
CWS @ KC





Todays Series Game 3 Matchup Details
Series Game 3
Todays Game is on Sunday, July 21st
21/07/24 14:10:00 PM EST First Pitch
Player match stat positives for Chicago at Kansas City Series Game 3 Matchup Today
Kauffman Stadium ranks as the #2 ballpark in Major League Baseball for RHB batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).
Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest elevation among all major league parks. High elevation generally leads to better offense.
Paul DeJong’s launch angle this year (21°) is quite a bit better than his 16.8° mark last year.
Compared to his seasonal average of 21°, Paul DeJong has significantly improved his launch angle of late, posting a 28.3° figure over the last two weeks.
Kauffman Stadium has the 10th-shortest fences in Major League Baseball.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Eloy Jimenez in the 89th percentile when estimating his batting average skill.
Eloy Jimenez is projected to hit 5th in the batting order today.
Paul Clemons grades out as a Pitchers Umpire and is expected to be behind the plate today.
Andrew Thorpe’s high utilization rate of his secondary pitches (65.6% this year) ought to work in his favor since they are typically much more effective than fastballs.
Andrew Thorpe has had some very poor luck with his strikeouts this year, compiling a 5.23 K/9 despite the leading projection system (THE BAT) estimating his true talent level to be 7.11 — a 1.87 K/9 deviation.
The #2 stadium in the majors for boosting batting average to left-handed hitters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Kauffman Stadium.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Vinnie Pasquantino in the 89th percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill.
Vinnie Pasquantino is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in this game.
When it comes to his batting average talent, Bobby Witt Jr. is projected as the 7th-best hitter in the majors by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Bobby Witt Jr. is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order today.
Out of all the teams in action today, the weakest outfield defense belongs to the Chicago White Sox.
Maikel Garcia’s BABIP talent is projected in the 91st percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Home field advantage generally bolsters batter metrics across the board, and Maikel Garcia will hold that advantage today.
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT)’s judgement, Seth Lugo’s overall pitching skill grades out in the 76th percentile out of all starters in the league right now.
Seth Lugo has averaged 95.3 adjusted pitches per game per started this year, placing in the 90th percentile.
The 5th-weakest projected offense of the day in terms of overall offensive skill is that of the the Chicago White Sox.
The deepest RF dimensions in the majors are found in Kauffman Stadium.
Hunter Renfroe has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this season (89% of the time), but he is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in this matchup.
Home field advantage typically improves batter metrics in all categories, and Hunter Renfroe will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.
Nicky Lopez will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Seth Lugo today.
There has been a significant improvement in Nicky Lopez’s launch angle from last season’s 0.2° to 7.2° this season.
Batting from the opposite that Drew Thorpe throws from, Kyle Isbel will have the upper hand today.
Home field advantage typically bolsters batter metrics in all categories, and Kyle Isbel will hold that advantage today.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Garrett Hampson in the 87th percentile when assessing his BABIP talent.
Freddy Fermin will hold the home field advantage in today’s game, which figures to boost all of his stats.
Gavin Sheets is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in today’s game.
Batting from the opposite that Seth Lugo throws from, Gavin Sheets will have an advantage in today’s game.
Gavin Sheets’s ability to hit the ball at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has gotten better from last season to this one, going from 36.5% to 42.4%.
When assessing his overall offensive skill, Tommy Pham ranks in the 80th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
Tommy Pham is projected to bat 1st in the lineup in today’s game.
Home field advantage typically bolsters batter metrics in all categories, and Dairon Blanco will hold that advantage in today’s game.
Nick Senzel’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better from last year to this one, going from 11.4% to 21.3%.
Nick Senzel has displayed good plate discipline this year, checking in at the 79th percentile with a 1.92 K/BB rate.
Adam Frazier is penciled in 1st on the lineup card in today’s game, which would be an upgrade from his 71% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this season.
Adam Frazier will hold the platoon advantage against Drew Thorpe in today’s game.
Tommy Pham’s ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has improved from last season to this one, rising from 43.3% to 49.7%.
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Bobby Witt Jr. ranks as the 13th-best batter in the league.
Bobby Witt Jr. will possess the home field advantage in today’s game, which ought to boost all of his stats.
When assessing his overall offensive ability, Andrew Vaughn ranks in the 87th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
Andrew Vaughn is penciled in 4th in the batting order in this game.
With 6 batters who share his handedness in the opposing team’s projected lineup, Seth Lugo figures to benefit from holding the platoon advantage in most plate appearances in today’s game.
Seth Lugo will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which should bolster all of his metrics across the board.
Seth Lugo’s fastball spin rate has risen 101 rpm this year (2368 rpm) over where it was last year (2267 rpm).
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Luis Robert in the 93rd percentile when estimating his home run ability.
Luis Robert is penciled in 3rd in the batting order today.
