Blue Jays vs Rays match player stats | 2025 Series Game 3 Wednesday, September 17th

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TOR @ TB

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Blue Jays @ Rays Series Game 3 Matchup Details

Teams : Toronto Blue Jays at Tampa Bay Rays
Series : Series Game 3
Date : Todays Game is on Wednesday, September 17th
Time : 17/09/25 19:05:00 PM EST First Pitch

Positives for the Toronto Blue Jays Game Today

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Davis Schneider in the 94th percentile when estimating his home run skill.

Davis Schneider has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this season (66% of the time), but he is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in this game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects George M. Steinbrenner Field as the 4th-best park in MLB for right-handed home runs.

George M. Steinbrenner Field has the shortest average fence height among all major league parks.

A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is predicted to have the 2nd-highest temperatures of all games on the slate today at 82°.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Davis Schneider in the 81st percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability.

Hitting from the opposite that Ian Seymour throws from, Davis Schneider will have an advantage today.

Davis Schneider has seen a substantial increase in his exit velocity on flyballs this season; just compare his 96.1-mph average to last year’s 93.1-mph mark.

When it comes to his home run skill, Junior Caminero ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Junior Caminero is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in today’s game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Junior Caminero in the 95th percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent.

Home field advantage typically improves hitter stats across the board, and Junior Caminero will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

Junior Caminero has made sizeable improvements with his Barrel% in recent games, bettering his 14.2% seasonal rate to 25% in the last 14 days.

Chandler Simpson is penciled in 1st in the lineup today.

The #4 venue in MLB for boosting home runs to lefties, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is George M. Steinbrenner Field.

Chandler Simpson will have the handedness advantage over Kevin Gausman in today’s matchup.

When assessing his batting average ability, Chandler Simpson is projected as the 18th-best batter in the league by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Home field advantage typically bolsters batter stats across the board, and Chandler Simpson will hold that advantage today.

It may be best to expect weaker performance for the Toronto Blue Jays offense in the future, considering that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) sees them as the 2nd-luckiest offense in baseball this year.

The 5th-deepest centerfield dimensions among all major league stadiums are found in George M. Steinbrenner Field.

Home field advantage generally improves pitcher metrics in all categories, and Ian Seymour will hold that advantage in today’s game.

In his last GS, Ian Seymour was on point and gave up 0 ER.

Despite conventional wisdom, fastballs are typically a pitcher’s least effective pitch. Ian Seymour must realize this, because he has gone to his off-speed and breaking pitches a lot since the start of last season: 62.8% of the time, placing in the 86th percentile.

With a 1.11 gap between Ian Seymour’s 3.16 ERA and his 4.27 estimated true talent ERA (per the leading projection system, THE BAT), it’s safe to say he’s been one of the most fortunate pitchers in the game this year and figures to see negative regression in future games.

Ian Seymour was in good form in his last outing and put up 8 strikeouts.

Ian Seymour has posted a 26.7% K% this year, checking in at the 87th percentile.

Hitting from the opposite that Kevin Gausman throws from, Robert Seymour will have the upper hand in today’s game.

Robert Seymour will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today’s game, which should improve all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects George Springer in the 97th percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability.

George Springer is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card in today’s game.

George Springer will hold the platoon advantage against Ian Seymour in today’s matchup.

George Springer has made substantial improvements with his Barrel%, upping his 9.3% rate last season to 16.6% this season.

Myles Straw will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Ian Seymour today.

Myles Straw has a 99th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (41.7%) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting them out towards the game’s 5th-shallowest RF fences in today’s game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Myles Straw in the 75th percentile when assessing his BABIP skill.

In notching a .279 Expected Batting Average (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) using Statcast data) this year , Myles Straw grades out in the 87th percentile.

Andres Gimenez is likely to have an advantage against every reliever for the whole game, since the bullpen of the Tampa Bay Rays only has 1 same-handed RP.

Andres Gimenez’s average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls this season (12.6°) is a significant increase over his 9.2° mark last season.

Andres Gimenez’s batting average ability is projected to be in the 76th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

As it relates to his batting average, Andres Gimenez has had some very poor luck this year. His .211 mark falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .246.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ty France in the 85th percentile as it relates to his batting average talent.

Hitting from the opposite that Ian Seymour throws from, Ty France will have an edge in today’s matchup.

Ty France has an 84th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35%) and will have a big advantage hitting them in the direction of baseball’s 5th-shallowest RF fences today.

