Matchup Details

Positive Match Player Stats for Yankees vs Orioles Matchup Today

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jordan Westburg in the 91st percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent.

Oriole Park at Camden Yards profiles as the #6 venue in Major League Baseball for right-handed batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Among all the teams on the slate today, the 2nd-worst outfield defense is that of the New York Yankees.

Home field advantage generally improves batter metrics in all categories, and Jordan Westburg will hold that advantage today.

As it relates to his batting average, Jordan Westburg has experienced some negative variance since the start of last season. His .256 figure falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .300.

Compared to his seasonal average of 15.1°, Jordan Westburg has significantly improved his launch angle lately, posting a 20.7° angle in the last 14 days.

Jordan Westburg has been hot in recent games, compiling a an 18.2% Barrel% (an advanced stat to measure power) over the past week.

Jordan Westburg has experienced some negative variance in regards to his home runs since the start of last season; his 24.2 HR per 600 plate appearances rate is a good deal lower than his 29.7 Expected HR/600, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

Anthony Volpe hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39% — 88th percentile) and is fortunate to face MLB’s 4th-shallowest CF fences today.

Anthony Volpe has made substantial improvements with his Barrel%, improving his 4% rate last season to 12.5% this season.

In terms of his batting average, Anthony Volpe has been unlucky since the start of last season. His .238 mark falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .253.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Heston Kjerstad in the 89th percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Oriole Park at Camden Yards as the 6th-best park in the majors for LHB batting average.

Heston Kjerstad will hold the platoon advantage against Will Warren in today’s game.

Home field advantage typically improves batter metrics across the board, and Heston Kjerstad will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

Heston Kjerstad’s launch angle in recent games (24.5° over the last 7 days) is a considerable increase over his 20° seasonal figure.

Power-wise, Heston Kjerstad finds himself in the 81st percentile, having averaged 22.9 long-balls per 600 plate appearances since the start of last season.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ben Rice in the 94th percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill.

Ben Rice is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in this game.

In Major League Baseball, Oriole Park at Camden Yards’s RF fences are the shallowest.

Ben Rice will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Tomoyuki Sugano in today’s game.

Ben Rice has made sizeable improvements with his Barrel%, upping his 15.6% rate last season to 22.8% this season.

Will Warren’s 2518-rpm fastball spin rate this year ranks in the 96th percentile among all starting pitchers.

Will Warren has notched a 23.9% K% since the start of last season, checking in at the 76th percentile.

The 5th-best projected offense on the slate in terms of overall offensive ability is that of the the Baltimore Orioles.

It may be sensible to expect stronger performance for the Baltimore Orioles offense going forward, considering that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) views them as the 5th-unluckiest offense in baseball this year.

Jackson Holliday’s BABIP ability is projected in the 93rd percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Batting from the opposite that Will Warren throws from, Jackson Holliday will have an advantage today.

Jackson Holliday will hold the home field advantage today, which should boost all of his stats.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), the projected batting order for the New York Yankees today owns an estimated true talent wOBA of .335, which is a fair amount worse than their actual wOBA of .347 this year.

The New York Yankees have been the 2nd-luckiest offense in the majors this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to hit worse in future games,Tomoyuki Sugano is an extreme groundball pitcher (42.8% GB% per the leading projection system, THE BAT), which should make him somewhat immune to the dangers of pitching in Oriole Park at Camden Yards — the #8 HR venue in the league — in this matchup.

The 12.4% Barrel% of the New York Yankees grades them out as the #1 team in Major League Baseball this year by this standard.

The New York Yankees (24.3% K% (per the leading projection system, THE BAT X) project to have the 3rd-most strikeout-heavy set of batters of all teams today.

Tomoyuki Sugano will benefit from the home field advantage in today’s game, which should improve all of his stats in all categories.

Contrary to popular belief, fastballs are typically a pitcher’s least effective pitch. Tomoyuki Sugano must realize this, because he has used his off-speed and breaking balls a lot this year: 70.9% of the time, ranking in the 97th percentile.

Ramon Urias hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.9% — 87th percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting out towards baseball’s 4th-shallowest CF fences in today’s game.

Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter stats across the board, and Ramon Urias will hold that advantage in today’s game.

Checking in at the 75th percentile, Ramon Urias has put up a .333 wOBA (widely regarded as the top indicator of overall offense) since the start of last season.

Cedric Mullins is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card in this matchup.

Cedric Mullins will have the handedness advantage against Will Warren in today’s game.

Cedric Mullins pulls a lot of his flyballs (36.2% — 92nd percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting them towards the league’s shallowest RF fences in today’s game.

As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Cedric Mullins ranks in the 78th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter metrics across the board, and Cedric Mullins will hold that advantage today.

Ryan O’Hearn’s batting average ability is projected to be in the 94th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Ryan O’Hearn is projected to bat 4th in the batting order today.

