Todays Game 3 Matchup Details

Player match stat positives for Atlanta at Milwaukee Game 3 Matchup Today

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects William Contreras in the 95th percentile when it comes to his batting average talent.

William Contreras is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card today.

The #8 park in the league for boosting home runs to right-handed hitters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is American Family Field.

American Family Field has the 4th-shortest fence height (on average) in Major League Baseball.

Built 602 feet above sea level, American Family Field has the 8th-highest altitude in the league, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output.

Travis d’Arnaud is projected to bat 5th in the batting order today, which would be an upgrade from his 78% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this year.

Travis d’Arnaud’s average launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls this year (14.7°) is a considerable increase over his 11° angle last season.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects William Contreras in the 94th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects American Family Field as the 8th-best ballpark in baseball for LHB home runs.

Sal Frelick hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.4% — 96th percentile) and is fortunate to face the league’s 8th-shallowest CF fences in today’s matchup.

Among all the teams on the slate today, the 5th-weakest infield defense is that of the Atlanta Braves.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Matt Olson in the 96th percentile as it relates to his home run skill.

Matt Olson is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in this game.

The switch-hitting Blake Perkins will get to bat from his good side (0) today against Chris Sale… and even better, Sale has a large platoon split.

Home field advantage typically boosts hitter stats in all categories, and Blake Perkins will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

It may be sensible to expect positive regression for the Atlanta Braves offense in the future, considering that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) sees them as the unluckiest offense in the majors this year.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles American Family Field as the 2nd-best field in MLB for walks.

The 8th-shallowest centerfield dimensions in the majors are found in American Family Field.

Freddy Peralta’s fastball spin rate over his last 3 starts (2391 rpm) has been significantly lower than than his seasonal rate (2448 rpm).

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects American Family Field as the 10th-best stadium in MLB for right-handed base hits.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Willy Adames in the 89th percentile as it relates to his home run talent.

Willy Adames is projected to bat 4th in the lineup in this game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Rhys Hoskins in the 96th percentile when assessing his home run talent.

Rhys Hoskins will hold the platoon advantage against Chris Sale today… and even more favorably, Sale has a large platoon split.

Joey Ortiz’s batting average ability is projected to be in the 80th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Joey Ortiz will hold the platoon advantage against Chris Sale in today’s game… and the cherry on top, Sale has a large platoon split.

Hitting from the opposite that Freddy Peralta throws from, Eddie Rosario will have an edge in today’s matchup.

Eddie Rosario has seen a substantial gain in his exit velocity this year; just compare his 90.7-mph average to last season’s 88.6-mph mark.

Chris Sale projects as the 6th-best SP in baseball currently when it comes to his strikeout talent, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Chris Sale has averaged 96.6 adjusted pitches per start this year, ranking in the 94th percentile.

The #2 field in the majors for boosting strikeouts, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is American Family Field.

Chris Sale was in good form in his previous start and compiled 9 strikeouts.

Chris Sale has used his four-seam fastball 5.4% less often this season (37.7%) than he did last season (43.1%).

Throwing 97.6 adjusted pitches per outing this year on average, Freddy Peralta ranks in the 97th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jackson Chourio in the 89th percentile when assessing his BABIP ability.

Jackson Chourio has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this season (77% of the time), but he is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card today.

Gary Sanchez is penciled in 5th in the lineup in this matchup, which would be an upgrade from his 75% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this season.

Gary Sanchez will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Chris Sale in today’s matchup… and even more favorably, Sale has a large platoon split.

Austin Riley projects as the 16th-best batter in the league, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Austin Riley is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in this game.

Home field advantage typically boosts hitter metrics across the board, and Sal Frelick will hold that advantage today.

Last season, Orlando Arcia had an average launch angle of 5.6° on his hardest-hit balls, while this year it has significantly increased to 9°.

Because of Chris Sale’s large platoon split, William Contreras will have a tremendous advantage hitting from the opposite side of the dish in this game.

Gary Sanchez hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.3% — 82nd percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting out towards MLB’s 8th-shallowest CF fences today.

Brice Turang is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in today’s game.

Brice Turang hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.5% — 85th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting towards the game’s 8th-shallowest CF fences in today’s matchup.

Freddy Peralta projects as the 14th-best pitcher in the league right now when it comes to his strikeout ability, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects American Family Field as the 10th-best stadium in the league for lefty BABIP.

Austin Riley hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.1% — 77th percentile) and is fortunate to face MLB’s 8th-shallowest CF fences in today’s matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Willy Adames in the 88th percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill.

Orlando Arcia has been unlucky this year, compiling a .258 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .283 — a .025 difference.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Gary Sanchez in the 97th percentile as it relates to his home run skill.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Marcell Ozuna as baseball’s 14th-best home run batter.

