MLB Player match stats positives for St. Louis at Pittsburgh Tuesday Matchup

Masyn Winn is projected to hit 1st in the batting order in this matchup, which would be an upgrade from his 60% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this year.

A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is predicted to have the 4th-highest temperatures of all games on the slate at 84°.

Among all the teams playing today, the 4th-weakest infield defense is that of the Pittsburgh Pirates.

Over the last week, Masyn Winn’s 33.3% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 15%.

Sporting a .279 Expected Batting Average (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) based on Statcast data) this year , Masyn Winn has performed in the 87th percentile.

PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest altitude among all parks. High elevation generally leads to better offense.

Matt Carpenter will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Mitch Keller in today’s game.

In the past 7 days, Matt Carpenter’s 42.9% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 15.5%.

Nolan Arenado’s launch angle of late (37° over the last 7 days) is considerably better than his 18.9° seasonal mark.

Alec Burleson is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order today.

Alec Burleson will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Mitch Keller in today’s game.

Alec Burleson has made notable improvements with his Barrel% of late, upping his 7.4% seasonal rate to 13.5% in the last two weeks.

When it comes to his home run ability, Matt Carpenter ranks in the 80th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Matt Carpenter has had some very poor luck with his home runs since the start of last season; his 12.4 HR per 600 plate appearances rate is deflated compared to his 18.5 Expected HR/600, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

Mike Siani will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Mitch Keller today.

Mike Siani has made sizeable gains with his Barrel% lately, bettering his 4.5% seasonal rate to 20% in the past week.

Mike Siani’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better of late, rising from 15.3% on the season to 20.8% over the past 14 days.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brendan Donovan in the 93rd percentile when estimating his batting average skill.

Brendan Donovan is penciled in 5th in the batting order in this game.

Brendan Donovan will have the handedness advantage against Mitch Keller in today’s game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ke’Bryan Hayes in the 79th percentile when assessing his batting average ability.

Ke’Bryan Hayes will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which ought to bolster all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Ke’Bryan Hayes’s true offensive skill to be a .304, providing some evidence that he has had some very poor luck this year given the .033 discrepancy between that mark and his actual .271 wOBA.

As it relates to his home run ability, Jack Suwinski ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Jack Suwinski will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Kyle Gibson in today’s game.

Home field advantage generally boosts hitter stats in all categories, and Jack Suwinski will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

When it comes to his batting average, Jack Suwinski has suffered from bad luck this year. His .170 rate falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .221.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Edward Olivares in the 77th percentile when estimating his batting average ability.

Edward Olivares will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which ought to bolster all of his stats.

In terms of his batting average, Edward Olivares has been unlucky this year. His .235 figure falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .261.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Andrew McCutchen in the 85th percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent.

Andrew McCutchen is projected to bat 1st in the batting order in today’s game.

Home field advantage generally boosts batter metrics in all categories, and Andrew McCutchen will hold that advantage today.

The Pittsburgh Pirates have been the 3rd-unluckiest offense in the game this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to hit better the rest of the season, Playing on the road generally diminishes pitcher metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Kyle Gibson in today’s matchup.

Kyle Gibson’s 90.1-mph velocity on his fastball this season is a sizeable 1.3-mph decrease from last season’s 91.4-mph figure.

Kyle Gibson has used his change-up 8.3% less often this year (8.7%) than he did last season (17%).

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brendan Donovan in the 86th percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability.

When assessing his home run ability, Rowdy Tellez ranks in the 89th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Rowdy Tellez is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card today, which would be an upgrade from his 54% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this season.

Rowdy Tellez will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Kyle Gibson in today’s game.

Rowdy Tellez will benefit from the home field advantage in today’s game, which should bolster all of his stats.

When estimating his overall offensive talent, Bryan Reynolds ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Bryan Reynolds is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in this game.

As a switch-hitter who performs better from the 0 side of the dish, Bryan Reynolds will have the advantage of batting from from his better side against Kyle Gibson in today’s game.

Home field advantage typically improves batter metrics in all categories, and Bryan Reynolds will hold that advantage in today’s game.

When estimating his overall offensive talent, Willson Contreras ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Willson Contreras is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in this game.