Ryan O’Hearn will have the handedness advantage against Will Warren in today’s game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ryan O’Hearn in the 91st percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent.

Ryan O’Hearn will hold the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which figures to boost all of his stats.

Over the past two weeks, Ryan O’Hearn’s exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 93.9-mph over the course of the season to 103.4-mph in recent games.

Cody Bellinger is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in today’s game.

Batting from the opposite that Tomoyuki Sugano throws from, Cody Bellinger will have the upper hand in today’s matchup.

Cody Bellinger pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (33.6% — 77th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting them towards MLB’s shallowest RF fences in today’s game.

Extreme flyball bats like Cody Bellinger tend to perform better against extreme groundball pitchers like Tomoyuki Sugano.

Cody Bellinger has seen a big improvement in his exit velocity this year; just compare his 90.5-mph average to last year’s 87.8-mph figure.

Ramon Laureano is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in this matchup, which would be an upgrade from his 88% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this year.

Ramon Laureano will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today’s game, which should bolster all of his stats.

Ramon Laureano has been hot recently, posting a a 26.7% Barrel% (a reliable stat to assess power) over the past two weeks.

As it relates to his home run ability, Ramon Laureano ranks in the 83rd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Ramon Laureano has averaged 27.0 Expected Home Runs per 600 plate appearances since the start of last season, checking in at the 87th percentile for power according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

Trent Grisham is projected to bat 1st in the batting order in this matchup, which would be an upgrade from his 86% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this year.

Batting from the opposite that Tomoyuki Sugano throws from, Trent Grisham will have the upper hand today.

Trent Grisham has made significant improvements with his Barrel% recently, upping his 17.1% seasonal rate to 23.5% over the past two weeks.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Trent Grisham in the 95th percentile when estimating his home run talent.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Paul Goldschmidt in the 82nd percentile as it relates to his BABIP skill.

Paul Goldschmidt is penciled in 4th in the lineup in today’s game.

Paul Goldschmidt has seen a big improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs lately; just compare his 99.3-mph average over the last 7 days to his seasonal mark of 93.1-mph.

Paul Goldschmidt’s average launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls this year (20.3°) is significantly better than his 15.5° mark last year.

As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Paul Goldschmidt ranks in the 81st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

When it comes to his home run talent, Jazz Chisholm Jr. ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Batting from the opposite that Tomoyuki Sugano throws from, Jazz Chisholm Jr. will have an edge in today’s game.

Jazz Chisholm Jr. pulls many of his flyballs (34.4% — 84th percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting them towards MLB’s shallowest RF fences today.

Jazz Chisholm Jr. has made sizeable strides with his Barrel%, bettering his 10% rate last season to 16.7% this year.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jazz Chisholm Jr. in the 90th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill.

Jazz Chisholm Jr.’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased from last year to this one, rising from 15.3% to 31.7%.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Aaron Judge ranks as the best hitter in MLB.

Aaron Judge is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup in today’s game.

Aaron Judge hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.1% — 89th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting towards the league’s 4th-shallowest CF fences today.

Extreme groundball batters like Aaron Judge usually hit better against extreme flyball pitchers like Tomoyuki Sugano.

In the last 7 days, Aaron Judge’s exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 97.8-mph over the course of the season to 110.2-mph in recent games.

Batting from the opposite that Tomoyuki Sugano throws from, Austin Wells will have an edge today.

Extreme groundball hitters like Austin Wells tend to perform better against extreme flyball pitchers like Tomoyuki Sugano.

Austin Wells has made notable strides with his Barrel% lately, improving his 10.5% seasonal rate to 16% in the last two weeks.

Austin Wells’s launch angle this season (22.9°) is quite a bit better than his 16.9° angle last year.

When assessing his home run talent, Austin Wells ranks in the 84th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

As a switch-hitter who is best from the 0 side of the plate, Oswaldo Cabrera will have the advantage of batting from from his better side against Tomoyuki Sugano in this game.

Oswaldo Cabrera hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.3% — 92nd percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting out towards the league’s 4th-shallowest CF fences today.

In the last 7 days, Oswaldo Cabrera’s exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 84.9-mph over the course of the season to 86.9-mph in recent games.

Compared to last season, Oswaldo Cabrera has improved his ability to hit the ball at a launch angle ideal for base hits, increasing his percentage of balls hit between -4° and 26° from 43.5% to 55.3% this season.

When assessing his overall offensive ability, Adley Rutschman ranks in the 89th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Adley Rutschman is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in today’s game.

Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter stats across the board, and Adley Rutschman will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

Adley Rutschman’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased from last season to this one, rising from 15.8% to 19.7%.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Gunnar Henderson ranks as the 17th-best hitter in the game.

Gunnar Henderson is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order today.