Marcell Ozuna is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup.

Jackson Chourio will have the handedness advantage over Chris Sale in today’s matchup… and even better, Sale has a large platoon split.

When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Marcell Ozuna ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Matt Olson in the 94th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability.

Matt Olson will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Freddy Peralta in today’s matchup.

Sal Frelick’s batting average skill is projected to be in the 81st percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Joey Ortiz will possess the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which ought to bolster all of his stats.

Wednesday Game 3 player match stat slumps with Braves vs Brewers Matchup

In the past 7 days, William Contreras’s exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off from his seasonal EV of 96.6 mph to 88.2 mph.

Batting from the same side that Freddy Peralta throws from, Travis d’Arnaud faces a tough challenge in today’s matchup.

Travis d’Arnaud has a 90th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.8%) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards the game’s 7th-deepest RF fences today.

Out of every team today, the strongest infield defense is that of the the Milwaukee Brewers.

Playing on the road typically lowers batter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Travis d’Arnaud today.

Travis d’Arnaud’s exit velocity on flyballs has declined of late; his 95.2-mph seasonal mark has dropped off to 81.5-mph over the past 7 days.

William Contreras’s 4.9° launch angle (an advanced stat to study a batter’s ability to lift the ball for power) is among the most groundball-inducing in Major League Baseball: 4th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Sal Frelick in the 4th percentile when estimating his home run ability.

Sal Frelick has primarily hit in the top-half of the batting order this season (51% of the time), but he is penciled in 8th in the lineup today.

Because of Chris Sale’s large platoon split, Sal Frelick will be at a colossal disadvantage batting from the same side of the plate in today’s game.

In the last two weeks’ worth of games, Sal Frelick’s exit velocity on flyballs has dropped from his seasonal figure of 84.8 mph to 82.7 mph.

Sal Frelick’s average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls this year (5.2°) is quite a bit lower than his 8.6° mark last season.

In today’s matchup, Matt Olson is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 7th-deepest RF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the pull field at a 34.1% rate (81st percentile).

Playing on the road generally diminishes hitter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Matt Olson today.

Matt Olson has struggled with his Barrel%; his 16.4% rate last season has decreased to 10.2% this season.

Matt Olson’s average exit velocity has decreased this year; his 93.7-mph mark last season has dropped to 91.6-mph.

Blake Perkins is penciled in 9th in the batting order in this matchup.

Blake Perkins has an 85th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.2%) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards the league’s 7th-deepest RF fences in today’s matchup.

Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (.289) may lead us to conclude that Blake Perkins has had some very good luck this year with his .308 actual wOBA.

This year, the hardest ball Blake Perkins has hit reached a maximum exit velocity of 106.8 mph (a reliable metric to study power), checking in at the 9th percentile.

Blake Perkins has done a weak job optimizing his launch angle on his hardest-hit balls. His 6° figure is among the lowest in baseball this year (11th percentile).

Freddy Peralta projects as the 20th-best SP in Major League Baseball currently, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Today’s version of the Braves projected batting order is missing some of their usual firepower, as their .319 the leading projection system (THE BAT X) wOBA is considerably below their .336 overall projected rate.

Freddy Peralta will have the handedness advantage against 6 opposing bats in this matchup.

Home field advantage generally improves pitcher metrics across the board, and Freddy Peralta will hold that advantage today.

Travis d’Arnaud has been lucky this year, putting up a .332 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .307 — a .025 discrepancy.

Rhys Hoskins has primarily hit in the top-half of the lineup this season (51% of the time), but he is projected to hit 7th in the lineup in this matchup.

Rhys Hoskins’s exit velocity on flyballs has decreased in recent games; his 94.7-mph seasonal mark has fallen to 89.9-mph in the last week.

Joey Ortiz is projected to hit 6th in the lineup today.

Joey Ortiz has an 87th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.9%) and will be challenged by the league’s 7th-deepest RF fences in today’s matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Joey Ortiz’s true offensive talent to be a .309, indicating that he has had some very good luck this year given the .020 gap between that figure and his actual .329 wOBA.

When it comes to hitting balls between 23° and 34° (the launch angle range that tends to optimize home runs), Joey Ortiz and his 9.8% rank in the 6th percentile this year.

The standard deviation of Joey Ortiz’s launch angle this year (31.2°) is in the 9th percentile. A high deviation like this tends to lead to a lower BABIP.

Eddie Rosario is projected to bat 6th in the batting order in this matchup.

This year, Eddie Rosario has been pinch hit for in 13% of his appearances when starting against right-handed starter.

Eddie Rosario will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today’s game.

Eddie Rosario has notched a .234 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) this year, ranking in the 2nd percentile.

