Braves vs Cubs match player stats | 2026 Series Game 3 Wednesday, September 16th

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ATL @ CHC

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Braves @ Cubs Series Game 3 Matchup Details

Teams : Atlanta Braves at Chicago Cubs
Series Game 3
Date : Todays Game is on Wednesday, September 16th
Time : 16/09/26 19:40:00 PM EST First Pitch

Positives for the Atlanta Braves Series Game 3 Game Today

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ian Happ in the 89th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent.

,Ian Happ is projected to hit 5th in the batting order today.

,Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest altitude in MLB. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense.

,The switch-hitting Ian Happ will get to bat from his better side (0) today against JR Ritchie.

,Ian Happ will benefit from the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which should improve all of his stats.

,As it relates to his home run talent, Sean Murphy ranks in the 86th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Sean Murphy will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Shota Imanaga in today’s game.

,Sean Murphy pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (36.9% — 91st percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting them towards the game’s 7th-shallowest LF fences today.

,Sean Murphy has made substantial improvements with his Barrel% recently, upping his 9.6% seasonal rate to 20% over the past week.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alex Bregman in the 88th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill.

,Alex Bregman is penciled in 4th in the batting order in this matchup.

,Alex Bregman pulls many of his flyballs (37.3% — 93rd percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting them towards the game’s 7th-shallowest LF fences today.

,Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter stats across the board, and Alex Bregman will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

,As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Michael Busch ranks in the 90th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

,Michael Busch is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in today’s game.

,Michael Busch will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against JR Ritchie in today’s matchup.

,Home field advantage typically boosts hitter metrics in all categories, and Michael Busch will hold that advantage in today’s game.

,Michael Busch has made notable gains with his Barrel% lately, improving his 9.2% seasonal rate to 16.7% over the last 7 days.

,Ozzie Albies is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in today’s game.

,As a switch-hitter who performs better from the 0 side of the dish, Ozzie Albies will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his strong side against Shota Imanaga today.

,Ozzie Albies pulls many of his flyballs (39.5% — 97th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting them towards the game’s 7th-shallowest LF fences today.

,Ozzie Albies has seen a sizeable increase in his exit velocity recently; just compare his 90.1-mph average in the last week’s worth of games to his seasonal 87-mph EV.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Austin Riley in the 94th percentile when estimating his home run skill.

,The 6th-shallowest LF fences in Major League Baseball are found in Wrigley Field.

,Austin Riley will hold the platoon advantage over Shota Imanaga today.

,Austin Riley has seen a substantial improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs recently; just compare his 100.6-mph average in the last week to his seasonal mark of 95-mph.

,Despite posting a .291 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Austin Riley has been unlucky given the .040 difference between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .331.

,When assessing his overall offensive skill, Matt Olson ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

,Matt Olson is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup.

,Matt Olson has been hot recently, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 92.7-mph to 96.9-mph in the last 7 days.

,Matt Olson’s launch angle this season (17.9°) is significantly higher than his 14.6° angle last year.

,Carson Kelly will hold the home field advantage today, which figures to bolster all of his stats.

,Based on Statcast metrics, Carson Kelly ranks in the 77th percentile for offensive ability according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season at .340.

,When it comes to plate discipline, Carson Kelly’s talent is quite good, sporting a 1.77 K/BB rate this year while checking in at in the 76th percentile.

,According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Ronald Acuna Jr. ranks as the 8th-best batter in Major League Baseball.

,Ronald Acuna Jr. is projected to hit 1st in the batting order in this game.

,Batting from the opposite that Shota Imanaga throws from, Ronald Acuna Jr. will have an edge today.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Ronald Acuna Jr.’s true offensive ability to be a .373, implying that he has had some very poor luck this year given the .030 gap between that figure and his actual .343 wOBA.

,When assessing his overall offensive talent, Pete Crow-Armstrong ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

,Pete Crow-Armstrong is projected to bat 1st in the batting order in this game.

,Pete Crow-Armstrong will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against JR Ritchie today.

