Series Game 3 Matchup Details

Positive Match Player Stats for Astros vs Angels Series Game 3 Matchup Today

As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Zach Neto ranks in the 85th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Zach Neto is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card in this game.

In the league, Angel Stadium has the 3rd-lowest average fence height.

The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 9-mph in this game, the 5th-most-favorable of the day for bats.

Zach Neto will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which should bolster all of his stats.

Zach Neto has made sizeable strides with his Barrel%, bettering his 8.5% rate last year to 15.5% this year.

It may be sensible to expect better results for the Los Angeles Angels offense the rest of the season, given that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes they are the 4th-unluckiest offense in the game this year.

Yainer Diaz, the Astros’s expected catcher in today’s matchup, profiles as a weak pitch framer according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Ryan Gusto is an extreme flyball pitcher (36.5% FB% according to the leading projection system, THE BAT) and has the misfortune of pitching in the #10 HR venue among all major league parks in this game.

The Los Angeles Angels have 4 bats in their projected lineup today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (via the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Mike Trout, Logan O’Hoppe, Jo Adell, Christian Moore).

The #4 stadium in Major League Baseball for boosting strikeouts, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Angel Stadium.

Nolan Schanuel is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card today.

Hitting from the opposite that Ryan Gusto throws from, Nolan Schanuel will have an advantage in today’s game.

Home field advantage typically boosts hitter stats in all categories, and Nolan Schanuel will hold that advantage in today’s game.

Nolan Schanuel’s batting average skill is projected to be in the 91st percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Home field advantage generally boosts batter stats across the board, and Christian Moore will hold that advantage in today’s game.

Christian Moore has been zeroed in on the ideal launch angle for home runs lately, hitting balls between 23° and 34° 23.1% of the time in the last two weeks’ worth of games.

Christian Moore’s BABIP ability is projected in the 82nd percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

When estimating his BABIP ability, Cam Smith is projected as the 9th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Cam Smith has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this season (97% of the time), but he is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in this game.

The Los Angeles Angels outfield defense projects as the 4th-worst among all the teams in action today.

Cam Smith has seen a substantial increase in his exit velocity recently; just compare his 93.3-mph average over the past two weeks to his seasonal 90.2-mph average.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Cam Smith in the 75th percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent.

Mike Trout projects as the 8th-best batter in the league, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Mike Trout is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in this game.

Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter stats in all categories, and Mike Trout will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

Mike Trout has made significant improvements with his Barrel% recently, improving his 18.2% seasonal rate to 31.3% in the past 7 days.

As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Taylor Ward ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Taylor Ward is penciled in 4th in the lineup in this game.

Taylor Ward will benefit from the home field advantage in today’s game, which figures to bolster all of his stats.

Taylor Ward’s launch angle this year (21.7°) is quite a bit better than his 17.3° figure last year.

Extreme groundball batters like Luis Rengifo usually hit better against extreme flyball pitchers like Ryan Gusto.

Luis Rengifo will possess the home field advantage today, which ought to bolster all of his stats.

Luis Rengifo has seen a notable improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs this year; just compare his 90.4-mph average to last season’s 87.5-mph figure.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Luis Rengifo in the 77th percentile when it comes to his batting average ability.

When it comes to his home run ability, Jo Adell ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Jo Adell will possess the home field advantage today, which ought to bolster all of his stats.

Over the last 14 days, Jo Adell has improved his Barrel% substantially, increasing it from his seasonal rate of 14.9% to 25.7%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jo Adell in the 77th percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill.

Jo Adell has seen a sizeable improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs this year; just compare his 99.3-mph average to last season’s 94.1-mph average.

When it comes to his home run ability, Christian Walker ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Christian Walker has been unlucky this year, posting a .284 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .329 — a .045 deviation.

Projected catcher Logan O’Hoppe projects as a weak pitch framer, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).

As a result of his reverse platoon split, Kyle Hendricks has a tough challenge squaring off against 7 batters in the projected lineup who bat from the same side in this matchup.

Kyle Hendricks is an extreme flyball pitcher (34.7% FB% according to the leading projection system, THE BAT) and has the misfortune of pitching in the #10 HR venue among all parks in today’s game.

Extreme flyball bats like Victor Caratini generally hit better against extreme groundball pitchers like Kyle Hendricks.

