Rockies vs D-Backs match player stats | 2026 Thursday, May 21st

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COL @ ARI

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Rockies @ D-Backs Matchup Details

Teams : Colorado Rockies at Arizona Diamondbacks

Date : Todays Game is on Thursday, May 21st
Time : 21/05/26 21:40:00 PM EST First Pitch

Positives for the Colorado Rockies Game Today

The #3 ballpark in Major League Baseball for boosting batting average to righties, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Chase Field.

,Built 1059 feet above sea level, Chase Field has the 2nd-highest elevation in Major League Baseball, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense.

,A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is predicted to have the highest temperatures on the slate today at 82°.

,Ryan Waldschmidt will possess the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which figures to boost all of his stats.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kyle Karros in the 90th percentile as it relates to his BABIP ability.

,Kyle Karros will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Eduardo Rodriguez today.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Mickey Moniak in the 92nd percentile when assessing his home run skill.

,The #3 venue in Major League Baseball for boosting batting average to LHB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Chase Field.

,The Arizona Diamondbacks have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Mickey Moniak can likely count on never facing a bullpen mismatch all game.

,The Arizona Diamondbacks have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Jake McCarthy stands a good chance of holding the advantage against every reliever all game.

,Geraldo Perdomo is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in today’s game.

,Home field advantage generally improves batter metrics across the board, and Geraldo Perdomo will hold that advantage today.

,Chase Field profiles as the #4 park in the majors for base hits, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).

,Eduardo Rodriguez has been lucky this year, notching a 2.53 ERA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT) estimating his true talent level to be 4.55 — a 2.02 deviation.

,Checking in at the 17th percentile, Eduardo Rodriguez has notched a 1.68 K/BB rate this year.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Willi Castro in the 75th percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent.

,Willi Castro is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card in this matchup, which would be an upgrade from his 53% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this year.

,Ildemaro Vargas is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in this matchup.

,Home field advantage generally boosts batter stats in all categories, and Ildemaro Vargas will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Hunter Goodman in the 97th percentile when estimating his home run talent.

,Hunter Goodman is penciled in 4th in the lineup in this matchup.

,Hitting from the opposite that Eduardo Rodriguez throws from, Hunter Goodman will have the upper hand in today’s game.

,Lourdes Gurriel Jr. is penciled in 5th in the batting order in today’s game.

,Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter metrics in all categories, and Lourdes Gurriel Jr. will hold that advantage today.

,Ketel Marte projects as the 17th-best hitter in the league, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Ketel Marte is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card in today’s game.

,Compared to the average hurler, Eduardo Rodriguez has been given more leash than the average pitcher this year, recording an additional 4.4 adjusted pitches each outing.

,The Colorado Rockies (26.7% K% (via the leading projection system, THE BAT X) are forecasted to have the most strikeout-prone batting order on the slate.

,Eduardo Rodriguez has gone to his change-up 8.9% more often this year (29.3%) than he did last season (20.4%).

,Considering the 1.26 gap between Eduardo Rodriguez’s 6.58 K/9 and his 7.84 estimated true talent K/9 (via the leading projection system, THE BAT), it’s safe to say he’s been one of the unluckiest pitchers in the game this year when it comes to strikeouts and should see positive regression going forward.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Gabriel Moreno in the 89th percentile when it comes to his batting average talent.

,Gabriel Moreno has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this year (50% of the time), but he is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in this game.

,Braxton Fulford will have the handedness advantage over Eduardo Rodriguez in today’s matchup.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ezequiel Tovar in the 77th percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent.

,Ezequiel Tovar is projected to bat 5th in the batting order today.

,Hitting from the opposite that Eduardo Rodriguez throws from, Ezequiel Tovar will have an edge in today’s matchup.

,Lourdes Gurriel Jr.’s batting average skill is projected to be in the 82nd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Mickey Moniak in the 78th percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability.

,T.J. Rumfield is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in this game.

,T.J. Rumfield may have the upper hand against every reliever from start to finish, since the bullpen of the Arizona Diamondbacks only has 1 same-handed RP.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Gabriel Moreno in the 81st percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill.

,Home field advantage generally boosts batter metrics in all categories, and Gabriel Moreno will hold that advantage in today’s game.

,Home field advantage generally boosts hitter stats in all categories, and Ketel Marte will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

Negatives with the Arizona Diamondbacks Game Today

Ryan Waldschmidt is projected to bat 9th on the lineup card in today’s game.

,Chase Field has the 3rd-deepest centerfield dimensions in MLB.

,Hitting from the same side that Tomoyuki Sugano throws from, Ryan Waldschmidt faces a tough challenge in today’s matchup.

