Astros @ Angels Series Game 3 Matchup Details

Positives for the Houston Astros Series Game 3 Game Today

Cam Smith’s BABIP ability is projected in the 93rd percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Angel Stadium has the shortest fences among all stadiums.

,Batting from the opposite that Reid Detmers throws from, Cam Smith will have an edge today.

,The Los Angeles Angels infield defense profiles as the 3rd-worst out of every team today.

,In the last two weeks, Cam Smith’s exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 94.1-mph over the course of the season to 96.6-mph recently.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jake Meyers in the 80th percentile when assessing his batting average skill.

,Jake Meyers is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card today, which would be an upgrade from his 84% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this season.

,Batting from the opposite that Reid Detmers throws from, Jake Meyers will have an edge today.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Logan O’Hoppe in the 83rd percentile as it relates to his home run skill.

,Logan O’Hoppe will possess the home field advantage today, which should bolster all of his stats.

,Logan O’Hoppe has made big strides with his Barrel% in recent games, improving his 11.5% seasonal rate to 18.2% in the past two weeks’ worth of games.

,Compared to his seasonal average of 16.6°, Logan O’Hoppe has significantly improved his launch angle recently, posting a 40.3° angle in the past week.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Reid Detmers in the 83rd percentile when assessing his overall pitching talent.

,Reid Detmers has been given an above-average leash this year, tallying 4.9 more adjusted pitches-per-start than the average starter.

,It is expected that we will see a Huge Pitchers Umpire (Ron Kulpa) in charge of the strike zone today.

,Angel Stadium ranks as the #28 ballpark in Major League Baseball for batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).

,Home field advantage generally improves pitcher metrics across the board, and Reid Detmers will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

,When assessing his overall offensive skill, Jo Adell ranks in the 83rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

,Jo Adell is projected to bat 4th in the batting order today.

,Home field advantage generally improves hitter stats in all categories, and Jo Adell will hold that advantage today.

,Despite posting a .293 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Jo Adell has been unlucky given the .034 deviation between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .327.

,Jo Adell has recorded a .366 Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season, grading out in the 92nd percentile for hitting ability according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

,Nolan Schanuel is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in this game.

,Nolan Schanuel will have the handedness advantage over Peter Lambert in today’s game.

,Nolan Schanuel will possess the home field advantage today, which figures to improve all of his stats.

,Utilizing Statcast data, Nolan Schanuel ranks in the 82nd percentile per the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Batting Average since the start of last season at .276.

,Oswald Peraza will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which ought to boost all of his stats.

,Over the last 7 days, Oswald Peraza’s Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 10.2% up to 15.8%.

,Oswald Peraza has been hot of late, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 87.9-mph to 96.1-mph over the past week.

,Posting a .339 BABIP this year, Oswald Peraza is ranked in the 87th percentile.

,Brice Matthews will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Reid Detmers today.

,Despite posting a .251 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Brice Matthews has experienced some negative variance given the .039 difference between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .290.

,By putting up a 46.000 Expected Home Runs per 600 plate appearances (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) utilizing Statcast data) since the start of last season , Brice Matthews finds himself in the 100th percentile for power.

,Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter metrics in all categories, and Denzer Guzman will hold that advantage today.

,Denzer Guzman’s 15% Barrel% (an advanced metric to evaluate power) ranks in the 93rd percentile since the start of last season.

,Denzer Guzman’s 25.8° launch angle (a reliable stat to study a hitter’s ability to lift the ball for power) is one of the highest in the league: 98th percentile.

,Grading out in the 86th percentile for power, Denzer Guzman has averaged 25.7 home runs per 600 plate appearances since the start of last season.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Christian Walker in the 95th percentile as it relates to his home run talent.

,Christian Walker is penciled in 4th in the batting order in today’s game.

,Hitting from the opposite that Reid Detmers throws from, Christian Walker will have the upper hand in today’s matchup.

,Based on Statcast metrics, Christian Walker grades out in the 78th percentile for power via the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Home Runs per 600 plate appearances since the start of last season at 26.400.