,Home field advantage typically boosts batter metrics in all categories, and Pete Crow-Armstrong will hold that advantage today.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Pedro Ramirez in the 89th percentile as it relates to his batting average ability.

,Home field advantage typically improves hitter stats across the board, and Pedro Ramirez will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

,Pedro Ramirez has been hot lately, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 89.1-mph to 92.5-mph in the last 7 days.

,Michael Conforto will have the handedness advantage over JR Ritchie today.

,Home field advantage typically bolsters batter metrics across the board, and Michael Conforto will hold that advantage today.

,Checking in at the 76th percentile, Michael Conforto sports a .341 wOBA (widely regarded as the top measure of overall offense) this year.

,Michael Conforto has posted a .357 Isolated Power rate (ISO) this year, ranking in the 94th percentile.

,Batting from the opposite that Shota Imanaga throws from, Mauricio Dubon will have an edge in today’s matchup.

,It may be sensible to expect improved performance for the Atlanta Braves offense the rest of the season, given that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) sees them as the 7th-unluckiest offense in the league this year.

,Nate Tomlinson profiles as a Hitters Umpire and is anticipated to be umping in today’s game.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Wrigley Field as the 7th-best stadium in MLB for walks.

,The Atlanta Braves have 6 hitters in the projected lineup that will have the handedness advantage against Shota Imanaga in this matchup.

,Shota Imanaga’s 91-mph fastball velocity this year ranks in the 9th percentile among all starters.

,Home field advantage generally boosts hitter stats in all categories, and Nico Hoerner will hold that advantage in today’s game.

,In the past two weeks’ worth of games, Nico Hoerner’s 58.1% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 51.6%.

,Nico Hoerner has notched a .310 Expected Batting Average since the start of last season, ranking in the 99th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

,Launch angles in the range of -4° to 26° tend to become base hits at a high rate; Nico Hoerner and his 51.6% this year rank in the 99th percentile by this measure.

,When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Drake Baldwin ranks in the 90th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

,Drake Baldwin is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card today.

,Drake Baldwin has a 93rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.2%) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards baseball’s 7th-shallowest LF fences in today’s game.

,Drake Baldwin’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased of late, rising from 17.3% on the season to 26.3% over the past 14 days.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Michael Harris II in the 94th percentile when assessing his batting average ability.

,Michael Harris II is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in today’s game.

,Over the past 14 days, Michael Harris II’s 16.7% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 11.1%.

,With a .280 Expected Batting Average (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) based on Statcast data) since the start of last season , Michael Harris II grades out in the 86th percentile.

,Michael Harris II has recorded a .288 batting average this year, checking in at the 94th percentile.

,Projected catcher Sean Murphy grades out as a good pitch framer, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).

,In his previous start, JR Ritchie was rolling and notched 7 strikeouts.

,JR Ritchie’s high utilization percentage of his secondary pitches (61.4% this year) should work in his favor considering they are typically much more effective than fastballs.

,Seiya Suzuki projects as the 20th-best hitter in MLB, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Seiya Suzuki is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in this matchup.

,Home field advantage typically improves hitter metrics across the board, and Seiya Suzuki will hold that advantage today.

,Over the past week, Seiya Suzuki’s Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 10.7% up to 28.6%.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Matt Olson in the 97th percentile as it relates to his home run skill.

,Matt Olson’s ability to hit the ball at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has increased in recent games, going from 40.9% on the season to 52.8% in the last two weeks’ worth of games.

,Ha-seong Kim will have the handedness advantage against Shota Imanaga today.

,Ha-seong Kim pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (35.4% — 84th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting them towards the league’s 7th-shallowest LF fences today.

,Over the past 7 days, Ha-seong Kim’s 62.5% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 27.3%.

,In terms of his batting average, Ha-seong Kim has been unlucky since the start of last season. His .191 figure falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .235.

,Pedro Ramirez’s launch angle of late (27.4° in the last two weeks) is considerably higher than his 13.6° seasonal figure.