Ty France’s ability to hit the ball at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has increased from last season to this one, going from 41.6% to 49.9%.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT)’s judgement, Kevin Gausman’s overall pitching skill grades out in the 77th percentile among all starting pitchers in MLB currently.

Throwing 96.1 adjusted pitches per outing this year on average, Kevin Gausman places him the 95th percentile.

Alejandro Kirk, the Blue Jays’s expected catcher in today’s game, grades out as a good pitch framer according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Kevin Gausman has a reverse platoon split and should be aided by facing 7 opposite-handed hitters in today’s game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) forecasts Kevin Gausman in the 80th percentile when assessing his strikeout skill.

Kevin Gausman has compiled a 12.4% Swinging Strike percentage this year, ranking in the 83rd percentile.

When it comes to his batting average ability, Yandy Diaz is projected as the 7th-best batter in Major League Baseball by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Yandy Diaz is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in this matchup.

Yandy Diaz projects as the 18th-best batter in Major League Baseball, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Yandy Diaz has a 100th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (43.3%) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting them towards the game’s 5th-shallowest RF fences in today’s game.

Yandy Diaz will hold the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which figures to boost all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brandon Lowe in the 85th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability.

Brandon Lowe is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in today’s game.

Hitting from the opposite that Kevin Gausman throws from, Brandon Lowe will have the upper hand in today’s game.

Brandon Lowe pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (34.5% — 85th percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting them towards baseball’s 5th-shallowest RF fences in today’s game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brandon Lowe in the 91st percentile when assessing his home run talent.

Isiah Kiner-Falefa will hold the platoon advantage against Ian Seymour in today’s matchup.

Isiah Kiner-Falefa has a 90th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.2%) and will have a big advantage hitting them out towards baseball’s 5th-shallowest RF fences today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Isiah Kiner-Falefa in the 85th percentile as it relates to his batting average talent.

As it relates to his batting average skill, Vladimir Guerrero Jr. is projected as the best batter in the majors by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Vladimir Guerrero Jr. is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in today’s game.

Hitting from the opposite that Ian Seymour throws from, Vladimir Guerrero Jr. will have an edge in today’s matchup.

Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has seen a notable improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs lately; just compare his 97.3-mph average in the last 14 days to his seasonal figure of 94.9-mph.

Vladimir Guerrero Jr. projects as the 5th-best batter in the league, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alejandro Kirk in the 97th percentile as it relates to his batting average talent.

Alejandro Kirk is projected to bat 4th in the lineup in this game.

Hitting from the opposite that Ian Seymour throws from, Alejandro Kirk will have an advantage in today’s game.

Alejandro Kirk has a 97th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (38.6%) and has the good fortune of hitting them out towards MLB’s 5th-shallowest RF fences in today’s game.

When assessing his overall offensive skill, Alejandro Kirk ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ernie Clement in the 91st percentile when assessing his batting average ability.

Ernie Clement is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in today’s game, which would be an upgrade from his 80% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this year.

Ernie Clement will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Ian Seymour in today’s game.

Sporting a .271 Expected Batting Average (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) utilizing Statcast data) this year , Ernie Clement finds himself in the 76th percentile.

Josh Lowe is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in today’s game.

Hitting from the opposite that Kevin Gausman throws from, Josh Lowe will have the upper hand in today’s matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Josh Lowe in the 93rd percentile when assessing his BABIP ability.

Josh Lowe will possess the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which figures to bolster all of his stats.

Hitting from the opposite that Kevin Gausman throws from, Tristan Gray will have an advantage today.

Tristan Gray pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (33.5% — 79th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the game’s 5th-shallowest RF fences in today’s game.

Tristan Gray will hold the home field advantage today, which ought to bolster all of his stats.

In the last 7 days, Tristan Gray’s exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 96-mph over the course of the season to 98.9-mph lately.

Jake Mangum will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today’s game, which figures to bolster all of his stats.

Jake Mangum has put up a .344 BABIP this year, ranking in the 94th percentile.

Jake Mangum’s BABIP ability is projected in the 95th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Negatives with the Tampa Bay Rays Game Today

In today’s matchup, Davis Schneider is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 7th-deepest LF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the pull field at a 38.2% rate (96th percentile).

Playing on the road typically diminishes batter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Davis Schneider today.

Davis Schneider has been very fortunate when it comes to with his wOBA this year; his .355 rate is a fair amount higher than his .317 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

When it comes to his batting average, Davis Schneider has been very fortunate this year. His .238 figure has been quite a bit higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .179.

