Giants @ D-Backs Series Game 3 Matchup Details

Positives for the San Francisco Giants Series Game 3 Game Today

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Casey Schmitt in the 81st percentile when it comes to his home run ability.

,Casey Schmitt is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in this game.

,Chase Field profiles as the #2 ballpark in baseball for righty batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).

,Casey Schmitt’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased from last season to this one, increasing from 15.5% to 19.2%.

,Casey Schmitt’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better recently, rising from 19.2% on the season to 23.5% over the last two weeks.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Chase Field as the 2nd-best venue in the majors for lefty batting average.

,Drew Gilbert will have the handedness advantage over Zac Gallen in today’s matchup.

,The Arizona Diamondbacks have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Drew Gilbert stands a good chance of never losing the platoon advantage against the ‘pen all game.

,In the past two weeks’ worth of games, Drew Gilbert’s 20% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 12.5%.

,As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Corbin Carroll ranks in the 97th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

,Corbin Carroll is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in today’s game.

,Built 1059 feet above sea level, Chase Field has the 2nd-highest altitude in the majors, which generally leads to higher offensive output.

,Because of Trevor McDonald’s large platoon split, Corbin Carroll will have a big advantage batting from the opposite side of the dish today.

,Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter stats across the board, and Nolan Arenado will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

,In the last week’s worth of games, Nolan Arenado’s Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 6.3% up to 14.3%.

,Ketel Marte projects as the 19th-best hitter in Major League Baseball, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Ketel Marte is projected to hit 1st in the batting order in this game.

,Home field advantage typically boosts batter metrics in all categories, and Ketel Marte will hold that advantage today.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jung Hoo Lee in the 97th percentile as it relates to his batting average talent.

,Jung Hoo Lee is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in this game.

,Jung Hoo Lee will hold the platoon advantage over Zac Gallen in today’s matchup.

,The Arizona Diamondbacks have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Jung Hoo Lee can likely count on never facing a bullpen mismatch all game.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bryce Eldridge in the 90th percentile as it relates to his BABIP skill.

,Bryce Eldridge has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this season (62% of the time), but he is penciled in 2nd in the lineup today.

,Bryce Eldridge will have the handedness advantage against Zac Gallen in today’s game.

,Luis Arraez is projected to hit 1st in the lineup in this game.

,Batting from the opposite that Zac Gallen throws from, Luis Arraez will have an edge today.

,The Arizona Diamondbacks have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Luis Arraez has a strong chance of never facing a bullpen mismatch all game.

,This season, Luis Arraez has experienced a significant improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs, now sitting at an average of 88.4 mph compared to last year’s 86 mph mark.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Gabriel Moreno in the 95th percentile when estimating his batting average ability.

,Gabriel Moreno is projected to bat 4th in the lineup in today’s game.

,Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter stats in all categories, and Gabriel Moreno will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

,Nick Mahrley grades out as a Pitchers Umpire and is likely to be umping in this game.

,In his last start, Trevor McDonald was in good form and notched 8 strikeouts.

,Jung Hoo Lee has seen a substantial improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs in recent games; just compare his 90.4-mph average over the past week to his seasonal average of 87.8-mph.

,Over the last week, Jung Hoo Lee’s 25% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 16.1%.

,Lourdes Gurriel Jr. is projected to hit 5th in the lineup in this game.

,Lourdes Gurriel Jr. will benefit from the home field advantage today, which ought to improve all of his stats.

,Despite posting a .250 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Lourdes Gurriel Jr. has experienced some negative variance given the .054 gap between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .304.

,Zac Gallen has put up a 5.33 FIP (Fielding Independent Pitching, an estimator of ERA that deals with the things a pitcher can most influence) this year, ranking in the 12th percentile.

,Zac Gallen has compiled a 1.98 K/BB rate this year, ranking in the 16th percentile.

,Casey Schmitt has notched a .515 Slugging Percentage (SLG) this year, grading out in the 92nd percentile.

,When assessing his batting average ability, Luis Arraez is projected as the 4th-best batter in baseball by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Given Trevor McDonald’s large platoon split, Pavin Smith will have a huge advantage hitting from the opposite side of the dish today.

,Pavin Smith will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today’s game, which figures to bolster all of his stats.

,By putting up a .317 BABIP since the start of last season, Pavin Smith is ranked in the 80th percentile.

,When estimating his home run talent, Bryce Eldridge ranks in the 90th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Bryce Eldridge is apt to have an edge against every reliever for the whole game, since the bullpen of the Arizona Diamondbacks has just 1 same-handed RP.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Gabriel Moreno in the 88th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability.

,Gabriel Moreno has seen a big increase in his exit velocity in recent games; just compare his 93.4-mph average in the past two weeks to his seasonal 90.3-mph mark.

,Casey Schmitt’s batting average ability is projected to be in the 80th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Pavin Smith has been unlucky in regards to his home runs since the start of last season; his 15.3 HR per 600 plate appearances mark is significantly deflated relative to his 18.8 Expected HR/600, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Heliot Ramos in the 90th percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability.

