Tigers vs Rockies match player stats | 2025 Wednesday, May 7th

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Tigers vs Rockies match player stats | 2025 Wednesday, May 7th

DET @ COL

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Matchup Details

Detroit Tigers at Colorado Rockies

Todays Game is on Wednesday, May 7th
07/05/25 20:40:00 PM EST First Pitch

Positive Match Player Stats for Tigers vs Rockies Matchup Today

When assessing his home run talent, Brenton Doyle ranks in the 82nd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Brenton Doyle is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Coors Field as the 3rd-best ballpark in the game for righty home runs.

Built 5197 feet above sea level, Coors Field has the highest elevation among all major league stadiums, which often leads to better offense.

The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 10.6-mph in this game, the 3rd-most-favorable of the day for hitters.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brenton Doyle in the 77th percentile when estimating his BABIP talent.

Coors Field grades out as the #1 stadium in Major League Baseball for righty batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Coors Field as the best ballpark in Major League Baseball for run-scoring.

Kyle Freeland will have the handedness advantage over Trey Sweeney today.

Trey Sweeney is assured to hold the platoon advantage against every reliever all game as none of the available options for the Colorado Rockies share his handedness.

The #1 stadium in MLB for boosting batting average to left-handed batters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Coors Field.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Coors Field as the 3rd-best venue in MLB for left-handed home runs.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jordan Beck in the 80th percentile when assessing his home run ability.

Jordan Beck is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in this game.

Out of all the teams on the slate today, the 3rd-worst infield defense is that of the the Detroit Tigers.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Colt Keith in the 80th percentile when estimating his batting average ability.

Colt Keith is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in this game.

Batting from the same side that Kyle Freeland throws from, Colt Keith will have a disadvantage today.

It may be best to expect improved performance for the Colorado Rockies offense the rest of the season, given that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) sees them as the unluckiest offense in Major League Baseball this year.

The #1 ballpark in Major League Baseball for boosting batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Coors Field.

Jackson Jobe is an extreme flyball pitcher (34.9% FB% per the leading projection system, THE BAT) and is stuck pitching in the #5 HR venue among all major league stadiums in this matchup.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), the offense with the most strikeout-heavy lineup in today’s games is the Colorado Rockies with a 27.8% underlying K%.

The Detroit Tigers have been the 4th-luckiest offense in the league this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to negatively regress going forward,Chase Dollander will benefit from the home field advantage in today’s game, which figures to bolster all of his stats across the board.

Out of all starting pitchers, Chase Dollander’s fastball velocity of 96.9 mph is in the 98th percentile this year.

Among all starters, Chase Dollander’s fastball spin rate of 2399 rpm grades out in the 82nd percentile this year.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Chase Dollander in the 82nd percentile as it relates to his strikeout ability.

Per the leading projection system (THE BAT X), the team with the 2nd-most strikeout-prone lineup in today’s games is the Detroit Tigers with a 24.8% underlying K%.

Typically, batters like Javier Baez who hit a lot of groundballs generally hit worse when facing pitchers who also induce a lot of groundballs such as Kyle Freeland.

In the past week, Javier Baez’s Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 5.6% up to 18.8%.

Kyle Farmer will hold the home field advantage in today’s game, which should improve all of his stats.

Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected HR per 600 plate appearances (12.2) suggests that Kyle Farmer has been unlucky since the start of last season with his 8.7 actual HR/600.

Ryan McMahon is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup.

Batting from the opposite that Casey Mize throws from, Ryan McMahon will have an edge today.

As it relates to his home run ability, Ryan McMahon ranks in the 79th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Zach McKinstry is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup in this game.

Hitting from the same side that Kyle Freeland throws from, Zach McKinstry meets a tough challenge today.

As it relates to his home run talent, Mickey Moniak ranks in the 80th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Mickey Moniak will hold the platoon advantage against Casey Mize in today’s matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Gleyber Torres in the 85th percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill.

Gleyber Torres is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Gleyber Torres in the 89th percentile when estimating his batting average talent.

Nick Martini will hold the platoon advantage over Casey Mize in today’s game.

