SMU at EAST CAROLINA (Thursday, October 12)… Mustangs have failed to cover first two on road this season, now 0–3 vs. line away since late 2022, also on 6-1 under run since late last season. Tech edge-slight to ECU and under, based on team and totals trends.
WEST VIRGINIA at HOUSTON (Thursday, October 12)… Neal Brown and Mounties have won last four outright and covered last three this season. Also 9-5 under since early 2022. Cougs only 2-8 vs. spread last ten inside city limits of Houston. Tech edge-West Virginia and slight to under, based on team and totals trends.
TULANE at MEMPHIS (Friday, October 13) … Wave has covered last three meetings. Tulane 2-3 vs. spread this season but 14-5 since a year ago. Tigers just 1-3-1 vs. spread to start 2023. Tech edge-Tulane, based on team trends.
STANFORD at COLORADO (Friday, October 13)… Cardinal 4-20-1 vs. spread since early 2021 (2-3 this season for Troy Taylor). Stanford 0-9 vs. spread last nine on Pac-12 road (last win end of 2020 pandemic season on Dec. 19 at UCLA).Colorado 1-2 as chalk for Deion. Tech edge-slight to Colorado, based on extended Stanford negatives.
FRESNO STATE at UTAH STATE (Friday, October 13)… Bulldogs 14-1 SU since mid 2022 and 10-5 vs. line in those games. Despite CSU win, Utags 6-12 vs. spread since 2022. Tech edge-Fresno, based on team trends.
KENT STATE at EASTERN MICHIGAN… Golden Flashes 6-1 over since late 2022. Eagles just3-8 vs. line at Ypsilanti since early 2022 (though did win and cover vs.B ball State last week. Tech edge-slight to Kent State and over, based on team and totals trends.
ILLINOIS at MARYLAND...After Nebraska loss, Illini 0-6 vs. spread this season, no covers last seven since late 2022. Even after Ohio State loss, Terps 6-3 vs. spread since late 2022. Tech edge- Maryland, based on recent trends.
NC STATE at DUKE… Even after narrow cover last Saturday vs. Marshall, Wolfpack only 4-12 vs. spread since early 2022 (1-4 this season). Blue Devils 12-6 vs. spread for Mike Elko since his debut last year. Tech edge- Duke, based on team trends.
TEXAS A&M at TENNESSEE… Teams haven’t met since 2020. Jimbo Fisher 1-6 vs. spread last seven as visitor. Vols have covered last five at Neyland Stadium vs. FBS-level foes. Tech edge-Tennessee, based on team trends.
SYRACUSE at FLORIDA STATE..Road team has covered last two years in series. Cuse however just 1-5 vs.. spread last five as ACC visitor after UNC loss last week. Noles didn’t cover last week either (vs GT) but still 7-3 vs. spread in reg season since mid 2022, also on 7-1 over run. Tech edge-Florida State, based on team trends.
MISSOURI at KENTUCKY… Cats have won and covered last two years after Eli Drinkwitz outfoxed Mark Stoops in 2020 at Columbia. Tigers 5-1 vs. spread last six away, also 8-1 over reg season since late 2022. Cats 6-1 vs. spread last seven at Lexington vs. FBS-level foes. Tech edge-slight to Missouri and over, based on team and totals trends.
INDIANA at MICHIGAN… Hoosiers have beaten Wolverines outright as recently as 2020 and home team has covered each of the last two years. But IU on 9-20 spread downturn since late 2020. Note Harbaugh is 16-4-1 vs. line last 20 Big Ten games, also on 13-7-1 under run. Tech edge-Michigan and under, based on team and totals trends.
WAKE FOREST at VIRGINIA TECH… Teams haven’t met since 2020 Covid season (Deacs win 23-16). Even after Clemson cover, Wake on 3-7 spread skid in reg season, also on 10-3-1 under run. Hokies have covered last two in 2023 and are under 10-7 for Brent Pry since last season. Tech edge- Under, based on totals trends.
FLORIDA at SOUTH CAROLINA… Home team has won and covered handily the last three meetings. Even after Vandy win, Gators on 2-5 spread downturn since late last season. Gamecocks 5-1 vs. spread last six at Williams-Brice. Tech edge-South Carolina, based on team trends.
MICHIGAN STATE at RUTGERS… Road team has covered all three meetings since Greg Schiano arrived at Rutgers for his second stint in 2020. Though Spartans just 2-6-2 vs. spread in Big Ten games since early 2022. Tech edge-Rutgers, based on team trends.
LOUISVILLE at PITTSBURGH… Cards won and covered this game 24-10 last year at home. ‘Ville 6-0 SU but only 3-3 vs. spread in 2023. Panthers really struggling, no wins or covers last four this season. Pitt a surprising 8-1 over since late 2022. Tech edge-“Over” and Louisville, based on totals and recent trends.