,Heliot Ramos’s 13.8% Barrel% (a reliable metric to evaluate power) ranks in the 88th percentile this year.

,This year, Heliot Ramos has an average exit velocity of 91.7 mph, which is among the best in baseball at the 88th percentile.

,Over the past 7 days, Ketel Marte’s Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 11.4% up to 26.7%.

,Bryce Eldridge has seen a significant improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs in recent games; just compare his 102.4-mph average in the last two weeks to his seasonal average of 97.4-mph.

,When assessing his home run ability, Rafael Devers ranks in the 97th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Rafael Devers is penciled in 4th in the lineup in this game.

,Batting from the opposite that Zac Gallen throws from, Rafael Devers will have an edge today.

,Geraldo Perdomo is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in today’s game.

,The switch-hitting Geraldo Perdomo will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his strong side (0) today against Trevor McDonald… and even better, McDonald has a large platoon split.

,Geraldo Perdomo will benefit from the home field advantage today, which should improve all of his stats.

,Geraldo Perdomo has made significant strides with his Barrel% in recent games, improving his 3.4% seasonal rate to 12.5% over the past week.

,Compared to his seasonal average of 12.2°, Geraldo Perdomo has significantly improved his launch angle recently, posting a 21.6° mark over the past 7 days.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Rafael Devers in the 95th percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent.

,Home field advantage generally improves pitcher stats in all categories, and Zac Gallen will hold that advantage in today’s game.

,It may come as a surprise, but fastballs are generally a pitcher’s least effective pitch. Zac Gallen has used his off-speed and breaking pitches 5% more often this year (57.5%) than he did last year (52.5%).

,Given the 1.9 deviation between Zac Gallen’s 5.42 K/9 and his 7.32 estimated true talent K/9 (via the leading projection system, THE BAT), it’s safe to say he’s been one of the unluckiest pitchers in Major League Baseball this year when it comes to strikeouts and ought to see better results in the future.

,Given Trevor McDonald’s large platoon split, Max Kepler will have a tremendous advantage batting from the opposite side of the plate in this game.

,Max Kepler will hold the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which figures to improve all of his stats.

,Max Kepler has had some very poor luck with his wOBA since the start of last season; his .297 figure is quite a bit lower than his .332 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

,When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Matt Chapman ranks in the 88th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

,Over the past 7 days, Matt Chapman’s Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 6.9% up to 14.3%.

,In the past 7 days, Matt Chapman’s 100% rate of hitting balls at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 40%.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Max Kepler in the 75th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill.

,The Arizona Diamondbacks have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Rafael Devers stands a good chance of holding the platoon advantage against every reliever all game.

,Luis Arraez’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased from last year to this one, going from 16.1% to 19.7%.

,Home field advantage generally boosts hitter metrics across the board, and Corbin Carroll will hold that advantage today.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Geraldo Perdomo in the 75th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability.

Negatives with the Arizona Diamondbacks Series Game 3 Game Today

The 3rd-deepest centerfield fences in MLB are found in Chase Field.

,In the majors, the 10th-highest average fence height are at Chase Field.

,The Chase Field roof projects to be closed today, making conditions in this game -14° colder than the average outdoor game on the slate — favorable for pitching.

,Zac Gallen will hold the platoon advantage over Casey Schmitt today.

,Out of every team today, the 2nd-strongest infield defense belongs to the Arizona Diamondbacks.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Drew Gilbert in the 11th percentile when assessing his BABIP talent.

,Drew Gilbert is projected to hit 8th in the lineup in this matchup.

,16% of the time that Drew Gilbert has started against a righty hurler this year, he has been pinch hit for.

,Corbin Carroll pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (36.8% — 90th percentile) and will have to hit them out towards the league’s 3rd-deepest RF fences in today’s matchup.

,Corbin Carroll’s launch angle this year (13.6°) is a considerable dropoff from his 16.8° figure last season.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nolan Arenado in the 5th percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent.

,Nolan Arenado has primarily hit in the top-half of the batting order this season (58% of the time), but he is projected to hit 7th on the lineup card in this game.

,Considering Trevor McDonald’s large platoon split, Nolan Arenado will be at a big disadvantage batting from the same side of the plate in today’s game.

,As a switch-hitter who performs worse from the 0 side of the plate, Ketel Marte will be at a big disadvantage against Trevor McDonald and his large platoon split in this game.

,Ketel Marte pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (38.2% — 94th percentile) and will have to hit them out towards the game’s 3rd-deepest RF fences in today’s game.

,Ketel Marte’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has declined from last year to this one, decreasing from 15% to 12%.

,Ketel Marte has compiled a .256 BABIP this year, grading out in the 15th percentile.

,Jung Hoo Lee will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today’s matchup.

,Playing on the road typically diminishes batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Bryce Eldridge in today’s matchup.

,Over the past 14 days, Bryce Eldridge’s 8.3% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 13.5%.

,When estimating his home run talent, Luis Arraez ranks in the 0th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Considering Trevor McDonald’s large platoon split, Gabriel Moreno will be at a big disadvantage hitting from the same side of the plate in this game.

