MLB Player match stats positives for Houston at Toronto Monday Matchup

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jeremy Pena in the 94th percentile when it comes to his batting average skill.

The shallowest CF dimensions among all stadiums are found in Rogers Centre.

As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 3rd-most suitable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this game.

In the last 7 days, Jeremy Pena’s exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 90.9-mph over the course of the season to 97.5-mph in recent games.

Jeremy Pena’s ability to hit the ball at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has increased of late, rising from 46.2% on the season to 57.1% over the last week.

When estimating his overall offensive skill, George Springer ranks in the 89th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

George Springer is penciled in 5th in the batting order in today’s game.

Out of every team today, the 6th-best infield defense belongs to the Houston Astros.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jose Altuve in the 89th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill.

Jose Altuve is projected to hit 1st in the batting order today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Rogers Centre as the 9th-best park in baseball for righty home runs.

Yordan Alvarez projects as the 3rd-best hitter in the majors, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Yordan Alvarez is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup today.

Yordan Alvarez will have the handedness advantage against Yariel Rodriguez in today’s matchup.

Yordan Alvarez hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.6% — 87th percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting out towards MLB’s 10th-shallowest CF fences in today’s game.

When it comes to his batting average skill, Bo Bichette is projected as the 9th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Bo Bichette is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card in this game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alex Bregman in the 94th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability.

Alex Bregman is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in today’s game.

Alex Bregman hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.5% — 86th percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting out towards MLB’s 10th-shallowest CF fences in today’s matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Alex Bregman’s true offensive ability to be a .340, providing some evidence that he has had some very poor luck this year given the .033 gap between that figure and his actual .307 wOBA.

When assessing his home run ability, Daulton Varsho ranks in the 88th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Rogers Centre ranks as the #9 park in the majors for left-handed home runs, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Batting from the opposite that Hunter Brown throws from, Daulton Varsho will have the upper hand today.

Jose Altuve’s batting average talent is projected to be in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

In the last week, Jose Altuve’s exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 92.2-mph over the course of the season to 107.7-mph of late.

Justin Turner is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in this game.

Extreme groundball hitters like Justin Turner generally hit better against extreme flyball pitchers like Hunter Brown.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Mauricio Dubon in the 89th percentile when estimating his batting average ability.

Mauricio Dubon hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.1% — 78th percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting out towards the game’s 10th-shallowest CF fences in today’s matchup.

Mauricio Dubon has been hot of late, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 86.9-mph to 90.9-mph in the past week’s worth of games.

Mauricio Dubon’s launch angle in recent games (27° in the last 7 days) is quite a bit higher than his 12.5° seasonal mark.

Isiah Kiner-Falefa will benefit from the home field advantage today, which should improve all of his stats.

Isiah Kiner-Falefa’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved from last year to this one, going from 12.9% to 17.6%.

The Toronto Blue Jays projected offense ranks as the 3rd-strongest of the day in terms of overall batting skill.

Because of his large reverse platoon split, Hunter Brown encounters a tough challenge matching up with 6 hitters in the projected offense who share his hand in this outing.

Given that flyball pitchers struggle the most against groundball hitters, Hunter Brown (48.8% FB% according to the leading projection system, THE BAT) will be a bit disadvantaged in this game with 3 GB hitters in Toronto’s projected batting order.

Hitting from the opposite that Yariel Rodriguez throws from, Jon Singleton will have the upper hand today.

Jon Singleton hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.3% — 83rd percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting out towards MLB’s 10th-shallowest CF fences in today’s game.

When it comes to his home run talent, Danny Jansen ranks in the 87th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.6-mph in this contest, the best of the day for bats.

Extreme groundball bats like Danny Jansen tend to be more successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Hunter Brown.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Yainer Diaz in the 96th percentile when it comes to his batting average talent.

Yainer Diaz is projected to bat 4th in the lineup in this game.

In the past 7 days, Yainer Diaz’s 58.8% rate of hitting balls at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 45.7%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) forecasts Hunter Brown in the 91st percentile as it relates to his strikeout skill.

Rogers Centre grades out as the #6 stadium in baseball for strikeouts, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

In his previous GS, Hunter Brown was firing on all cylinders and notched 7 strikeouts.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bo Bichette in the 86th percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill.

Extreme flyball bats like Daulton Varsho are generally more successful against extreme groundball pitchers like Hunter Brown.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Isiah Kiner-Falefa in the 89th percentile when estimating his batting average talent.

Jake Meyers is projected to hit 5th in the lineup in this game, which would be an upgrade from his 80% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this season.

