
TOR @ ATH


Matchup Details
Todays Game is on Friday, July 11th
11/07/25 22:05:00 PM EST First Pitch
Positive Match Player Stats for Blue Jays vs Athletics Matchup Today
When it comes to his BABIP talent, Denzel Clarke is projected as the 10th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
The weather forecast predicts temperatures in this matchup to reach the highest level on the slate today at 97°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).
The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 10-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for bats.
Extreme flyball bats like Denzel Clarke generally hit better against extreme groundball pitchers like Max Scherzer.
Home field advantage generally improves hitter stats in all categories, and Denzel Clarke will hold that advantage in today’s game.
The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Sutter Health Park as the 6th-best field in the league for run-scoring.
Sutter Health Park has the 3rd-lowest fence height (on average) among all major league parks.
When estimating his home run talent, Addison Barger ranks in the 82nd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Addison Barger is penciled in 4th in the lineup today.
When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Addison Barger ranks in the 77th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
Addison Barger will have the handedness advantage against Luis Severino in today’s game.
Max Muncy will possess the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which ought to boost all of his stats.
Bashing 3 homers in the last two weeks’ worth of games, Max Muncy has been on fire of late.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Max Muncy in the 80th percentile when assessing his BABIP ability.
Max Muncy’s maximum exit velocity (an advanced standard to measure power) has been 112.6 mph this year, checking in at the 86th percentile.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Joey Loperfido in the 87th percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill.
Batting from the opposite that Luis Severino throws from, Joey Loperfido will have the upper hand in today’s game.
Joey Loperfido has been hot in recent games, cruising to a .398 wOBA over the last week.
Will Wagner is projected to bat 5th in the lineup today, which would be an upgrade from his 88% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this year.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Will Wagner in the 83rd percentile when it comes to his batting average ability.
Batting from the opposite that Luis Severino throws from, Will Wagner will have an edge today.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nicholas Kurtz in the 97th percentile when assessing his home run ability.
Nicholas Kurtz has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this year (63% of the time), but he is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in this game.
Hitting from the opposite that Max Scherzer throws from, Nicholas Kurtz will have an advantage in today’s matchup.
Home field advantage generally bolsters batter stats in all categories, and Nicholas Kurtz will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.
Sutter Health Park projects as the #9 field in the game for walks, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).
Max Scherzer will be at a disadvantage playing away from home today.
When assessing his strikeout talent, the leading projection system (THE BAT) places Max Scherzer in the 91st percentile among all starters in the majors.
The Athletics (27.3% K% (per the leading projection system, THE BAT X) project to have the most strikeout-heavy lineup of all teams on the slate.
Considering the 1.25 gap between Max Scherzer’s 8.36 K/9 and his 9.61 estimated true talent K/9 (via the leading projection system, THE BAT), it’s safe to say he’s been one of the least fortunate pitchers in the league since the start of last season in terms of strikeouts and ought to see positive regression in future games.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Vladimir Guerrero Jr. as the best hitter in Major League Baseball when it comes to his batting average ability.
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card today.
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Vladimir Guerrero Jr. ranks as the 6th-best batter in Major League Baseball.
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has had some very poor luck with his wOBA this year; his .355 figure is a fair amount lower than his .409 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bo Bichette as the 9th-best batter in the league when assessing his batting average skill.
Bo Bichette is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup in today’s game.
Bo Bichette has made notable gains with his Barrel%, upping his 4.5% rate last season to 10.6% this year.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bo Bichette in the 87th percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability.
Alejandro Kirk’s batting average skill is projected to be in the 97th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
In comparison to his 89.3-mph average last year, Alejandro Kirk’s exit velocity has noticeably risen this season, now sitting at 93.1 mph.
Alejandro Kirk’s ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has improved from last season to this one, increasing from 42.3% to 49.6%.
When estimating his overall offensive skill, Alejandro Kirk ranks in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Brent Rooker ranks as the 14th-best hitter in the game.
