

Ty France is projected to bat 5th in the batting order today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jose Altuve in the 89th percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent.

Ty France’s batting average ability is projected to be in the 80th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Jake Meyers’s BABIP talent is projected in the 77th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Jake Meyers’s ability to hit the ball at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has increased from last season to this one, rising from 40% to 48%.

Cal Raleigh projects as the 10th-best home run hitter in the league, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Victor Robles has seen a big improvement in his exit velocity in recent games; just compare his 90.5-mph average over the past 7 days to his seasonal 87.6-mph mark.

J.P. Crawford will benefit from the home field advantage in today’s game, which should bolster all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Joey Loperfido in the 94th percentile when estimating his BABIP talent.

Joey Loperfido will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against George Kirby in today’s matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Mitch Garver in the 90th percentile when estimating his home run talent.

Mitch Garver is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in this game.

Mitch Garver will hold the platoon advantage over Framber Valdez in today’s matchup.

Hitting from the opposite that Framber Valdez throws from, Mitch Haniger will have the upper hand in today’s matchup.

Mitch Haniger will benefit from the home field advantage today, which figures to boost all of his stats.

Mitch Haniger has been unlucky this year, compiling a .274 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .312 — a .038 discrepancy.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Yainer Diaz in the 97th percentile as it relates to his batting average ability.

Yainer Diaz is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in today’s game.

Yainer Diaz has an 84th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.1%) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting them out towards baseball’s 4th-shallowest RF fences in today’s game.

Yordan Alvarez projects as the 2nd-best hitter in baseball, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Yordan Alvarez is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in this game.

Yordan Alvarez will hold the platoon advantage over George Kirby today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alex Bregman in the 93rd percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability.

Alex Bregman is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card today.

Alex Bregman pulls a lot of his flyballs (33.4% — 76th percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting them towards baseball’s 9th-shallowest LF fences today.

The Seattle Mariners have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Yordan Alvarez can likely count on holding the advantage against every reliever all game.

Extreme flyball batters like Dylan Moore usually hit better against extreme groundball pitchers like Framber Valdez.

Dylan Moore will hold the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which should boost all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Trey Cabbage in the 92nd percentile when estimating his BABIP talent.

Batting from the opposite that George Kirby throws from, Trey Cabbage will have an edge in today’s matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Mitch Haniger in the 81st percentile when it comes to his home run talent.

Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (.307) provides evidence that Jorge Polanco has had bad variance on his side this year with his .258 actual wOBA.

Jose Altuve’s average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls in recent games (26.8° in the last two weeks’ worth of games) is a significant increase over his 18° seasonal angle.

The Seattle Mariners have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Trey Cabbage can likely count on never losing the platoon advantage against the ‘pen all game.

Sporting a 1.76 K/BB rate this year, Alex Bregman has displayed favorable plate discipline, checking in at the 86th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Trey Cabbage in the 83rd percentile when assessing his home run talent.

Framber Valdez has averaged 94.4 adjusted pitches per game per started this year, placing in the 87th percentile.

Mitch Garver pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (41.7% — 99th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards MLB’s 9th-shallowest LF fences today.

Bats such as Mitch Garver with extreme groundball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Framber Valdez who skew towards the flyball end of the spectrum.

Joey Loperfido has a good chance to have an advantage against every reliever for the game’s entirety, since the bullpen of the Seattle Mariners has just 1 same-handed RP.

When assessing his overall offensive ability, Yainer Diaz ranks in the 82nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Hitting from the opposite that Framber Valdez throws from, Ty France will have the upper hand in today’s matchup.

In the past 14 days, Yainer Diaz’s 65.2% rate of hitting balls at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 47.7%.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Julio Rodriguez ranks as the 20th-best hitter in baseball.

Saturday Series Game 2 player match stat slumps with Astros vs Mariners Matchup

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Cal Raleigh in the 11th percentile as it relates to his BABIP ability.

T-Mobile Park ranks as the #29 field in Major League Baseball for righty batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Built just 17 feet above sea level, T-Mobile Park has one of the lowest altitudes among all parks, which often leads to worse offense.