Gunnar Henderson will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Will Warren in today’s matchup.

Gunnar Henderson will hold the home field advantage today, which ought to boost all of his stats.

Gunnar Henderson has seen a big gain in his exit velocity this year; just compare his 96.6-mph average to last year’s 92.7-mph figure.

Negative Match Player Stats with Yankees vs Orioles

Jordan Westburg is projected to hit 7th on the lineup card today, which would be a downgrade from his 78% rate of hitting in the top-half of the lineup this season.

The 3rd-deepest left field dimensions among all stadiums are found in Oriole Park at Camden Yards.

This matchup is predicted to have the 11th-most suitable conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today.

Batting from the same side that Will Warren throws from, Jordan Westburg will have a disadvantage in today’s matchup.

Jordan Westburg’s exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off of late; his 93.9-mph seasonal mark has dropped to 89.9-mph in the last two weeks’ worth of games.

Anthony Volpe is penciled in 7th on the lineup card today.

Hitting from the same side that Tomoyuki Sugano throws from, Anthony Volpe will not have the upper hand today.

Out of all the teams in action today, the 3rd-strongest infield defense is that of the the Baltimore Orioles.

Anthony Volpe will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today’s game.

Anthony Volpe has negatively regressed with his Barrel% recently; his 12.5% seasonal rate has fallen off to 0% in the last 7 days.

Heston Kjerstad is projected to hit 6th on the lineup card in this game.

Heston Kjerstad has a 93rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.5%) and will be challenged by MLB’s 3rd-deepest LF fences in today’s matchup.

In the last week’s worth of games, Heston Kjerstad’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 14.3% down to 0%.

Heston Kjerstad has been cold lately, with his seasonal exit velocity of 91-mph dropping to 83-mph in the past week.

Playing on the road generally weakens hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Ben Rice today.

Ben Rice’s ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has declined of late, falling from 45.6% on the season to 20% in the last week.

Ben Rice has been lucky this year, compiling a .416 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .345 — a .071 deviation.

Ben Rice’s launch angle of late (3.5° in the past 14 days) is significantly lower than his 6.9° seasonal mark.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Will Warren to throw 85 pitches today (least on the slate), considering both his underlying tendencies and the matchup.

With 6 batters of the opposite hand in the opposing team’s projected offense, Will Warren has a tough challenge while lacking the platoon advantage in most plate appearances in today’s outing.

Playing on the road typically weakens pitcher stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Will Warren today.

With a 2.08 gap between Will Warren’s 10.38 K/9 and his 8.30 estimated true talent K/9 (via the leading projection system, THE BAT), it’s safe to say he’s been one of the luckiest pitchers in baseball since the start of last season as it relates to strikeouts and figures to perform worse in future games.

The #1 stadium in baseball for suppressing walks, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oriole Park at Camden Yards.

Will Warren is an extreme groundball pitcher (46.1% GB% according to the leading projection system, THE BAT), which should make him somewhat immune to the dangers of pitching in Oriole Park at Camden Yards — the #8 HR venue among all major league stadiums — in this matchup.

Will Warren performed well in his previous GS and conceded 2 ER.

Jackson Holliday is projected to bat 8th in the batting order in this matchup.

In today’s game, Jackson Holliday is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 3rd-deepest LF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the opposite field at a 37.4% rate (93rd percentile).

Extreme groundball bats like Jackson Holliday are generally less successful against extreme groundball pitchers like Will Warren.

Jackson Holliday has negatively regressed with his Barrel% in recent games; his 6.4% seasonal rate has dropped to 0% over the last 7 days.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT)’s evaluation, Tomoyuki Sugano’s overall pitching ability is in the 1st percentile out of all SPs in baseball currently.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Tomoyuki Sugano to throw 85 pitches in this game (2nd-least on the slate), considering both his underlying tendencies and the matchup.

Considering that groundball batters have a notable advantage over flyball pitchers, Tomoyuki Sugano and his 42.8% underlying GB% (according to the leading projection system, THE BAT) will be in a difficult spot in today’s matchup being matched up with 0 opposing GB hitters.

Tomoyuki Sugano has put up a .226 BABIP this year, a sign that he has been one of the luckiest pitchers in the game on balls in play and regression likely forthcoming.

When estimating his strikeout talent, the leading projection system (THE BAT) places Tomoyuki Sugano in the 1st percentile among all starting pitchers in the game.

In his last outing, Tomoyuki Sugano struggled when it came to striking hitters out and was only able to post 1 Ks.

Ramon Urias is penciled in 9th in the lineup in this game.

Batting from the same side that Will Warren throws from, Ramon Urias faces a tough challenge in today’s matchup.

Ramon Urias has taken a step back with his Barrel% lately; his 9.5% seasonal rate has fallen off to 0% in the last week’s worth of games.

