
MIL @ COL






MLB Player match stats positives for Milwaukee at Colorado Tuesday Matchup
Built 5197 feet above sea level, Coors Field has the highest altitude in Major League Baseball, which tends to lead to more offense.
The weather report predicts the 2nd-most suitable hitting weather on the schedule today, as it relates to temperature and humidity.
Andruw Monasterio has made big improvements with his Barrel%, bettering his 5.5% rate last season to 15.6% this year.
Andruw Monasterio’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased in recent games, rising from 21.9% on the season to 40% in the last week’s worth of games.
Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected HR per 600 plate appearances (13.2) provides evidence that Andruw Monasterio has suffered from bad luck since the start of last season with his 6.5 actual HR/600.
When estimating his BABIP talent, Christian Yelich is projected as the 10th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Christian Yelich is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup in this matchup.
Batting from the opposite that Ryan Feltner throws from, Christian Yelich will have the upper hand today.
When assessing his home run ability, Willy Adames ranks in the 89th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Willy Adames is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in today’s game.
The #1 ballpark in the game for boosting offensive stats, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Coors Field.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nolan Jones in the 93rd percentile as it relates to his BABIP skill.
Nolan Jones has strong power (83rd percentile) if he makes contact, but that’s never a sure thing (32.1% K%). Today, however, opposing pitcher Dallas Keuchel struggles to strike batters out (5th percentile K%) — great news for Jones.
Brice Turang is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card in this matchup.
Batting from the opposite that Ryan Feltner throws from, Brice Turang will have the upper hand in today’s matchup.
Nolan Jones will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which should bolster all of his stats.
Nolan Jones has seen a substantial increase in his exit velocity in recent games; just compare his 91.2-mph average in the past week’s worth of games to his seasonal 88.4-mph figure.
Brendan Rodgers’s batting average ability is projected to be in the 83rd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Brendan Rodgers is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in this matchup.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Rhys Hoskins in the 94th percentile when estimating his home run talent.
Rhys Hoskins’s average launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls recently (24.7° over the last two weeks) is significantly higher than his 21.6° seasonal figure.
Rhys Hoskins has been unlucky in regards to his home runs this year; his 26.6 HR per 600 plate appearances mark is considerably lower than his 30.5 Expected HR/600, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.
Ezequiel Tovar’s BABIP skill is projected in the 86th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Ezequiel Tovar is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup.
When it comes to his home run skill, Ryan McMahon ranks in the 87th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Ryan McMahon is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in this game.
Ryan McMahon has big-time HR ability (87th percentile) if he makes contact, but that’s usually a big “IF” (29.6% K%). Today, however, opposing pitcher Dallas Keuchel has a pitch-to-contact profile (13th percentile K%) — great news for McMahon.
Brice Turang has seen a substantial increase in his exit velocity on flyballs of late; just compare his 94.1-mph average in the last two weeks’ worth of games to his seasonal EV of 89.4-mph.
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT)’s appraisal, Dallas Keuchel’s overall pitching ability is in the 13th percentile among all SPs in the game currently.
It may be wise to expect improved performance for the Colorado Rockies offense the rest of the season, given that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) sees them as the 8th-unluckiest offense in Major League Baseball this year.
The #1 ballpark in Major League Baseball for boosting home runs, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Coors Field.
Hitting from the opposite that Dallas Keuchel throws from, Ezequiel Tovar will have the upper hand today.
Over the past week, Andruw Monasterio’s 80% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 34.4%.
Elias Diaz is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in this game.
Elias Diaz will hold the platoon advantage over Dallas Keuchel in today’s matchup.
Elias Diaz will possess the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which figures to boost all of his stats.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects William Contreras in the 95th percentile when assessing his batting average ability.
William Contreras is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order in this game.
Sal Frelick is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in this matchup.
Batting from the opposite that Ryan Feltner throws from, Sal Frelick will have the upper hand in today’s matchup.
Sal Frelick has made significant improvements with his Barrel% recently, improving his 1.6% seasonal rate to 14.3% in the past week’s worth of games.
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT), Elias Diaz (the Rockies’s expected catcher in today’s matchup) projects as a weak pitch framer.
Jackson Chourio’s BABIP ability is projected in the 86th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Jackson Chourio has seen a significant gain in his exit velocity recently; just compare his 92.7-mph average over the past two weeks to his seasonal 88.4-mph EV.
This season, William Contreras has experienced a significant increase in his exit velocity on flyballs, now sitting at an average of 97.7 mph compared to last year’s 94.7 mph mark.
As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Christian Yelich ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
When assessing his home run ability, Nolan Jones ranks in the 83rd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Batting from the opposite that Dallas Keuchel throws from, Brendan Rodgers will have an edge in today’s matchup.
Brendan Rodgers will benefit from the home field advantage today, which ought to boost all of his stats.
