Matchup Details

Positive Match Player Stats for Giants vs Blue Jays Matchup Today

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Addison Barger in the 82nd percentile when estimating his home run talent.

Addison Barger is projected to hit 5th in the lineup in this matchup.

Rogers Centre ranks as the #3 venue in the game for left-handed home runs, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

The 10th-shallowest CF fences in the league are found in Rogers Centre.

The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this game, the strongest of the day for batters.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Addison Barger in the 75th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability.

Hitting from the opposite that Justin Verlander throws from, Addison Barger will have an advantage today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Joey Loperfido in the 86th percentile when estimating his BABIP ability.

Joey Loperfido will have the handedness advantage over Justin Verlander today.

Home field advantage generally bolsters batter metrics in all categories, and Joey Loperfido will hold that advantage today.

Rogers Centre ranks as the #3 park in Major League Baseball for right-handed home runs, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Casey Schmitt’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved in recent games, increasing from 14.1% on the season to 33.3% in the past week’s worth of games.

Casey Schmitt has notched a .325 Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season, placing in the 78th percentile for offensive ability according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

Casey Schmitt has notched a .330 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) since the start of last season, checking in at the 83rd percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Will Wagner in the 82nd percentile when estimating his batting average talent.

Hitting from the opposite that Justin Verlander throws from, Will Wagner will have an advantage in today’s game.

Will Wagner hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.7% — 84th percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting out towards the league’s 10th-shallowest CF fences in today’s game.

Hitters such as Will Wagner with extreme flyball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Justin Verlander who skew towards the groundball end of the spectrum.

Because of Chris Bassitt’s large platoon split, Jung Hoo Lee will have a tremendous advantage hitting from the opposite side of the dish today.

Compared to his seasonal average of 13.4°, Jung Hoo Lee has significantly improved his launch angle in recent games, posting a 35° mark over the last 7 days.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jung Hoo Lee in the 95th percentile when it comes to his batting average skill.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Rafael Devers in the 97th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability.

Rafael Devers is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order today.

Rafael Devers will hold the platoon advantage against Chris Bassitt today… and even better, Bassitt has a large platoon split.

Projected catcher Patrick Bailey profiles as an elite pitch framer, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).

In his previous outing, Justin Verlander was firing on all cylinders and allowed 2 ER.

Justin Verlander has relied on his slider 11.6% more often this year (30.9%) than he did last season (19.3%).

The #7 park in the game for boosting strikeouts, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Rogers Centre.

Justin Verlander’s 2429-rpm fastball spin rate this year grades out in the 83rd percentile among all starters.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects George Springer in the 93rd percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent.

George Springer is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup in this matchup.

George Springer will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which should boost all of his stats.

Given Chris Bassitt’s large platoon split, Dominic Smith will have a massive advantage hitting from the opposite side of the plate in today’s game.

Dominic Smith hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.9% — 87th percentile) and is fortunate to face the game’s 10th-shallowest CF fences in today’s matchup.

Dominic Smith’s ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has gotten better from last season to this one, going from 41.2% to 52.2%.

Dominic Smith’s launch angle this season (17°) is quite a bit better than his 12.9° mark last year.

Throwing 95 adjusted pitches per start this year on average, Chris Bassitt places him the 93rd percentile.

Alejandro Kirk, the Blue Jays’s expected catcher today, grades out as a good pitch framer according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Home field advantage generally improves pitcher stats across the board, and Chris Bassitt will hold that advantage today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Matt Chapman as the league’s 15th-best home run batter.

Matt Chapman is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in this matchup.

Matt Chapman hits many of his flyballs to center field (40.1% — 98th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing baseball’s 10th-shallowest CF fences in today’s game.

As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Matt Chapman ranks in the 97th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Matt Chapman’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better from last year to this one, rising from 11.2% to 17.6%.

When estimating his home run ability, Mike Yastrzemski ranks in the 78th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Mike Yastrzemski is projected to bat 1st in the batting order in this game.

Considering Chris Bassitt’s large platoon split, Mike Yastrzemski will have a colossal advantage batting from the opposite side of the dish in this game.

Over the last week, Mike Yastrzemski’s Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 7.9% up to 25%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Willy Adames in the 94th percentile when it comes to his home run ability.

Willy Adames is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in this game.

Willy Adames hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.8% — 86th percentile) and is fortunate to face baseball’s 10th-shallowest CF fences today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Willy Adames in the 89th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability.

Willy Adames has made sizeable gains with his Barrel% of late, upping his 12.3% seasonal rate to 22.2% over the past week.

Vladimir Guerrero Jr. projects as the 6th-best hitter in baseball, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Vladimir Guerrero Jr. is penciled in 3rd in the lineup today.

Vladimir Guerrero Jr. hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.5% — 79th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting towards the game’s 10th-shallowest CF fences in today’s matchup.

