Todays Game 3 Matchup Details

Player match stat positives for Los Angeles at St. Louis Game 3 Matchup Today

Sonny Gray projects as the 18th-best SP in MLB currently when assessing his strikeout skill, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Adam Hamari projects as a Pitchers Umpire and is scheduled to be in charge of the strike zone in today’s game.

Sonny Gray will benefit from the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which ought to improve all of his metrics in all categories.

In his previous GS, Sonny Gray performed well and posted 9 strikeouts.

Among all starters, Sonny Gray’s fastball spin rate of 2536 rpm is in the 96th percentile this year.

In the majors, Busch Stadium has the 7th-lowest average fence height.

Posting a 1.97 K/BB rate this year, Miguel Rojas has displayed impressive plate discipline, placing in the 79th percentile.

Miguel Rojas has notched a .271 batting average this year, checking in at the 81st percentile.

When estimating his overall offensive ability, Willson Contreras ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Willson Contreras is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in this game.

Batting from the opposite that Clayton Kershaw throws from, Willson Contreras will have an edge in today’s matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Gavin Lux in the 80th percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability.

Gavin Lux is penciled in 5th in the batting order in today’s game, which would be an upgrade from his 79% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this year.

Batting from the opposite that Sonny Gray throws from, Gavin Lux will have the upper hand today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brendan Donovan in the 92nd percentile when estimating his batting average talent.

Brendan Donovan will hold the home field advantage in today’s game, which ought to improve all of his stats.

Compared to his seasonal average of 12.6°, Brendan Donovan has significantly improved his launch angle lately, posting a 20.7° angle in the past 14 days.

Kike Hernandez hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.1% — 79th percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting out towards baseball’s 7th-shallowest CF fences in today’s matchup.

Kike Hernandez has seen a significant improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs this season; just compare his 90.4-mph average to last year’s 88.2-mph EV.

Compared to his seasonal average of 16.6°, Kike Hernandez has significantly improved his launch angle in recent games, posting a 20.5° angle over the last two weeks.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jordan Walker in the 87th percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent.

Jordan Walker will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Clayton Kershaw in today’s game.

Jordan Walker hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.3% — 94th percentile) and is fortunate to face the league’s 7th-shallowest CF fences today.

When estimating his strikeout ability, the leading projection system (THE BAT) puts Clayton Kershaw in the 78th percentile among all SPs in the game.

Clayton Kershaw’s high usage rate of his secondary pitches (63.1% since the start of last season) ought to work in his favor consider they are typically much more effective than fastballs.

Clayton Kershaw has posted a 12.8% Swinging Strike percentage since the start of last season, placing in the 87th percentile.

Grading out in the 78th percentile, Clayton Kershaw has notched a 25% K% since the start of last season.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Andy Pages in the 76th percentile when assessing his home run skill.

In the last week, Andy Pages’s Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 10.8% up to 33.3%.

Andy Pages has been hot recently, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 88.4-mph to 95.4-mph in the past week.

Masyn Winn is projected to bat 1st in the batting order in today’s game.

Masyn Winn will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Clayton Kershaw in today’s matchup.

Masyn Winn will possess the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which figures to improve all of his stats.

When estimating his overall offensive skill, Tommy Pham ranks in the 81st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Tommy Pham is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in this game.

Batting from the opposite that Clayton Kershaw throws from, Tommy Pham will have an edge today.

Tommy Pham hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.4% — 95th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing MLB’s 7th-shallowest CF fences in today’s matchup.

Jordan Walker will benefit from the home field advantage today, which figures to improve all of his stats.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Shohei Ohtani ranks as the 4th-best batter in the game.

Shohei Ohtani is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card in today’s game.

Hitting from the opposite that Sonny Gray throws from, Shohei Ohtani will have the upper hand in today’s game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Sonny Gray in the 94th percentile when estimating his overall pitching talent.

Compared to their .345 overall projected rate, the .334 the leading projection system (THE BAT X) wOBA of the Los Angeles Dodgers projected offense today suggests this version of the lineup quite a bit a bit watered down.

Busch Stadium profiles as the #29 field in the game for home runs, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).

In MLB, Busch Stadium’s right field dimensions are the 3rd-deepest.

Andy Pages’s ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has improved recently, going from 46.4% on the season to 66.7% over the past 7 days.

Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (.338) suggests that Andy Pages has had some very poor luck this year with his .304 actual wOBA.

Nolan Arenado is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in this matchup.

Nolan Arenado will have the handedness advantage against Clayton Kershaw in today’s matchup.

Nolan Arenado will hold the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which should bolster all of his stats.

In the last 7 days, Nolan Arenado’s Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 3.2% up to 8.3%.

