Blue Jays @ Yankees Series Game 4 Matchup Details

Positives for the Toronto Blue Jays Series Game 4 Game Today

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Cody Bellinger in the 89th percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability.

,Cody Bellinger is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Yankee Stadium as the 5th-best ballpark in the majors for LHB home runs.

,Among all parks, Yankee Stadium has the 7th-lowest average fence height.

,Hitting from the opposite that Braydon Fisher throws from, Cody Bellinger will have an edge in today’s game.

,Lenyn Sosa is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in this matchup.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Yankee Stadium as the 5th-best field in the game for RHB home runs.

,Lenyn Sosa will have the handedness advantage against Carlos Rodon today.

,Lenyn Sosa has a 77th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.4%) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting them in the direction of MLB’s 7th-shallowest RF fences in today’s game.

,When assessing his home run skill, Ryan McMahon ranks in the 84th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Batting from the opposite that Braydon Fisher throws from, Ryan McMahon will have an advantage today.

,Out of every team today, the weakest infield defense is that of the Toronto Blue Jays.

,Daulton Varsho is projected to bat 5th in the batting order in this matchup.

,Daulton Varsho pulls a lot of his flyballs (39.2% — 96th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the game’s 7th-shallowest RF fences in today’s matchup.

,Daulton Varsho is an extreme flyball hitter and faces the weak outfield defense of New York (#2-worst on the slate today).

,Hitting from the opposite that Carlos Rodon throws from, Myles Straw will have the upper hand in today’s matchup.

,Myles Straw has a 96th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.8%) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting them in the direction of baseball’s 7th-shallowest RF fences in today’s matchup.

,Myles Straw ranks in the 91st percentile when it comes to hitting balls between 23° and 34°, the launch angle range that tends to optimize home runs (18.8% rate since the start of last season).

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jazz Chisholm Jr. in the 90th percentile when assessing his home run skill.

,Jazz Chisholm Jr. has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this year (56% of the time), but he is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in today’s game.

,Batting from the opposite that Braydon Fisher throws from, Jazz Chisholm Jr. will have an edge today.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ernie Clement in the 89th percentile when assessing his batting average skill.

,Ernie Clement will hold the platoon advantage over Carlos Rodon today.

,Ernie Clement has made big gains with his Barrel% recently, bettering his 1.8% seasonal rate to 8.3% in the past 7 days.

,Vladimir Guerrero Jr. projects as the 8th-best batter in MLB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Vladimir Guerrero Jr. is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order in this matchup.

,Vladimir Guerrero Jr. will hold the platoon advantage over Carlos Rodon today.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Vladimir Guerrero Jr. as the best batter in baseball as it relates to his batting average skill.

,Home field advantage generally improves batter metrics across the board, and Anthony Volpe will hold that advantage today.

,Anthony Volpe has been hot lately, batting his way to a .416 wOBA in the past 14 days.

,Anthony Volpe really hits the ball hard. If you were to take the top 5% of his batted balls by exit velocity, their average (105.5 mph) rate him as one of the game’s best: in the 94th percentile since the start of last season.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Davis Schneider in the 94th percentile when it comes to his home run skill.

,Davis Schneider will have the handedness advantage over Carlos Rodon today.

,Davis Schneider’s ability to hit the ball at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has gotten better from last year to this one, rising from 33.1% to 41.7%.

,When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Jazz Chisholm Jr. ranks in the 80th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

,Jazz Chisholm Jr. pulls a lot of his flyballs (38.1% — 94th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting them towards the game’s 7th-shallowest RF fences in today’s matchup.

,Aaron Judge projects as the best hitter in baseball, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Aaron Judge is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in today’s game.

,When it comes to his home run talent, Kazuma Okamoto ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Kazuma Okamoto is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order today.

,Hitting from the opposite that Carlos Rodon throws from, Kazuma Okamoto will have an edge in today’s game.

,Aaron Judge will benefit from the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which should improve all of his stats.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Vladimir Guerrero Jr.’s true offensive skill to be a .376, implying that he has had bad variance on his side this year given the .050 difference between that figure and his actual .326 wOBA.

,Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has posted a .327 Expected Batting Average since the start of last season, grading out in the 100th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

,As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Kazuma Okamoto ranks in the 91st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

,This year, Kazuma Okamoto’s 15.2% Barrel%, an advanced stat for measuring power, places him in the 89th percentile among his peers.

,Kazuma Okamoto’s 98.3-mph exit velocity on flyballs (a reliable standard to study power) is in the 97th percentile this year.

,Hitting from the opposite that Braydon Fisher throws from, Austin Wells will have the upper hand in today’s game.

,Home field advantage typically bolsters batter stats in all categories, and Austin Wells will hold that advantage today.