Ramon Urias’s average exit velocity has declined of late; his 86.8-mph seasonal mark has lowered to 83.7-mph over the past 14 days.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Cedric Mullins in the 8th percentile as it relates to his BABIP skill.

Cedric Mullins has negatively regressed with his Barrel% lately; his 8.5% seasonal rate has dropped off to 0% in the past week’s worth of games.

As it relates to his home runs, Cedric Mullins has been lucky since the start of last season. His 23.8 HR per 600 plate appearances mark has been a fair amount higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected HR/600 at 16.0.

Checking in at the 19th percentile, Cedric Mullins has notched a .269 BABIP since the start of last season.

Cedric Mullins has been lucky this year, notching a .417 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .322 — a .095 deviation.

Ryan O’Hearn has a 77th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.5%) but may find it hard to clear the league’s 3rd-deepest LF fences in today’s matchup.

Ryan O’Hearn has struggled with his Barrel% in recent games; his 7.8% seasonal rate has dropped off to 0% in the past week’s worth of games.

In the past 7 days, Ryan O’Hearn’s 0% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 15.7%.

Cody Bellinger’s BABIP skill is projected in the 18th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Playing on the road generally lowers hitter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Cody Bellinger in today’s game.

In terms of his batting average, Cody Bellinger has had some very good luck since the start of last season. His .256 BA has been a good deal higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .235.

Hitting from the same side that Will Warren throws from, Ramon Laureano has a tough challenge in today’s game.

In the past week’s worth of games, Ramon Laureano’s exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off from his seasonal average of 95.6 mph to 88.7 mph.

Ramon Laureano’s average launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls lately (24° in the last 7 days) is a significant dropoff from his 36.1° seasonal mark.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Trent Grisham in the 8th percentile when assessing his BABIP skill.

Playing on the road generally lessens batter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Trent Grisham today.

Trent Grisham has posted a .242 BABIP since the start of last season, ranking in the 20th percentile.

Trent Grisham has had positive variance on his side thus far when it comes to his home runs since the start of last season; his 33.3 HR per 600 plate appearances rate is quite a bit higher than his 25.9 Expected HR/600, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

Hitting from the same side that Tomoyuki Sugano throws from, Paul Goldschmidt faces a tough challenge in today’s matchup.

Paul Goldschmidt will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today’s game.

Paul Goldschmidt’s launch angle lately (3.6° over the past week) is quite a bit worse than his 12.8° seasonal figure.

Jazz Chisholm Jr. has primarily hit in the top-half of the lineup this year (88% of the time), but he is projected to bat 6th on the lineup card in today’s game.

Playing on the road generally diminishes batter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Jazz Chisholm Jr. today.

Over the last two weeks, Jazz Chisholm Jr.’s 20.7% rate of hitting balls at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 28.3%.

Jazz Chisholm Jr.’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has dropped off of late, falling from 31.7% on the season to 24.1% in the past two weeks.

Hitting from the same side that Tomoyuki Sugano throws from, Aaron Judge will not have the upper hand in today’s game.

Playing on the road typically lowers batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Aaron Judge in today’s game.

Aaron Judge’s exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off this year; his 100.5-mph figure last year has dropped off to 97.8-mph.

As it relates to his wOBA and overall offense, Aaron Judge has experienced some positive variance this year. His .509 figure has been quite a bit higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .398.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Austin Wells in the 13th percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent.

Austin Wells is projected to hit 8th in the lineup in today’s game.

In today’s game, Austin Wells is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 3rd-deepest LF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the opposite field at a 34.1% rate (80th percentile).

Austin Wells will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today’s game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Oswaldo Cabrera in the 24th percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability.

Oswaldo Cabrera is projected to hit 9th on the lineup card today.

When starting against a right-handed starter this year, Oswaldo Cabrera has been pinch hit for 12% of the time.

Playing on the road generally weakens batter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Oswaldo Cabrera in today’s game.

As a switch-hitter who is weaker from the 0 side of the plate, Adley Rutschman will be less advantaged while batting from his bad side against Will Warren today.

Adley Rutschman’s exit velocity on flyballs has declined lately; his 93.9-mph seasonal EV has fallen to 88.8-mph in the last week’s worth of games.

In the last week’s worth of games, Adley Rutschman’s 0% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 19.7%.

Grading out in the 15th percentile, Adley Rutschman sports a .264 BABIP since the start of last season.

Gunnar Henderson has a 78th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.8%) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of baseball’s 3rd-deepest LF fences in today’s matchup.

Gunnar Henderson has struggled with his Barrel% lately; his 8.7% seasonal rate has dropped off to 0% in the past 7 days.

In the past week’s worth of games, Gunnar Henderson’s 0% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 8.7%.

Gunnar Henderson has had some very good luck with his home runs since the start of last season; his 29.2 HR per 600 plate appearances figure is a fair amount higher than his 22.2 Expected HR/600, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

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