Home field advantage generally boosts batter metrics in all categories, and Nick Martini will hold that advantage in today’s game.

As it relates to his home run ability, Spencer Torkelson ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Spencer Torkelson has made big strides with his Barrel%, bettering his 6.8% rate last year to 17% this year.

When assessing his overall offensive ability, Spencer Torkelson ranks in the 81st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Riley Greene ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Riley Greene is penciled in 4th in the lineup today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Riley Greene as the 4th-best hitter in the majors as it relates to his BABIP talent.

Dillon Dingler’s BABIP skill is projected in the 76th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Dillon Dingler ranks in the 92nd percentile when it comes to hitting balls between 23° and 34°, the launch angle range that tends to best-produce home runs (21% rate since the start of last season).

In the last 7 days, Dillon Dingler’s swing has been well optimized for home runs, notching a 23.1% of balls hit with a launch angle in the optimal range of 23° to 34°.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Michael Toglia in the 90th percentile as it relates to his home run ability.

Michael Toglia is projected to bat 5th in the batting order today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kerry Carpenter in the 95th percentile when it comes to his home run talent.

Kerry Carpenter is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card in today’s game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kerry Carpenter in the 94th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability.

Negative Match Player Stats with Tigers vs Rockies

The weather forecast expects temperatures in this game to drop to the 3rd-lowest level of all games today at 55,°, which is highly linked to an decrease in offense (and an increase in strikeouts).

Casey Mize will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Brenton Doyle in today’s game.

Brenton Doyle’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has decreased in recent games, going from 13.6% on the season to 9.7% in the past 14 days.

Posting a 3.59 K/BB rate since the start of last season, Brenton Doyle has demonstrated weak plate discipline, placing in the 24th percentile.

Trey Sweeney is projected to bat 8th in the lineup today.

Trey Sweeney will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today’s game.

Batting from the same side that Casey Mize throws from, Jordan Beck will be in a tough position in today’s matchup.

Jordan Beck’s ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has fallen off from last season to this one, falling from 46.2% to 38%.

When it comes to his wOBA and overall offense, Jordan Beck has experienced some positive variance this year. His .374 figure has been considerably higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .313.

Posting a 5.11 K/BB rate since the start of last season, Jordan Beck has displayed bad plate discipline, placing in the 17th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jordan Beck in the 23rd percentile when it comes to his batting average ability.

Playing on the road generally weakens batter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Colt Keith today.

Colt Keith’s average exit velocity has decreased this year; his 87.8-mph EV last year has fallen off to 85.3-mph.

Colt Keith’s ability to hit the ball at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has decreased recently, decreasing from 34.4% on the season to 18.8% over the past two weeks.

Grading out in the 20th percentile, Colt Keith sports a .185 Isolated Power rate (ISO) since the start of last season.

The weakest projected batting order of all teams on the slate in terms of overall hitting skill is that of the Colorado Rockies.

Jackson Jobe’s 96-mph fastball velocity this year ranks in the 93rd percentile among all SPs.

Jackson Jobe’s 2411-rpm fastball spin rate this year grades out in the 81st percentile out of all SPs.

The Colorado Rockies have done a poor job as a team optimizing their launch angles on their hardest-hit balls. Their 6.9° mark is among the lowest in the game this year (#30 overall).

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jackson Jobe to throw 83 pitches in this matchup (3rd-least on the slate today), considering both his underlying tendencies and the matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Coors Field as the worst stadium in MLB for strikeouts.

Jackson Jobe will be at a disadvantage playing away from home today.

With 6 batters of the opposite hand in the opposing team’s projected batting order, Chase Dollander will be at a disadvantage while lacking the platoon advantage in most plate appearances in this outing.

Chase Dollander is an extreme flyball pitcher (35.9% FB% via the leading projection system, THE BAT) and has the misfortune of pitching in the #5 HR venue among all stadiums in today’s game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Javier Baez in the 25th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent.

Javier Baez is penciled in 9th in the lineup today.

Javier Baez will have the handedness advantage against Kyle Freeland in today’s matchup.