Jake Meyers has made significant improvements with his Barrel% of late, upping his 8.4% seasonal rate to 20% in the last 7 days.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Spencer Horwitz in the 82nd percentile when estimating his batting average skill.

Spencer Horwitz is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup today.

Hitting from the opposite that Hunter Brown throws from, Spencer Horwitz will have an edge in today’s matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Vladimir Guerrero Jr. as the 3rd-best hitter in baseball when estimating his batting average skill.

Vladimir Guerrero Jr. is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card today.

Vladimir Guerrero Jr. hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.7% — 89th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the game’s 10th-shallowest CF fences in today’s game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jake Meyers in the 79th percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent.

The Houston Astros (19.7 K% (according to the leading projection system, THE BAT X) are projected to have the 3rd-least strikeout-prone group of hitters of the day.

Alejandro Kirk, the Blue Jays’s expected catcher in today’s game, grades out as a good pitch framer according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Yariel Rodriguez will hold the platoon advantage over 6 opposing bats in this game.

Yariel Rodriguez will benefit from the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which should boost all of his metrics in all categories.

As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Yainer Diaz ranks in the 84th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Vladimir Guerrero Jr. projects as the 7th-best hitter in the majors, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Spencer Horwitz in the 76th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability.

Current MLB player match stat slumps with Astros vs Blue Jays Matchup for Monday

Jeremy Pena is penciled in 7th on the lineup card in today’s game, which would be a downgrade from his 60% rate of hitting in the top-half of the lineup this season.

Rogers Centre ranks as the #21 park in the majors for RHB batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Yariel Rodriguez will have the handedness advantage over Jeremy Pena today.

Out of every team playing today, the 5th-best infield defense belongs to the Toronto Blue Jays.

Playing on the road generally lowers hitter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Jeremy Pena today.

Rogers Centre grades out as the #22 venue in baseball for overall righty offense, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).

The league’s 8th-tallest fence height (on average) can be found at Rogers Centre.

Hunter Brown will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against George Springer today.

Checking in at the 9th percentile, George Springer has posted a .238 BABIP this year.

Batting from the same side that Yariel Rodriguez throws from, Jose Altuve will have a tough challenge today.

Jose Altuve will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today’s game.

As it relates to his wOBA and overall offense, Jose Altuve has had some very good luck this year. His .354 rate has been significantly inflated relative to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .332.

The #5 venue in baseball for suppressing offensive stats to LHB, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Rogers Centre.

Yordan Alvarez will be at a disadvantage playing on the road today.

Yordan Alvarez has negatively regressed with his Barrel% lately; his 13.3% seasonal rate has lowered to 7.1% over the past week.

Hunter Brown will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Bo Bichette in today’s matchup.

Compared to his seasonal angle of 7.4°, Bo Bichette has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (-1.3°) in the past two weeks’ worth of games.

Bo Bichette’s average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls this season (3.5°) is significantly lower than his 7.8° mark last season.

Yariel Rodriguez will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Alex Bregman in today’s game.

Alex Bregman is an extreme flyball batter and matches up with the weak outfield defense of Toronto (#2-worst of the day).

Alex Bregman will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today’s matchup.

Bo Bichette has notched a .278 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) this year, grading out in the 19th percentile.

Daulton Varsho is penciled in 6th in the lineup in this matchup.

Daulton Varsho’s average exit velocity has dropped off this season; his 87.8-mph mark last season has dropped to 84.7-mph.

In the last two weeks’ worth of games, Daulton Varsho’s 0% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 16.4%.

Daulton Varsho has been very fortunate when it comes to with his wOBA this year; his .300 figure is significantly inflated relative to his .282 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

Hunter Brown will have the handedness advantage over Justin Turner in today’s game.

There has been a decrease in Justin Turner’s average exit velocity this season, from 89.5 mph last year to 86.6 mph now, Justin Turner’s exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off of late; his 89.9-mph seasonal figure has decreased to 70.8-mph in the past week.

Despite posting a .328 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Justin Turner has been very fortunate given the .016 discrepancy between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .312.

Mauricio Dubon is penciled in 8th in the batting order in today’s game.

Yariel Rodriguez will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Mauricio Dubon in today’s game.

Playing on the road typically diminishes hitter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Mauricio Dubon in today’s matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Isiah Kiner-Falefa in the 5th percentile when it comes to his home run talent.

Isiah Kiner-Falefa is projected to hit 9th on the lineup card in this game.

Hunter Brown will have the handedness advantage against Isiah Kiner-Falefa in today’s matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Hunter Brown in the 90th percentile as it relates to his overall pitching abilities.

In his previous start, Hunter Brown was firing on all cylinders and conceded 0 ER.