,When assessing his overall offensive skill, Jeremy Pena ranks in the 87th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

,Jeremy Pena is projected to hit 1st in the lineup in this matchup.

,Hitting from the opposite that Reid Detmers throws from, Jeremy Pena will have an advantage in today’s matchup.

,Jeremy Pena has seen a big improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs recently; just compare his 89-mph average in the past two weeks to his seasonal figure of 86.5-mph.

,Wade Meckler’s BABIP ability is projected in the 96th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Wade Meckler is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup.

,Wade Meckler will have the handedness advantage over Peter Lambert today.

,Home field advantage generally improves hitter metrics across the board, and Wade Meckler will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

,According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Mike Trout ranks as the 6th-best batter in the majors.

,Mike Trout is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup in this matchup.

,Mike Trout will hold the home field advantage today, which should boost all of his stats.

,The Barrel% of Mike Trout has significantly improved, with an increase from 15.5% last year to 21.4% this year.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jose Altuve in the 87th percentile when assessing his batting average talent.

,Hitting from the opposite that Reid Detmers throws from, Jose Altuve will have the upper hand in today’s game.

,Jose Altuve has seen a significant gain in his exit velocity on flyballs this season; just compare his 92.8-mph average to last season’s 89.4-mph EV.

,Christian Vazquez will hold the platoon advantage over Reid Detmers in today’s matchup.

,In the past 7 days, Christian Vazquez’s 36.4% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 15.5%.

,When assessing his batting average talent, Jeremy Pena is projected as the 16th-best batter in the majors by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Jose Altuve’s footspeed has improved this year. His 26.92 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last season sits at 27.8 ft/sec now.

,In the past 7 days, Wade Meckler’s 70% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 41.2%.

,When estimating his overall offensive ability, Jose Altuve ranks in the 83rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

,Despite posting a .252 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Logan O’Hoppe has experienced some negative variance given the .057 discrepancy between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .309.

,Since the start of last season, Brice Matthews’s 11.1% Barrel%, a reliable stat for measuring power, places him in the 79th percentile among his peers.

,Brice Matthews’s 94.5-mph exit velocity on flyballs (an advanced standard to measure power) is in the 81st percentile since the start of last season.

,When estimating his home run talent, Zach Neto ranks in the 88th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Zach Neto is projected to hit 1st in the batting order today.

,Home field advantage typically boosts batter metrics in all categories, and Zach Neto will hold that advantage today.

,Zach Neto has seen a substantial gain in his exit velocity on flyballs in recent games; just compare his 106.2-mph average in the last week’s worth of games to his seasonal EV of 95.3-mph.

,When it comes to his home run ability, Jo Adell ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Isaac Paredes is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card today.

,Hitting from the opposite that Reid Detmers throws from, Isaac Paredes will have an edge today.

,Over the past week, Isaac Paredes’s Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 6.8% up to 20%.

,Compared to his seasonal average of 24.3°, Isaac Paredes has significantly improved his launch angle lately, posting a 28.6° angle in the past week’s worth of games.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jose Siri in the 93rd percentile as it relates to his home run talent.

,Home field advantage typically boosts hitter metrics in all categories, and Jose Siri will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

,Jose Siri has been hot of late, posting a a 28.6% Barrel% (an advanced metric to study power) over the last week.

,Jose Siri has been lifting the ball well in recent games, compiling a 33.5° launch angle in the past 7 days.

,Jeremy Pena’s ability to hit the ball at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has increased from last season to this one, rising from 41.7% to 49%.

,Mike Trout has seen a significant improvement in his exit velocity of late; just compare his 99.2-mph average in the past 7 days to his seasonal 91.6-mph average.

,Wade Meckler has been hot of late, putting up a .405 wOBA in the last 14 days.

,By putting up a .325 BABIP since the start of last season, Denzer Guzman is positioned in the 84th percentile.

,Nolan Schanuel and his 16.7° launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls rank in 87th percentile, among the highest in the game since the start of last season.

,According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Yordan Alvarez ranks as the 2nd-best batter in the game.

,Yordan Alvarez is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup.

,Yordan Alvarez has made notable strides with his Barrel% lately, upping his 18.9% seasonal rate to 27.3% in the past two weeks.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nolan Schanuel in the 88th percentile when assessing his batting average skill.

