HOU @ ATH






Astros @ Athletics Series Game 2 Matchup Details
Series : Series Game 2
Date : Todays Game is on Wednesday, September 24th
Time : 24/09/25 22:05:00 PM EST First Pitch
Positives for the Houston Astros Game Today
The #5 stadium in Major League Baseball for boosting offensive stats, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Sutter Health Park.
Sutter Health Park has the 3rd-lowest fence height (on average) among all stadiums.
The weather report predicts the 2nd-most favorable hitting weather of all games on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity.
The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.5-mph in this match-up, the most-favorable of the day for batters.
Among every team playing today, the weakest infield defense is that of the the Houston Astros.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jacob Wilson as the 15th-best batter in baseball when it comes to his batting average skill.
Jacob Wilson is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in this game.
Nick Kurtz projects as the 8th-best home run hitter in the majors, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Nick Kurtz is penciled in 1st in the lineup in this matchup.
Isaac Paredes is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in this matchup.
Jose Altuve’s batting average ability is projected to be in the 90th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Jose Altuve is penciled in 4th in the lineup in this matchup.
Carlos Correa’s batting average talent is projected to be in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Carlos Correa is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in this matchup.
Brent Rooker projects as the 14th-best hitter in MLB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Brent Rooker is penciled in 4th in the batting order today.
When assessing his overall offensive ability, Jesus Sanchez ranks in the 87th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
Luis Severino has averaged 96.3 adjusted pitches per outing this year, checking in at the 95th percentile.
Today’s version of the Astros projected batting order is a bit watered down, as their .326 the leading projection system (THE BAT X) wOBA is considerably below their .351 overall projected rate.
Luis Severino will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against 7 opposing bats in this game.
Home field advantage generally boosts pitcher stats in all categories, and Luis Severino will hold that advantage today.
Jake Meyers’s batting average skill is projected to be in the 86th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Hunter Brown as the 19th-best SP in the majors currently.
Hunter Brown has averaged 95.8 adjusted pitches per game per started this year, checking in at the 94th percentile.
Hunter Brown is an extreme groundball pitcher (48.8% GB% per the leading projection system, THE BAT), which should make him somewhat immune to the dangers of pitching in Sutter Health Park — the #10 HR venue in the majors — today.
Given that flyball pitchers hold a big edge over flyball hitters, Hunter Brown and his 48.8% underlying FB% (per the leading projection system, THE BAT) finds himself in a favorable position in this outing matching up with 3 opposing FB hitters.
When estimating his overall offensive ability, Tyler Soderstrom ranks in the 85th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
Tyler Soderstrom is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in this matchup.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Shea Langeliers in the 96th percentile as it relates to his home run ability.
Shea Langeliers is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in this game.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Yainer Diaz as the 19th-best batter in the game when it comes to his batting average ability.
When estimating his home run skill, Lawrence Butler ranks in the 82nd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Negatives with the Athletics Game Today
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Darell Hernaiz in the 4th percentile when assessing his home run ability.
Darell Hernaiz is penciled in 7th in the batting order today.
Hitting from the same side that Hunter Brown throws from, Darell Hernaiz encounters a tough challenge today.
Darell Hernaiz hits many of his flyballs to center field (41.3% — 100th percentile) and will have to hit them out towards the game’s 11th-deepest CF fences today.
In the last two weeks’ worth of games, Darell Hernaiz’s exit velocity on flyballs has fallen from his seasonal figure of 90.6 mph to 87.3 mph.
The 6th-deepest LF fences among all major league stadiums are found in Sutter Health Park.
Batting from the same side that Hunter Brown throws from, Jacob Wilson encounters a tough challenge today.
Typically, hitters like Jacob Wilson who hit a lot of groundballs are generally less successful when facing pitchers who also induce a lot of groundballs such as Hunter Brown.
Jacob Wilson has been cold recently, with his seasonal exit velocity of 84.5-mph dropping to 82.1-mph in the last 14 days.
Compared to his seasonal mark of 8.6°, Jacob Wilson has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (0.6°) over the last two weeks.
Nick Kurtz has an 87th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.5%) but may find it hard to clear baseball’s 6th-deepest LF fences today.
Over the last week, Nick Kurtz’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 18% down to 12.5%.
Nick Kurtz has been lucky this year, putting up a .418 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .350 — a .068 disparity.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Isaac Paredes in the 3rd percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill.
J.T. Ginn will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Isaac Paredes today… and it’s an even bigger mismatch considering Ginn’s large platoon split.
Isaac Paredes pulls a lot of his flyballs (47% — 100th percentile) and will have to hit them out towards MLB’s 6th-deepest LF fences in today’s matchup.
Isaac Paredes will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today’s matchup.
Isaac Paredes has negatively regressed with his Barrel% recently; his 5.9% seasonal rate has decreased to 0% in the last week’s worth of games.
Considering J.T. Ginn’s large platoon split, Jose Altuve will be at a huge disadvantage batting from the same side of the dish today.
