Dodgers vs Giants match player stats | 2025 Friday, July 11th

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Dodgers vs Giants match player stats | 2025 Friday, July 11th

LAD @ SF

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Matchup Details

Los Angeles Dodgers at San Francisco Giants

Todays Game is on Friday, July 11th
11/07/25 22:15:00 PM EST First Pitch

Positive Match Player Stats for Dodgers vs Giants Matchup Today

Oracle Park ranks as the #3 venue in the league for righty batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 9.7-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-strongest of the day for hitters.

Casey Schmitt will possess the home field advantage in today’s game, which figures to boost all of his stats.

Casey Schmitt has seen a big improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs this season; just compare his 97.6-mph average to last season’s 94.3-mph average.

Casey Schmitt has compiled a .327 Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season, grading out in the 79th percentile for offensive ability according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

Grading out in the 87th percentile, Casey Schmitt has put up a .338 wOBA (widely regarded as the top measure of overall offense) since the start of last season.

In Major League Baseball, Oracle Park’s RF dimensions are the 2nd-shallowest.

Given Dustin May’s huge platoon split, Jung Hoo Lee will have a colossal advantage hitting from the opposite side of the dish in this game.

Home field advantage generally boosts hitter metrics in all categories, and Jung Hoo Lee will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

There has been a significant improvement in Jung Hoo Lee’s launch angle from last year’s 9.5° to 13.2° this season.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jung Hoo Lee in the 95th percentile when it comes to his batting average talent.

Oracle Park ranks as the #3 park in MLB for lefty batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Shohei Ohtani ranks as the 2nd-best hitter in the majors.

Shohei Ohtani is projected to bat 1st in the lineup in this game.

Batting from the opposite that Logan Webb throws from, Shohei Ohtani will have an edge in today’s matchup.

As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Rafael Devers ranks in the 97th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Rafael Devers is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in today’s game.

Given Dustin May’s huge platoon split, Rafael Devers will have a colossal advantage batting from the opposite side of the plate in this game.

When assessing his overall offensive ability, Mookie Betts ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Mookie Betts is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order in this matchup.

Extreme flyball bats like Mookie Betts generally hit better against extreme groundball pitchers like Logan Webb.

Mookie Betts’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased from last season to this one, going from 17.4% to 20.5%.

In his last game started, Dustin May was on point and gave up 0 ER.

Dustin May has been unlucky this year, putting up a 4.52 ERA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT) estimating his true talent level to be 4.26 — a 0.26 discrepancy.

San Francisco’s 88.7-mph average exit velocity this year is among the worst in baseball: #25 overall.

Will Smith projects as the 19th-best batter in Major League Baseball, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Will Smith has a 76th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.7%) and will have a big advantage hitting them in the direction of baseball’s 2nd-shallowest RF fences in today’s matchup.

Extreme flyball batters like Will Smith tend to be more successful against extreme groundball pitchers like Logan Webb.

This year, Will Smith’s 12.4% Barrel%, an advanced metric for measuring power, places him in the 78th percentile among his peers.

Michael Conforto is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in this game, which would be an upgrade from his 81% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this season.

Hitting from the opposite that Logan Webb throws from, Michael Conforto will have an advantage in today’s matchup.

When assessing his home run talent, Michael Conforto ranks in the 78th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Dominic Smith will have the handedness advantage against Dustin May in today’s matchup… and even better, May has a huge platoon split.

Home field advantage typically bolsters batter metrics in all categories, and Dominic Smith will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected HR per 600 plate appearances (18.4) may lead us to conclude that Dominic Smith has had bad variance on his side since the start of last season with his 10.7 actual HR/600.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Matt Chapman as MLB’s 12th-best home run hitter.

Matt Chapman is projected to hit 4th in the lineup today.

Extreme flyball batters like Matt Chapman tend to perform better against extreme groundball pitchers like Dustin May.

As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Matt Chapman ranks in the 97th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Matt Chapman will possess the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which ought to improve all of his stats.

When it comes to his home run talent, Mike Yastrzemski ranks in the 77th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Mike Yastrzemski is penciled in 5th in the batting order in today’s game.

Mike Yastrzemski will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Dustin May today… and even more favorably, May has a huge platoon split.