,As it relates to his strikeout skill, Reid Detmers projects as the 18th-best starter in Major League Baseball right now, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).

,The #4 stadium in baseball for boosting strikeouts, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Angel Stadium.

,Yordan Alvarez has been hot of late, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 94.5-mph to 98-mph over the last two weeks.

,Posting a .280 Expected Batting Average (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) using Statcast data) since the start of last season , Jake Meyers has performed in the 86th percentile.

,As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Zach Neto ranks in the 86th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

,Zach Neto’s launch angle this season (22.5°) is quite a bit higher than his 17.7° figure last season.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jose Siri in the 80th percentile when assessing his BABIP ability.

,Jose Siri and his 35.2° launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls rank in 99th percentile, among the highest in the majors since the start of last season.

,As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Isaac Paredes ranks in the 82nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

,Sporting a .356 wOBA (a leading indicator of offensive ability) this year, Christian Walker grades out in the 82nd percentile.

,Throwing 94.9 adjusted pitches per outing this year on average, Peter Lambert falls in the 89th percentile.

,The Los Angeles Angels have 5 bats in their projected batting order today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (per the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Zach Neto, Logan O’Hoppe, Jose Siri, Denzer Guzman, Mike Trout).

,In his previous GS, Peter Lambert was on point and notched 8 strikeouts.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Cam Smith in the 78th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill.

,Peter Lambert’s high usage rate of his secondary pitches (61.6% this year) figures to work in his favor considering they are generally much more effective than fastballs.

Negatives with the Los Angeles Angels Series Game 3 Game Today

Cam Smith is penciled in 8th in the lineup in this matchup.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Angel Stadium as the 2nd-worst stadium in the majors for run-scoring.

,Cam Smith will be at a disadvantage playing away from home today.

,Over the last week, Cam Smith’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 12.9% down to 0%.

,Cam Smith’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has decreased of late, falling from 14.9% on the season to 0% over the past week.

,Playing on the road typically lessens hitter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Jake Meyers in today’s matchup.

,Jake Meyers has struggled with his Barrel% lately; his 7.4% seasonal rate has dropped off to 0% over the last two weeks.

,Jake Meyers’s exit velocity on flyballs has decreased recently; his 86.6-mph seasonal mark has fallen off to 82.2-mph in the past two weeks’ worth of games.

,In the past week, Jake Meyers’s 0% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 14.7%.

,Logan O’Hoppe is projected to hit 9th in the lineup today.

,Peter Lambert will have the handedness advantage over Logan O’Hoppe today.

,Logan O’Hoppe’s average exit velocity has fallen off this year; his 91.1-mph EV last season has fallen to 86.5-mph.

,In notching a .266 wOBA (a leading indicator of offensive ability) since the start of last season, Logan O’Hoppe finds himself in the 5th percentile.

,Sporting a .264 Slugging Percentage (SLG) this year, Logan O’Hoppe has performed in the 5th percentile.

,Logan O’Hoppe, the Angels’s expected catcher today, profiles as a weak pitch framer according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

,The Houston Astros have 8 hitters in the projected batting order that will have the handedness advantage against Reid Detmers in today’s game.

,Reid Detmers’s 2161-rpm fastball spin rate this year ranks in the 13th percentile out of all SPs.

,Peter Lambert will hold the platoon advantage over Jo Adell today.

,The Houston Astros outfield defense grades out as the 4th-best among all the teams on the slate today.

,Jo Adell’s exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off this year; his 97.3-mph mark last season has decreased to 94.8-mph.

,Jo Adell’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has dropped off from last year to this one, going from 16.2% to 12.2%.

,Jo Adell’s ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has declined recently, falling from 44.4% on the season to 34.4% over the past 14 days.

,When assessing his home run talent, Nolan Schanuel ranks in the 6th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Based on Statcast metrics, Nolan Schanuel is in the 19th percentile for power according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Home Runs per 600 plate appearances since the start of last season at 11.600.

