Todays Game 3 Matchup Details

Player match stat positives for Chicago at Minnesota Game 3 Matchup Today

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Luis Robert in the 93rd percentile when estimating his home run ability.

Luis Robert is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in this game.

Target Field sits at the 5th-highest altitude in the league. High elevation generally leads to better offense.

Luis Robert’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved in recent games, increasing from 19.2% on the season to 33.3% in the past 7 days.

Luis Robert has averaged 31.3 home runs per 600 plate appearances this year, ranking in the 93rd percentile for power.

The #6 stadium in Major League Baseball for boosting offensive stats, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Target Field.

Hitting from the opposite that Simeon Woods Richard throws from, Gavin Sheets will have an edge today.

Out of every team playing today, the 3rd-worst outfield defense is that of the Minnesota Twins.

In the last two weeks, Gavin Sheets’s 63.6% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 44.4%.

Gavin Sheets has had bad variance on his side thus far when it comes to his batting average this year; his .216 rate is a fair amount lower than his .243 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

Carlos Santana will possess the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which ought to bolster all of his stats.

Carlos Santana’s launch angle this year (15.9°) is significantly higher than his 12.5° figure last season.

Carlos Santana has exhibited good plate discipline this year, grading out in the 85th percentile with a 1.81 K/BB rate.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Andrew Benintendi in the 88th percentile as it relates to his batting average talent.

Andrew Benintendi is projected to bat 4th in the lineup today.

Hitting from the opposite that Simeon Woods Richard throws from, Andrew Benintendi will have the upper hand today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Willi Castro in the 80th percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent.

Willi Castro is projected to bat 1st in the batting order in this game, which would be an upgrade from his 60% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this year.

Willi Castro will hold the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which ought to bolster all of his stats.

Willi Castro’s ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has improved in recent games, going from 49.1% on the season to 69.2% over the last 7 days.

Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter stats across the board, and Brooks Lee will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

Over the past 7 days, Brooks Lee’s exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 91.4-mph over the course of the season to 94.5-mph in recent games.

Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (.303) implies that Brooks Lee has had bad variance on his side this year with his .273 actual wOBA.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Royce Lewis in the 91st percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent.

Royce Lewis is penciled in 4th in the lineup in today’s game.

Royce Lewis will benefit from the home field advantage today, which should bolster all of his stats.

Royce Lewis has seen a substantial increase in his exit velocity on flyballs this season; just compare his 96.2-mph average to last year’s 93.6-mph average.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Miguel Vargas in the 79th percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill.

Miguel Vargas has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this season (83% of the time), but he is penciled in 1st in the batting order today.

Hitting from the opposite that Simeon Woods Richard throws from, Dominic Fletcher will have the upper hand today.

Dominic Fletcher has been unlucky in regards to his wOBA this year; his .238 figure is deflated compared to his .286 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

Dominic Fletcher grades out in the 98th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between 23° and 34°, the launch angle range that tends to result the most in home runs (25.8% rate since the start of last season).

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Matt Wallner as the game’s 19th-best home run hitter.

Matt Wallner is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in today’s game.

Hitting from the opposite that Chris Flexen throws from, Matt Wallner will have the upper hand today.

Matt Wallner has a ton of pop (97th percentile) if he makes contact, but that’s never a guarantee (35.4% K%). Today, however, opposing pitcher Chris Flexen struggles to strike batters out (2nd percentile K%) — great news for Wallner.

Lance Barrett profiles as a Pitchers Umpire and is likely to be umping in today’s game.

Simeon Woods Richardson will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which should improve all of his metrics across the board.

Simeon Woods Richardson’s high usage percentage of his secondary pitches (60.4% this year) figures to work in his favor considering they are typically much more effective than fastballs.

Matt Wallner will benefit from the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which ought to bolster all of his stats.

Lenyn Sosa has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this year (78% of the time), but he is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in today’s game.

Lenyn Sosa’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased from last season to this one, increasing from 13% to 18.2%.

Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Batting Average (.285) may lead us to conclude that Lenyn Sosa has been unlucky this year with his .232 actual batting average.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Trevor Larnach in the 83rd percentile when assessing his home run skill.

Trevor Larnach is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in today’s game.

Trevor Larnach will have the handedness advantage over Chris Flexen today.

Trevor Larnach will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which figures to improve all of his stats.

Riley Baldwin has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this season (92% of the time), but he is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in today’s game.

Riley Baldwin has been lifting the ball well of late, compiling a 28.7° launch angle over the past 14 days.