Pedro Pages will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Clayton Kershaw in today’s matchup.

Pedro Pages will possess the home field advantage today, which should bolster all of his stats.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Mookie Betts ranks as the 14th-best hitter in baseball.

Mookie Betts is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in this matchup.

Mookie Betts hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.8% — 90th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting towards the league’s 7th-shallowest CF fences in today’s game.

Gavin Lux hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.4% — 95th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing MLB’s 7th-shallowest CF fences today.

Mookie Betts’s launch angle recently (23.3° in the last week) is a significant increase over his 20.3° seasonal figure.

When assessing his overall offensive talent, Paul Goldschmidt ranks in the 91st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Paul Goldschmidt is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in this game.

Batting from the opposite that Clayton Kershaw throws from, Paul Goldschmidt will have an edge in today’s game.

Home field advantage typically improves batter stats across the board, and Paul Goldschmidt will hold that advantage in today’s game.

Positioned steepest in Major League Baseball this year, Los Angeles Dodgers batters collectively have posted a 15.2° launch angle (an advanced metric to assess the ability to lift the ball for power).

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT)’s judgement, Clayton Kershaw’s overall pitching skill ranks in the 92nd percentile among all starting pitchers in the league currently.

Clayton Kershaw turned in a great performance in his last start and allowed 1 ER.

Brendan Donovan has put up a .336 Expected wOBA (xwOBA) this year, ranking in the 76th percentile for offensive skills according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Brendan Donovan ranks in the 85th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Masyn Winn has been hot lately, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 86.5-mph to 91.3-mph over the past two weeks.

Home field advantage generally improves batter stats across the board, and Willson Contreras will hold that advantage today.

Despite posting a .269 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Kike Hernandez has had bad variance on his side given the .027 deviation between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .296.

Clayton Kershaw’s 89.4-mph fastball velocity this year ranks in the 5th percentile among all starters.

Sunday Game 3 player match stat slumps with Dodgers vs Cardinals Matchup

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Sonny Gray to throw 85 pitches in this matchup (10th-least of all pitchers on the slate today), considering both his underlying tendencies and the matchup.

Per the leading projection system (THE BAT X), the team with the 4th-least strikeout-prone lineup today is the Los Angeles Dodgers with a 20.2% underlying K%.

The #8 venue in the majors for suppressing strikeouts, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Busch Stadium.

Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast expects the 4th-highest temperatures of all games on the slate today at 82°.

Sonny Gray has had positive variance on his side thus far when it comes to his strikeouts this year, posting an 11.16 K/9 despite the leading projection system (THE BAT) estimating his true talent level to be 10.15 — a 1.01 K/9 disparity.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Miguel Rojas in the 4th percentile when it comes to his home run ability.

Miguel Rojas is projected to bat 6th in the batting order in this game.

This year, Miguel Rojas has been pinch hit for in 14% of his appearances when starting against right-handed starter.

Busch Stadium ranks as the #28 stadium in MLB for RHB home runs, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Sonny Gray will hold the platoon advantage over Miguel Rojas in today’s matchup.

Today, Willson Contreras is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 3rd-deepest RF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the opposite field at a 35.2% rate (84th percentile).

Willson Contreras has been cold recently, with his seasonal exit velocity of 91.3-mph dropping to 78.4-mph in the last week’s worth of games.

As it relates to his home runs, Willson Contreras has had some very good luck this year. His 27.4 HR per 600 plate appearances mark has been considerably higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected HR/600 at 21.1.

When starting against a righty hurler this year, Gavin Lux has been replaced by a pinch-hitter 11% of the time.

Busch Stadium projects as the #28 ballpark in baseball for lefty home runs, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Among every team in action today, the 4th-best infield defense is that of the the St. Louis Cardinals.

Gavin Lux will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today’s game.

Gavin Lux has had some very good luck with his home runs this year; his 13.0 HR per 600 plate appearances mark is quite a bit higher than his 10.3 Expected HR/600, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

Brendan Donovan has primarily hit in the top-half of the lineup this year (67% of the time), but he is penciled in 6th in the batting order in today’s game.

Clayton Kershaw will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Brendan Donovan in today’s game.

Brendan Donovan has an 87th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.7%) and will be challenged by MLB’s 6th-deepest LF fences in today’s matchup.

In the past week’s worth of games, Brendan Donovan’s exit velocity on flyballs has dropped from his seasonal mark of 90.9 mph to 84.1 mph.

Kike Hernandez is penciled in 9th in the lineup in this game.

Hitting from the same side that Sonny Gray throws from, Kike Hernandez encounters a tough challenge today.

Kike Hernandez will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today’s game.