This season, Victor Caratini has experienced a significant increase in his exit velocity on flyballs, now sitting at an average of 93.9 mph compared to last year’s 89.9 mph mark.

In the last two weeks’ worth of games, Victor Caratini’s exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 93.9-mph over the course of the season to 97.4-mph of late.

Isaac Paredes is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card today.

In comparison to his 85-mph average last year, Isaac Paredes’s exit velocity has noticeably risen this season, now sitting at 87.2 mph.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Isaac Paredes in the 83rd percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability.

Compared to his seasonal average of 21.5°, Isaac Paredes has significantly improved his launch angle recently, posting a 29.1° angle in the past two weeks.

Jose Altuve’s batting average talent is projected to be in the 89th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Jose Altuve is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup in this game.

In the past week, Jose Altuve’s Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 6.3% up to 14.7%.

When estimating his overall offensive talent, Jose Altuve ranks in the 82nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

LaMonte Wade Jr. will have the handedness advantage over Ryan Gusto in today’s game.

LaMonte Wade Jr. will possess the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which figures to improve all of his stats.

There has been a significant improvement in LaMonte Wade Jr.’s launch angle from last year’s 12.8° to 22.3° this season.

LaMonte Wade Jr.’s footspeed has improved this year. His 25.16 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last season sits at 25.92 ft/sec now.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects LaMonte Wade Jr. in the 80th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jeremy Pena in the 97th percentile as it relates to his batting average ability.

Jeremy Pena is penciled in 1st on the lineup card in this game.

Extreme groundball batters like Jeremy Pena tend to be more successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Kyle Hendricks.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jeremy Pena in the 82nd percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jake Meyers in the 86th percentile when estimating his batting average ability.

Jake Meyers’s ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has increased from last season to this one, increasing from 44.4% to 52.4%.

Jake Meyers has posted a .369 BABIP this year, grading out in the 97th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Logan O’Hoppe in the 96th percentile when assessing his home run ability.

Logan O’Hoppe is projected to hit 5th in the batting order today.

Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter metrics across the board, and Logan O’Hoppe will hold that advantage in today’s game.

When assessing his overall offensive skill, Logan O’Hoppe ranks in the 82nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

The Barrel% of Logan O’Hoppe has significantly improved, with an increase from 12% last year to 17.7% this season.

Yainer Diaz’s batting average ability is projected to be in the 96th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Yainer Diaz is penciled in 4th in the batting order today.

When assessing his overall offensive ability, Yainer Diaz ranks in the 82nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

There has been a significant improvement in Yainer Diaz’s launch angle from last season’s 8.7° to 13.1° this year.

Negative Match Player Stats with Astros vs Angels Series Game 3

Angel Stadium grades out as the #23 park in Major League Baseball for run-scoring, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Ryan Gusto will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Zach Neto in today’s matchup.

By putting up a 5.8 K/BB rate this year, Zach Neto has demonstrated poor plate discipline, grading out in the 6th percentile.

It is anticipated that we will see a Pitchers Umpire (Tom Hanahan) behind the plate today.

Angel Stadium profiles as the #24 park in the game for batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Considering that flyball pitchers have a notable advantage over flyball bats, Ryan Gusto and his 36.5% underlying FB% (according to the leading projection system, THE BAT) finds himself in a strong spot in this matchup going up against 2 opposing FB bats.

Given the 0.26 gap between Ryan Gusto’s 4.31 ERA and his 4.05 FIP, it’s safe to say he’s been one of the least fortunate pitchers in baseball this year and ought to perform better in future games.

Ryan Gusto has been one of the unluckiest hurlers in the game on balls in play this year with a .341 BABIP and ought to see that luck normalize going forward.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ryan Gusto to throw 81 pitches today (3rd-least of all pitchers today), considering both his underlying tendencies and the matchup.

Ryan Gusto will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today’s game.

When assessing his home run ability, Nolan Schanuel ranks in the 7th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Nolan Schanuel’s average exit velocity has declined recently; his 88-mph seasonal figure has fallen to 82.4-mph over the past week.

When it comes to power, Nolan Schanuel has performed in the 17th percentile, having averaged 8.1 home runs per 600 plate appearances this year.

Christian Moore is projected to bat 9th on the lineup card today.