,As it relates to his home run talent, Daulton Varsho ranks in the 85th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,The Toronto Blue Jays have been the 4th-unluckiest offense in baseball this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to perform better in future games,The #1 ballpark in the league for boosting walks, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Yankee Stadium.

,With 8 batters who bat from the opposite side in the opposing team’s projected batting order, Carlos Rodon will be at a disadvantage while lacking the platoon advantage in most plate appearances in this outing.

,Carlos Rodon’s higher utilization percentage of his fastball this season (60.8 compared to 51.6% last season) is not ideal considering they are typically much less effective than breaking or off-speed pitches.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Paul Goldschmidt in the 82nd percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent.

,Paul Goldschmidt is penciled in 5th in the batting order today.

,Paul Goldschmidt has an 86th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.6%) and has the good fortune of hitting them in the direction of the game’s 7th-shallowest RF fences today.

,Home field advantage generally bolsters batter stats across the board, and Paul Goldschmidt will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects George Springer in the 96th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability.

,George Springer is projected to hit 1st in the lineup in this game.

,Hitting from the opposite that Carlos Rodon throws from, George Springer will have an edge in today’s game.

,Ben Rice projects as the 15th-best batter in MLB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Ben Rice is projected to hit 1st in the batting order in this matchup.

,Ben Rice will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Braydon Fisher today.

,Ben Rice pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (37.3% — 91st percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting them towards the game’s 7th-shallowest RF fences in today’s game.

,In the past 7 days, Daulton Varsho’s Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 7.3% up to 21.4%.

,Utilizing Statcast metrics, Daulton Varsho grades out in the 79th percentile for offensive ability per the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season at .332.

,Aaron Judge has posted a .423 Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season, placing in the 100th percentile for hitting ability according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

,Cody Bellinger pulls a lot of his flyballs (36.1% — 86th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting them towards the league’s 7th-shallowest RF fences in today’s game.

,Despite posting a .266 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes George Springer has had bad variance on his side given the .087 gap between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .353.

,Using Statcast metrics, George Springer grades out in the 99th percentile for hitting ability via the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season at .411.

,Austin Wells has made substantial strides with his Barrel% lately, bettering his 6.5% seasonal rate to 20% in the last week.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Austin Wells’s true offensive talent to be a .304, providing some evidence that he has been unlucky this year given the .052 disparity between that figure and his actual .252 wOBA.

,Home field advantage generally boosts batter stats across the board, and Ryan McMahon will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

,Ryan McMahon has been unlucky this year, putting up a .259 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .308 — a .049 difference.

,When estimating his home run ability, Austin Wells ranks in the 80th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Since the start of last season, Davis Schneider’s 13.6% Barrel%, a reliable standard for measuring power, places him in the 89th percentile among his peers.

,In terms of plate discipline, Davis Schneider’s ability is quite good, posting a 1.63 K/BB rate since the start of last season while grading out in in the 86th percentile.

,Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected HR per 600 plate appearances (30.8) suggests that Davis Schneider has been unlucky since the start of last season with his 23.2 actual HR/600.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Myles Straw in the 78th percentile when assessing his batting average talent.

,Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Batting Average (.279) provides evidence that Myles Straw has had bad variance on his side since the start of last season with his .263 actual batting average.

,With a .289 batting average this year, Ernie Clement finds himself in the 88th percentile.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Carlos Rodon in the 84th percentile when assessing his strikeout talent.

,Compared to league average, Carlos Rodon has been granted more leash than the average pitcher since the start of last season, throwing an extra 7.1 adjusted pitches each game.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Lenyn Sosa’s true offensive ability to be a .290, implying that he has had bad variance on his side this year given the .072 gap between that mark and his actual .218 wOBA.

,Lenyn Sosa’s 18.8° launch angle (a reliable stat to assess a batter’s ability to lift the ball for power) is among the steepest in Major League Baseball: 88th percentile.

Negatives with the New York Yankees Series Game 4 Game Today

Yankee Stadium’s elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all stadiums, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to lower offensive output.

,As far as temperature and humidity go, the 6th-most favorable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this matchup.

,This year, there has been a decline in Cody Bellinger’s speed with his Statcast Sprint Speed dropping from 28.21 ft/sec last year to 27.64 ft/sec currently.

,Cody Bellinger has been lucky this year, notching a .369 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .334 — a .035 discrepancy.

,Lenyn Sosa will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team today.

,Lenyn Sosa has struggled with his Barrel% recently; his 6.2% seasonal rate has dropped off to 0% over the past 7 days.

,Lenyn Sosa’s exit velocity on flyballs has decreased this year; his 94.3-mph figure last season has fallen off to 90.1-mph.