Mike Yastrzemski pulls a lot of his flyballs (35.2% — 90th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting them towards the league’s 2nd-shallowest RF fences in today’s matchup.

Logan Webb projects as the 6th-best SP in baseball right now, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Logan Webb to throw 98 pitches in this game (most on the slate today), taking into account both his underlying tendencies and the matchup.

Today’s version of the Dodgers projected lineup is a bit watered down, as their .336 the leading projection system (THE BAT X) wOBA is considerably below their .347 overall projected rate.

Projected catcher Patrick Bailey grades out as an elite pitch framer, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

When assessing his strikeout talent, the leading projection system (THE BAT) forecasts Logan Webb in the 84th percentile among all SPs in the majors.

As it relates to his home run ability, Willy Adames ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Willy Adames is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order today.

Hitters such as Willy Adames with extreme groundball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Dustin May who skew towards the flyball end of the spectrum.

Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter metrics in all categories, and Willy Adames will hold that advantage in today’s game.

When estimating his overall offensive skill, Willy Adames ranks in the 89th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

When it comes to his batting average skill, Freddie Freeman is projected as the 17th-best batter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Freddie Freeman is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in today’s game.

When estimating his overall offensive talent, Freddie Freeman ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Freddie Freeman will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Logan Webb today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Andy Pages in the 87th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability.

Andy Pages has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this year (73% of the time), but he is penciled in 4th in the batting order in this matchup.

Extreme groundball batters like Andy Pages usually hit better against extreme flyball pitchers like Logan Webb.

In the past two weeks, Andy Pages has been performing exceptionally well at the plate with a wOBA of .346.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Heliot Ramos in the 91st percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent.

Heliot Ramos is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card in today’s game.

Heliot Ramos has a 90th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36%) and will have a big advantage hitting them in the direction of the league’s 2nd-shallowest RF fences in today’s game.

Heliot Ramos will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which ought to boost all of his stats.

The switch-hitting Patrick Bailey will get to bat from his better side (0) today against Dustin May… and even better, May has a huge platoon split.

Patrick Bailey will possess the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which should improve all of his stats.

Patrick Bailey’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved from last year to this one, increasing from 15.4% to 19.7%.

Negative Match Player Stats with Dodgers vs Giants

Casey Schmitt is projected to hit 6th in the batting order in today’s game.

Among all stadiums, the tallest average fence height are at Oracle Park.

Oracle Park’s elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest in the majors, which often leads to worse offense.

According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this game will be the most suitable for pitching of the day.

Dustin May will hold the platoon advantage over Casey Schmitt in today’s game… and it’s an even larger mismatch considering May’s huge platoon split.

Casey Schmitt’s quickness has declined this season. His 28 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last season sits at 27.28 ft/sec now.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Oracle Park as the 2nd-worst venue in the majors for right-handed home runs.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jung Hoo Lee in the 15th percentile when estimating his home run ability.

Jung Hoo Lee is projected to bat 7th on the lineup card in this matchup, which would be a downgrade from his 88% rate of hitting in the top-half of the lineup this season.

The #2 ballpark in baseball for suppressing home runs to left-handed batters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oracle Park.

Jung Hoo Lee’s average exit velocity has fallen off this year; his 88.9-mph mark last year has dropped off to 86.9-mph.

In the last 7 days, Jung Hoo Lee has not been doing well in optimizing the launch angle on his hardest hit balls to generate power, managing a mere a -0.6° angle.

Playing on the road generally lowers hitter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Shohei Ohtani in today’s matchup.

In terms of his wOBA and overall offense, Shohei Ohtani has been lucky this year. His .411 figure has been a fair amount higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .377.

Rafael Devers’s speed has fallen off this year. His 26.48 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last season sits at 25.49 ft/sec now.

Rafael Devers has been very fortunate when it comes to with his wOBA this year; his .369 mark is a good deal higher than his .346 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

Hitting from the same side that Logan Webb throws from, Mookie Betts will have a tough challenge in today’s matchup.

Mookie Betts will be at a disadvantage playing away from home today.

Mookie Betts’s maximum exit velocity (a reliable metric to study power) has been 107.2 mph this year, placing in the 9th percentile.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT), Will Smith (the Dodgers’s expected catcher today) grades out as a weak pitch framer.