Kike Hernandez has been cold lately, putting up a 0% Barrel% (a reliable stat to assess power) over the past week.

Jordan Walker is projected to bat 7th on the lineup card today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Clayton Kershaw to throw 81 pitches today (7th-least of all pitchers on the slate), considering both his underlying tendencies and the matchup.

The St. Louis Cardinals have 7 hitters in the projected lineup that will have the handedness advantage against Clayton Kershaw today.

Clayton Kershaw will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today’s matchup.

Andy Pages is projected to bat 7th on the lineup card in today’s game.

Homers are generally less common at stadiums with deep fences, and Busch Stadium has the 5th-deepest in Major League Baseball.

Sonny Gray will hold the platoon advantage against Andy Pages in today’s game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Masyn Winn in the 17th percentile when it comes to his home run skill.

Today, Masyn Winn is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 3rd-deepest RF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the opposite field at a 34.2% rate (79th percentile).

Masyn Winn’s exit velocity on flyballs has declined this season; his 89.7-mph mark last year has decreased to 87.2-mph.

Masyn Winn’s ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has decreased in recent games, going from 43.2% on the season to 23.1% over the past week.

Tommy Pham has negatively regressed with his Barrel% in recent games; his 7% seasonal rate has fallen to 0% over the past week.

Tommy Pham’s average exit velocity has declined lately; his 90.2-mph seasonal average has dropped off to 72.8-mph over the past 7 days.

Over the last week, Tommy Pham’s 0% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 11.1%.

Shohei Ohtani has a 76th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.8%) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of baseball’s 6th-deepest LF fences today.

Shohei Ohtani will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today’s game.

Over the last 14 days, Shohei Ohtani’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 20.2% down to 15%.

The Los Angeles Dodgers have been the 6th-unluckiest offense in the game this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to perform better in future games, Sonny Gray conceded a colossal 6 earned runs in his last outing.

Playing on the road generally lessens batter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Andy Pages in today’s matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nolan Arenado in the 5th percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability.

Nolan Arenado pulls a lot of his flyballs (42.7% — 100th percentile) and will be challenged by MLB’s 6th-deepest LF fences in today’s game.

There has been a decrease in Nolan Arenado’s average exit velocity this season, from 88.8 mph last year to 85.6 mph now, Nolan Arenado’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has fallen off recently, going from 14.2% on the season to 5.4% over the past two weeks.

Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Batting Average (.240) implies that Nolan Arenado has experienced some positive variance this year with his .268 actual batting average.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Pedro Pages in the 24th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent.

Pedro Pages is projected to bat 8th in the batting order in today’s game.

In terms of his wOBA and overall offense, Pedro Pages has been very fortunate this year. His .286 figure has been a fair amount higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .249.

When it comes to his wOBA and overall offense, Nolan Arenado has been lucky this year. His .312 rate has been significantly inflated relative to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .288.

Batting from the same side that Sonny Gray throws from, Mookie Betts will be at a disadvantage in today’s matchup.

Mookie Betts will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today’s matchup.

Mookie Betts has struggled with his Barrel% of late; his 5.8% seasonal rate has decreased to 0% over the past week.

Tommy Pham has hit 11.4 home runs per 600 plate appearances this year, placing in the 21st percentile for power.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kike Hernandez in the 7th percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent.

Shohei Ohtani’s exit velocity on flyballs has decreased in recent games; his 99.6-mph seasonal mark has lowered to 96.4-mph over the last two weeks.

In the past 7 days, Mookie Betts’s exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off from his seasonal figure of 91.3 mph to 87.5 mph.

When it comes to plate discipline, Paul Goldschmidt’s skill is quite bad, posting a 3.72 K/BB rate this year while ranking in in the 22nd percentile.

With a .228 batting average this year, Paul Goldschmidt has performed in the 22nd percentile.

This year, Pedro Pages’s flyball exit velocity (a reliable standard to evaluate power) grades out in the 21st percentile at 88.9 mph.

Brendan Donovan’s average launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls this year (8.1°) is quite a bit lower than his 12.3° mark last year.

Masyn Winn’s launch angle recently (2.5° in the last week’s worth of games) is considerably lower than his 13.5° seasonal angle.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Masyn Winn’s true offensive skill to be a .291, indicating that he has experienced some positive variance this year given the .031 deviation between that mark and his actual .322 wOBA.

Willson Contreras has had positive variance on his side thus far when it comes to with his wOBA this year; his .369 rate is a fair amount higher than his .341 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Miguel Rojas in the 18th percentile when estimating his BABIP talent.

In today’s matchup, Miguel Rojas is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 3rd-deepest RF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the opposite field at a 37.3% rate (93rd percentile).