Todays Series Game 3 Matchup Details

Player match stat positives for Chicago at Miami Series Game 3 Matchup Today

Home field advantage typically bolsters batter metrics across the board, and Xavier Edwards will hold that advantage in today’s game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jazz Chisholm Jr. in the 89th percentile when assessing his home run ability.

Jazz Chisholm Jr. is penciled in 1st on the lineup card in this game.

LoanDepot Park ranks as the #3 ballpark in the game for left-handed BABIP, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Jazz Chisholm Jr. will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jonathan Cannon today… and the cherry on top, Cannon has a large platoon split.

Among all the teams today, the weakest outfield defense belongs to the Chicago White Sox.

LoanDepot Park ranks as the #3 park in the game for RHB base hits, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).

LoanDepot Park has the 5th-shallowest CF dimensions among all major league stadiums.

Home field advantage generally improves batter stats across the board, and Nick Fortes will hold that advantage in today’s game.

Despite posting a .196 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Nick Fortes has been unlucky given the .074 deviation between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .270.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Luis Robert in the 94th percentile when estimating his home run ability.

Luis Robert is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card today.

The Miami Marlins infield defense projects as the 3rd-weakest out of every team on the slate today.

Luis Robert has seen a notable increase in his exit velocity lately; just compare his 95-mph average over the past 7 days to his seasonal 90.7-mph average.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jesus Sanchez in the 86th percentile as it relates to his home run skill.

Jesus Sanchez is penciled in 4th in the batting order in today’s game.

Jesus Sanchez will hold the platoon advantage against Jonathan Cannon in today’s game… and even more favorably, Cannon has a large platoon split.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Andrew Vaughn in the 86th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent.

Andrew Vaughn is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in this matchup.

Andrew Vaughn hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.5% — 85th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting towards baseball’s 6th-shallowest CF fences in today’s game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Andrew Benintendi in the 89th percentile as it relates to his batting average skill.

Andrew Benintendi is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in this matchup.

Hitting from the opposite that Edward Cabrera throws from, Andrew Benintendi will have an edge in today’s game.

Andrew Benintendi hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.9% — 91st percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting out towards the league’s 6th-shallowest CF fences in today’s matchup.

As it relates to his strikeout ability, the leading projection system (THE BAT) puts Edward Cabrera in the 89th percentile among all starting pitchers in the league.

The Chicago White Sox have 3 hitters in their projected lineup today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (per the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Luis Robert, Paul DeJong, Korey Lee).

Jeremy Riggs profiles as a Pitchers Umpire and is likely to be in charge of the strike zone in today’s game.

Nick Fortes, the Marlins’s expected catcher today, grades out as a good pitch framer according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Josh Bell in the 78th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent.

Josh Bell is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in this game.

Josh Bell will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which should bolster all of his stats.

Nicky Lopez will hold the platoon advantage against Edward Cabrera today.

Nicky Lopez’s launch angle this season (7.9°) is significantly better than his 0.2° mark last year.

In the last two weeks’ worth of games, Nicky Lopez’s 20.7% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 13.3%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Xavier Edwards in the 92nd percentile as it relates to his batting average talent.

Compared to last season, Lenyn Sosa has improved his ability to hit the ball at a launch angle ideal for home runs, increasing his percentage of balls hit between 23° and 34° from 13% to 18.9% this season.

In the past week, Lenyn Sosa’s 61.1% rate of hitting balls at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 50%.

In terms of his batting average, Lenyn Sosa has had some very poor luck this year. His .252 BA falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .298.

The switch-hitting Vidal Brujan will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his strong side (0) today against Jonathan Cannon… and even better, Cannon has a large platoon split.

Home field advantage generally improves hitter metrics in all categories, and Vidal Brujan will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

Vidal Brujan has seen a substantial gain in his exit velocity lately; just compare his 91.7-mph average in the past week to his seasonal 86.2-mph mark.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Tommy Pham in the 81st percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability.

Tommy Pham is projected to hit 1st in the batting order in this matchup.

Tommy Pham hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.3% — 96th percentile) and is fortunate to face baseball’s 6th-shallowest CF fences in today’s matchup.

Compared to his seasonal average of 8.9°, Lenyn Sosa has significantly improved his launch angle of late, posting a 15.5° mark over the last 14 days.

As it relates to his wOBA and overall offense, Lenyn Sosa has had bad variance on his side this year. His .291 rate falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .334.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jake Burger in the 94th percentile when estimating his home run skill.

Jake Burger is projected to bat 5th in the lineup today.

Home field advantage generally boosts hitter metrics across the board, and Jake Burger will hold that advantage in today’s game.

Sporting a 1.98 K/BB rate this year, Tommy Pham has displayed favorable plate discipline, placing in the 76th percentile.