When assessing his overall offensive skill, Willy Adames ranks in the 88th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
Willy Adames has done a favorable job optimizing his launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls. His 21.5° mark is among the highest in the game this year (97th percentile).
When assessing his overall offensive ability, Rhys Hoskins ranks in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
Rhys Hoskins and his 21.6° launch angle on his hardest-hit balls rank in 98th percentile, among the highest in Major League Baseball this year.
The Colorado Rockies have 7 batters in their projected batting order today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (via the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Sam Hilliard, Hunter Goodman, Michael Toglia, Nolan Jones, Ryan McMahon, Brenton Doyle, Ezequiel Tov).
Willy Adames’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved of late, rising from 19.7% on the season to 22.9% in the last two weeks.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ryan McMahon in the 78th percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill.
Ryan McMahon will hold the home field advantage today, which should improve all of his stats.
Ezequiel Tovar will hold the home field advantage today, which figures to boost all of his stats.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Sal Frelick in the 81st percentile when it comes to his batting average talent.
Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (.311) may lead us to conclude that Andruw Monasterio has experienced some negative variance since the start of last season with his .296 actual wOBA.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects William Contreras in the 94th percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill.
Current MLB player match stat slumps with Brewers vs Rockies Matchup for Tuesday
Andruw Monasterio is projected to hit 9th on the lineup card in today’s game.
Ryan Feltner will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Andruw Monasterio in today’s matchup.
Andruw Monasterio will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today’s matchup.
Andruw Monasterio’s exit velocity on flyballs has declined in recent games; his 92.3-mph seasonal average has lowered to 78-mph in the past week.
In notching a .293 wOBA (a leading indicator of offensive ability) since the start of last season, Andruw Monasterio is positioned in the 23rd percentile.
The Colorado Rockies outfield defense grades out as the best out of every team on the slate today.
Playing on the road typically lowers batter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Christian Yelich in today’s matchup.
Christian Yelich has taken a step back with his Barrel% in recent games; his 5.6% seasonal rate has lowered to 0% in the last week.
Compared to his seasonal angle of 4.4°, Christian Yelich has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (0.5°) over the last two weeks.
Christian Yelich has had some very good luck with his batting average this year; his .318 mark is significantly inflated relative to his .278 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.
Ryan Feltner will have the handedness advantage against Willy Adames in today’s matchup.
Willy Adames will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team today.
Willy Adames has been cold of late, with his seasonal exit velocity of 88.4-mph dropping to 85.9-mph over the last 14 days.
Willy Adames’s ability to hit the ball at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has fallen off recently, falling from 39.1% on the season to 25% in the last week’s worth of games.
Nolan Jones is penciled in 6th in the batting order in today’s game.
Batting from the same side that Dallas Keuchel throws from, Nolan Jones faces a tough challenge in today’s matchup.
The Milwaukee Brewers outfield defense profiles as the 2nd-best out of every team playing today.
From last season to this one, Nolan Jones’s ability to hit the ball at a launch angle that optimizes home runs (23° to 34°) has decreased substantially, plummeting from 20% to 10.1%.
Nolan Jones’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has decreased in recent games, falling from 10.1% on the season to 0% in the last week’s worth of games.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brice Turang in the 9th percentile as it relates to his home run skill.
Brice Turang will be at a disadvantage playing away from home today.
Brice Turang’s launch angle in recent games (-1.2° in the past week’s worth of games) is significantly lower than his 6.7° seasonal figure.
Brice Turang’s average launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls this year (2.7°) is considerably lower than his 10.2° mark last season.
Extreme flyball hitters like Brendan Rodgers tend to perform worse against extreme flyball pitchers like Dallas Keuchel.
Brendan Rodgers has taken a step back with his Barrel%; his 11% rate last year has decreased to 4.4% this year.
Brendan Rodgers has been cold lately, with his seasonal exit velocity of 88.7-mph dropping to 76-mph in the last 7 days.
From last year to this one, Brendan Rodgers’s ability to hit the ball at a launch angle that optimizes home runs (23° to 34°) has decreased substantially, plummeting from 19.7% to 9.3%.
Rhys Hoskins is penciled in 6th in the lineup in this matchup.
Ryan Feltner will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Rhys Hoskins in today’s matchup.
Rhys Hoskins will be at a disadvantage playing away from home today.
Rhys Hoskins’s exit velocity on flyballs has declined recently; his 95.9-mph seasonal mark has dropped to 93.6-mph in the past two weeks’ worth of games.
Ezequiel Tovar has negatively regressed with his Barrel% recently; his 8.5% seasonal rate has fallen off to 0% over the past 7 days.
Ezequiel Tovar has been cold recently, with his seasonal exit velocity of 88.2-mph dropping to 77.5-mph in the last week.
Over the past week, Ezequiel Tovar’s 10% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 45.8%.