Davis Schneider has put up a .270 BABIP since the start of last season, placing in the 20th percentile.

Batting from the same side that Kevin Gausman throws from, Junior Caminero meets a tough challenge today.

Junior Caminero pulls many of his flyballs (36.6% — 94th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of MLB’s 7th-deepest LF fences today.

Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected HR per 600 plate appearances (34.6) provides evidence that Junior Caminero has been very fortunate this year with his 43.1 actual HR/600.

In terms of plate discipline, Junior Caminero’s talent is quite poor, sporting a 3.56 K/BB rate this year while grading out in in the 22nd percentile.

Out of every team on the slate today, the 5th-strongest infield defense is that of the the Toronto Blue Jays.

Junior Caminero has had some very good luck with with his wOBA this year; his .354 figure is quite a bit higher than his .332 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

Junior Caminero has posted a .250 BABIP this year, checking in at the 6th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Chandler Simpson in the 0th percentile when estimating his home run talent.

In today’s matchup, Chandler Simpson is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 5th-deepest CF center field fences given that he hits his flyballs towards center field at a 40.2% rate (98th percentile).

Based on Statcast metrics, Chandler Simpson ranks in the 21st percentile for offensive skills according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) this year at .297.

Chandler Simpson has averaged 0.0 Expected Home Runs per 600 plate appearances this year, grading out in the 0th percentile for power according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

Chandler Simpson’s 0% Barrel% (a reliable stat to assess power) grades out in the 0th percentile this year.

In the last 14 days, Chandler Simpson’s 40.5% rate of hitting balls at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 48.4%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ian Seymour to throw 83 pitches in this game (3rd-least on the slate), considering both his underlying tendencies and the matchup.

The #7 stadium in the majors for boosting home runs, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is George M. Steinbrenner Field.

Ian Seymour’s 91.1-mph fastball velocity this year ranks in the 20th percentile among all starters.

Per the leading projection system (THE BAT X), the offense with the least strikeout-heavy lineup on the slate today is the Toronto Blue Jays with a 17.9% underlying K%.

Ian Seymour has had some very good luck with his strikeouts this year, putting up a 10.97 K/9 despite the leading projection system (THE BAT) estimating his true talent level to be 8.76 — a 2.21 K/9 difference.

Robert Seymour is projected to bat 9th in the lineup in today’s game.

Robert Seymour has been lifted for a pinch-hitter 17% of the time when starting against a northpaw this year.

Robert Seymour is quite slow, checking in at the 13th percentile in Sprint Speed at 25.71 ft/sec this year.

George Springer hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.6% — 82nd percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards the game’s 5th-deepest CF fences today.

Playing on the road generally lessens batter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for George Springer today.

George Springer has been lucky this year, compiling a .402 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .360 — a .042 difference.

When assessing his home run ability, Myles Straw ranks in the 4th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Myles Straw is projected to hit 8th in the lineup in this matchup.

Playing on the road typically weakens batter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Myles Straw in today’s game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Myles Straw’s true offensive talent to be a .286, implying that he has experienced some positive variance this year given the .018 discrepancy between that mark and his actual .304 wOBA.

Posting a 7.200 Expected Home Runs per 600 plate appearances (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) based on Statcast data) this year , Myles Straw is ranked in the 10th percentile for power.

Myles Straw’s 4.6% Barrel% (a reliable stat to evaluate power) grades out in the 17th percentile this year.

This year, the hardest ball Myles Straw has hit reached a maximum exit velocity of 105.8 mph (a reliable metric to evaluate power), ranking in the 2nd percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Andres Gimenez in the 12th percentile as it relates to his home run talent.

Andres Gimenez is projected to bat 9th on the lineup card in this matchup.

Batting from the same side that Ian Seymour throws from, Andres Gimenez will have a tough matchup today.

Playing on the road generally lowers hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Andres Gimenez in today’s matchup.

Andres Gimenez has been cold of late, with his seasonal exit velocity of 85.9-mph dropping to 80.6-mph over the past 14 days.

Ty France is projected to hit 6th in the batting order in this game.

Ty France will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today’s matchup.

Ty France’s exit velocity on flyballs has decreased this year; his 93.3-mph average last season has fallen to 90.8-mph.

In terms of power, Ty France grades out in the 13th percentile, having averaged 8.9 homers per 600 plate appearances this year.

Ty France has displayed bad plate discipline this year, placing in the 21st percentile with a 3.68 K/BB rate.

