Cubs @ Guardians Series Game 3 2025 WorldSeries Matchup Details

Positives for the Chicago Cubs World Series Game 3 Game Today

Carson Kelly is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in this matchup, which would be an upgrade from his 60% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this year.

The #3 venue in the league for boosting base hits to RHB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Progressive Field.

Progressive Field has the 3rd-shallowest LF dimensions in MLB.

Built 673 feet above sea level, Progressive Field has the 7th-highest altitude in the league, which tends to lead to better offense.

Batting from the opposite that Parker Messick throws from, Carson Kelly will have an edge today.

Batting from the opposite that Shota Imanaga throws from, Gabriel Arias will have the upper hand in today’s game.

Extreme flyball hitters like Gabriel Arias generally hit better against extreme groundball pitchers like Shota Imanaga.

Home field advantage typically improves batter stats across the board, and Gabriel Arias will hold that advantage today.

Gabriel Arias has shown some good exit velocity stats recently, averaging 107.4-mph on his flyballs over the past 7 days.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects David Fry in the 83rd percentile when it comes to his home run ability.

David Fry is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in today’s game.

David Fry will have the handedness advantage over Shota Imanaga in today’s game.

Brayan Rocchio will possess the home field advantage in today’s game, which figures to improve all of his stats.

Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Batting Average (.251) may lead us to conclude that Brayan Rocchio has experienced some negative variance since the start of last season with his .232 actual batting average.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alex Bregman in the 95th percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability.

Alex Bregman is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card today.

Hitting from the opposite that Parker Messick throws from, Alex Bregman will have the upper hand in today’s game.

Alex Bregman pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (36.5% — 89th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting them towards MLB’s 3rd-shallowest LF fences in today’s game.

When assessing his overall offensive ability, Michael Busch ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Michael Busch is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in this matchup.

The #3 field in MLB for boosting base hits to LHB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Progressive Field.

Michael Busch pulls a lot of his flyballs (34.9% — 83rd percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards MLB’s 5th-shallowest RF fences in today’s matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ian Happ in the 93rd percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent.

Ian Happ is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in this matchup.

As it relates to his home run talent, Pete Crow-Armstrong ranks in the 84th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Pete Crow-Armstrong pulls many of his flyballs (39.7% — 97th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards baseball’s 5th-shallowest RF fences today.

Over the last 7 days, Pete Crow-Armstrong’s maximum exit velocity (a good proxy for recent form and raw power) has been 111.5-mph, which qualifies as one of the hardest-hit balls in baseball.

When estimating his batting average skill, Nico Hoerner is projected as the 11th-best batter in the league by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Nico Hoerner is projected to bat 1st in the lineup today.

Batting from the opposite that Parker Messick throws from, Nico Hoerner will have an edge today.

Miguel Amaya will have the handedness advantage against Parker Messick in today’s game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jose Ramirez in the 94th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability.

Jose Ramirez is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card today.

Jose Ramirez pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (42.4% — 100th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting them towards the league’s 3rd-shallowest LF fences today.

Jose Ramirez will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today’s game, which should boost all of his stats.

When assessing his home run talent, Rhys Hoskins ranks in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Rhys Hoskins has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this year (50% of the time), but he is penciled in 4th in the batting order in this game.

Rhys Hoskins will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Shota Imanaga today.

Rhys Hoskins pulls a lot of his flyballs (41.4% — 99th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards MLB’s 3rd-shallowest LF fences in today’s matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Carson Kelly in the 79th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability.

Carson Kelly has been hot in recent games, posting a 93.3-mph average exit velocity in the past week’s worth of games.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Chase DeLauter in the 87th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent.

Chase DeLauter pulls many of his flyballs (34% — 77th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards baseball’s 5th-shallowest RF fences in today’s matchup.

Chase DeLauter will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today’s game, which should bolster all of his stats.