Willson Contreras has put up a .388 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) this year, checking in at the 95th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nick Gonzales in the 97th percentile as it relates to his BABIP skill.

Nick Gonzales is penciled in 5th in the lineup in today’s game.

Nick Gonzales will benefit from the home field advantage in today’s game, which should boost all of his stats.

Checking in at the 94th percentile, Willson Contreras sports a .382 Isolated Power rate (ISO) this year.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alec Burleson in the 85th percentile as it relates to his batting average ability.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Oneil Cruz as the majors’s 19th-best home run hitter.

Oneil Cruz is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in this matchup.

Hitting from the opposite that Kyle Gibson throws from, Oneil Cruz will have an edge in today’s matchup.

Oneil Cruz will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which should bolster all of his stats.

Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected HR per 600 plate appearances (23.8) provides evidence that Nick Gonzales has had some very poor luck this year with his 17.2 actual HR/600.

Batting from the opposite that Mitch Keller throws from, Nolan Gorman will have the upper hand today.

Nolan Gorman has been hot recently, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 88.1-mph to 90.4-mph over the last 14 days.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Paul Goldschmidt in the 90th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill.

Paul Goldschmidt is penciled in 4th in the lineup in this game.

Paul Goldschmidt has made sizeable strides with his Barrel% of late, upping his 8.7% seasonal rate to 20.7% over the last two weeks.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Nolan Gorman as Major League Baseball’s 12th-best home run batter.

Kyle Gibson has averaged 92.1 adjusted pitches per outing this year, ranking in the 77th percentile.

The Pittsburgh Pirates have 4 hitters in their projected lineup today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (via the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Oneil Cruz, Nick Gonzales, Joey Bart, Jack Suwinski).

Rowdy Tellez’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better lately, rising from 12.3% on the season to 26.9% over the past 14 days.

Jack Suwinski has been unlucky this year, compiling a .242 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .310 — a .068 discrepancy.

Last year, Nolan Gorman had an average launch angle of 21.5° on his hardest-hit balls, while this year it has significantly increased to 26.4°.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Oneil Cruz in the 92nd percentile when assessing his BABIP skill.

Paul Goldschmidt has been hot of late, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 91.3-mph to 96.4-mph in the last 14 days.

In terms of his wOBA and overall offense, Edward Olivares has been unlucky this year. His .287 figure falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .313.

The St. Louis Cardinals have been the 8th-unluckiest offense in baseball this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to perform better in future games, Nick Gonzales’s 11.1% Barrel% (a reliable metric to assess power) is in the 79th percentile this year.

Mitch Keller has averaged 94.8 adjusted pitches per outing this year, ranking in the 89th percentile.

Current MLB player match stat slumps with Cardinals vs Pirates Matchup for Tuesday

When estimating his home run skill, Masyn Winn ranks in the 15th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Among all major league parks, the 6th-tallest fence height (on average) are at PNC Park.

PNC Park has the 8th-largest outfield in the majors — generally bad for home runs.

The wind projects to be blowing in from RF at 8.2-mph in this game, the strongest of the day for pitchers.

Batting from the same side that Mitch Keller throws from, Masyn Winn encounters a tough challenge in today’s game.

Matt Carpenter’s batting average ability is projected to be in the 3rd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Matt Carpenter is penciled in 8th in the batting order today.

When starting against a right-handed starter this year, Matt Carpenter has been replaced by a pinch-hitter 22% of the time.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nolan Arenado in the 6th percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent.

Nolan Arenado has primarily hit in the top-half of the lineup this year (94% of the time), but he is projected to hit 6th on the lineup card today.

Mitch Keller will have the handedness advantage against Nolan Arenado in today’s game.

12% of the time that Alec Burleson has started against a northpaw this year, he has been pinch hit for.

Alec Burleson has a 79th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.2%) and will have to hit them out towards baseball’s 9th-deepest LF fences today.

Playing on the road generally diminishes batter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Alec Burleson today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Mike Siani in the 6th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability.

Mike Siani is projected to bat 9th on the lineup card today.

This year, Mike Siani has been pinch hit for in 38% of his appearances when starting against righty hurler.