,In today’s matchup, Gabriel Moreno is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 3rd-deepest RF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the opposite field at a 40% rate (99th percentile).

,Gabriel Moreno has struggled with his Barrel% in recent games; his 9% seasonal rate has decreased to 4% in the past two weeks’ worth of games.

,Considering both his underlying tendencies and the matchup, Trevor McDonald is projected to throw 82 pitches in today’s matchup by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) system, which is the 4th-least of all pitchers today.

,The Arizona Diamondbacks (19.4 K% (per the leading projection system, THE BAT X) project to have the 2nd-least strikeout-heavy group of batters of all teams on the slate.

,The #3 field in MLB for suppressing strikeouts, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Chase Field.

,The Arizona Diamondbacks have 6 bats in the projected batting order that will have the handedness advantage against Trevor McDonald in today’s game, which is especially precarious given his large platoon split.

,When it comes to his home run ability, Jung Hoo Lee ranks in the 5th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,The #2 venue in the majors for suppressing home runs to left-handed hitters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Chase Field.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Lourdes Gurriel Jr. in the 23rd percentile as it relates to his BABIP ability.

,Trevor McDonald will hold the platoon advantage over Lourdes Gurriel Jr. today… and it’s an over-sized mismatch considering McDonald’s large platoon split.

,Lourdes Gurriel Jr.’s exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off this year; his 92.4-mph figure last year has lowered to 89-mph.

,The San Francisco Giants have been the 9th-luckiest offense in MLB this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to negatively regress in the future,The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Chase Field as the worst venue in Major League Baseball for home runs.

,Chase Field grades out as the #25 park in baseball for RHB home runs, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).

,Playing on the road generally lessens hitter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Luis Arraez today.

,Luis Arraez has been lucky this year, notching a .343 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .305 — a .038 discrepancy.

,Pavin Smith’s BABIP ability is projected in the 25th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Pavin Smith has primarily hit in the top-half of the batting order this season (81% of the time), but he is projected to hit 8th in the batting order in this game.

,Pavin Smith has been pulled from the game early 17% of the time when starting against a right-handed starter this year.

,It may be wise to expect better numbers for the Arizona Diamondbacks offense in future games, considering that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) views them as the 6th-unluckiest offense in MLB this year.

,Playing on the road typically weakens pitcher metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Trevor McDonald in today’s game.

,It may come as a surprise, but fastballs are generally a pitcher’s least effective pitch. Trevor McDonald has used his fastball a lot this year, though: 58.3% of the time, placing in the 100th percentile.

,Zac Gallen has put up an 8.3% Swinging Strike% this year, ranking in the 14th percentile.

,Casey Schmitt is an extreme flyball batter and matches up with the strong outfield defense of Arizona (#2-best of all teams today).

,Heliot Ramos is penciled in 6th on the lineup card in this matchup.

,Hitting from the same side that Zac Gallen throws from, Heliot Ramos will have a disadvantage in today’s game.

,Heliot Ramos has a 91st percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.7%) and will be challenged by baseball’s 3rd-deepest RF fences today.

,Rafael Devers hits many of his flyballs to center field (38% — 76th percentile) and will be challenged by the game’s 3rd-deepest CF fences in today’s matchup.

,Rafael Devers will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team today.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Geraldo Perdomo in the 10th percentile when assessing his home run skill.

,Geraldo Perdomo’s average exit velocity has decreased lately; his 86.7-mph seasonal figure has fallen off to 83.5-mph in the last two weeks’ worth of games.

,In terms of plate discipline, Rafael Devers’s talent is quite weak, sporting a 3.62 K/BB rate this year while checking in at in the 18th percentile.

,In his previous outing, Zac Gallen struggled when it came to striking batters out and only managed to post 2 Ks.

,Placing in the 2nd percentile, Zac Gallen has compiled a 14.1% Strikeout% this year.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Max Kepler in the 9th percentile when estimating his BABIP talent.

,Max Kepler is projected to hit 6th in the batting order in this game.

,Max Kepler pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (34.9% — 82nd percentile) but may find it hard to clear the league’s 3rd-deepest RF fences in today’s matchup.

,Matt Chapman is projected to bat 7th in the batting order in this matchup, which would be a downgrade from his 67% rate of hitting in the top-half of the batting order this year.

,Hitting from the same side that Zac Gallen throws from, Matt Chapman has a tough challenge in today’s game.

,In today’s game, Matt Chapman is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 3rd-deepest CF center field fences given that he hits his flyballs towards center field at a 38.5% rate (86th percentile).

,Max Kepler grades out in the 23rd percentile when it comes to hitting balls between -4° and 26°, the launch angle range that tends to best-produce base hits (41.5% rate since the start of last season).

,Despite posting a .351 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Jung Hoo Lee has been very fortunate given the .037 gap between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .314.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Drew Gilbert in the 24th percentile when it comes to his home run ability.

,Ranking in the 20th percentile, Geraldo Perdomo has posted a .261 BABIP this year.

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