Bashing 5 dingers in the past two weeks, Chase DeLauter has been on fire lately.

Austin Hedges will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Shota Imanaga in today’s matchup.

Austin Hedges pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (36.1% — 88th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting them towards baseball’s 3rd-shallowest LF fences in today’s matchup.

Home field advantage typically improves batter stats across the board, and Austin Hedges will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

In terms of the ability to lift the ball for power, Austin Hedges ranks in the 97th percentile with a 24.7° launch angle, which is among the most flyball-inducing angles in Major League Baseball.

Nico Hoerner has a 76th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.2%) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting them towards the game’s 5th-shallowest RF fences in today’s matchup.

As it relates to plate discipline, Nico Hoerner’s skill is quite impressive, sporting a 1.16 K/BB rate since the start of last season while ranking in in the 96th percentile.

Angel Martinez is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order in this game, which would be an upgrade from his 80% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this season.

The switch-hitting Angel Martinez will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his good side (0) today against Shota Imanaga.

Angel Martinez pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (38.4% — 95th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting them towards MLB’s 3rd-shallowest LF fences in today’s matchup.

Home field advantage generally boosts batter metrics across the board, and Angel Martinez will hold that advantage in today’s game.

Hitting from the opposite that Parker Messick throws from, Matt Shaw will have an advantage in today’s matchup.

In terms of his batting average, Matt Shaw has experienced some negative variance since the start of last season. His .226 BA falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .249.

Pete Crow-Armstrong has been unlucky in regards to his wOBA since the start of last season; his .321 mark is quite a bit lower than his .339 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

When assessing his overall offensive ability, Dansby Swanson ranks in the 80th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Dansby Swanson will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Parker Messick today.

Compiling a 93.9-mph average exit velocity in the past 7 days, Dansby Swanson has been in great form of late.

David Fry pulls many of his flyballs (37.8% — 93rd percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting them towards baseball’s 3rd-shallowest LF fences in today’s matchup.

Pete Crow-Armstrong has had some very poor luck with his home runs since the start of last season; his 27.5 HR per 600 plate appearances rate is a fair amount lower than his 33.9 Expected HR/600, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (.317) implies that Matt Shaw has been unlucky since the start of last season with his .295 actual wOBA.

Steven Kwan is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card in today’s game.

Steven Kwan has a 93rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.6%) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting them towards the league’s 3rd-shallowest LF fences today.

Home field advantage generally bolsters batter stats across the board, and Steven Kwan will hold that advantage in today’s game.

Steven Kwan’s batting average skill is projected to be in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Ian Happ has been hot in recent games, notching a a 14.3% Barrel% (a reliable metric to study power) over the past two weeks.

Dansby Swanson has had some very poor luck with his wOBA since the start of last season; his .306 mark is considerably lower than his .328 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

In notching a .376 Expected wOBA (or xwOBA, an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) utilizing Statcast data) since the start of last season, Michael Busch finds himself in the 95th percentile for offensive ability.

Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (.360) implies that Ian Happ has been unlucky since the start of last season with his .334 actual wOBA.

Sporting a 0.97 K/BB rate since the start of last season, Steven Kwan has shown strong plate discipline, grading out in the 99th percentile.

Negatives with the Cleveland Guardians World Series Game 3 Game Today

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Carson Kelly in the 14th percentile when assessing his BABIP skill.

Carson Kelly will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team today.

Over the past week, Carson Kelly has failed to produce much power, posting a mere a 0% Barrel% (a reliable stat to study power).

In the past 7 days, Carson Kelly’s swing has not been well optimized for home runs, hitting a mere 0% of his balls with a launch angle in the optimal range of 23° to 34°.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Gabriel Arias in the 21st percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability.

Gabriel Arias is penciled in 7th on the lineup card today.

The #6 venue in MLB for suppressing home runs to right-handed hitters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Progressive Field.

Progressive Field has the 4th-highest fence height (on average) in MLB.

