Giants vs Padres match player stats | 2026 World Series Game 3 Wednesday, April 1st

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SF @ SD

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Giants @ Padres Series Game 3 2025 WorldSeries Matchup Details

Teams : San Francisco Giants at San Diego Padres
2025 WorldSeries Game 3
Date : Todays Game is on Wednesday, April 1st
Time : 01/04/26 16:10:00 PM EST First Pitch

Positives for the San Francisco Giants World Series Game 3 Game Today

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Manny Machado in the 94th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent.

Manny Machado is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup today.

Manny Machado hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.8% — 91st percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting out towards the game’s 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today’s matchup.

Among every team today, the 4th-worst outfield defense is that of the San Francisco Giants.

Manny Machado will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which should boost all of his stats.

Freddy Fermin hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.7% — 91st percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting towards the game’s 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today’s matchup.

Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter metrics in all categories, and Freddy Fermin will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

As a switch-hitter who is stronger from the 0 side of the dish, Patrick Bailey will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his good side against Nick Pivetta in today’s game.

Xander Bogaerts’s batting average ability is projected to be in the 95th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Xander Bogaerts is penciled in 5th in the batting order in today’s game.

Xander Bogaerts hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.6% — 90th percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting out towards baseball’s 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today’s matchup.

Xander Bogaerts will hold the home field advantage in today’s game, which figures to bolster all of his stats.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Fernando Tatis Jr. ranks as the 10th-best batter in baseball.

Fernando Tatis Jr. is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in today’s game.

Fernando Tatis Jr. hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (40.2% — 98th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the game’s 2nd-shallowest CF fences today.

Home field advantage generally boosts hitter stats in all categories, and Fernando Tatis Jr. will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

Projected catcher Patrick Bailey grades out as an elite pitch framer, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Adrian Houser will hold the platoon advantage over 6 opposing batters in today’s game.

Gavin Sheets will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Adrian Houser in today’s matchup.

Gavin Sheets will possess the home field advantage today, which figures to improve all of his stats.

Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Batting Average (.261) suggests that Gavin Sheets has suffered from bad luck since the start of last season with his .247 actual batting average.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Luis Arraez as the 2nd-best hitter in baseball when estimating his batting average talent.

Luis Arraez is projected to hit 4th in the batting order today.

Luis Arraez will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Nick Pivetta today.

Placing in the 94th percentile, Luis Arraez sports a .295 batting average since the start of last season.

Grading out in the 98th percentile, Harrison Bader sports a .354 BABIP since the start of last season.

When estimating his overall offensive skill, Jake Cronenworth ranks in the 82nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Jake Cronenworth is penciled in 1st on the lineup card in this matchup, which would be an upgrade from his 50% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this season.

Jake Cronenworth will hold the platoon advantage over Adrian Houser today.

Jake Cronenworth will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which ought to boost all of his stats.

The 7.6% Barrel% of the San Diego Padres grades them out as the #27 squad in the league since the start of last season by this metric.

Nick Pivetta allowed a staggering 6 earned runs in his last start.

Nick Pivetta has been lucky since the start of last season, notching a 3.12 ERA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT) estimating his true talent level to be 3.91 — a 0.79 deviation.

Nick Pivetta has notched a .250 BABIP since the start of last season, a sign that he has been one of the luckiest mound aces in Major League Baseball on balls in play and regression likely forthcoming.

Grading out in the 13th percentile, Nick Pivetta has put up a 1.86 K/BB rate since the start of last season.

Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Batting Average (.257) implies that Casey Schmitt has had some very poor luck since the start of last season with his .235 actual batting average.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jackson Merrill in the 97th percentile when it comes to his batting average skill.

Jackson Merrill is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in today’s game.

Hitting from the opposite that Adrian Houser throws from, Jackson Merrill will have an edge today.

Jackson Merrill hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.5% — 89th percentile) and is fortunate to face MLB’s 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today’s matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Willy Adames in the 94th percentile when assessing his home run talent.

Willy Adames is projected to hit 1st in the batting order in this matchup.

Since the start of last season, Willy Adames’s 12.2% Barrel%, an advanced stat for measuring power, places him in the 79th percentile among his peers.

Throwing 93.5 adjusted pitches per game per started since the start of last season on average, Nick Pivetta places in the 86th percentile.

Manny Machado’s 12.7% Barrel% (an advanced standard to assess power) grades out in the 81st percentile since the start of last season.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Xander Bogaerts in the 88th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Willy Adames in the 88th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill.

When it comes to his strikeout skill, the leading projection system (THE BAT) puts Nick Pivetta in the 93rd percentile among all starting pitchers in the majors.

Nick Pivetta has recorded a 26% strikeout rate since the start of last season, checking in at the 82nd percentile.

Nick Castellanos’s batting average ability is projected to be in the 89th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter stats in all categories, and Nick Castellanos will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

Nick Castellanos has had bad variance on his side thus far when it comes to his batting average since the start of last season; his .248 BA is significantly deflated relative to his .264 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

Jung Hoo Lee will have the handedness advantage over Nick Pivetta today.