As it relates to his batting average talent, Vladimir Guerrero Jr. is projected as the best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Vladimir Guerrero Jr. will hold the home field advantage in today’s game, which ought to improve all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bo Bichette as the 9th-best batter in the league as it relates to his batting average ability.

Bo Bichette is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in today’s game.

Home field advantage generally boosts batter stats in all categories, and Bo Bichette will hold that advantage today.

When assessing his overall offensive talent, Bo Bichette ranks in the 88th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alejandro Kirk in the 97th percentile when estimating his batting average talent.

Alejandro Kirk will possess the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which ought to boost all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alejandro Kirk in the 92nd percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability.

Alejandro Kirk has seen a significant increase in his exit velocity this season; just compare his 93-mph average to last season’s 89.3-mph EV.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ernie Clement in the 91st percentile when it comes to his batting average skill.

Ernie Clement will benefit from the home field advantage in today’s game, which should bolster all of his stats.

Compared to his seasonal average of 16.9°, Ernie Clement has significantly improved his launch angle lately, posting a 24.4° figure in the last two weeks.

When assessing his overall offensive skill, Heliot Ramos ranks in the 90th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Heliot Ramos is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in this game.

Heliot Ramos hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.8% — 86th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing baseball’s 10th-shallowest CF fences in today’s matchup.

Heliot Ramos has been hot of late, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 91.2-mph to 93.7-mph over the last two weeks.

As a switch-hitter who bats better from the 0 side of the dish, Patrick Bailey will get to bat from his better side against a pitcher with a large platoon split (Chris Bassitt) in today’s matchup.

Patrick Bailey hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.5% — 79th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing baseball’s 10th-shallowest CF fences in today’s game.

In the past 14 days, Patrick Bailey’s exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 91.7-mph over the course of the season to 103.4-mph recently.

Despite posting a .251 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Patrick Bailey has had some very poor luck given the .031 deviation between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .282.

Nathan Lukes is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card in this matchup, which would be an upgrade from his 79% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this season.

Nathan Lukes will hold the platoon advantage against Justin Verlander today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nathan Lukes in the 91st percentile when assessing his batting average skill.

Negative Match Player Stats with Giants vs Blue Jays

When starting against a righty on the mound this year, Addison Barger has been replaced by a pinch-hitter 13% of the time.

Rogers Centre has the 8th-highest fences in the majors.

The weather forecast projects the 4th-most favorable pitching weather of all games on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity.

Addison Barger has been lucky this year, notching a .348 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .319 — a .029 difference.

Rogers Centre profiles as the #25 stadium in the game for lefty BABIP, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Joey Loperfido is penciled in 9th in the lineup in this matchup.

Joey Loperfido has been pulled from the game early 18% of the time when starting against a righty on the mound since the start of last season.

Joey Loperfido’s footspeed has fallen off this season. His 28.81 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last year sits at 27.85 ft/sec now.

As it relates to his wOBA and overall offense, Joey Loperfido has experienced some positive variance since the start of last season. His .276 rate has been significantly inflated relative to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .237.

Casey Schmitt is penciled in 7th in the batting order in today’s game.

Chris Bassitt will hold the platoon advantage over Casey Schmitt in today’s matchup… and it’s an even bigger mismatch considering Bassitt’s large platoon split.

Playing on the road typically reduces batter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Casey Schmitt today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Rogers Centre as the 6th-worst park in Major League Baseball for RHB base hits.

Will Wagner is penciled in 7th in the lineup in this game.

21% of the time that Will Wagner has started against a righty hurler this year, he has been pinch hit for.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Will Wagner in the 14th percentile as it relates to his home run skill.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jung Hoo Lee in the 15th percentile when it comes to his home run talent.

Jung Hoo Lee has primarily hit in the top-half of the batting order this year (85% of the time), but he is projected to bat 6th in the batting order in this matchup.

Jung Hoo Lee will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today’s matchup.

Jung Hoo Lee’s average exit velocity has declined this season; his 88.9-mph mark last season has decreased to 86.8-mph.

Rafael Devers will be at a disadvantage playing away from home today.

In the last two weeks’ worth of games, Rafael Devers’s 3.8% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 14.9%.

Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (.347) suggests that Rafael Devers has had some very good luck this year with his .363 actual wOBA.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Rogers Centre as the 4th-best park in the game for home runs.

Justin Verlander is an extreme flyball pitcher (42% FB% via the leading projection system, THE BAT) and will be disadvantaged pitching in the #4 HR venue among all stadiums today.

Given that flyball pitchers struggle the most against groundball hitters, Justin Verlander (42% FB% via the leading projection system, THE BAT) will be a bit disadvantaged today with 2 GB hitters in Toronto’s projected lineup.

Per the leading projection system (THE BAT X), the team with the least strikeout-prone lineup in today’s games is the Toronto Blue Jays with a 18.2% underlying K%.