Jose Altuve pulls a lot of his flyballs (41.9% — 99th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of MLB’s 6th-deepest LF fences in today’s matchup.
Jose Altuve will be at a disadvantage playing away from home today.
Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (.294) implies that Jose Altuve has been very fortunate this year with his .331 actual wOBA.
J.T. Ginn will hold the platoon advantage against Carlos Correa in today’s matchup… and it’s an even larger mismatch considering Ginn’s large platoon split.
Playing on the road generally lessens hitter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Carlos Correa today.
Carlos Correa’s average exit velocity has fallen off lately; his 90.3-mph seasonal average has fallen to 83.1-mph in the last week.
Compared to his seasonal figure of 7.1°, Carlos Correa has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (0.8°) over the last two weeks.
Batting from the same side that Hunter Brown throws from, Brent Rooker will not have the upper hand in today’s matchup.
Brent Rooker pulls many of his flyballs (33.7% — 80th percentile) and will have to hit them out towards the league’s 6th-deepest LF fences in today’s game.
Jesus Sanchez has primarily hit in the top-half of the batting order this season (87% of the time), but he is projected to hit 7th in the batting order in this matchup.
Jesus Sanchez has an 88th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.7%) but may find it hard to clear the game’s 6th-deepest LF fences in today’s matchup.
Jesus Sanchez will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today’s game.
Jesus Sanchez’s average launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls recently (4.5° in the past 14 days) is considerably worse than his 9.2° seasonal angle.
It may be smart to expect better numbers for the Houston Astros offense in the future, given that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes they are the 2nd-unluckiest offense in Major League Baseball this year.
It is likely that we will see a Hitters Umpire (Stu Scheurwater) in charge of the strike zone in this game.
Projected catcher Shea Langeliers projects as a weak pitch framer, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).
Sutter Health Park projects as the #6 venue in baseball for walks, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).
Luis Severino was rolling in his last game started and conceded 0 ER.
Jake Meyers is projected to hit 8th in the batting order today.
J.T. Ginn will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jake Meyers in today’s game… and it’s a particular mismatch considering Ginn’s large platoon split.
In today’s matchup, Jake Meyers is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 11th-deepest CF center field fences given that he hits his flyballs towards center field at a 39.5% rate (94th percentile).
Playing on the road generally lowers hitter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Jake Meyers today.
In the past week, Jake Meyers’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 5.3% down to 0%.
Yainer Diaz, the Astros’s expected catcher today, grades out as a weak pitch framer according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).
Hunter Brown turned in a great performance in his previous outing and allowed 2 ER.
In today’s game, Tyler Soderstrom is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 6th-deepest LF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the opposite field at a 36.7% rate (91st percentile).
Extreme flyball hitters like Tyler Soderstrom are generally less successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Hunter Brown.
In the last two weeks, Tyler Soderstrom’s exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off from his seasonal EV of 94.1 mph to 90 mph.
Tyler Soderstrom’s launch angle in recent games (-0.7° in the last two weeks) is considerably worse than his 8.1° seasonal angle.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Tyler Soderstrom’s true offensive ability to be a .330, suggesting that he has been very fortunate this year given the .023 difference between that figure and his actual .353 wOBA.
Hitting from the same side that Hunter Brown throws from, Shea Langeliers will be in a tough position in today’s matchup.
In today’s game, Shea Langeliers is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 6th-deepest LF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the pull field at a 35.8% rate (90th percentile).
Shea Langeliers has struggled with his Barrel% in recent games; his 11.4% seasonal rate has dropped to 3.8% over the last two weeks.
Shea Langeliers’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has dropped off from last season to this one, falling from 17.2% to 14%.
Shea Langeliers has been very fortunate when it comes to his home runs this year; his 36.0 HR per 600 plate appearances figure is a fair amount higher than his 26.1 Expected HR/600, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.
Yainer Diaz is projected to hit 6th in the batting order in today’s game.
J.T. Ginn will hold the platoon advantage over Yainer Diaz in today’s matchup… and it’s an over-sized mismatch considering Ginn’s large platoon split.
In today’s game, Yainer Diaz is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 11th-deepest CF center field fences given that he hits his flyballs towards center field at a 39.2% rate (91st percentile).
Playing on the road generally lowers batter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Yainer Diaz in today’s game.
Compared to his seasonal mark of 10.6°, Yainer Diaz has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (6.8°) in the past 14 days.
Lawrence Butler has primarily hit in the top-half of the lineup this year (79% of the time), but he is penciled in 6th in the batting order today.
Lawrence Butler has a 96th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (38.2%) but may find it hard to clear baseball’s 6th-deepest LF fences in today’s game.
Lawrence Butler’s average exit velocity has declined of late; his 90.6-mph seasonal figure has dropped to 88.5-mph over the last week.
Lawrence Butler’s average launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls in recent games (1.1° over the past 14 days) is a significant dropoff from his 10.3° seasonal mark.
When it comes to his home runs, Lawrence Butler has been lucky this year. His 20.5 HR per 600 plate appearances mark has been inflated compared to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected HR/600 at 15.1.
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