Using Statcast data, Luis Robert ranks in the 87th percentile for power according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Home Runs per 600 plate appearances this year at 27.900.
When assessing his home run skill, Salvador Perez ranks in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Salvador Perez is projected to bat 4th in the lineup today.
When it comes to hitting balls between 23° and 34° (the launch angle range that tends to best-produce home runs), Gavin Sheets and his 18.9% rank in the 87th percentile this year.
Michael Massey will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Drew Thorpe today.
Out of all the teams in action today, the 2nd-weakest outfield defense belongs to the Chicago White Sox.
Freddy Fermin has notched a .283 batting average this year, placing in the 87th percentile.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Luis Robert in the 94th percentile when assessing his BABIP talent.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Andrew Benintendi in the 88th percentile as it relates to his batting average skill.
Andrew Benintendi is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order in today’s game.
Hitting from the opposite that Seth Lugo throws from, Andrew Benintendi will have an edge today.
As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Eloy Jimenez ranks in the 86th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
Vinnie Pasquantino will have the handedness advantage over Drew Thorpe in today’s game.
Salvador Perez will benefit from the home field advantage in today’s game, which should improve all of his stats.
Andrew Vaughn has made sizeable strides with his Barrel% recently, upping his 9.7% seasonal rate to 15.8% in the last two weeks’ worth of games.
Michael Massey is an extreme flyball batter and squares off against the weak outfield defense of Chicago (#2-worst on the slate).
Home field advantage generally boosts hitter stats in all categories, and Garrett Hampson will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.
Andrew Thorpe performed well in his last outing and allowed 2 ER.
Collectively, Kansas City Royals hitters have struggled in regard to hitting balls in the launch angle range that tends to best-produce base hits (between -4° and 26°), ranking worst in MLB.
Andrew Thorpe has a reverse platoon split and will be disadvantaged matching up with 6 same-handed bats in today’s game.
Michael Massey will hold the home field advantage in today’s game, which figures to bolster all of his stats.
In the last week, Michael Massey’s exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 92.5-mph over the course of the season to 99.6-mph of late.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Paul DeJong in the 86th percentile when estimating his home run ability.
Compared to last year, Garrett Hampson has improved his ability to hit the ball at a launch angle ideal for home runs, increasing his percentage of balls hit between 23° and 34° from 13.9% to 21.3% this season.
In the last two weeks, Maikel Garcia’s exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 90-mph over the course of the season to 93.9-mph recently.
In the last 7 days, Andrew Benintendi’s Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 5.1% up to 16.7%.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Salvador Perez in the 82nd percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent.
When it comes to his home run ability, Hunter Renfroe ranks in the 79th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Adam Frazier will possess the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which figures to improve all of his stats.
Adam Frazier’s launch angle recently (28.5° over the last 14 days) is considerably higher than his 14.9° seasonal figure.
Sunday Series Game 3 player match stat slumps with White Sox vs Royals Matchup
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Paul DeJong in the 6th percentile when assessing his batting average skill.
Paul DeJong is penciled in 7th in the lineup in this game.
Seth Lugo will have the handedness advantage over Paul DeJong in today’s game.
Paul DeJong pulls a lot of his flyballs (35.2% — 88th percentile) but may find it hard to clear baseball’s 4th-deepest LF fences today.
Playing on the road typically reduces hitter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Paul DeJong in today’s matchup.
Batting from the same side that Seth Lugo throws from, Eloy Jimenez will have a tough challenge in today’s game.
Eloy Jimenez hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.1% — 93rd percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards the game’s 4th-deepest CF fences in today’s game.
Out of every team playing today, the 3rd-best infield defense is that of the Kansas City Royals.
Playing on the road typically diminishes batter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Eloy Jimenez in today’s game.
In the past week, Eloy Jimenez’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 9.3% down to 0%.
When estimating his strikeout skill, the leading projection system (THE BAT) forecasts Andrew Thorpe in the 25th percentile among all starting pitchers in the majors.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Andrew Thorpe to throw 85 pitches in today’s game (12th-least on the slate today), considering both his underlying tendencies and the matchup.
Korey Lee, the White Sox’s expected catcher in today’s game, profiles as a weak pitch framer according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).
Kauffman Stadium ranks as the #29 venue in baseball for strikeouts, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).
Riley Baldwin is projected to hit 6th in the batting order in this matchup.
As a switch-hitter who bats worse from the 0 side of the dish, Riley Baldwin will bat from his worse side against Seth Lugo in this game.
Riley Baldwin pulls many of his flyballs (34.3% — 83rd percentile) but may find it hard to clear the game’s deepest RF fences today.
Riley Baldwin will be at a disadvantage playing away from home today.
Today, Vinnie Pasquantino is at a disadvantage facing the league’s deepest RF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the pull field at a 36.3% rate (93rd percentile).