,Ryan McMahon is projected to hit 7th in the lineup today.

,In today’s game, Ryan McMahon is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 8th-deepest LF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the opposite field at a 34% rate (81st percentile).

,Ryan McMahon has struggled with his Barrel% in recent games; his 7.7% seasonal rate has lowered to 0% in the last two weeks.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Daulton Varsho in the 7th percentile when assessing his BABIP ability.

,Hitting from the same side that Carlos Rodon throws from, Daulton Varsho will have a tough challenge today.

,The New York Yankees infield defense projects as the 3rd-best among all the teams on the slate today.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Myles Straw in the 11th percentile when estimating his home run talent.

,Myles Straw is projected to hit 7th in the batting order today.

,Jazz Chisholm Jr. has struggled with his Barrel%; his 16.4% rate last season has dropped to 6.3% this season.

,Jazz Chisholm Jr.’s exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off this season; his 95.1-mph figure last year has lowered to 93-mph.

,Jazz Chisholm Jr.’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has decreased from last year to this one, decreasing from 19.4% to 12.5%.

,Ernie Clement is projected to bat 6th in the lineup today.

,Ernie Clement pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (35.2% — 84th percentile) but may find it hard to clear the game’s 8th-deepest LF fences in today’s game.

,In today’s matchup, Vladimir Guerrero Jr. is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 5th-deepest CF center field fences given that he hits his flyballs towards center field at a 39% rate (93rd percentile).

,Vladimir Guerrero Jr. will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today’s game.

,Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has taken a step back with his Barrel% in recent games; his 7.9% seasonal rate has lowered to 0% over the past 14 days.

,Anthony Volpe is penciled in 8th in the batting order in today’s game.

,Braydon Fisher will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Anthony Volpe in today’s game.

,Anthony Volpe hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.7% — 97th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards baseball’s 5th-deepest CF fences today.

,Davis Schneider is projected to bat 9th in the lineup in today’s game.

,Davis Schneider pulls many of his flyballs (37.6% — 93rd percentile) but may find it hard to clear baseball’s 8th-deepest LF fences in today’s game.

,Yankee Stadium grades out as the #25 park in the majors for lefty base hits, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

,Braydon Fisher will have the handedness advantage against Aaron Judge in today’s game.

,Aaron Judge hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.8% — 91st percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards the league’s 5th-deepest CF fences in today’s game.

,Over the last 14 days, Aaron Judge’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 23.5% down to 12.9%.

,Myles Straw will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today’s game.

,Today, Kazuma Okamoto is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 8th-deepest LF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the pull field at a 36.5% rate (88th percentile).

,Playing on the road typically reduces batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Kazuma Okamoto in today’s game.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Yankee Stadium as the worst stadium in baseball for right-handed BABIP.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Austin Wells in the 5th percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability.

,Austin Wells is projected to bat 9th in the lineup in this game.

,Austin Wells has a 75th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.2%) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards the league’s 8th-deepest LF fences in today’s game.

,Playing on the road typically diminishes batter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Daulton Varsho in today’s game.

,There has been a decrease in Daulton Varsho’s average exit velocity this season, from 89.5 mph last year to 86.7 mph now,It is anticipated that we will see a Huge Pitchers Umpire (Brennan Miller) calling pitches in today’s game.

,Projected catcher Austin Wells projects as a good pitch framer, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).

,In the majors, Yankee Stadium’s centerfield fences are the 5th-deepest.

,Hitting from the same side that Braydon Fisher throws from, Paul Goldschmidt meets a tough challenge in today’s game.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Paul Goldschmidt’s true offensive skill to be a .325, providing some evidence that he has experienced some positive variance this year given the .097 disparity between that figure and his actual .422 wOBA.

,George Springer will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today’s matchup.

,George Springer has taken a step back with his Barrel%; his 16.7% rate last year has lowered to 8.3% this season.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Ben Rice’s true offensive talent to be a .365, suggesting that he has been lucky this year given the .075 difference between that mark and his actual .440 wOBA.

,As it relates to his home run skill, Ernie Clement ranks in the 14th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ryan McMahon in the 18th percentile when estimating his batting average talent.

,George Springer’s average exit velocity has declined this year; his 89.9-mph mark last year has dropped off to 87.5-mph.

,There has been a significant decline in Austin Wells’s launch angle from last year’s 20.5° to 16.3° this season.

,Davis Schneider’s batting average skill is projected to be in the 10th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Davis Schneider will be at a disadvantage playing away from home today.

,Per the leading projection system (THE BAT X), the team with the 3rd-least strikeout-heavy lineup in today’s games is the Toronto Blue Jays with a 20.5% underlying K%.

,The #8 stadium in the game for suppressing strikeouts, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Yankee Stadium.

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