Andrew Vaughn has been hot recently, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 90.9-mph to 93.1-mph in the past 7 days.

Compared to his seasonal average of 16.6°, Andrew Vaughn has significantly improved his launch angle in recent games, posting a 19.8° mark in the last week.

The Miami Marlins have 3 hitters in their projected batting order today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (via the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Dane Myers, Jake Burger, Jazz Chisholm Jr.).

It may be wise to expect positive regression for the Miami Marlins offense in future games, considering that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) sees them as the unluckiest offense in the league this year.

The #5 park in MLB for boosting walks, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is LoanDepot Park.

Paul DeJong has seen a sizeable gain in his exit velocity on flyballs lately; just compare his 101.3-mph average over the last week to his seasonal EV of 93.6-mph.

Last year, Paul DeJong had an average launch angle of 15.5° on his hardest-hit balls, while this year it has significantly increased to 20.9°.

Paul DeJong’s ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has increased recently, going from 41.1% on the season to 58.3% in the past week’s worth of games.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bryan De La Cruz in the 89th percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent.

Bryan De La Cruz is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup today.

Bryan De La Cruz will benefit from the home field advantage in today’s game, which ought to boost all of his stats.

Home field advantage generally improves hitter stats across the board, and Jesus Sanchez will hold that advantage today.

Jesus Sanchez has seen a significant improvement in his exit velocity this year; just compare his 93.3-mph average to last year’s 90.3-mph average.

Jake Burger has been unlucky this year, posting a .262 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .323 — a .061 disparity.

When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Jazz Chisholm Jr. ranks in the 86th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Jazz Chisholm Jr. will hold the home field advantage in today’s game, which ought to improve all of his stats.

Jazz Chisholm Jr.’s average launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls of late (21° over the last 14 days) is significantly higher than his 13° seasonal angle.

Josh Bell’s launch angle this year (12.3°) is considerably higher than his 8.7° figure last year.

Compared to his seasonal average of 12.3°, Josh Bell has significantly improved his launch angle of late, posting a 29.4° figure in the last week’s worth of games.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Luis Robert in the 94th percentile when assessing his BABIP talent.

Luis Robert’s launch angle lately (18.9° in the last two weeks’ worth of games) is considerably better than his 13.8° seasonal figure.

When it comes to power, Luis Robert is ranked in the 98th percentile, having averaged 36.9 home runs per 600 plate appearances since the start of last season.

Andrew Benintendi has been unlucky this year, posting a .238 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .313 — a .075 difference.

When estimating his home run ability, Paul DeJong ranks in the 87th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Paul DeJong’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better of late, increasing from 15.6% on the season to 25% over the past 7 days.

Ranking in the 94th percentile for power, Paul DeJong has paced 32.6 HRs per 600 plate appearances this year.

As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Jake Burger ranks in the 85th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bryan De La Cruz in the 79th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill.

Over the past week, Bryan De La Cruz’s exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 95.4-mph over the course of the season to 100.5-mph in recent games.

Compared to his seasonal average of 13.7°, Bryan De La Cruz has significantly improved his launch angle of late, posting a 31° angle in the past week.

When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Jesus Sanchez ranks in the 83rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Sunday Series Game 3 player match stat slumps with White Sox vs Marlins Matchup

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Xavier Edwards in the 4th percentile when assessing his home run skill.

Xavier Edwards is penciled in 7th in the batting order today.

The #9 ballpark in Major League Baseball for suppressing home runs to lefties, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is LoanDepot Park.

LoanDepot Park has the 4th-deepest right field dimensions in Major League Baseball.

LoanDepot Park’s altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest in MLB, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to worse offense.

The LoanDepot Park roof figures to be closed today, making the temperature in this match-up -11° colder than the average outdoor game of the day — favorable for pitching.

Over the last 7 days, Jazz Chisholm Jr.’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 11.9% down to 0%.

Jazz Chisholm Jr. has been cold in recent games, with his seasonal exit velocity of 88.8-mph dropping to 85.2-mph over the last week.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nick Fortes in the 1st percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability.

Nick Fortes is penciled in 9th in the lineup today.

Given Jonathan Cannon’s large platoon split, Nick Fortes will be at a massive disadvantage hitting from the same side of the dish in this game.

Batting from the same side that Edward Cabrera throws from, Luis Robert will be in a tough position in today’s game.

Today, Luis Robert is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 8th-deepest LF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the pull field at a 34% rate (80th percentile).

Luis Robert will be at a disadvantage playing on the road today.

Today, Jesus Sanchez is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 8th-deepest LF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the opposite field at a 38.3% rate (94th percentile).