The Houston Astros outfield defense profiles as the 4th-strongest among all the teams in action today.

Cal Raleigh has made notable improvements with his Barrel% of late, upping his 16.5% seasonal rate to 30% in the last week.

Jake Meyers is projected to bat 7th in the batting order in this matchup.

George Kirby will have the handedness advantage over Jake Meyers in today’s matchup.

Jake Meyers will be at a disadvantage playing away from home today.

It may come as a surprise, but fastballs are typically a pitcher’s least effective pitch. George Kirby has gone to his fastball a lot this year, though: 58.6% of the time, checking in at the 100th percentile.

George Kirby has experienced some positive variance in regards to his strikeouts this year, notching an 8.87 K/9 despite the leading projection system (THE BAT) estimating his true talent level to be 8.78 — a 0.09 K/9 disparity.

T-Mobile Park profiles as the #29 park in the game for run-scoring, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Framber Valdez will hold the platoon advantage against J.P. Crawford in today’s matchup.

J.P. Crawford’s exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off recently; his 91.8-mph seasonal EV has fallen off to 86.6-mph over the past two weeks.

J.P. Crawford has notched a .249 BABIP this year, ranking in the 13th percentile.

Jorge Polanco is projected to hit 6th on the lineup card in this matchup, which would be a downgrade from his 70% rate of hitting in the top-half of the batting order this year.

10% of the time that Jorge Polanco has started against a left-handed starter this year, he has been pulled from the game early.

Victor Robles is penciled in 7th in the batting order today.

When starting against a left-handed starter this year, Victor Robles has been lifted for a pinch-hitter 55% of the time.

George Kirby will have the handedness advantage against Jose Altuve in today’s game.

Playing on the road generally weakens batter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Jose Altuve in today’s matchup.

In the past 14 days, Jose Altuve’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 7% down to 0%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jon Singleton in the 3rd percentile as it relates to his batting average talent.

When starting against a northpaw this year, Jon Singleton has been pulled from the game early 18% of the time.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks T-Mobile Park as the worst venue in MLB for LHB batting average.

Playing on the road typically lessens batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Jon Singleton today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) forecasts Framber Valdez in the 93rd percentile as it relates to his overall pitching abilities.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects T-Mobile Park as the worst park in Major League Baseball for batting average.

Framber Valdez has a large reverse platoon split and should be helped facing 8 opposite-handed batters in this matchup.

Dylan Moore is penciled in 9th on the lineup card today.

Dylan Moore’s exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off this year; his 97.8-mph average last season has decreased to 91.5-mph.

Jeremy Pena is penciled in 6th in the batting order in this matchup.

George Kirby will hold the platoon advantage over Jeremy Pena in today’s matchup.

Playing on the road typically lessens hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Jeremy Pena in today’s matchup.

Julio Rodriguez has made substantial strides with his Barrel% recently, upping his 9.8% seasonal rate to 16.7% over the last 7 days.

In terms of plate discipline, Julio Rodriguez’s ability is quite weak, posting a 4.35 K/BB rate this year while ranking in in the 15th percentile.

Collectively, Houston Astros hitters have performed well in regard to hitting balls in the launch angle range that tends to optimize home runs (between 23° and 34°), rating 3rd-best in baseball.

Jose Altuve’s exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off of late; his 90.2-mph seasonal figure has decreased to 68.1-mph over the past 7 days.

Jorge Polanco’s exit velocity on flyballs has declined lately; his 92.4-mph seasonal average has dropped to 87.2-mph over the last 14 days.

Jorge Polanco’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has fallen off from last season to this one, decreasing from 19.9% to 11.3%.

In notching a .267 BABIP this year, Cal Raleigh has performed in the 23rd percentile.

Joey Loperfido is penciled in 8th on the lineup card in today’s game.

Joey Loperfido has been lifted for a pinch-hitter 22% of the time when starting against a righty hurler this year.

Playing on the road generally reduces batter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Joey Loperfido in today’s game.