Ryan Gusto will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Christian Moore in today’s game.

Over the last two weeks, Christian Moore has recorded a mere a 0% Barrel%, indicating a decline in power ability.

Over the last two weeks, Christian Moore has been exhibiting poor exit velocity numbers, with an average of only 85.7-mph on his flyballs.

Christian Moore has not been honed in on the ideal launch angle for base hits lately, angling balls between -4° and 26° just 27.3% of the time in the last week’s worth of games.

Batting from the same side that Kyle Hendricks throws from, Cam Smith will be at a disadvantage today.

Cam Smith will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today’s matchup.

Compared to his seasonal angle of 6°, Cam Smith has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (2.1°) in the past two weeks.

Cam Smith’s 6° launch angle (an advanced metric to assess a batter’s ability to lift the ball for power) is among the lowest in the game: 7th percentile.

Batting from the same side that Ryan Gusto throws from, Mike Trout will be in a tough position today.

Typically, hitters like Mike Trout who hit a lot of groundballs tend to perform worse when facing pitchers who also induce a lot of groundballs such as Ryan Gusto.

Placing in the 17th percentile, Mike Trout sits with a .235 BABIP since the start of last season.

Ryan Gusto will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Taylor Ward in today’s matchup.

Extreme flyball batters like Taylor Ward generally hit worse against extreme flyball pitchers like Ryan Gusto.

Over the last two weeks, Taylor Ward’s exit velocity on flyballs has lowered from his seasonal EV of 94 mph to 87.8 mph.

Taylor Ward has compiled a .217 BABIP this year, grading out in the 2nd percentile.

Taylor Ward has had some very good luck with his home runs this year; his 36.5 HR per 600 plate appearances mark is a fair amount higher than his 27.7 Expected HR/600, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Luis Rengifo in the 10th percentile as it relates to his home run talent.

Luis Rengifo is penciled in 8th on the lineup card in today’s game.

The switch-hitting Luis Rengifo will be at a disadvantage batting from his worse side (0) today against Ryan Gusto,Luis Rengifo has averaged 7.5 Expected Home Runs per 600 plate appearances this year, ranking in the 8th percentile for power according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

With a .242 wOBA (a leading indicator of offensive ability) this year, Luis Rengifo grades out in the 4th percentile.

Luis Rengifo has compiled a .260 BABIP this year, placing in the 16th percentile.

Jo Adell is projected to hit 6th in the lineup today.

Ryan Gusto will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jo Adell today.

Jo Adell has had positive variance on his side thus far when it comes to his home runs this year; his 40.9 HR per 600 plate appearances figure is considerably higher than his 33.3 Expected HR/600, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

With a .223 BABIP this year, Jo Adell finds himself in the 3rd percentile.

Jo Adell has exhibited bad plate discipline this year, ranking in the 20th percentile with a 3.95 K/BB rate.

Christian Walker has primarily hit in the top-half of the lineup this season (97% of the time), but he is penciled in 6th on the lineup card today.

Batting from the same side that Kyle Hendricks throws from, Christian Walker will be in a tough position today.

Christian Walker will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player today.

In the past week, Christian Walker’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 12% down to 0%.

Christian Walker has been cold recently, with his seasonal exit velocity of 90.3-mph dropping to 86.2-mph over the last 7 days.

Christian Walker’s BABIP ability is projected in the 11th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Home field advantage generally improves pitcher metrics in all categories, and Kyle Hendricks will hold that advantage today.

The Houston Astros collectively rank 29th- overall in Major League Baseball this year when assessing the maximum exit velocity of all of the balls their [HITTER}s have hit.

When estimating his strikeout ability, the leading projection system (THE BAT) forecasts Kyle Hendricks in the 3rd percentile among all starters in the majors.

The Houston Astros (20.7 K% (via the leading projection system, THE BAT X) are forecasted to have the 4th-least strikeout-heavy set of hitters on the slate.

Victor Caratini is penciled in 7th on the lineup card in today’s game.

Playing on the road typically diminishes batter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Victor Caratini in today’s game.

Compared to his seasonal mark of 11.7°, Victor Caratini’s average launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls has dropped significantly in recent games (7° in the past 14 days).

Victor Caratini has had positive variance on his side thus far when it comes to with his wOBA this year; his .319 figure is considerably higher than his .300 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Victor Caratini in the 18th percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill.