UMASS at PENN STATE… Minutemen 5-8 vs. spread since mid 2022, also over 7-1 since late 2022. James Franklin 12-0 SU, 11-0-1 vs. line since mid 2022. Nittany Lions also 12-6 over since last season. Tech edge-Penn State and over, based on team and totals trends
TROY at ARMY… Trojans were 11-3 vs. line last season for Jon Sumrall in his debut and now 2-4 vs. spread in 2023, though the covers have happened in last two games. West Point has covered last four of last five at Michie, also covers last five as dog. Tech edge-slight to Army, based on team trends.
IOWA STATE at CINCINNATI… Cyclones no covers last four or five of last six on road. Bearcats however on 5-13 spread skid since late 2021. ISU on 11-3 under run since early 2022. Tech edge-slight to under, based on totals trends.
MIAMI-FLA at NORTH CAROLINA… Mack Brown 4-0 SU, 3-1 vs. line against Canes since returning to Chapel Hill in 2019. UNC 4-1 vs. line in 2023, Miami 3-2 after Ga tech debacle, after Canes were 2-10 vs. line a year ago. Tech edge-North Carolina, based on series trends..
NAVY at CHARLOTTE … Mids only 1-4 vs. line for Brian Newberry, but Navy has covered its last seven as a visitor. Biff Poggi’s 49ers haven’t been closer than 16 points vs. any FBS entry this season. Tech edge-Navy, based on extended trends.
FLORIDA ATLANTIC at SOUTH FLORIDA… Tom Herman 1-1 as dog for FAU after solid marks in role at Houston and Texas in prior years (17-7 between 2015-20). Bulls were working on three straight covers for Alex Golesh prior to UAB loss. Tech edge-slight to Florida Atlantic, based on extended Tom Herman as dog marks.
MARSHALL at GEORGIA STATE… Herd had covered five straight away from Huntington prior to narrow spread L at NC State last week. Marshall also “under” 12-6 since last season despite the high-scoring affair in Raleigh. Panthers 1-3 vs. spread last four in Atlanta. Tech edge-Marshall and slight to “under,” based on team and “totals” trends.
GEORGIA SOUTHERN at JAMES MADISON… Eagles won this meeting outright as a 13-point dog last season. GSU 3-0-2 vs line this term, also on 7-2 under run since late 2022. Dukes 5-0 SU and have covered last three this season. Tech edge-slight to under, based on totals trends.
TOLEDO at BALL STATE… Visiting team has covered last three meetings. Rockets though on surprising 3-10 spread downturn since mid 2022. Cards however no covers last four hosting FBS-level teams. Tech edge-Toledo, based on series trends.
BOWLING GREEN at BUFFALO… Road team has won and covered last three meetings. After dropping 9 of 13 vs. spread, Falcs have made slight improvement, covering three of last five this season. Bulls under last two but on 8-4 over run since mid 2022. Tech edge-slight to over, based on totals trends.
AKRON at CENTRAL MICHIGAN… Zips covered this one at home last season though lost outright. Akron has also covered five of last six on road for Joe Moorhead. Chips have landed over 4-1 last five and 8-3 last 11 games. Tech edge-Over and slight to Akron, based on totals and team trends.
OHIO STATE at PURDUE… Last meeting 2021, Buckeyes win and cover 59-31. OSU surprisingly just 3-6-1 vs. points last ten reg season games. Bucks were also 12-3 over into this season (but 4-1 under thus far). Ryan Walters 2-4 SU and vs. line in Purdue debut. Tech edge-Over, based on totals trends.
MIAMI-OHIO at WESTERN MICHIGAN… Broncos won and covered this game as a road dog last season. RedHawks have won and covered last five this term. Miami on 10-6 over run despite last week’s under vs. Bowling Green. Tech edge-Miami-Ohio and slight to over, based on recent and totals trends.
OHIO at NORTHERN ILLINOIS… Bobcats have covered last three this season, now on 11-3-1 spread uptick for Tim Albin. Ohio also on 7-2 “under” run. Huskies 5-2 as dog since last season for Hammock, also “over’ 12-5 since last season. Tech edge-slight to Ohio, based on team trends.
CALIFORNIA at UTAH… First meeting since 2019 (Utes 35-0). Justin Wilcox 29-13 as dog for Golden Bears since arriving in 2017. Utah, however, is 7-2 vs. spread last nine at Salt Lake City, also under first five in 2023. Tech edge-slight to Cal and under, based on extended and totals trends.
SAN JOSE STATE at NEW MEXICO… Overscheduled Spartans on 8-2 over run. SJSU is also 6-4 vs. line as visitor since mid 2021. New-look Lobos have covered 3 of last 4 and are over 4-1 this season. Tech edge-Over, based on totals trends.
WYOMING at AIR FORCE… Revenge for Falcs after loss at Laramie last season. Home team has covered last four meetings. Force now has won last 10 outright, 5-2 vs. spread last seven. Craig Bohl however on 7-2 run as dog for Cowboys. Tech edge-Air Force, based on recent and series trends.
BOISE STATE at COLORADO STATE… Broncos have won and covered last three meetings. Boise however 0-4-1 vs. spread last five away from blue carpet. Rams have covered two of last three this season vs. FBS foes, though off of a bitter loss at Utah State when blowing a big early lead. Tech edge-slight to Colorado State, based on recent trends.