Joey Loperfido’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has decreased lately, falling from 16.1% on the season to 0% in the last week.

In the past 14 days, Jeremy Pena’s exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off from his seasonal mark of 90.7 mph to 85.9 mph.

Mitch Garver has negatively regressed with his Barrel% recently; his 9.1% seasonal rate has dropped off to 0% over the past 7 days.

Mitch Garver’s average exit velocity has decreased in recent games; his 89-mph seasonal mark has decreased to 77.3-mph in the last week.

Mitch Haniger has primarily hit in the top-half of the lineup this season (60% of the time), but he is penciled in 8th on the lineup card in today’s game.

Mitch Haniger’s launch angle this season (11.4°) is significantly lower than his 15.7° figure last season.

Hitting from the same side that George Kirby throws from, Yainer Diaz will have a tough challenge today.

Playing on the road typically lessens hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Yainer Diaz in today’s matchup.

Yainer Diaz’s exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off recently; his 91.3-mph seasonal mark has dropped off to 88.5-mph over the last 14 days.

Yordan Alvarez will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today’s matchup.

Yordan Alvarez’s average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls this season (11.5°) is significantly worse than his 15.8° figure last year.

When it comes to his batting average, Yordan Alvarez has experienced some positive variance this year. His .297 rate has been inflated compared to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .282.

George Kirby will hold the platoon advantage against Alex Bregman in today’s matchup.

Alex Bregman will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today’s game.

Alex Bregman has been cold of late, with his seasonal exit velocity of 88.1-mph dropping to 86-mph over the past 7 days.

Alex Bregman’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has fallen off of late, going from 15.6% on the season to 0% in the last week’s worth of games.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Dylan Moore in the 22nd percentile when assessing his batting average skill.

Trey Cabbage is projected to hit 9th in the batting order in this matchup.

42% of the time that Trey Cabbage has started against a right-handed pitcher this year, he has been lifted for a pinch-hitter.

Playing on the road typically reduces batter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Trey Cabbage today.

This season, there has been a decline in Trey Cabbage’s quickness with his Statcast Sprint Speed dropping from 28.41 ft/sec last year to 27.95 ft/sec currently.

Based on Statcast metrics, Mitch Haniger ranks in the 18th percentile via the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Batting Average this year at .225.

Jon Singleton has taken a step back with his Barrel% recently; his 7% seasonal rate has decreased to 0% over the last week.

Jon Singleton has been lucky this year, compiling a .305 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .287 — a .018 difference.

Checking in at the 14th percentile, Julio Rodriguez has put up a .162 Isolated Power rate (ISO) this year.

George Kirby will possess the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which should boost all of his stats in all categories.

Sporting a .288 wOBA (a leading indicator of offensive ability) this year, Mitch Haniger finds himself in the 25th percentile.

Given that flyball pitchers are hit hardest by groundball hitters, Framber Valdez (59.2% FB% according to the leading projection system, THE BAT) will be a bit disadvantaged in today’s game with 4 GB hitters in Seattle’s projected offense.

Playing on the road typically weakens pitcher stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Framber Valdez in today’s game.

Framber Valdez’s 93.2-mph velocity on his fastball this season is a sizeable 1.5-mph fall off from last year’s 94.7-mph figure.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Mitch Garver in the 11th percentile as it relates to his BABIP skill.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jeremy Pena in the 20th percentile when it comes to his home run ability.

In the last 7 days, Cal Raleigh’s 30% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 17.4%.

Despite posting a .312 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Joey Loperfido has been lucky given the .022 difference between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .290.

Yainer Diaz’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has decreased from last year to this one, falling from 21.6% to 11.7%.

Mitch Garver’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has fallen off recently, falling from 17.5% on the season to 0% in the past 7 days.

Victor Robles has taken a step back with his Barrel% in recent games; his 17.5% seasonal rate has lowered to 0% over the past week.

Victor Robles’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has fallen off recently, decreasing from 22.5% on the season to 0% in the past week’s worth of games.

Julio Rodriguez’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has fallen off lately, going from 14% on the season to 0% in the last week’s worth of games.