Victor Caratini’s ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has declined lately, falling from 43.8% on the season to 35.3% in the last two weeks’ worth of games.

Victor Caratini has had positive variance on his side thus far when it comes to his batting average this year; his .260 mark is quite a bit higher than his .236 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Isaac Paredes in the 3rd percentile as it relates to his BABIP skill.

Batting from the same side that Kyle Hendricks throws from, Isaac Paredes meets a tough challenge in today’s matchup.

Extreme groundball hitters like Isaac Paredes are generally less successful against extreme groundball pitchers like Kyle Hendricks.

Playing on the road generally lessens hitter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Isaac Paredes today.

In the past 7 days, Isaac Paredes’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 5.7% down to 0%.

When it comes to his home runs, Isaac Paredes has been lucky this year. His 30.3 HR per 600 plate appearances rate has been a good deal higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected HR/600 at 17.9.

Kyle Hendricks will have the handedness advantage against Jose Altuve today.

Playing on the road generally lessens hitter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Jose Altuve in today’s game.

Jose Altuve’s ability to hit the ball at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has dropped off from last season to this one, falling from 45.8% to 39.6%.

Jose Altuve has been very fortunate when it comes to his batting average this year; his .269 figure is quite a bit higher than his .226 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

As it relates to his wOBA and overall offense, Jose Altuve has had positive variance on his side this year. His .321 mark has been a fair amount higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .279.

Ranked in the 3rd percentile, Jose Altuve’s average exit velocity of 85 mph ranks among the lowest in the game this year.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects LaMonte Wade Jr. in the 14th percentile as it relates to his BABIP ability.

LaMonte Wade Jr. is projected to bat 7th in the lineup in this matchup.

LaMonte Wade Jr.’s exit velocity on flyballs has decreased this season; his 92.1-mph average last year has lowered to 90.1-mph.

Grading out in the 2nd percentile, LaMonte Wade Jr. has posted a .239 wOBA (widely regarded as the top indicator of overall offense) this year.

Sporting a .161 batting average this year, LaMonte Wade Jr. finds himself in the 1st percentile.

This year, LaMonte Wade Jr.’s 5.1% Barrel%, a reliable metric for measuring power, places him in the 21st percentile among his peers.

By putting up a .260 Slugging Percentage (SLG) this year, LaMonte Wade Jr. is ranked in the 2nd percentile.

Kyle Hendricks will hold the platoon advantage against Jeremy Pena today.

Playing on the road generally lessens batter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Jeremy Pena in today’s game.

Jeremy Pena has taken a step back with his Barrel% in recent games; his 6.1% seasonal rate has lowered to 0% over the last 7 days.

In the last 7 days, Jeremy Pena’s exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off from his seasonal average of 89.2 mph to 81.8 mph.

Jeremy Pena’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has declined from last year to this one, going from 12.3% to 8.7%.

Jake Meyers is projected to bat 8th in the batting order in this matchup.

Kyle Hendricks will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jake Meyers in today’s game.

Jake Meyers will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today’s game.

Over the past week, Jake Meyers’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 5.9% down to 0%.

Jake Meyers’s launch angle of late (3.6° over the past 7 days) is a significant dropoff from his 10.3° seasonal figure.

Batting from the same side that Ryan Gusto throws from, Logan O’Hoppe will have a disadvantage in today’s matchup.

Sporting a 7.49 K/BB rate this year, Logan O’Hoppe has displayed poor plate discipline, grading out in the 3rd percentile.

Hitting from the same side that Kyle Hendricks throws from, Yainer Diaz will be at a disadvantage in today’s game.

Playing on the road generally reduces batter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Yainer Diaz in today’s game.

Yainer Diaz has been cold in recent games, with his seasonal exit velocity of 91-mph dropping to 88.9-mph in the past week’s worth of games.

Yainer Diaz’s ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has decreased in recent games, decreasing from 45.1% on the season to 27.8% in the past week.

In the past week, Yainer Diaz’s 5.6% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 14.6%.

Yainer Diaz has notched a .285 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) this year, grading out in the 22nd percentile.

Sporting a 4.84 K/BB rate this year, Yainer Diaz has shown poor plate discipline, grading out in the 12th percentile.

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