When it comes to his home run talent, Royce Lewis ranks in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Luis Robert in the 95th percentile when estimating his BABIP skill.

In the last two weeks’ worth of games, Luis Robert’s 61.9% rate of hitting balls at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 41.6%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Byron Buxton as baseball’s 14th-best home run batter.

Byron Buxton is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in today’s game.

Byron Buxton has a ton of pop (98th percentile) if he makes contact, but that’s never a guarantee (28.6% K%). Today, however, opposing pitcher Chris Flexen struggles to strike batters out (18th percentile K%) — great news for Buxton.

Byron Buxton will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which figures to bolster all of his stats.

Miguel Vargas is an extreme flyball hitter and squares off against the weak outfield defense of Minnesota (#3-worst on the slate).

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Trevor Larnach in the 82nd percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent.

The weakest projected lineup on the slate today in terms of overall batting ability is that of the Chicago White Sox.

Recording 91.5 adjusted pitches per start this year on average, Chris Flexen places him the 75th percentile.

Despite conventional wisdom, fastballs are generally a pitcher’s least effective pitch. Chris Flexen has relied on his secondary offerings 7.3% more often this season (61.8%) than he did last season (54.5%).

When it comes to his home runs, Willi Castro has experienced some negative variance this year. His 11.0 HR per 600 plate appearances figure has been deflated compared to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected HR/600 at 17.0.

Utilizing Statcast data, Willi Castro ranks in the 84th percentile for offensive ability according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) this year at .346.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT)’s evaluation, Chris Flexen’s overall pitching ability ranks in the 12th percentile among all starters in MLB currently.

Chris Flexen’s 90.7-mph fastball velocity this year ranks in the 11th percentile among all starting pitchers.

Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (.321) provides evidence that Lenyn Sosa has been unlucky this year with his .264 actual wOBA.

Trevor Larnach has made big improvements with his Barrel% recently, bettering his 10.5% seasonal rate to 17.6% in the last 14 days.

Andrew Benintendi has made sizeable strides with his Barrel% lately, upping his 6.1% seasonal rate to 18.8% in the last week’s worth of games.

Last year, Andrew Benintendi had an average launch angle of 13.4° on his hardest-contacted balls, while this season it has significantly increased to 16.8°.

The Barrel% of Matt Wallner has significantly improved, with an increase from 18.8% last year to 29.4% this year.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Byron Buxton in the 94th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent.

Over the last 14 days, Byron Buxton has improved his Barrel% substantially, increasing it from his seasonal rate of 12.1% to 23.8%.

As it relates to plate discipline, Miguel Vargas’s talent is quite strong, putting up a 1.79 K/BB rate since the start of last season while ranking in in the 86th percentile.

Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (.311) provides evidence that Gavin Sheets has had some very poor luck this year with his .286 actual wOBA.

Sunday Game 3 player match stat slumps with White Sox vs Twins Matchup

Target Field has the 5th-highest fences in MLB.

This game is forecasted to have the 5th-best weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today.

Simeon Woods Richard will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Luis Robert today.

Luis Robert pulls many of his flyballs (33.6% — 78th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of MLB’s 11th-deepest LF fences in today’s matchup.

Playing on the road typically lessens batter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Luis Robert in today’s matchup.

Gavin Sheets’s BABIP ability is projected in the 12th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Gavin Sheets is penciled in 6th on the lineup card in today’s game, which would be a downgrade from his 99% rate of hitting in the top-half of the batting order this year.

14% of the time that Gavin Sheets has started against a northpaw this year, he has been lifted for a pinch-hitter.

Among all stadiums, Target Field’s CF fences are the 10th-deepest.

Carlos Santana’s BABIP talent is projected in the 1st percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Carlos Santana is projected to hit 6th in the batting order today.

As a switch-hitter who bats worse from the 0 side of the plate, Carlos Santana will be at a disadvantage batting from his weak side against Chris Flexen today.

Andrew Benintendi hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.9% — 90th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of baseball’s 10th-deepest CF fences today.

Playing on the road typically weakens batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Andrew Benintendi today.

Sporting a .256 wOBA (a leading indicator of offensive ability) this year, Andrew Benintendi is ranked in the 8th percentile.

With a .234 BABIP this year, Andrew Benintendi is ranked in the 5th percentile.

Willi Castro has negatively regressed with his Barrel% of late; his 6.6% seasonal rate has fallen off to 0% over the last week.

In the last week, Willi Castro’s exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off from his seasonal average of 90.6 mph to 78.1 mph.