,This year, Nolan Schanuel’s 3.1% Barrel%, a reliable stat for measuring power, places him in the 12th percentile among his peers.

,Oswald Peraza is penciled in 6th in the lineup in today’s game.

,Batting from the same side that Peter Lambert throws from, Oswald Peraza meets a tough challenge in today’s matchup.

,Compared to his seasonal mark of 11.5°, Oswald Peraza has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (-2.5°) over the last 14 days.

,Brice Matthews’s batting average talent is projected to be in the 15th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Brice Matthews is projected to bat 7th in the batting order today.

,Playing on the road generally reduces batter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Brice Matthews in today’s game.

,Brice Matthews has recorded a .260 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) this year, grading out in the 11th percentile.

,Denzer Guzman is projected to hit 7th on the lineup card in this matchup.

,Hitting from the same side that Peter Lambert throws from, Denzer Guzman will be at a disadvantage in today’s game.

,Denzer Guzman has had some very good luck with with his wOBA since the start of last season; his .242 rate is considerably higher than his .188 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

,Christian Walker pulls many of his flyballs (33.6% — 75th percentile) and will be challenged by the league’s 11th-deepest LF fences today.

,Christian Walker will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today’s matchup.

,Over the last 7 days, Christian Walker’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 12.4% down to 0%.

,Christian Walker’s exit velocity on flyballs has declined lately; his 92.6-mph seasonal figure has fallen to 84.2-mph over the last 7 days.

,Christian Walker’s launch angle of late (-7.3° over the past week) is significantly lower than his 14.4° seasonal mark.

,Jeremy Pena pulls a lot of his flyballs (33.6% — 75th percentile) and will be challenged by the league’s 11th-deepest LF fences in today’s game.

,Playing on the road typically weakens hitter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Jeremy Pena in today’s game.

,Jeremy Pena’s exit velocity on flyballs has decreased this year; his 91.4-mph EV last year has dropped to 86.5-mph.

,Over the past week, Jeremy Pena’s 0% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 14.6%.

,14% of the time that Wade Meckler has started against a right-handed starter this year, he has been lifted for a pinch-hitter.

,The standard deviation of Wade Meckler’s launch angle has been very inconsistent lately (14.1° in the last 7 days), which is an indicator of poor bat control and not seeing the ball well.

,Peter Lambert will have the handedness advantage against Mike Trout in today’s game.

,Since the start of last season, the hardest ball Denzer Guzman has made contact with reached a maximum exit velocity of 106.2 mph (an advanced standard to assess power), checking in at the 18th percentile.

,As it relates to plate discipline, Denzer Guzman’s ability is quite weak, posting a 23.41 K/BB rate since the start of last season while ranking in in the 3rd percentile.

,Jose Altuve is projected to hit 6th in the batting order in this game, which would be a downgrade from his 100% rate of hitting in the top-half of the lineup this season.

,Today, Jose Altuve is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 11th-deepest LF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the pull field at a 42% rate (99th percentile).

,Jose Altuve will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today’s matchup.

,Jose Altuve’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has decreased from last year to this one, falling from 14.6% to 10.7%.

,In notching a 9.500 Expected Home Runs per 600 plate appearances (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) using Statcast data) since the start of last season , Jake Meyers grades out in the 15th percentile for power.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Christian Vazquez in the 9th percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill.

,Christian Vazquez is projected to bat 9th on the lineup card in today’s game.

,Christian Vazquez will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today’s game.

,Christian Vazquez has been cold recently, with his seasonal exit velocity of 85.9-mph dropping to 81.3-mph over the past 14 days.

,Christian Vazquez has been cold of late, putting up a 0% Barrel% (a reliable stat to evaluate power) over the past 14 days.

,With a .284 Expected wOBA (or xwOBA, an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) based on Statcast data) since the start of last season, Jose Altuve is ranked in the 13th percentile for hitting ability.

,From last season to this one, Logan O’Hoppe’s ability to hit the ball at a launch angle that optimizes BABIP (-4° to 26°) has decreased substantially, plummeting from 50.8% to 33.3%.

,Sporting a .166 Expected Batting Average (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) utilizing Statcast data) since the start of last season , Brice Matthews finds himself in the 9th percentile.