Justin Verlander will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today’s game.

Justin Verlander will have the handedness advantage against George Springer in today’s matchup.

Despite posting a .366 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes George Springer has had some very good luck given the .021 discrepancy between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .345.

Dominic Smith’s BABIP ability is projected in the 21st percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Dominic Smith is penciled in 8th on the lineup card today, which would be a downgrade from his 64% rate of hitting in the top-half of the lineup this season.

16% of the time that Dominic Smith has started against a right-handed starter this year, he has been replaced by a pinch-hitter.

Playing on the road typically lowers hitter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Dominic Smith in today’s matchup.

It may be sensible to expect better numbers for the San Francisco Giants offense going forward, given that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes they are the 4th-unluckiest offense in Major League Baseball this year.

Chris Bassitt’s fastball velocity has dropped 1.9 mph this year (90.7 mph) below where it was last year (92.6 mph).

Chris Bassitt was on point in his previous GS and allowed 1 ER.

Chris Bassitt’s 2158-rpm fastball spin rate this year is in the 19th percentile out of all starters.

Chris Bassitt has had positive variance on his side thus far when it comes to his strikeouts this year, posting an 8.75 K/9 despite the leading projection system (THE BAT) estimating his true talent level to be 8.25 — a 0.50 K/9 deviation.

Chris Bassitt will have the handedness advantage over Matt Chapman in today’s game… and it’s an even larger mismatch considering Bassitt’s large platoon split.

Playing on the road typically diminishes batter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Matt Chapman in today’s matchup.

Matt Chapman has negatively regressed with his Barrel% lately; his 9.8% seasonal rate has dropped off to 0% over the past week.

Playing on the road generally lessens hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Mike Yastrzemski in today’s game.

In the past two weeks, Mike Yastrzemski’s exit velocity on flyballs has fallen from his seasonal EV of 92.8 mph to 87.6 mph.

In the past week, Mike Yastrzemski’s 0% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 16.7%.

Mike Yastrzemski’s BABIP talent is projected in the 17th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Chris Bassitt will hold the platoon advantage over Willy Adames today… and it’s a particular mismatch considering Bassitt’s large platoon split.

Willy Adames will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today’s game.

Using Statcast metrics, Willy Adames grades out in the 12th percentile via the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Batting Average this year at .222.

Justin Verlander will have the handedness advantage over Vladimir Guerrero Jr. in today’s game.

Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has taken a step back with his Barrel% in recent games; his 13.5% seasonal rate has decreased to 0% in the past week’s worth of games.

In the last week, Vladimir Guerrero Jr.’s 0% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 12.2%.

Justin Verlander will hold the platoon advantage against Bo Bichette today.

Bo Bichette’s exit velocity on flyballs has declined recently; his 92.5-mph seasonal mark has lowered to 75.7-mph over the past 7 days.

In the last 7 days, Bo Bichette’s 0% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 12.5%.

Alejandro Kirk has primarily hit in the top-half of the lineup this year (79% of the time), but he is projected to bat 6th in the batting order in today’s game.

Batting from the same side that Justin Verlander throws from, Alejandro Kirk meets a tough challenge in today’s matchup.

Over the past 14 days, Alejandro Kirk’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 9.6% down to 0%.

Ernie Clement is projected to hit 8th in the lineup in this matchup.

Hitting from the same side that Justin Verlander throws from, Ernie Clement faces a tough challenge in today’s matchup.

Ernie Clement’s exit velocity on flyballs has decreased lately; his 88.4-mph seasonal mark has fallen to 85.1-mph in the last two weeks.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ernie Clement in the 10th percentile when estimating his home run skill.

Chris Bassitt will have the handedness advantage against Heliot Ramos today… and it’s an over-sized mismatch considering Bassitt’s large platoon split.

Playing on the road generally diminishes batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Heliot Ramos in today’s game.

Heliot Ramos has negatively regressed with his Barrel% in recent games; his 10.8% seasonal rate has fallen to 0% in the last week’s worth of games.

When estimating his overall offensive talent, Patrick Bailey ranks in the 22nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Patrick Bailey is projected to hit 9th in the lineup today.

Playing on the road generally reduces hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Patrick Bailey in today’s matchup.

As it relates to his home run skill, Nathan Lukes ranks in the 7th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

When starting against a righty hurler this year, Nathan Lukes has been pulled from the game early 20% of the time.

In terms of his home runs, Nathan Lukes has been very fortunate this year. His 13.9 HR per 600 plate appearances rate has been quite a bit higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected HR/600 at 7.6.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Nathan Lukes’s true offensive ability to be a .309, suggesting that he has had some very good luck this year given the .030 discrepancy between that mark and his actual .339 wOBA.

Grading out in the 3rd percentile, the hardest ball Nathan Lukes has made contact with this year reached a maximum exit velocity of 105.7 mph — a reliable indication of underlying power ability.

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