Brooks Lee is projected to hit 8th on the lineup card in today’s game.

Brooks Lee has negatively regressed with his Barrel% recently; his 5.4% seasonal rate has fallen to 0% over the past week.

Brooks Lee’s ability to hit the ball at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has decreased of late, decreasing from 40.5% on the season to 30.6% over the past 14 days.

Batting from the same side that Chris Flexen throws from, Royce Lewis will have a tough matchup today.

Royce Lewis pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (37.1% — 94th percentile) and will be challenged by the game’s 11th-deepest LF fences today.

Royce Lewis has experienced some positive variance in regards to his batting average since the start of last season; his .298 mark is significantly inflated relative to his .262 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

Batting from the same side that Simeon Woods Richard throws from, Miguel Vargas will not have the upper hand in today’s game.

Miguel Vargas hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39% — 91st percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards MLB’s 10th-deepest CF fences in today’s game.

Miguel Vargas will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today’s matchup.

When assessing his overall offensive ability, Dominic Fletcher ranks in the 17th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Dominic Fletcher is projected to bat 8th on the lineup card in today’s game.

26% of the time that Dominic Fletcher has started against a righty on the mound this year, he has been pinch hit for.

Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Batting Average (.216) provides evidence that Matt Wallner has been very fortunate since the start of last season with his .249 actual batting average.

When estimating his home run talent, Brooks Lee ranks in the 21st percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Taking into account both his underlying tendencies and the matchup, Simeon Woods Richardson is projected to throw 85 pitches today by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) system, which is the 11th-least on the slate today.

In his previous game started, Simeon Woods Richardson wasn’t on when it came to striking batters out and only managed to tally 2 Ks.

Out of all SPs, Simeon Woods Richardson’s fastball spin rate of 2185 rpm ranks in the 17th percentile this year.

Matt Wallner has been lucky this year, posting a .403 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .315 — a .088 disparity.

Simeon Woods Richard will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Lenyn Sosa today.

Playing on the road generally weakens batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Lenyn Sosa in today’s matchup.

Willi Castro has been lucky this year, compiling a .334 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .302 — a .032 deviation.

Trevor Larnach’s exit velocity on flyballs has decreased in recent games; his 93.3-mph seasonal mark has fallen off to 80.7-mph in the last week.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Dominic Fletcher in the 16th percentile when estimating his home run talent.

When estimating his overall offensive skill, Riley Baldwin ranks in the 24th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

As a switch-hitter who performs worse from the 0 side of the dish, Riley Baldwin will be at a disadvantage batting from his bad side against Simeon Woods Richard in today’s game.

Riley Baldwin will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today’s matchup.

Royce Lewis has had positive variance on his side thus far when it comes to his home runs since the start of last season; his 44.4 HR per 600 plate appearances mark is considerably higher than his 32.9 Expected HR/600, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

Luis Robert has negatively regressed with his Barrel% lately; his 14.4% seasonal rate has dropped to 0% over the past week.

Chris Flexen will hold the platoon advantage over Byron Buxton in today’s matchup.

Byron Buxton pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (42.2% — 100th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards the league’s 11th-deepest LF fences in today’s game.

Byron Buxton’s average launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls this year (16.9°) is a significant dropoff from his 21.4° angle last season.

Miguel Vargas’s average exit velocity has declined recently; his 86.5-mph seasonal mark has fallen to 74.8-mph over the past week.

The Chicago White Sox have been the 2nd-unluckiest offense in MLB this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to perform better in future games, The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Target Field as the 7th-best ballpark in baseball for BABIP.

In his previous game started, Simeon Woods Richardson gave up a staggering 6 earned runs.

Lenyn Sosa’s exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off this season; his 93.2-mph EV last season has fallen to 91-mph.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Chris Flexen in the 15th percentile when estimating his strikeout skill.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT), Korey Lee (the White Sox’s expected catcher in today’s matchup) grades out as a weak pitch framer.

Playing on the road generally lessens pitcher stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Chris Flexen in today’s game.

Chris Flexen didn’t have his best stuff when it came to striking hitters out in his previous start and accumulated 2 Ks.

The Minnesota Twins have been the 2nd-luckiest offense in MLB this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to negatively regress the rest of the season, When estimating his home run ability, Andrew Benintendi ranks in the 25th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Matt Wallner in the 19th percentile when estimating his batting average skill.

As it relates to his batting average, Byron Buxton has been very fortunate this year. His .277 figure has been significantly inflated relative to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .247.