,Peter Lambert will have the handedness advantage against Zach Neto in today’s matchup.

,Zach Neto pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (38.8% — 95th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of baseball’s 11th-deepest LF fences in today’s game.

,Compared to his seasonal figure of 18.6°, Jo Adell has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (4.3°) in the past two weeks.

,Sporting an 8.36 K/BB rate this year, Jo Adell has displayed poor plate discipline, placing in the 1st percentile.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Isaac Paredes in the 2nd percentile when estimating his BABIP talent.

,Isaac Paredes pulls many of his flyballs (47.6% — 100th percentile) and will have to hit them out towards MLB’s 11th-deepest LF fences in today’s game.

,Playing on the road generally lessens batter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Isaac Paredes in today’s matchup.

,Isaac Paredes has been cold in recent games, with his seasonal exit velocity of 87.1-mph dropping to 84.5-mph over the past two weeks.

,Isaac Paredes has notched a .226 Expected Batting Average since the start of last season, grading out in the 20th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

,Jose Siri is penciled in 8th in the batting order in this matchup.

,Since the start of last season, Jose Siri has been lifted for a pinch-hitter in 12% of his appearances when starting against right-handed pitcher.

,Batting from the same side that Peter Lambert throws from, Jose Siri encounters a tough challenge in today’s game.

,As it relates to his batting average, Jeremy Pena has been lucky since the start of last season. His .303 mark has been inflated compared to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .278.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Wade Meckler in the 6th percentile when assessing his home run talent.

,Wade Meckler’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has dropped off lately, going from 23.5% on the season to 10% over the last 7 days.

,Wade Meckler has exhibited some bad exit velocity statistics of late, averaging just 100-mph on the top 5% of his batted balls over the last 7 days.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Christian Vazquez in the 4th percentile when assessing his BABIP talent.

,Nolan Schanuel’s maximum exit velocity (an advanced standard to study power) has been 106.6 mph this year, ranking in the 10th percentile.

,Nolan Schanuel has hit 9.3 home runs per 600 plate appearances this year, placing in the 23rd percentile for power.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Oswald Peraza’s true offensive ability to be a .294, suggesting that he has been lucky this year given the .042 deviation between that mark and his actual .336 wOBA.

,Oswald Peraza has compiled a .246 Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season, placing in the 17th percentile for offensive skills according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

,Reid Detmers will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Yordan Alvarez in today’s game.

,Yordan Alvarez will be at a disadvantage playing away from home today.

,Yordan Alvarez has been lucky this year, compiling a .448 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .419 — a .029 difference.

,The Houston Astros (20.7 K% (via the leading projection system, THE BAT X) project to have the 3rd-least strikeout-heavy group of hitters of all teams on the slate today.

,Utilizing Statcast data, Jose Siri ranks in the 6th percentile for offensive ability according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season at .204.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Christian Walker in the 11th percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability.

,With a 4.55 K/BB rate this year, Brice Matthews has displayed weak plate discipline, grading out in the 10th percentile.

,Because of his reverse platoon split, Peter Lambert will have a disadvantage being matched up with 7 hitters in the projected offense who share his handedness today.

,Playing on the road generally weakens pitcher stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Peter Lambert today.

,Given the 0.59 gap between Peter Lambert’s 8.35 K/9 and his 7.76 estimated true talent K/9 (via the leading projection system, THE BAT), it’s safe to say he’s been one of the most fortunate pitchers in the game this year as it relates to strikeouts and should see negative regression going forward.

,Reid Detmers has experienced some negative variance in regards to his ERA this year; his 4.26 mark is quite a bit higher than his 3.01 FIP (Fielding Independent Pitching, an estimator of ERA that focuses on the things a pitcher has the most control over).

,Considering the 1.15 discrepancy between Peter Lambert’s 3.55 ERA and his 4.70 estimated true talent ERA (per the leading projection system, THE BAT), it’s safe to say he’s been one of the luckiest pitchers in MLB this year and should perform worse in future games.

,Grading out in the 12th percentile, Peter Lambert has put up a 1.77 K/BB rate this year.

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