In today’s game, Gabriel Arias is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 7th-deepest CF center field fences given that he hits his flyballs towards center field at a 38.4% rate (87th percentile).

The Chicago Cubs infield defense profiles as the 2nd-strongest out of all the teams playing today.

David Fry has experienced some positive variance in regards to his batting average since the start of last season; his .176 figure is inflated compared to his .144 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

The standard deviation of David Fry’s launch angle since the start of last season (29.8°) is in the 24th percentile. A high figure like this tends to lead to a lower rate of hits on balls in play.

In terms of plate discipline, David Fry’s ability is quite bad, putting up a 6.52 K/BB rate since the start of last season while placing in in the 11th percentile.

Brayan Rocchio’s BABIP talent is projected in the 21st percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Brayan Rocchio is projected to hit 8th in the batting order in today’s game.

Over the last 7 days, Brayan Rocchio has failed to produce much power, posting a mere a 0% Barrel% (an advanced stat to study power).

In the past two weeks, Brayan Rocchio has been exhibiting poor exit velocity numbers, with an average of only 81.7-mph on his flyballs.

Alex Bregman will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today’s matchup.

Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (.312) implies that Alex Bregman has had positive variance on his side since the start of last season with his .353 actual wOBA.

Parker Messick will have the handedness advantage against Michael Busch today.

Michael Busch will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today’s game.

As a switch-hitter who is weaker from the 0 side of the plate, Ian Happ will be less advantaged while batting from his bad side against Parker Messick today.

Ian Happ will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today’s game.

In the past week, Ian Happ’s swing has not been well optimized for base hits, hitting a mere 30.8% of his balls with a launch angle in the optimal range of -4° to 26°.

Pete Crow-Armstrong has primarily hit in the top-half of the lineup this season (71% of the time), but he is projected to hit 8th in the batting order in today’s game.

Parker Messick will hold the platoon advantage over Pete Crow-Armstrong in today’s game.

Playing on the road generally reduces batter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Pete Crow-Armstrong in today’s matchup.

Pete Crow-Armstrong has been cold of late, posting a 0% Barrel% (an advanced standard to measure power) in the last week’s worth of games.

Nico Hoerner will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today’s matchup.

Nico Hoerner has been cold recently, putting up a 0% Barrel% (a reliable stat to evaluate power) over the past 7 days.

Since the start of last season, Nico Hoerner’s 2.2% Barrel%, a reliable stat for measuring power, places him in the 5th percentile among his peers.

Since the start of last season, Nico Hoerner’s flyball exit velocity (an advanced metric to evaluate power) ranks in the 4th percentile at 87.4 mph.

Miguel Amaya’s BABIP ability is projected in the 16th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Miguel Amaya is projected to hit 9th on the lineup card today.

Miguel Amaya will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today’s matchup.

Miguel Amaya’s footspeed has declined this year. His 25.93 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last season sits at 24.91 ft/sec now.

Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (.274) provides evidence that Miguel Amaya has been lucky since the start of last season with his .363 actual wOBA.

Alex Bregman has had some very good luck with his batting average since the start of last season; his .269 BA is significantly inflated relative to his .230 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

Extreme groundball batters like Jose Ramirez tend to perform worse against extreme groundball pitchers like Shota Imanaga.

Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (.340) may lead us to conclude that Jose Ramirez has had some very good luck since the start of last season with his .355 actual wOBA.

Extreme groundball batters like Rhys Hoskins generally hit worse against extreme groundball pitchers like Shota Imanaga.

As it relates to his wOBA and overall offense, Rhys Hoskins has been lucky since the start of last season. His .327 figure has been a good deal higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .309.

Chase DeLauter is penciled in 6th in the lineup today, which would be a downgrade from his 100% rate of hitting in the top-half of the batting order this season.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Progressive Field as the 6th-worst venue in baseball for left-handed home runs.