UNLV at NEVADA… Wolf Pack working on 15-game SU losing streak, but Pack has covered last three this season. Nevada also 8-3-1 under since mid 2022. Pack has also covered last three Fremont Cannon meetings, but Rebs are hot with five covers in a row to start this season for Barry Odom. Tech edge-slight to UNLV and under, based on team and totals trends.
OREGON at WASHINGTON… Huskies pulled the upset 37-34 at Eugene last season. Though Ducks 5-0 vs. spread in 2023. Meanwhile, U-Dub 7-3 vs. spread at Seattle for Kalen DeBoer since a year ago. Oregon surprising 8-2 under since mid 2022. Tech edge-slight to under, based on totals trends.
UCLA at OREGON STATE… Teams haven’t played since 2019 (OSU 48-31 at Rose Bowl). Bruins over 10-3 a year ago but under 4-1 in 2023. Beavers 15-1 vs. spread since 2021 as host at either Corvallis or Portland. Tech edge-Oregon State, based on team trends.
ARIZONA at WASHINGTON STATE… Cougs have won and covered big the past two seasons. WSU 11-4 vs. spread vs. FBS-level foes since 2022. Cats on 8-2 under run. Tech edge-Washington State and under, based on team and totals trends.
UAB at UTSA… Dog side has covered last three in series, and Blazers have covered last two on road. Roadrunners no covers last five since late 2022, 5-9 as chalk since early 2021. Tech edge-slight to UAB, based on team trends.
UL MONROE at TEXAS STATE… Bobcats have won and covered last three meetings. Texas State also now 4-2 SU and vs. line in 2023 for GJ Kinne. Warhawks 2-6 last eight vs. spread on road. Tech edge-Texas State, based on recent trends.
BYU at TCU…Cougs on 7-14 spread skid since late 2021. Also on 14-6 “over” run. Frogs 3-6 vs. line since late 2022, and “under” last four in 2023. Tech edge-slight to “under,” based on “totals” trends.
AUBURN at LSU… Auburn has surprisingly covered last four meetings. Hugh Freeze 1-1 as dog this season. LSU 7-2 vs. spread last nine at Baton Rouge. Last five in series under though LSU on 13-1 over run since early 2022. Tech edge-Over and slight to Auburn, based on totals and series trends.
IOWA at WISCONSIN… Home side has rolled to wins and covers last three in series. Kirk Ferentz middling 6-5-1 since 2021 as dog. Hawkeyes under 14-6 since last year, and last three under in series. Tech edge-Wisconsin and under, based on team and totals trends.
ARKANSAS at ALABAMA... Last Arkansas win in this series was against Mike Shula’s Bama in 2006. Last two meetings have sailed over and Razorbacks on 11-4 over run. Nick Saban 6-2 over since late 2022. Tech edge-Over, based on totals trends.
TEMPLE at NORTH TEXAS… After loss to UTSA, Owls yet to cover this season (0-5-1), Mean Green now on 8-2 over run since late 2022. Tech edge-North Texas and over, based on recent and totals trends.
GEORGIA at VANDERBILT… Kirby Smart has crucified the Dores since losing his first game against them in 2016; 233-33 scoreline in the five wins and covers since (Vandy spared a loss in 2020 by Covid), and last two years it’s been a combined 117-0! Dawgs just got first cover of 2023 vs. UK after five straight Ls to begin season, but Dores now 0-7 vs. line this season, and eight straight Ls since end of 2022. Tech edge-Georgia, based on series trends.
KANSAS at OKLAHOMA STATE… Prior to Jayhawks rolling up a 37-16 scoreline last year, Mike Gundy was unbeaten vs. line previous seven in series (5-0-2) and had not lost outright to KU since 2007. OSU has dropped 8 of last 11 vs. line since mid 2022 and now on 10-1 under run. After win over UCF last week, Lance Leipold on 7-1-1 spread run at Lawrence with Jayhawks vs. FBS-level foes. KU also on 9-3-1 over run over after beating Golden Knights. Tech edge-Kansas, based on team trends.
KANSAS STATE at TEXAS TECH… Chris Klieman 4-0 SU, 3-0-1 vs. line against Red Raiders since arriving at K-State in 2019. Wildcats also 6-1-1 vs. spread immediately after their last eight losses. Tech has won and covered three of last four this season and under 4-1 last five. Tech edge-Kansas State and slight to under, based on series and totals trends.
SAN DIEGO STATE at HAWAII… Last four and five of last six have been under in this series. After 11-3 spread run, Rainbow Warriors have dropped last three vs. number. Tech edge-Under” based on totals trends.
USC at NOTRE DAME… Irish have won four of last five and five of last seven in storied series. Domers have beaten Trojans five straight at South Bend. SC just 2-6 vs. spread after latest close call vs. Arizona. Trojans also now on 13-1 over run after Arizona game. Tech edge-Over and Notre Dame, based on totals and series trends.