Vinnie Pasquantino has recorded a .242 BABIP this year, checking in at the 9th percentile.
Hitting from the same side that Drew Thorpe throws from, Bobby Witt Jr. has a tough challenge in today’s game.
Bobby Witt Jr. has an 89th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.6%) and will be challenged by the game’s deepest RF fences in today’s game.
Maikel Garcia is penciled in 7th in the batting order in this game, which would be a downgrade from his 92% rate of hitting in the top-half of the batting order this season.
Batting from the same side that Drew Thorpe throws from, Maikel Garcia will be in a tough position in today’s matchup.
In today’s matchup, Maikel Garcia is at a disadvantage facing the league’s deepest RF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the opposite field at a 38.5% rate (94th percentile).
Maikel Garcia’s exit velocity on flyballs has declined this year; his 92.7-mph average last year has fallen to 90-mph.
Compared to his seasonal figure of 7.4°, Maikel Garcia has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (3.5°) over the last 14 days.
The Chicago White Sox have been the 3rd-unluckiest offense in MLB this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to hit better going forward, Salvador Perez, the Royals’s expected catcher in today’s game, projects as a weak pitch framer according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).
The #1 venue in the majors for boosting walks, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Kauffman Stadium.
In his last start, Seth Lugo gave up a whopping 5 earned runs.
Hunter Renfroe’s BABIP ability is projected in the 3rd percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Drew Thorpe will have the handedness advantage over Hunter Renfroe today.
In today’s game, Hunter Renfroe is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 4th-deepest LF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the pull field at a 40% rate (98th percentile).
Over the last week, Hunter Renfroe’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 6.8% down to 0%.
Hunter Renfroe’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has dropped off of late, decreasing from 12.5% on the season to 0% in the past 7 days.
When assessing his home run talent, Nicky Lopez ranks in the 1st percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Nicky Lopez is penciled in 7th in the lineup in this matchup.
This year, Nicky Lopez has been lifted for a pinch-hitter in 11% of his appearances when starting against right-handed starter.
Nicky Lopez has a 100th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (43.9%) and will have to hit them out towards the game’s 4th-deepest LF fences today.
Kyle Isbel is projected to bat 9th on the lineup card in this game.
16% of the time that Kyle Isbel has started against a northpaw this year, he has been replaced by a pinch-hitter.
The #6 ballpark in baseball for suppressing home runs to lefties, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Kauffman Stadium.
Kyle Isbel’s average launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls this season (3.2°) is quite a bit lower than his 7° angle last year.
Garrett Hampson is projected to bat 6th in the batting order in this matchup.
25% of the time that Garrett Hampson has started against a righty on the mound this year, he has been pinch hit for.
Batting from the same side that Drew Thorpe throws from, Garrett Hampson will be at a disadvantage in today’s game.
Garrett Hampson hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.3% — 95th percentile) and will have to hit them out towards the game’s 4th-deepest CF fences in today’s game.
In notching a .290 Expected wOBA (or xwOBA, an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) utilizing Statcast data) since the start of last season, Garrett Hampson grades out in the 16th percentile for hitting ability.
Freddy Fermin is penciled in 7th on the lineup card in this game.
The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Kauffman Stadium as the 6th-worst field in the game for right-handed home runs.
Drew Thorpe will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Freddy Fermin in today’s game.
Freddy Fermin pulls a lot of his flyballs (35.5% — 89th percentile) and will be challenged by the league’s 4th-deepest LF fences in today’s matchup.
Freddy Fermin has negatively regressed with his Barrel%; his 10.1% rate last season has lowered to 4.4% this year.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Gavin Sheets in the 11th percentile when assessing his BABIP skill.
This year, Gavin Sheets has been lifted for a pinch-hitter in 13% of his appearances when starting against righty hurler.
Gavin Sheets pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (33.7% — 79th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of baseball’s deepest RF fences in today’s matchup.
Gavin Sheets will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today’s game.
Hitting from the same side that Seth Lugo throws from, Tommy Pham meets a tough challenge today.
Tommy Pham hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.2% — 94th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of MLB’s 4th-deepest CF fences in today’s matchup.
Playing on the road generally lessens batter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Tommy Pham today.
Tommy Pham has made substantial gains with his Barrel% lately, bettering his 5.7% seasonal rate to 12.5% in the last 7 days.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Korey Lee in the 5th percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability.
Korey Lee is projected to bat 9th in the batting order in this game.
Seth Lugo will hold the platoon advantage over Korey Lee in today’s game.
Korey Lee pulls a lot of his flyballs (33.8% — 80th percentile) and will be challenged by baseball’s 4th-deepest LF fences in today’s game.
When assessing his home run talent, Dairon Blanco ranks in the 17th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Dairon Blanco is penciled in 8th in the lineup in this game.
Hitting from the same side that Drew Thorpe throws from, Dairon Blanco will have a disadvantage today.