,With a .349 Expected wOBA (or xwOBA, an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) utilizing Statcast data) since the start of last season, Matt Olson is positioned in the 83rd percentile for offensive skills.

,When it comes to plate discipline, Nico Hoerner’s skill is quite good, posting a 1.44 K/BB rate this year while checking in at in the 90th percentile.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT) forecasts Shota Imanaga in the 78th percentile when estimating his strikeout talent.

,Shota Imanaga will possess the home field advantage in today’s game, which should bolster all of his metrics in all categories.

,Shota Imanaga was firing on all cylinders in his last game started and compiled 7 strikeouts.

,Drake Baldwin’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased from last season to this one, going from 14.3% to 17.3%.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nico Hoerner as the 12th-best hitter in the game when assessing his batting average talent.

,Over the past 14 days, Sean Murphy’s exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 93.3-mph over the course of the season to 100.4-mph in recent games.

,When estimating his overall offensive ability, Austin Riley ranks in the 86th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Michael Conforto in the 83rd percentile when it comes to his home run talent.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Michael Harris II in the 82nd percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent.

,Checking in at the 89th percentile, Michael Harris II sits with a .486 Slugging Percentage (SLG) this year.

,Over the last two weeks, Ha-seong Kim’s exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 88.1-mph over the course of the season to 91.1-mph of late.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Ha-seong Kim’s true offensive talent to be a .301, suggesting that he has been unlucky this year given the .122 deviation between that mark and his actual .179 wOBA.

Negatives with the Chicago Cubs Series Game 3 Game Today

According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 2nd-most favorable for pitching of all games on the slate.

,In today’s matchup, Ian Happ is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 5th-deepest RF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the pull field at a 36.5% rate (89th percentile).

,Ian Happ has negatively regressed with his Barrel% lately; his 11% seasonal rate has fallen to 0% in the last week.

,Over the past 7 days, Ian Happ’s 0% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 17.3%.

,Placing in the 13th percentile, Ian Happ has notched a .219 batting average this year.

,Sean Murphy is projected to hit 8th on the lineup card in this game.

,Wrigley Field has the 7th-highest fences in the league.

,The Chicago Cubs outfield defense projects as the strongest among all the teams today.

,Sean Murphy will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today’s game.

,JR Ritchie will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Alex Bregman today.

,From last season to this one, Alex Bregman’s flyball exit velocity has decreased from an average of 94.6 mph to 92.3 mph.

,Utilizing Statcast metrics, Alex Bregman ranks in the 24th percentile via the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Batting Average since the start of last season at .230.

,Wrigley Field has the 5th-deepest right field fences among all stadiums.

,From last season to this one, Michael Busch’s ability to hit the ball at a launch angle that optimizes home runs (23° to 34°) has decreased substantially, plummeting from 21.9% to 18.4%.

,Michael Busch’s ability to hit the ball at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has fallen off of late, falling from 43.2% on the season to 32.3% in the last two weeks’ worth of games.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ozzie Albies in the 5th percentile when assessing his BABIP talent.

,Extreme flyball hitters like Ozzie Albies are generally less successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Shota Imanaga.

,Playing on the road generally reduces hitter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Ozzie Albies in today’s matchup.

,Austin Riley is penciled in 7th on the lineup card in this game.

,Typically, bats like Austin Riley who hit a lot of groundballs are generally less successful when facing pitchers who also induce a lot of groundballs such as Shota Imanaga.

,Hitting from the same side that Shota Imanaga throws from, Matt Olson meets a tough challenge today.

,Matt Olson will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today’s matchup.

,In the last 7 days, Ozzie Albies has failed to produce much power, posting a mere a 0% Barrel% (an advanced standard to study power).

,Carson Kelly’s BABIP skill is projected in the 19th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Carson Kelly is projected to hit 9th in the lineup today.

,JR Ritchie will have the handedness advantage against Carson Kelly in today’s matchup.

,Carson Kelly’s average exit velocity has declined recently; his 87.1-mph seasonal average has fallen off to 82.3-mph over the last 7 days.