Hitting from the same side that Shota Imanaga throws from, Chase DeLauter will not have the upper hand in today’s matchup.

When it comes to his home runs, Nico Hoerner has experienced some positive variance since the start of last season. His 6.2 HR per 600 plate appearances mark has been inflated compared to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected HR/600 at 3.0.

As it relates to his home run ability, Brayan Rocchio ranks in the 13th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

When assessing his overall offensive talent, Austin Hedges ranks in the 1st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Austin Hedges is penciled in 9th on the lineup card today.

Austin Hedges has recorded a .234 Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season, grading out in the 13th percentile for offensive skills according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nico Hoerner in the 3rd percentile as it relates to his home run talent.

Angel Martinez has been cold in recent games, posting a 0% Barrel% (a reliable standard to study power) over the last week.

In the last 7 days, Angel Martinez has been exhibiting poor exit velocity numbers, with an average of only 82.1-mph on his flyballs.

Angel Martinez has had positive variance on his side thus far when it comes to with his wOBA since the start of last season; his .274 mark is significantly inflated relative to his .259 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

Matt Shaw is projected to hit 7th in the batting order in today’s game.

Matt Shaw will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today’s matchup.

Matt Shaw has been cold lately, notching a 0% Barrel% (an advanced stat to study power) in the last week’s worth of games.

Posting a -7° launch angle over the last 7 days suggests that Matt Shaw has been finding it challenging to lift the ball recently, which is a key component of hitting for power.

Matt Shaw’s 84.8-mph average exit velocity is one of the worst in the league since the start of last season: 2nd percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Rhys Hoskins in the 4th percentile when estimating his BABIP ability.

This season, there has been a decline in Rhys Hoskins’s speed with his Statcast Sprint Speed dropping from 24.76 ft/sec last year to 24.23 ft/sec currently.

Chase DeLauter has not been honed in on the ideal launch angle for base hits of late, lifting balls between -4° and 26° just 25% of the time in the last week.

Pete Crow-Armstrong ranks in the 6th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between -4° and 26°, the launch angle range that tends to optimize base hits (39% rate since the start of last season).

Dansby Swanson is projected to hit 6th on the lineup card in today’s game.

In today’s matchup, Dansby Swanson is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 7th-deepest CF center field fences given that he hits his flyballs towards center field at a 40.3% rate (98th percentile).

Dansby Swanson will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player today.

When it comes to plate discipline, Dansby Swanson’s ability is quite weak, posting a 3.42 K/BB rate since the start of last season while ranking in in the 25th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Austin Hedges in the 0th percentile when it comes to his batting average ability.

Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Batting Average (.153) suggests that Austin Hedges has had positive variance on his side since the start of last season with his .170 actual batting average.

Rhys Hoskins has experienced some positive variance in regards to his batting average since the start of last season; his .239 figure is a fair amount higher than his .210 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

David Fry’s BABIP skill is projected in the 21st percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Angel Martinez’s BABIP skill is projected in the 21st percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

David Fry has experienced some positive variance in regards to with his wOBA since the start of last season; his .260 figure is a fair amount higher than his .231 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

Gabriel Arias is an extreme groundball batter and faces the strong infield defense of Chicago (#2-best on the slate today).

As it relates to his home run ability, Steven Kwan ranks in the 2nd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Shota Imanaga will hold the platoon advantage against Steven Kwan today.

Steven Kwan has been cold lately, compiling a 0% Barrel% (a reliable stat to assess power) in the past 7 days.

Putting up a lowly a 74.8-mph average exit velocity in the last two weeks, Steven Kwan has been in a slump recently.

Placing in the 0th percentile, the hardest ball Steven Kwan has hit since the start of last season reached a maximum exit velocity of 104.2 mph — an advanced indication of underlying power skill.

Putting up a 4.9° launch angle over the last week suggests that Ian Happ has been finding it challenging to lift the ball lately, which is a key component of hitting for power.

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