Jesus Sanchez’s ability to hit the ball at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has decreased of late, falling from 41.2% on the season to 34.6% over the last 14 days.

When it comes to plate discipline, Jesus Sanchez’s ability is quite weak, putting up a 4.22 K/BB rate this year while grading out in in the 14th percentile.

Hitting from the same side that Edward Cabrera throws from, Andrew Vaughn will be in a tough position in today’s game.

Playing on the road generally lowers batter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Andrew Vaughn in today’s game.

As it relates to plate discipline, Andrew Vaughn’s talent is quite poor, sporting a 3.8 K/BB rate this year while placing in in the 19th percentile.

Andrew Benintendi will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today’s matchup.

In the past week, Andrew Benintendi’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 5.3% down to 0%.

Andrew Benintendi’s average exit velocity has fallen off in recent games; his 88.1-mph seasonal mark has dropped off to 84.8-mph in the past week.

In his last game started, Edward Cabrera didn’t have his best stuff when it came to striking batters out and only managed to post 1 Ks.

With a 1.18 gap between Edward Cabrera’s 11.09 K/9 and his 9.91 estimated true talent K/9 (via the leading projection system, THE BAT), it’s safe to say he’s been one of the most fortunate pitchers in the league since the start of last season when it comes to strikeouts and figures to perform worse in the future.

Today, Josh Bell is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 8th-deepest LF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the opposite field at a 34.6% rate (82nd percentile).

Josh Bell’s average exit velocity has declined recently; his 88.1-mph seasonal average has lowered to 85.3-mph in the past 7 days.

Utilizing Statcast data, Josh Bell grades out in the 20th percentile for hitting ability according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) this year at .283.

When estimating his home run ability, Nicky Lopez ranks in the 1st percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Nicky Lopez is projected to bat 8th on the lineup card in this matchup.

When starting against a northpaw this year, Nicky Lopez has been pinch hit for 11% of the time.

As a switch-hitter who performs worse from the 0 side of the plate, Xavier Edwards will face a mismatch against Jonathan Cannon and his large platoon split in this game.

Lenyn Sosa is projected to hit 7th on the lineup card in this game.

Batting from the same side that Edward Cabrera throws from, Lenyn Sosa will have a tough matchup in today’s matchup.

Lenyn Sosa has a 92nd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.2%) and will have to hit them out towards the game’s 4th-deepest RF fences in today’s matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Vidal Brujan in the 9th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent.

Vidal Brujan is projected to hit 8th in the batting order in today’s game.

Hitting from the same side that Edward Cabrera throws from, Tommy Pham will not have the upper hand in today’s game.

Tommy Pham will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today’s matchup.

In the last week, Tommy Pham’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 5.3% down to 0%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles LoanDepot Park as the 9th-worst stadium in the game for RHB home runs.

Jonathan Cannon will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jake Burger in today’s game… and it’s an even larger mismatch considering Cannon’s large platoon split.

Today, Jake Burger is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 8th-deepest LF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the pull field at a 35.6% rate (90th percentile).

Jake Burger has taken a step back with his Barrel%; his 16.8% rate last year has dropped to 10.5% this season.

As it relates to his strikeout skill, the leading projection system (THE BAT) forecasts Jonathan Cannon in the 19th percentile among all SPs in MLB.

Projected catcher Korey Lee grades out as a weak pitch framer, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Playing on the road generally weakens pitcher stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Jonathan Cannon in today’s game.

Jonathan Cannon has experienced some positive variance in regards to his strikeouts this year, putting up a 7.38 K/9 despite the leading projection system (THE BAT) estimating his true talent level to be 6.95 — a 0.44 K/9 deviation.

Jonathan Cannon has recorded a .313 BABIP this year, a sign that he has been one of the unluckiest mound aces in the league on balls in play with better performance likely coming.

As it relates to his home run ability, Vidal Brujan ranks in the 7th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Paul DeJong in the 7th percentile when estimating his batting average talent.

Paul DeJong is penciled in 6th in the batting order in today’s game.

Edward Cabrera will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Paul DeJong today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nicky Lopez in the 9th percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent.

Considering Jonathan Cannon’s large platoon split, Bryan De La Cruz will be at a massive disadvantage batting from the same side of the dish today.

Bryan De La Cruz has a 78th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.1%) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards the game’s 4th-deepest RF fences in today’s game.

When it comes to his home runs, Bryan De La Cruz has experienced some positive variance this year. His 24.3 HR per 600 plate appearances mark has been inflated compared to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected HR/600 at 21.8.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nick Fortes in the 11th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Andrew Benintendi in the 21st percentile as it relates to his home run talent.

Bryan De La Cruz has displayed weak plate discipline this year, placing in the 14th percentile with a 4.21 K/BB rate.