Nolan Arenado pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (42.3% — 99th percentile) but may find it hard to clear the league’s 9th-deepest LF fences in today’s matchup.

Brendan Donovan has an 87th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.9%) but may find it hard to clear the game’s 9th-deepest LF fences in today’s matchup.

Playing on the road generally diminishes hitter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Brendan Donovan today.

Brendan Donovan’s average launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls this year (9.1°) is considerably lower than his 12.3° figure last season.

Ke’Bryan Hayes is penciled in 7th on the lineup card today, which would be a downgrade from his 86% rate of hitting in the top-half of the batting order this season.

Batting from the same side that Kyle Gibson throws from, Ke’Bryan Hayes will be in a tough position today.

Jack Suwinski is penciled in 8th in the batting order in this matchup.

The St. Louis Cardinals infield defense projects as the 3rd-best out of every team on the slate today.

Edward Olivares has primarily hit in the top-half of the lineup this season (78% of the time), but he is projected to hit 6th in the lineup in this game.

Kyle Gibson will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Edward Olivares in today’s game.

In today’s matchup, Edward Olivares is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 9th-deepest LF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the pull field at a 34.4% rate (84th percentile).

Kyle Gibson will have the handedness advantage over Andrew McCutchen in today’s matchup.

In today’s matchup, Andrew McCutchen is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 9th-deepest LF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the pull field at a 34.3% rate (82nd percentile).

Compared to his seasonal mark of 11.9°, Andrew McCutchen has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (-0.6°) over the last 14 days.

Jack Suwinski’s batting average talent is projected to be in the 10th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

The #2 venue in the league for suppressing walks, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is PNC Park.

PNC Park has the 9th-deepest LF dimensions among all parks.

When starting against a right-handed pitcher this year, Rowdy Tellez has been replaced by a pinch-hitter 22% of the time.

Rowdy Tellez’s exit velocity on flyballs has declined recently; his 90.4-mph seasonal average has dropped off to 83.6-mph in the last week’s worth of games.

Hitting from the same side that Mitch Keller throws from, Willson Contreras will have a tough matchup in today’s game.

Willson Contreras will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today’s matchup.

Hitting from the same side that Kyle Gibson throws from, Nick Gonzales faces a tough challenge in today’s game.

In the last week’s worth of games, Nick Gonzales’s exit velocity on flyballs has fallen from his seasonal average of 93.5 mph to 79.8 mph.

Typically, batters like Oneil Cruz who hit a lot of flyballs generally hit worse when facing pitchers who also induce a lot of flyballs such as Kyle Gibson.

In the past 14 days, Oneil Cruz’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 17.2% down to 10.7%.

Nolan Gorman’s batting average skill is projected to be in the 18th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Nolan Gorman is projected to bat 7th in the lineup in this game, which would be a downgrade from his 58% rate of hitting in the top-half of the batting order this year.

Nolan Gorman will be at a disadvantage playing on the road today.

Mitch Keller will have the handedness advantage over Paul Goldschmidt in today’s matchup.

Paul Goldschmidt will be at a disadvantage playing on the road today.

The #4 field in the game for suppressing strikeouts, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is PNC Park.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Rowdy Tellez in the 4th percentile when estimating his BABIP skill.

Jack Suwinski has negatively regressed with his Barrel% recently; his 7% seasonal rate has decreased to 0% in the last week.

Today, Mike Siani is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 9th-deepest LF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the opposite field at a 35.6% rate (86th percentile).

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Alec Burleson’s true offensive skill to be a .312, implying that he has had some very good luck this year given the .016 discrepancy between that mark and his actual .328 wOBA.

Playing on the road generally reduces hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Masyn Winn in today’s game.

Masyn Winn’s average exit velocity has declined of late; his 86.5-mph seasonal figure has dropped to 84.2-mph in the past 7 days.

Oneil Cruz is an extreme groundball hitter and faces the strong infield defense of St. Louis (#3-best on the slate today).

Mitch Keller will possess the home field advantage in today’s game, which figures to bolster all of his metrics in all categories.

Willson Contreras has negatively regressed with his Barrel% lately; his 12% seasonal rate has decreased to 0% in the last two weeks’ worth of games.