,Ronald Acuna Jr. has an 87th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35%) and will have to hit them out towards baseball’s 5th-deepest RF fences in today’s game.

,Ronald Acuna Jr. will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team today.

,Pete Crow-Armstrong pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (42.3% — 99th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards baseball’s 5th-deepest RF fences in today’s matchup.

,Despite posting a .398 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Pete Crow-Armstrong has experienced some positive variance given the .043 gap between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .355.

,Pedro Ramirez is penciled in 8th in the batting order in this game.

,Pedro Ramirez pulls many of his flyballs (36.5% — 89th percentile) and will have to hit them out towards MLB’s 5th-deepest RF fences in today’s game.

,In the last two weeks’ worth of games, Pedro Ramirez’s 14.8% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 38.3%.

,Playing on the road generally lessens hitter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Austin Riley in today’s matchup.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Michael Conforto in the 15th percentile when estimating his BABIP talent.

,Michael Conforto is penciled in 7th on the lineup card today.

,When assessing his home run ability, Mauricio Dubon ranks in the 10th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Mauricio Dubon is projected to bat 6th in the batting order in this game.

,Mauricio Dubon has a 94th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.4%) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards the league’s 5th-deepest RF fences in today’s matchup.

,Given that flyball pitchers have a significant edge over flyball batters, Shota Imanaga and his 43.3% underlying FB% (via the leading projection system, THE BAT) finds himself in a favorable position in today’s matchup facing 2 opposing FB batters.

,In the last week, Pedro Ramirez has failed to produce much power, posting a mere a 0% Barrel% (a reliable standard to evaluate power).

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nico Hoerner in the 2nd percentile as it relates to his home run talent.

,Nico Hoerner is projected to bat 6th in the lineup in this game.

,Hitting from the same side that JR Ritchie throws from, Nico Hoerner faces a tough challenge in today’s game.

,Hitting from the same side that Shota Imanaga throws from, Drake Baldwin will be at a disadvantage in today’s game.

,Playing on the road typically lessens batter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Drake Baldwin in today’s game.

,Batting from the same side that Shota Imanaga throws from, Michael Harris II has a tough challenge in today’s matchup.

,In the last week, Michael Conforto’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 10.9% down to 0%.

,Taking into account both his underlying tendencies and the matchup, JR Ritchie is projected to throw 85 pitches in this outing by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) system, which is the 2nd-least of all pitchers on the slate.

,JR Ritchie will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today’s game.

,Among all SPs, JR Ritchie’s fastball velocity of 93.9 mph is in the 10th percentile this year.

,Batting from the same side that JR Ritchie throws from, Seiya Suzuki will have a disadvantage today.

,In the past 14 days, Seiya Suzuki’s 32.3% rate of hitting balls at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 44.4%.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ha-seong Kim in the 16th percentile when assessing his BABIP skill.

,Ha-seong Kim is penciled in 9th in the lineup in today’s game.

,Michael Harris II will be at a disadvantage playing away from home today.

,Drake Baldwin’s exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off lately; his 95.4-mph seasonal EV has fallen off to 93-mph over the past two weeks.

,Nico Hoerner has a 91st percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.7%) and will be challenged by MLB’s 5th-deepest RF fences in today’s game.

,Nico Hoerner’s exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off lately; his 86.9-mph seasonal EV has dropped to 84.2-mph in the last week’s worth of games.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Sean Murphy in the 18th percentile when assessing his batting average skill.

,Ronald Acuna Jr.’s average exit velocity has declined this season; his 92.5-mph average last year has lowered to 90.1-mph.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Mauricio Dubon in the 21st percentile when assessing his BABIP ability.

,Playing on the road typically weakens hitter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Ha-seong Kim in today’s game.

,Ha-seong Kim’s average exit velocity has declined this year; his 88.9-mph EV last season has fallen off to 86-mph.

,There has been a significant decline in Sean Murphy’s launch angle from last season’s 11.1° to 5.9° this year.

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