Dairon Blanco hits many of his flyballs to center field (40.3% — 99th percentile) and will have to hit them out towards MLB’s 4th-deepest CF fences in today’s matchup.
This season, there has been a decline in Dairon Blanco’s footspeed with his Statcast Sprint Speed dropping from 30.38 ft/sec last year to 29.61 ft/sec currently.
Nick Senzel is projected to hit 8th in the batting order today.
Kauffman Stadium has the 2nd-deepest fences in Major League Baseball — generally bad for dingers.
Batting from the same side that Seth Lugo throws from, Nick Senzel meets a tough challenge today.
Nick Senzel will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today’s game.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Adam Frazier in the 4th percentile when assessing his home run skill.
Adam Frazier has been pinch hit for 32% of the time when starting against a right-handed starter this year.
Adam Frazier has been cold lately, with his seasonal exit velocity of 83.8-mph dropping to 81.4-mph over the last two weeks.
Adam Frazier has performed at a clip of 11.1 Expected Home Runs per 600 plate appearances this year, checking in at the 19th percentile for power according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kyle Isbel in the 23rd percentile when estimating his BABIP ability.
Seth Lugo will have the handedness advantage over Andrew Vaughn in today’s matchup.
Andrew Vaughn hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.1% — 93rd percentile) but may find it hard to clear baseball’s 4th-deepest CF fences today.
Playing on the road generally reduces hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Andrew Vaughn today.
Sporting a 3.64 K/BB rate this year, Andrew Vaughn has demonstrated weak plate discipline, grading out in the 23rd percentile.
Seth Lugo’s 91.7-mph velocity on his fastball this year is a substantial 1.1-mph drop off from last year’s 92.8-mph mark.
Seth Lugo has relied on his curveball 10.4% less often this season (18.9%) than he did last season (29.3%).
Hitting from the same side that Seth Lugo throws from, Luis Robert will be at a disadvantage in today’s game.
Today, Luis Robert is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 4th-deepest LF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the pull field at a 33.8% rate (80th percentile).
Playing on the road generally weakens hitter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Luis Robert today.
Luis Robert has taken a step back with his Barrel% recently; his 14.3% seasonal rate has lowered to 0% in the last week.
Batting from the same side that Drew Thorpe throws from, Salvador Perez faces a tough challenge in today’s matchup.
Salvador Perez pulls a lot of his flyballs (36.6% — 93rd percentile) and will have to hit them out towards MLB’s 4th-deepest LF fences in today’s matchup.
Gavin Sheets’s exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off this year; his 91.8-mph figure last year has decreased to 89.7-mph.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Michael Massey in the 21st percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability.
Michael Massey is projected to bat 6th in the lineup in this game, which would be a downgrade from his 73% rate of hitting in the top-half of the batting order this year.
Michael Massey pulls many of his flyballs (38.5% — 97th percentile) and will have to hit them out towards the game’s deepest RF fences today.
Compared to his seasonal angle of 13.3°, Michael Massey has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (1.3°) over the last 14 days.
In terms of plate discipline, Michael Massey’s ability is quite poor, posting a 6.97 K/BB rate this year while ranking in in the 13th percentile.
Adam Frazier’s BABIP skill is projected in the 23rd percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Ranked in the 1st percentile, Adam Frazier’s average exit velocity of 83.8 mph ranks among the lowest in MLB this year.
Freddy Fermin’s exit velocity on flyballs has decreased this season; his 92.7-mph EV last season has dropped off to 90.4-mph.
Andrew Benintendi hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.9% — 91st percentile) and will have to hit them out towards the game’s 4th-deepest CF fences in today’s game.
Andrew Benintendi will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player today.
Andrew Benintendi has been cold in recent games, with his seasonal exit velocity of 87.7-mph dropping to 84.9-mph in the past two weeks’ worth of games.
Andrew Benintendi’s ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has dropped off from last season to this one, decreasing from 48.4% to 38.5%.
Utilizing Statcast metrics, Andrew Benintendi ranks in the 16th percentile for offensive skills via the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) this year at .280.
It may be sensible to expect stronger performance for the Kansas City Royals offense in future games, given that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) sees them as the 10th-unluckiest offense in the league this year.
When assessing his overall offensive talent, Nicky Lopez ranks in the 8th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
Andrew Vaughn’s launch angle recently (9.6° in the past 14 days) is quite a bit worse than his 15.9° seasonal figure.
Michael Massey’s launch angle this season (13.3°) is considerably worse than his 19.6° mark last season.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Garrett Hampson in the 17th percentile as it relates to his home run skill.
When estimating his overall offensive talent, Dairon Blanco ranks in the 18th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
As it relates to his home run ability, Maikel Garcia ranks in the 14th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Andrew Benintendi in the 20th percentile when estimating his home run skill.