Oracle Park ranks as the #28 field in Major League Baseball for strikeouts, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Given that flyball pitchers struggle the most against groundball hitters, Dustin May (45.2% FB% according to the leading projection system, THE BAT) will be a bit disadvantaged in today’s game with 3 GB hitters in San Francisco’s projected offense.

Dustin May will be at a disadvantage playing on the road today.

The San Francisco Giants have been the 8th-unluckiest offense in the league this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to positively regress in the future,The #4 ballpark in the majors for boosting batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oracle Park.

Will Smith is projected to bat 7th in the lineup today, which would be a downgrade from his 85% rate of hitting in the top-half of the lineup this season.

Batting from the same side that Logan Webb throws from, Will Smith will have a disadvantage in today’s game.

Playing on the road typically lowers batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Will Smith in today’s matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Michael Conforto in the 16th percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill.

19% of the time that Michael Conforto has started against a northpaw this year, he has been lifted for a pinch-hitter.

Michael Conforto will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today’s matchup.

Dominic Smith’s BABIP ability is projected in the 25th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Dominic Smith has primarily hit in the top-half of the lineup this season (70% of the time), but he is projected to hit 8th on the lineup card in today’s game.

When starting against a right-handed starter this year, Dominic Smith has been pinch hit for 16% of the time.

Dustin May will have the handedness advantage against Matt Chapman in today’s game… and it’s a particular mismatch considering May’s huge platoon split.

Matt Chapman’s quickness has dropped off this year. His 28.66 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last season sits at 28.15 ft/sec now.

Matt Chapman has recorded a .234 Expected Batting Average this year, placing in the 23rd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

Mike Yastrzemski’s maximum exit velocity (a reliable standard to evaluate power) has been 108.5 mph this year, placing in the 17th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Mike Yastrzemski in the 17th percentile when estimating his BABIP skill.

Based on Statcast data, Mike Yastrzemski is in the 23rd percentile via the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Batting Average this year at .234.

Given that flyball pitchers are hit hardest by groundball hitters, Logan Webb (55.1% FB% according to the leading projection system, THE BAT) will be a bit disadvantaged in this matchup with 4 GB hitters in Los Angeles’s projected lineup.

The San Francisco Giants outfield defense projects as the 5th-weakest out of all the teams on the slate today.

Logan Webb has utilized his change-up 9.9% less often this year (21%) than he did last year (30.9%).

Logan Webb’s 2125-rpm fastball spin rate this year is in the 13th percentile among all starting pitchers.

Because of Dustin May’s huge platoon split, Willy Adames will be at a tremendous disadvantage hitting from the same side of the plate in today’s game.

Willy Adames’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has fallen off from last season to this one, falling from 19.8% to 14.5%.

With a .222 Expected Batting Average (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) based on Statcast data) this year , Willy Adames is positioned in the 13th percentile.

Playing on the road generally lessens batter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Freddie Freeman in today’s matchup.

Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (.324) provides evidence that Freddie Freeman has had positive variance on his side this year with his .362 actual wOBA.

Freddie Freeman’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has decreased from last season to this one, decreasing from 20% to 15.8%.

Hitting from the same side that Logan Webb throws from, Andy Pages meets a tough challenge today.

Playing on the road generally lessens hitter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Andy Pages in today’s matchup.

There has been a significant decline in Andy Pages’s launch angle from last year’s 20.6° to 16.5° this year.

Dustin May will hold the platoon advantage against Heliot Ramos today… and it’s an even larger mismatch considering May’s huge platoon split.

Heliot Ramos’s exit velocity on flyballs has declined this year; his 96.3-mph mark last season has dropped to 93.9-mph.

In the last week, Heliot Ramos has not been doing well in optimizing the launch angle on his hardest hit balls to generate power, managing a mere a 5.4° angle.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Patrick Bailey in the 20th percentile when assessing his batting average talent.

Patrick Bailey is penciled in 9th in the lineup in this matchup.

Patrick Bailey’s average exit velocity has dropped off this year; his 91.1-mph mark last year has dropped off to 88.7-mph.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Patrick Bailey in the 21st percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent.

Latest San Francisco Giants Match Player Stats

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