Over his previous 3 starts, Hunter Brown has generated a significant increase in his fastball velocity: from 94.9 mph over the whole season to 96.2 mph of late.

Hunter Brown’s 94.9-mph fastball velocity this year grades out in the 82nd percentile out of all SPs.

Jon Singleton’s batting average ability is projected to be in the 3rd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Jon Singleton is penciled in 6th on the lineup card in this game.

Jon Singleton has been lifted for a pinch-hitter 19% of the time when starting against a right-handed starter this year.

Danny Jansen is projected to hit 7th in the batting order in today’s game, which would be a downgrade from his 68% rate of hitting in the top-half of the lineup this season.

Hunter Brown will hold the platoon advantage against Danny Jansen today.

Batting from the same side that Yariel Rodriguez throws from, Yainer Diaz will be at a disadvantage today.

Playing on the road typically lessens hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Yainer Diaz today.

The Toronto Blue Jays (19.1 K% (per the leading projection system, THE BAT X) are projected to have the least strikeout-prone batting order of all teams today.

Hunter Brown will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player today.

By putting up a 10.300 Expected Home Runs per 600 plate appearances (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) based on Statcast data) this year , Bo Bichette grades out in the 17th percentile for power.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Daulton Varsho in the 2nd percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent.

Daulton Varsho is an extreme flyball hitter and squares off against the weak outfield defense of Houston (#1-worst of all teams today).

Typically, hitters like Isiah Kiner-Falefa who hit a lot of flyballs generally hit worse when facing pitchers who also induce a lot of flyballs such as Hunter Brown.

Isiah Kiner-Falefa’s average exit velocity has declined this season; his 88.8-mph average last season has decreased to 84.9-mph.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jeremy Pena in the 20th percentile when estimating his home run ability.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Danny Jansen in the 2nd percentile when estimating his BABIP ability.

Batting from the same side that Yariel Rodriguez throws from, Jake Meyers will be in a tough position today.

Jake Meyers will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today’s game.

In the past week, Jake Meyers’s 0% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 16.9%.

Jake Meyers has been lucky this year, notching a .336 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .311 — a .025 gap.

Alex Bregman has taken a step back with his Barrel% lately; his 5.1% seasonal rate has dropped off to 0% in the last week’s worth of games.

In the past two weeks, Alex Bregman’s exit velocity on flyballs has fallen from his seasonal EV of 89.4 mph to 84.6 mph.

Over the last 7 days, Yordan Alvarez’s exit velocity on flyballs has decreased from his seasonal mark of 93.5 mph to 86.9 mph.

In the last two weeks, Yordan Alvarez has significantly improved the launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls: 15.6° compared to his seasonal mark of 11.7°.

Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (.340) may lead us to conclude that Spencer Horwitz has been very fortunate since the start of last season with his .379 actual wOBA.

Hunter Brown will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Vladimir Guerrero Jr. in today’s matchup.

Typically, bats like Vladimir Guerrero Jr. who hit a lot of flyballs tend to perform worse when facing pitchers who also induce a lot of flyballs such as Hunter Brown.

Hunter Brown has averaged 15.1 outs per outing this year, grading out in the 24th percentile.

Rogers Centre profiles as the #21 ballpark in the game for LHB batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Playing on the road typically diminishes batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Jon Singleton in today’s game.

Jon Singleton has taken a step back with his Barrel% lately; his 6.7% seasonal rate has lowered to 0% over the last 14 days.

In the past week’s worth of games, Yainer Diaz’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 6.5% down to 0%.

Yariel Rodriguez is expected to throw 78 pitches in today’s game, which is the 6th-highest number of pitches for all pitchers on the slate today. This estimate is based on his inherent tendencies and the nature of the matchup.

In his previous start, Yariel Rodriguez struggled when it came to striking batters out and only managed to tally 0 Ks.

Over his last 3 GS, Yariel Rodriguez has experienced a significant fall off in his fastball spin rate: from 2449 rpm over the whole season to 2354 rpm recently.

As it relates to his home run ability, Mauricio Dubon ranks in the 16th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Checking in at the 23rd percentile, George Springer has put up a .339 Slugging Percentage (SLG) this year.

Yainer Diaz’s exit velocity on flyballs has decreased in recent games; his 91.8-mph seasonal EV has lowered to 87.5-mph in the past two weeks.

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Astros vs Blue Jays Match Player Stats Monday July 1st Houston Astros at Toronto Blue Jays Game Predictions, Players odds, Monday lines and Betting Trends
Astros vs Blue Jays match player stats Monday, July 1st pre matchup. Houston Astros at Toronto Blue Jays player predictions