Ezequiel Tovar has had positive variance on his side thus far when it comes to with his wOBA this year; his .335 figure is a good deal higher than his .288 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.
Hitting from the same side that Dallas Keuchel throws from, Ryan McMahon will have a tough matchup in today’s game.
Over the past week, Ryan McMahon’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 13.3% down to 0%.
Over the last week, Ryan McMahon’s 0% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 13.2%.
Despite posting a .351 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Ryan McMahon has had positive variance on his side given the .036 discrepancy between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .315.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Brice Turang’s true offensive ability to be a .293, implying that he has been very fortunate this year given the .040 discrepancy between that figure and his actual .333 wOBA.
The weakest projected batting order of the day in terms of overall batting ability is that of the Colorado Rockies.
Dallas Keuchel is an extreme groundball pitcher (51% GB% per the leading projection system, THE BAT), which should make him somewhat immune to the dangers of pitching in Coors Field — the #1 HR venue among all parks — in this matchup.
Dallas Keuchel’s high utilization rate of his secondary pitches (61.8% since the start of last season) should work in his favor consider they are generally much more effective than fastballs.
Dallas Keuchel has experienced some negative variance in regards to his ERA since the start of last season; his 6.48 mark is a good deal higher than his 4.88 FIP (Fielding Independent Pitching, an estimator of ERA that focuses on the things a pitcher has the most control over).
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Elias Diaz in the 18th percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill.
Elias Diaz’s average launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls this year (4.7°) is a considerable dropoff from his 8.6° figure last year.
When it comes to his wOBA and overall offense, Elias Diaz has been very fortunate this year. His .340 figure has been quite a bit higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .281.
This year, Elias Diaz’s 3.8% Barrel%, an advanced stat for measuring power, places him in the 15th percentile among his peers.
Batting from the same side that Ryan Feltner throws from, William Contreras will have a tough matchup in today’s game.
William Contreras will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today’s game.
Compared to his seasonal figure of 4.9°, William Contreras has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (1.4°) over the last 14 days.
William Contreras has had positive variance on his side thus far when it comes to his batting average this year; his .291 mark is quite a bit higher than his .270 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.
When it comes to his home run talent, Sal Frelick ranks in the 4th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Playing on the road typically lessens hitter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Sal Frelick in today’s matchup.
Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (.282) may lead us to conclude that Sal Frelick has had positive variance on his side this year with his .304 actual wOBA.
When it comes to power, Sal Frelick grades out in the 4th percentile, having averaged 3.3 dingers per 600 plate appearances this year.
The Milwaukee Brewers have been the 7th-luckiest offense in the majors this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to negatively regress the rest of the season, Ryan Feltner will hold the home field advantage in today’s game, which should boost all of his metrics in all categories.
In his previous start, Ryan Feltner performed well and conceded 2 ER.
Given the 1.61 disparity between Ryan Feltner’s 5.82 ERA and his 4.20 FIP, it’s safe to say he’s been one of the unluckiest pitchers in Major League Baseball this year and ought to see positive regression in the future.
Jackson Chourio is projected to bat 7th in the lineup today.
Batting from the same side that Ryan Feltner throws from, Jackson Chourio will have a tough challenge in today’s matchup.
Playing on the road typically diminishes hitter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Jackson Chourio in today’s game.
In the last 7 days, Jackson Chourio’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 5.3% down to 0%.
Christian Yelich has experienced some positive variance in regards to with his wOBA this year; his .375 mark is quite a bit higher than his .343 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.
Jackson Chourio’s average launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls of late (0.9° in the past two weeks) is quite a bit lower than his 4.3° seasonal angle.
Elias Diaz has performed at a clip of 11.7 Expected Home Runs per 600 plate appearances this year, checking in at the 23rd percentile for power according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.
Considering both his underlying tendencies and the matchup, Ryan Feltner is projected to throw 84 pitches today by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) system, which is the 7th-least of all pitchers on the slate.
The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Coors Field as the worst park in Major League Baseball for strikeouts.
As it relates to his home runs, Nolan Jones has been lucky this year. His 11.9 HR per 600 plate appearances mark has been quite a bit higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected HR/600 at 6.8.
Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (.270) provides evidence that Brendan Rodgers has had some very good luck this year with his .314 actual wOBA.
The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Dallas Keuchel in the 3rd percentile when it comes to his strikeout skill.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Dallas Keuchel to throw 79 pitches in this game (5th-least of all pitchers today), considering both his underlying tendencies and the matchup.
Elias Diaz’s 89.4-mph exit velocity on flyballs (an advanced standard to study power) is in the 16th percentile this year.
Ezequiel Tovar has shown bad plate discipline this year, checking in at the 2nd percentile with a 7.79 K/BB rate.
William Contreras has experienced some positive variance in regards to with his wOBA this year; his .343 rate is a fair amount higher than his .326 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.