Eddie Rosario has exhibited poor plate discipline this year, ranking in the 9th percentile with a 4.71 K/BB rate.

Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Batting Average (.196) provides evidence that Rhys Hoskins has been lucky this year with his .214 actual batting average.

Placing in the 7th percentile, Rhys Hoskins has notched a .237 BABIP this year.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Rhys Hoskins in the 8th percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill.

The Milwaukee Brewers have 7 bats in the projected offense that will have the handedness advantage over Chris Sale in this matchup, which is especially precarious given his large platoon split.

Playing on the road generally lessens pitcher stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Chris Sale in today’s matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Eddie Rosario in the 17th percentile as it relates to his BABIP skill.

In terms of his home runs, Jackson Chourio has been lucky this year. His 20.1 HR per 600 plate appearances mark has been inflated compared to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected HR/600 at 11.7.

Jackson Chourio’s 90.2-mph exit velocity on flyballs (a reliable stat to measure power) is in the 24th percentile this year.

Jackson Chourio’s 6.6° launch angle (an advanced stat to measure a batter’s ability to lift the ball for power) is among the most groundball-inducing in the majors: 9th percentile.

Gary Sanchez’s BABIP ability is projected in the 1st percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Gary Sanchez has experienced some positive variance in regards to his batting average this year; his .213 figure is significantly inflated relative to his .194 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

Gary Sanchez is in the 6th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between -4° and 26°, the launch angle range that tends to best-produce base hits (33.7% rate this year).

Posting a .229 BABIP since the start of last season, Gary Sanchez is positioned in the 1st percentile.

Freddy Peralta will have the handedness advantage against Austin Riley in today’s game.

Playing on the road generally reduces batter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Austin Riley in today’s game.

This year, there has been a decline in Blake Perkins’s speed with his Statcast Sprint Speed dropping from 30.02 ft/sec last year to 29.44 ft/sec currently.

Blake Perkins has been very fortunate when it comes to his batting average this year; his .253 rate is a fair amount higher than his .228 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) forecasts Chris Sale as the 5th-best pitcher in baseball currently.

It may be wise to expect worse numbers for the Milwaukee Brewers offense the rest of the season, considering that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) sees them as the 4th-luckiest offense in the game this year.

Chris Sale was firing on all cylinders in his previous start and allowed 2 ER.

With a 2.34 FIP this year (Fielding Independent Pitching, an ERA estimator that focuses on the variables most within a pitcher’s control), Chris Sale places him the 100th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Orlando Arcia in the 15th percentile when estimating his BABIP skill.

Orlando Arcia is penciled in 7th in the batting order in this game.

Freddy Peralta will have the handedness advantage over Orlando Arcia in today’s game.

Playing on the road typically weakens batter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Orlando Arcia in today’s matchup.

Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Batting Average (.265) suggests that William Contreras has been lucky this year with his .286 actual batting average.

When assessing his home run skill, Brice Turang ranks in the 6th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Because of Chris Sale’s large platoon split, Brice Turang will be at a gigantic disadvantage batting from the same side of the dish in this game.

Brice Turang’s average launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls this year (2.7°) is a considerable dropoff from his 10.2° angle last season.

When it comes to his home runs, Brice Turang has been lucky this year. His 8.8 HR per 600 plate appearances figure has been inflated compared to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected HR/600 at 5.9.

Brice Turang’s 3.1% Barrel% (a reliable standard to evaluate power) grades out in the 10th percentile this year.

Freddy Peralta’s curveball usage has decreased by 8% from last season to this one (12.5% to 4.5%) .

Freddy Peralta has been very fortunate when it comes to his strikeouts this year, compiling an 11.18 K/9 despite the leading projection system (THE BAT) estimating his true talent level to be 10.54 — a 0.64 K/9 gap.

In the past two weeks’ worth of games, Orlando Arcia’s exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off from his seasonal average of 91.6 mph to 80.4 mph.

This year, the hardest ball Orlando Arcia has made contact with reached a maximum exit velocity of 107.8 mph (an advanced stat to evaluate power), grading out in the 14th percentile.

Freddy Peralta will hold the platoon advantage against Marcell Ozuna in today’s game.

Playing on the road generally weakens hitter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Marcell Ozuna in today’s game.

Marcell Ozuna’s exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off of late; his 98.7-mph seasonal EV has dropped off to 91.3-mph over the past 7 days.

Marcell Ozuna has been lucky this year, putting up a .409 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .351 — a .058 disparity.

As it relates to his wOBA and overall offense, Sal Frelick has had positive variance on his side this year. His .305 figure has been inflated compared to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .291.

Power-wise, Brice Turang grades out in the 11th percentile, having paced 8 dingers per 600 plate appearances this year.