Javier Baez will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today’s matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kyle Farmer in the 21st percentile when assessing his home run skill.

Kyle Farmer has primarily hit in the top-half of the batting order this year (52% of the time), but he is projected to bat 7th on the lineup card in this game.

Casey Mize will have the handedness advantage over Kyle Farmer in today’s game.

Kyle Farmer has been cold lately, with his seasonal exit velocity of 87.1-mph dropping to 83.8-mph in the last two weeks’ worth of games.

When assessing his overall offensive skill, Kyle Farmer ranks in the 23rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Ryan McMahon’s batting average ability is projected to be in the 19th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

In the last two weeks’ worth of games, Ryan McMahon’s 29.6% rate of hitting balls at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 44.3%.

Posting a .355 Slugging Percentage (SLG) since the start of last season, Ryan McMahon grades out in the 21st percentile.

Ryan McMahon has notched a .213 batting average since the start of last season, placing in the 12th percentile.

Zach McKinstry will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today’s game.

Power-wise, Zach McKinstry is ranked in the 7th percentile, having paced 6.4 HRs per 600 plate appearances since the start of last season.

Mickey Moniak is projected to hit 8th on the lineup card in today’s game.

12% of the time that Mickey Moniak has started against a northpaw this year, he has been pinch hit for.

Extreme groundball bats like Mickey Moniak are generally more successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Casey Mize.

Mickey Moniak has struggled with his Barrel% in recent games; his 8.5% seasonal rate has dropped off to 0% in the past week’s worth of games.

Gleyber Torres will have the handedness advantage against Kyle Freeland in today’s matchup.

Gleyber Torres will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team today.

Gleyber Torres has been lucky in regards to his home runs since the start of last season; his 15.0 HR per 600 plate appearances figure is a good deal higher than his 12.5 Expected HR/600, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

Gleyber Torres has had some very good luck with his batting average since the start of last season; his .262 rate is a fair amount higher than his .245 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

Nick Martini’s BABIP ability is projected in the 25th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Nick Martini is penciled in 6th in the lineup in this matchup.

28% of the time that Nick Martini has started against a right-handed starter this year, he has been lifted for a pinch-hitter.

Nick Martini’s exit velocity on flyballs has declined this year; his 90.4-mph EV last year has lowered to 83.8-mph.

Nick Martini’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has declined from last season to this one, decreasing from 18.9% to 5.1%.

Spencer Torkelson is projected to hit 6th in the lineup in this matchup, which would be a downgrade from his 97% rate of hitting in the top-half of the lineup this season.

Spencer Torkelson will have the handedness advantage over Kyle Freeland in today’s matchup.

Extreme flyball bats like Spencer Torkelson tend to perform better against extreme groundball pitchers like Kyle Freeland.

Playing on the road generally weakens batter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Spencer Torkelson today.

Playing on the road generally lowers batter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Riley Greene today.

Riley Greene has had positive variance on his side thus far when it comes to with his wOBA this year; his .345 mark is a good deal higher than his .307 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

Dillon Dingler is penciled in 9th in the batting order in today’s game.

Dillon Dingler will hold the platoon advantage over Kyle Freeland in today’s game.

Dillon Dingler will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player today.

Dillon Dingler has been cold in recent games, with his seasonal exit velocity of 90.3-mph dropping to 86.2-mph in the past week.

Michael Toglia has been cold lately, with his seasonal exit velocity of 89.8-mph dropping to 86-mph in the past two weeks’ worth of games.

Michael Toglia’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has declined from last season to this one, falling from 17.6% to 8.9%.

In the last week’s worth of games, Michael Toglia’s 0% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 8.9%.

Michael Toglia has had positive variance on his side thus far when it comes to his home runs since the start of last season; his 28.7 HR per 600 plate appearances figure is a good deal higher than his 25.5 Expected HR/600, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

Michael Toglia’s batting average skill is projected to be in the 3rd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Kerry Carpenter will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today’s matchup.

Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Batting Average (.268) may lead us to conclude that Kerry Carpenter has experienced some positive variance since the start of last season with his .287 actual batting average.

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