Ty France’s average launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls this season (10.2°) is quite a bit worse than his 15.7° angle last season.

Kevin Gausman will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today’s game.

Kevin Gausman’s high utilization rate of his fastball (54.5% this year) is likely harming his results, consider they are typically much less effective than breaking or off-speed pitches.

Hitting from the same side that Kevin Gausman throws from, Yandy Diaz will be at a disadvantage in today’s game.

Yandy Diaz’s average launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls of late (1.8° over the past two weeks) is a significant dropoff from his 5.3° seasonal angle.

In terms of his home runs, Yandy Diaz has had some very good luck this year. His 23.5 HR per 600 plate appearances mark has been a fair amount higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected HR/600 at 14.5.

Yandy Diaz has been very fortunate when it comes to with his wOBA this year; his .359 rate is inflated compared to his .336 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

Brandon Lowe’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has dropped off from last season to this one, decreasing from 20% to 16.8%.

Brandon Lowe has had some very good luck with his batting average this year; his .256 rate is inflated compared to his .244 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

Brandon Lowe has displayed weak plate discipline this year, ranking in the 20th percentile with a 3.7 K/BB rate.

Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected HR per 600 plate appearances (26.9) may lead us to conclude that Brandon Lowe has experienced some positive variance this year with his 32.3 actual HR/600.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Isiah Kiner-Falefa in the 2nd percentile when estimating his home run ability.

Isiah Kiner-Falefa is penciled in 7th in the batting order in this game.

Isiah Kiner-Falefa will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today’s game.

Isiah Kiner-Falefa’s launch angle this season (4.3°) is significantly worse than his 8.9° mark last season.

When it comes to his wOBA and overall offense, Isiah Kiner-Falefa has had positive variance on his side this year. His .281 figure has been inflated compared to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .268.

Isiah Kiner-Falefa’s 1.5% Barrel% (an advanced standard to measure power) ranks in the 3rd percentile this year.

Vladimir Guerrero Jr. hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.9% — 87th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards MLB’s 5th-deepest CF fences in today’s matchup.

Vladimir Guerrero Jr. will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today’s game.

Compared to his seasonal mark of 8.5°, Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (3.7°) in the last 14 days.

Alejandro Kirk will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today’s game.

In the last 7 days, Alejandro Kirk’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 9.9% down to 0%.

In the last 7 days, Alejandro Kirk’s 0% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 15%.

Ranking in the 20th percentile, Alejandro Kirk has posted a .189 Isolated Power rate (ISO) this year.

Ernie Clement pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (33.8% — 81st percentile) and will be challenged by MLB’s 7th-deepest LF fences in today’s game.

Playing on the road generally diminishes hitter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Ernie Clement in today’s matchup.

Ernie Clement’s exit velocity on flyballs has declined in recent games; his 88.7-mph seasonal figure has fallen off to 84.8-mph in the past 14 days.

Ernie Clement’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has decreased from last year to this one, falling from 18.8% to 14.9%.

Ernie Clement’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has decreased of late, going from 14.9% on the season to 10% over the past 14 days.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ernie Clement in the 11th percentile when estimating his home run ability.

Josh Lowe has a 96th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (38.1%) and will be challenged by the game’s 7th-deepest LF fences in today’s matchup.

Josh Lowe’s launch angle this season (9.3°) is considerably lower than his 16.8° angle last season.

This year, the hardest ball Josh Lowe has hit reached a maximum exit velocity of 109.2 mph (an advanced standard to assess power), grading out in the 21st percentile.

Ranking in the 20th percentile, Josh Lowe has notched a .292 wOBA (widely regarded as the top measure of overall offense) this year.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Tristan Gray in the 5th percentile when assessing his batting average talent.

Tristan Gray is projected to hit 7th on the lineup card in this game.

Tristan Gray has been lifted for a pinch-hitter 21% of the time when starting against a righty on the mound this year.

Tristan Gray has negatively regressed with his Barrel% in recent games; his 20% seasonal rate has fallen to 14.3% over the past week.

When estimating his home run talent, Jake Mangum ranks in the 1st percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Jake Mangum is projected to bat 6th on the lineup card in this game.

Jake Mangum has a 98th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (40.2%) but may find it hard to clear baseball’s 7th-deepest LF fences today.

Jake Mangum’s exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off of late; his 90.8-mph seasonal figure has fallen off to 80.2-mph in the last 7 days.

Compared to his seasonal figure of -0.9°, Jake Mangum has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (-7.8°) in the past two weeks.

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