,The Colorado Rockies infield defense grades out as the 2nd-best out of every team playing today.

,Kyle Karros is projected to hit 7th in the batting order today.

,The league’s 10th-highest fences can be found at Chase Field.

,In today’s matchup, Kyle Karros is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 3rd-deepest CF center field fences given that he hits his flyballs towards center field at a 39.7% rate (97th percentile).

,The Arizona Diamondbacks outfield defense grades out as the 3rd-strongest out of every team in action today.

,Kyle Karros will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today’s matchup.

,Mickey Moniak has primarily hit in the top-half of the lineup this year (92% of the time), but he is projected to bat 8th in the lineup today.

,Hitting from the same side that Eduardo Rodriguez throws from, Mickey Moniak will have a tough challenge in today’s game.

,Mickey Moniak pulls many of his flyballs (39.3% — 96th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of MLB’s 3rd-deepest RF fences today.

,Jake McCarthy is projected to bat 6th in the batting order today.

,Batting from the same side that Eduardo Rodriguez throws from, Jake McCarthy will have a tough challenge in today’s game.

,Jake McCarthy hits many of his flyballs to center field (39% — 93rd percentile) and will have to hit them out towards MLB’s 3rd-deepest CF fences today.

,Playing on the road typically diminishes hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Jake McCarthy in today’s matchup.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Geraldo Perdomo in the 23rd percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent.

,When estimating his home run talent, Geraldo Perdomo ranks in the 12th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,The Colorado Rockies projected lineup profiles as the worst of all teams on the slate in terms of overall offensive skill.

,Home field advantage typically boosts pitcher stats in all categories, and Eduardo Rodriguez will hold that advantage today.

,As a switch-hitter who is weaker from the 0 side of the plate, Willi Castro will bat from his worse side against Eduardo Rodriguez in this game.

,Playing on the road generally lessens hitter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Willi Castro in today’s matchup.

,When assessing his home run talent, Ildemaro Vargas ranks in the 9th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,The #8 park in MLB for suppressing home runs to lefties, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Chase Field.

,The switch-hitting Ildemaro Vargas will be at a disadvantage batting from his worse side (0) today against Tomoyuki Sugano,In today’s matchup, Ildemaro Vargas is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 3rd-deepest RF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the pull field at a 38.9% rate (96th percentile).

,The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Chase Field as the 8th-worst ballpark in baseball for right-handed home runs.

,Hunter Goodman will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today’s matchup.

,Batting from the same side that Tomoyuki Sugano throws from, Lourdes Gurriel Jr. will not have the upper hand in today’s matchup.

,As a switch-hitter who is weaker from the 0 side of the dish, Ketel Marte will be at a disadvantage batting from his weak side against Tomoyuki Sugano in this game.

,In today’s matchup, Ketel Marte is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 3rd-deepest RF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the pull field at a 38% rate (93rd percentile).

,Chase Field profiles as the #27 ballpark in Major League Baseball for strikeouts, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

,Eduardo Rodriguez has put up a 7.4% Swinging Strike percentage this year, placing in the 7th percentile.

,Eduardo Rodriguez has posted a 17.6% strikeout rate this year, placing in the 20th percentile.

,When it comes to his home run ability, Jake McCarthy ranks in the 9th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Tomoyuki Sugano will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Gabriel Moreno in today’s matchup.

,In today’s game, Gabriel Moreno is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 3rd-deepest RF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the opposite field at a 38.9% rate (98th percentile).

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Braxton Fulford in the 20th percentile as it relates to his batting average talent.

,Braxton Fulford is penciled in 9th on the lineup card in this matchup.

,Braxton Fulford hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.1% — 80th percentile) and will have to hit them out towards the league’s 3rd-deepest CF fences in today’s game.

,Playing on the road generally diminishes batter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Ezequiel Tovar in today’s matchup.

,Mickey Moniak is an extreme flyball hitter and matches up with the strong outfield defense of Arizona (#3-best of all teams today).

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects T.J. Rumfield in the 22nd percentile when estimating his BABIP ability.

,Hitting from the same side that Eduardo Rodriguez throws from, T.J. Rumfield will be in a tough position today.

,T.J. Rumfield pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (35% — 83rd percentile) and will have to hit them out towards MLB’s 3rd-deepest RF fences in today’s matchup.

,Braxton Fulford will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team today.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kyle Karros in the 13th percentile when estimating his home run ability.

,Playing on the road typically weakens batter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for T.J. Rumfield in today’s matchup.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ildemaro Vargas in the 10th percentile when assessing his BABIP talent.

,Ildemaro Vargas is an extreme groundball batter and squares off against the strong infield defense of Colorado (#2-best of all teams on the slate today).

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