Brent Rooker is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in this game.
Brent Rooker will possess the home field advantage today, which figures to bolster all of his stats.
Miguel Andujar is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in this matchup.
Miguel Andujar will hold the home field advantage today, which figures to improve all of his stats.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Miguel Andujar in the 91st percentile as it relates to his batting average ability.
Compared to the average pitcher, Luis Severino has been granted more leash than the typical pitcher this year, tallying an extra 6.2 adjusted pitches each outing.
Because flyball batters face a disadvantage against flyball pitchers, Luis Severino (43.2% GB% per the leading projection system, THE BAT) is well-situated in this game with 2 FB hitters in the opposing club’s projected lineup.
Luis Severino will benefit from the home field advantage in today’s game, which figures to bolster all of his metrics in all categories.
In his last game started, Luis Severino was firing on all cylinders and allowed 0 ER.
Considering the 0.88 gap between Luis Severino’s 6.05 K/9 and his 6.93 estimated true talent K/9 (via the leading projection system, THE BAT), it’s safe to say he’s been one of the unluckiest pitchers in baseball this year as it relates to strikeouts and figures to perform better in future games.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Tyler Soderstrom in the 82nd percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill.
Tyler Soderstrom is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in this game.
Batting from the opposite that Max Scherzer throws from, Tyler Soderstrom will have the upper hand in today’s game.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Tyler Soderstrom in the 83rd percentile when estimating his home run skill.
Nathan Lukes has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this season (80% of the time), but he is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card in this game.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nathan Lukes in the 91st percentile when it comes to his batting average skill.
Batting from the opposite that Luis Severino throws from, Nathan Lukes will have an advantage in today’s game.
When assessing his home run ability, Shea Langeliers ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
When assessing his overall offensive talent, Shea Langeliers ranks in the 89th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
Home field advantage generally improves batter stats in all categories, and Shea Langeliers will hold that advantage today.
Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Batting Average (.265) suggests that Shea Langeliers has experienced some negative variance this year with his .236 actual batting average.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Zack Gelof in the 84th percentile when estimating his BABIP skill.
Zack Gelof will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which should boost all of his stats.
Over the last 7 days, Zack Gelof has been successful in optimizing the launch angle of his hardest hit balls to hit for power, putting up a 20.5° angle.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Zack Gelof in the 76th percentile as it relates to his home run skill.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Lawrence Butler in the 83rd percentile when estimating his home run skill.
Lawrence Butler is penciled in 1st on the lineup card in this matchup.
As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Lawrence Butler ranks in the 79th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
Lawrence Butler will have the handedness advantage over Max Scherzer today.
Negative Match Player Stats with Blue Jays vs Athletics
Denzel Clarke is projected to bat 9th in the batting order in this game.
Denzel Clarke has been pinch hit for 17% of the time when starting against a righty hurler this year.
Hitting from the same side that Max Scherzer throws from, Denzel Clarke will be at a disadvantage today.
Denzel Clarke hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.4% — 93rd percentile) but may find it hard to clear baseball’s 11th-deepest CF fences in today’s game.
Among every team today, the 4th-best infield defense is that of the the Toronto Blue Jays.
When estimating his overall offensive ability, Denzel Clarke ranks in the 25th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
Addison Barger has been pinch hit for 13% of the time when starting against a right-handed pitcher this year.
Sutter Health Park has the 9th-most fair ground among all major league stadiums — generally bad for home runs.
Addison Barger will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player today.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Addison Barger’s true offensive ability to be a .321, suggesting that he has experienced some positive variance this year given the .029 gap between that figure and his actual .350 wOBA.
Max Muncy is projected to bat 6th in the lineup today.
Max Scherzer will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Max Muncy in today’s game.
Max Muncy pulls many of his flyballs (33.8% — 80th percentile) but may find it hard to clear baseball’s 6th-deepest LF fences today.