When assessing his overall offensive talent, Rafael Devers ranks in the 97th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Rafael Devers is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order today.

Hitting from the opposite that Nick Pivetta throws from, Rafael Devers will have an advantage in today’s game.

Since the start of last season, Rafael Devers’s 15.5% Barrel%, an advanced standard for measuring power, places him in the 92nd percentile among his peers.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jackson Merrill in the 94th percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability.

Home field advantage typically improves hitter metrics across the board, and Jackson Merrill will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

Negatives with the San Diego Padres World Series Game 3 Game Today

Batting from the same side that Adrian Houser throws from, Manny Machado will be in a tough position in today’s game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Freddy Fermin in the 22nd percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent.

Freddy Fermin is projected to bat 9th in the lineup in this matchup.

Adrian Houser will have the handedness advantage over Freddy Fermin in today’s game.

Freddy Fermin’s 4.3% Barrel% (a reliable stat to study power) grades out in the 15th percentile since the start of last season.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Patrick Bailey in the 11th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill.

Patrick Bailey is penciled in 8th in the batting order in this game.

Patrick Bailey will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today’s matchup.

Since the start of last season, Patrick Bailey’s 5.8% Barrel%, a reliable standard for measuring power, places him in the 25th percentile among his peers.

Ranking in the 9th percentile, Patrick Bailey sports a .214 batting average since the start of last season.

Batting from the same side that Adrian Houser throws from, Xander Bogaerts faces a tough challenge in today’s matchup.

Batting from the same side that Adrian Houser throws from, Fernando Tatis Jr. encounters a tough challenge in today’s matchup.

When assessing his strikeout skill, the leading projection system (THE BAT) puts Adrian Houser in the 15th percentile among all starting pitchers in the game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) expects Adrian Houser to be on a bit of a short leash in today’s game, projecting a maximum of 81 pitches.

Via the leading projection system (THE BAT X), the offense with the least strikeout-heavy lineup today is the San Diego Padres with a 19.3% underlying K%.

Playing on the road typically reduces pitcher stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Adrian Houser today.

Adrian Houser’s high utilization percentage of his fastball (57.6% since the start of last season) is likely weakening his results, consider they are typically much less effective than breaking or off-speed pitches.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Gavin Sheets in the 23rd percentile when assessing his BABIP skill.

Gavin Sheets is projected to hit 7th on the lineup card today.

Today, Gavin Sheets is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 6th-deepest RF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the pull field at a 36.3% rate (89th percentile).

Luis Arraez will be at a disadvantage playing away from home today.

Luis Arraez’s 1.1% Barrel% (a reliable metric to evaluate power) is in the 2nd percentile since the start of last season.

Harrison Bader is penciled in 7th in the batting order in today’s game.

Nick Pivetta will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Harrison Bader today.

Harrison Bader will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today’s matchup.

Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Batting Average (.243) implies that Harrison Bader has had positive variance on his side since the start of last season with his .273 actual batting average.

Adrian Houser has been lucky since the start of last season, notching a 3.31 ERA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT) estimating his true talent level to be 4.39 — a 1.08 difference.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT)’s assessment, Nick Pivetta’s overall pitching skill grades out in the 88th percentile among all starting pitchers in the league right now.

Home field advantage typically boosts pitcher stats in all categories, and Nick Pivetta will hold that advantage in today’s game.

Nick Pivetta has notched a 3.56 FIP (Fielding Independent Pitching, an estimator of ERA that focuses on the things most within a pitcher’s control) since the start of last season, placing in the 79th percentile.

San Francisco Giants bats collectively rank 27th- in the majors for power since the start of last season when assessing with their 7.6% Barrel%.

Casey Schmitt is penciled in 9th in the batting order today.

Nick Pivetta will hold the platoon advantage over Casey Schmitt today.

Casey Schmitt will be at a disadvantage playing on the road today.

Grading out in the 18th percentile, Casey Schmitt sits with a .227 batting average since the start of last season.

Nick Pivetta will have the handedness advantage over Willy Adames today.

Extreme flyball batters like Willy Adames generally hit worse against extreme flyball pitchers like Nick Pivetta.

Willy Adames will be at a disadvantage playing on the road today.

Willy Adames has put up a .259 BABIP since the start of last season, placing in the 12th percentile.

Nick Castellanos is penciled in 8th in the lineup today.

Hitting from the same side that Adrian Houser throws from, Nick Castellanos will have a tough matchup today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jung Hoo Lee in the 7th percentile as it relates to his home run ability.

Jung Hoo Lee has primarily hit in the top-half of the batting order this season (75% of the time), but he is penciled in 6th in the lineup in today’s game.

Playing on the road generally diminishes batter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Jung Hoo Lee in today’s game.

Jung Hoo Lee’s 3.5% Barrel% (a reliable stat to study power) is in the 10th percentile since the start of last season.

Rafael Devers will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today’s game.

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