Max Muncy has posted a .283 Expected wOBA (xwOBA) this year, grading out in the 13th percentile for hitting ability according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.
Grading out in the 19th percentile, Max Muncy sits with a .287 wOBA (widely regarded as the top indicator of overall offense) this year.
Joey Loperfido is projected to hit 6th in the batting order in this matchup.
When starting against a righty hurler since the start of last season, Joey Loperfido has been pinch hit for 18% of the time.
Playing on the road typically diminishes batter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Joey Loperfido in today’s matchup.
This year, there has been a decline in Joey Loperfido’s footspeed with his Statcast Sprint Speed dropping from 28.81 ft/sec last year to 27.85 ft/sec currently.
Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (.239) may lead us to conclude that Joey Loperfido has been very fortunate since the start of last season with his .275 actual wOBA.
When it comes to his home run skill, Will Wagner ranks in the 15th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Will Wagner has been pinch hit for 22% of the time when starting against a righty hurler this year.
Will Wagner hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.6% — 82nd percentile) and will be challenged by the game’s 11th-deepest CF fences in today’s game.
Typically, hitters like Will Wagner who hit a lot of flyballs tend to be less successful when facing pitchers who also induce a lot of flyballs such as Luis Severino.
Playing on the road generally lessens batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Will Wagner in today’s game.
Will Wagner has been cold in recent games, putting up a .266 wOBA in the past two weeks’ worth of games.
Nicholas Kurtz has an 83rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.5%) but may find it hard to clear the game’s 6th-deepest LF fences in today’s game.
Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected HR per 600 plate appearances (22.8) implies that Nicholas Kurtz has been lucky this year with his 38.7 actual HR/600.
As it relates to his wOBA and overall offense, Nicholas Kurtz has had some very good luck this year. His .352 mark has been considerably higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .306.
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT)’s judgement, Max Scherzer’s overall pitching ability grades out in the 81st percentile out of all SPs in the league currently.
Projected catcher Alejandro Kirk profiles as a good pitch framer, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).
Among all parks, Sutter Health Park’s left field fences are the 6th-deepest.
With 6 batters who share the same handedness in the opposing team’s projected lineup, Max Scherzer should benefit from holding the platoon advantage in most plate appearances in this matchup.
Max Scherzer struggled when it came to striking batters out in his last game started and posted 1 Ks.
Batting from the same side that Luis Severino throws from, Vladimir Guerrero Jr. will be in a tough position today.
Today, Vladimir Guerrero Jr. is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 11th-deepest CF center field fences given that he hits his flyballs towards center field at a 38.5% rate (80th percentile).
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. will be at a disadvantage playing away from home today.
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. and his 6.1° launch angle on his hardest-hit balls rank in 7th percentile, among the lowest in MLB this year.
Luis Severino will have the handedness advantage over Bo Bichette in today’s game.
Playing on the road generally weakens batter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Bo Bichette in today’s matchup.
Bo Bichette’s quickness has decreased this season. His 27.32 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last year sits at 26.16 ft/sec now.
Alejandro Kirk is projected to bat 8th in the lineup in this game, which would be a downgrade from his 79% rate of hitting in the top-half of the batting order this year.
Hitting from the same side that Luis Severino throws from, Alejandro Kirk has a tough challenge in today’s matchup.
Playing on the road generally lessens hitter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Alejandro Kirk today.
Alejandro Kirk’s footspeed has decreased this season. His 24.71 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last season sits at 24.01 ft/sec now.
Alejandro Kirk and his 7.5° launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls rank in 16th percentile, among the lowest in MLB this year.
Batting from the same side that Max Scherzer throws from, Brent Rooker encounters a tough challenge in today’s game.
Brent Rooker hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.7% — 84th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards MLB’s 11th-deepest CF fences in today’s game.
Typically, bats like Brent Rooker who hit a lot of flyballs tend to perform worse when facing pitchers who also induce a lot of flyballs such as Max Scherzer.
Brent Rooker’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has declined from last year to this one, falling from 20.6% to 17%.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Miguel Andujar in the 20th percentile as it relates to his home run ability.
Miguel Andujar has been lifted for a pinch-hitter 11% of the time when starting against a right-handed pitcher this year.
Max Scherzer will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Miguel Andujar in today’s game.
Miguel Andujar hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.7% — 84th percentile) and will be challenged by the league’s 11th-deepest CF fences today.
Miguel Andujar has had positive variance on his side thus far when it comes to with his wOBA this year; his .317 figure is quite a bit higher than his .299 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.
Miguel Andujar has had positive variance on his side thus far when it comes to his batting average this year; his .296 BA is inflated compared to his .271 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT), Shea Langeliers (the Athletics’s expected catcher in today’s game) profiles as a weak pitch framer.
Luis Severino has gone to his cut-fastball 9.4% more often this season (17.4%) than he did last season (8%).
The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Luis Severino in the 16th percentile when estimating his strikeout skill.
The Toronto Blue Jays (19.2 K% (via the leading projection system, THE BAT X) project to have the 2nd-least strikeout-prone group of batters of all teams today.
Tyler Soderstrom hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.7% — 84th percentile) and will have to hit them out towards the league’s 11th-deepest CF fences today.
Tyler Soderstrom’s exit velocity on flyballs has declined this year; his 98.2-mph EV last season has fallen off to 94.2-mph.
Tyler Soderstrom’s 9.5° launch angle (a reliable metric to assess a batter’s ability to lift the ball for power) is one of the lowest in the majors: 20th percentile.
As it relates to his home run ability, Nathan Lukes ranks in the 7th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
When starting against a right-handed starter this year, Nathan Lukes has been lifted for a pinch-hitter 21% of the time.
Nathan Lukes has an 81st percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.4%) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of the league’s 6th-deepest LF fences today.
Extreme groundball hitters like Nathan Lukes generally hit worse against extreme groundball pitchers like Luis Severino.
Playing on the road typically reduces hitter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Nathan Lukes in today’s game.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Nathan Lukes’s true offensive talent to be a .309, indicating that he has been lucky this year given the .029 gap between that mark and his actual .338 wOBA.
Shea Langeliers has primarily hit in the top-half of the batting order this season (97% of the time), but he is projected to bat 7th on the lineup card in today’s game.
Hitting from the same side that Max Scherzer throws from, Shea Langeliers has a tough challenge today.
Shea Langeliers pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (35.3% — 90th percentile) and will be challenged by baseball’s 6th-deepest LF fences today.
Shea Langeliers’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has dropped off from last season to this one, going from 17.2% to 14.1%.
Shea Langeliers has been optimizing his launch angle on his hardest hit balls quite poorly of late, putting up a 1° angle on such balls over the past week.
Zack Gelof is projected to hit 8th in the batting order in this game.
Max Scherzer will hold the platoon advantage against Zack Gelof today.
Zack Gelof hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.2% — 90th percentile) and will have to hit them out towards the league’s 11th-deepest CF fences in today’s matchup.
By putting up a .264 Expected wOBA (or xwOBA, an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) using Statcast data) since the start of last season, Zack Gelof is positioned in the 6th percentile for offensive skills.
Zack Gelof’s maximum exit velocity (an advanced standard to evaluate power) has been 109.1 mph since the start of last season, ranking in the 22nd percentile.
Lawrence Butler has a 90th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.1%) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of MLB’s 6th-deepest LF fences in today’s game.
Lawrence Butler’s launch angle this year (7.3°) is significantly lower than his 11.1° angle last season.
In the last week, Lawrence Butler has not been doing well in optimizing the launch angle on his hardest hit balls to generate power, managing a mere a -1.8° angle.
When it comes to his wOBA and overall offense, Lawrence Butler has been lucky this year. His .333 mark has been significantly inflated relative to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .295.
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