
DET @ TOR






Todays Series Game 2 Matchup Details
Series Game 2
Todays Game is on Saturday, July 20th
20/07/24 15:07:00 PM EST First Pitch
Player match stat positives for Detroit at Toronto Series Game 2 Matchup Today
Justyn-Henry Malloy is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in this game, which would be an upgrade from his 93% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this season.
The 6th-shallowest centerfield fences among all major league parks are found in Rogers Centre.
The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 10.4-mph in this contest, the 2nd-strongest of the day for bats.
Justyn-Henry Malloy will hold the platoon advantage against Yusei Kikuchi today.
Justyn-Henry Malloy’s average launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls in recent games (25.8° over the last two weeks) is considerably better than his 22.7° seasonal figure.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Vladimir Guerrero Jr. as the 3rd-best batter in baseball when it comes to his batting average ability.
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in today’s game.
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.7% — 88th percentile) and is fortunate to face the game’s 10th-shallowest CF fences in today’s matchup.
The Detroit Tigers infield defense projects as the worst among all the teams on the slate today.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alejandro Kirk in the 86th percentile when assessing his batting average ability.
The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 12.3-mph in this contest, the strongest of the day for bats.
The Detroit Tigers infield defense projects as the 2nd-worst among all the teams on the slate today.
Alejandro Kirk will hold the home field advantage in today’s game, which ought to bolster all of his stats.
Jake Rogers will hold the platoon advantage against Yusei Kikuchi today.
When it comes to his home runs, Jake Rogers has had bad variance on his side this year. His 18.5 HR per 600 plate appearances rate has been significantly deflated relative to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected HR/600 at 23.4.
Jake Rogers’s 96.2-mph exit velocity on flyballs (an advanced standard to evaluate power) is in the 93rd percentile this year.
Wenceel Perez is projected to hit 5th in the lineup in this game.
The Detroit Tigers have 9 bats in the projected lineup that will have the handedness advantage against Yusei Kikuchi today.
Yusei Kikuchi gave up a monstrous 7 earned runs in his last outing.
Considering Jack Flaherty’s large platoon split, Kevin Kiermaier will have a massive advantage hitting from the opposite side of the dish today.
Kevin Kiermaier will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which figures to boost all of his stats.
Andy Ibanez is projected to bat 1st in the batting order in this matchup.
The #8 field in the league for boosting home runs to righties, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Rogers Centre.
Hitting from the opposite that Yusei Kikuchi throws from, Andy Ibanez will have the upper hand in today’s matchup.
Andy Ibanez hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.9% — 91st percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting out towards baseball’s 10th-shallowest CF fences in today’s game.
Considering Jack Flaherty’s large platoon split, Daulton Varsho will have an enormous advantage batting from the opposite side of the dish in today’s matchup.
Home field advantage generally boosts hitter stats in all categories, and Daulton Varsho will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.
Hitting from the opposite that Yusei Kikuchi throws from, Gio Urshela will have an edge today.
Compared to his seasonal average of 7.1°, Gio Urshela has significantly improved his launch angle in recent games, posting a 10.3° angle in the past two weeks.
Gio Urshela’s batting average talent is projected to be in the 90th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Spencer Horwitz in the 85th percentile as it relates to his batting average skill.
Spencer Horwitz is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in this game.
Considering Jack Flaherty’s large platoon split, Spencer Horwitz will have an enormous advantage hitting from the opposite side of the dish in today’s game.
Justin Turner is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in this matchup.
Justin Turner will hold the home field advantage in today’s game, which figures to bolster all of his stats.
As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Davis Schneider ranks in the 88th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
Davis Schneider will hold the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which ought to boost all of his stats.
When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Mark Canha ranks in the 80th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
Mark Canha is penciled in 4th in the lineup in this game.
Hitting from the opposite that Yusei Kikuchi throws from, Mark Canha will have an edge today.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Colt Keith in the 79th percentile as it relates to his batting average skill.
Colt Keith hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38% — 75th percentile) and is fortunate to face the game’s 10th-shallowest CF fences in today’s game.
In the last two weeks’ worth of games, Colt Keith’s exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 88.5-mph over the course of the season to 93.4-mph recently.
Over the past two weeks, Colt Keith’s 26.1% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 19.4%.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Matt Vierling in the 82nd percentile as it relates to his BABIP skill.
Matt Vierling is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order in today’s game.
Hitting from the opposite that Yusei Kikuchi throws from, Matt Vierling will have an advantage in today’s matchup.
The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Rogers Centre as the 8th-best venue in the game for LHB home runs.
Recording 92.2 adjusted pitches per start this year on average, Yusei Kikuchi places him the 76th percentile.
As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Spencer Horwitz ranks in the 81st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
Reese Olson has averaged 93.1 adjusted pitches per GS this year, ranking in the 80th percentile.
Jake Rogers, the Tigers’s expected catcher today, grades out as an elite pitch framer according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).
Rogers Centre profiles as the #6 stadium in the majors for strikeouts, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).
Reese Olson will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against 6 opposing bats in this game.
When estimating his overall offensive skill, George Springer ranks in the 91st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
George Springer is projected to hit 1st in the lineup in this game.
Ernie Clement will possess the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which should bolster all of his stats.
In terms of his wOBA and overall offense, Ernie Clement has experienced some negative variance this year. His .300 mark falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .326.
Danny Jansen is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in this matchup.
Home field advantage generally boosts hitter metrics in all categories, and Danny Jansen will hold that advantage today.
Hitting from the opposite that Yusei Kikuchi throws from, Javier Baez will have the upper hand in today’s matchup.
Javier Baez has been unlucky this year, notching a .203 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .290 — a .087 gap.
Ernie Clement’s batting average ability is projected to be in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
The Detroit Tigers infield defense projects as the 4th-worst among all the teams on the slate today.
There has been a significant improvement in Andy Ibanez’s launch angle from last season’s 12.6° to 19.2° this season.
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. projects as the 7th-best batter in the majors, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Leo Jimenez will possess the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which ought to bolster all of his stats.
In the past 14 days, Leo Jimenez has been performing exceptionally well at the plate with a wOBA of .405.
When assessing his home run talent, Davis Schneider ranks in the 91st percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Batting from the opposite that Yusei Kikuchi throws from, Carson Kelly will have an advantage today.
Carson Kelly hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.6% — 87th percentile) and is fortunate to face the game’s 10th-shallowest CF fences in today’s game.
Carson Kelly has seen a significant increase in his exit velocity on flyballs this season; just compare his 93.6-mph average to last season’s 90.3-mph figure.
Over the past 14 days, Carson Kelly’s 25% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 13.8%.
Jake Rogers has been unlucky this year, putting up a .260 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .287 — a .027 disparity.
When estimating his BABIP skill, Riley Greene is projected as the 5th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Riley Greene is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in today’s game.
Riley Greene hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.6% — 87th percentile) and is fortunate to face MLB’s 10th-shallowest CF fences today.
Riley Greene has seen a notable improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs of late; just compare his 105.2-mph average in the last week to his seasonal figure of 96.2-mph.
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT)’s evaluation, Reese Olson’s overall pitching talent grades out in the 84th percentile among all starting pitchers in Major League Baseball currently.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jake Rogers in the 83rd percentile as it relates to his home run ability.
Ryan Vilade will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Yusei Kikuchi in today’s matchup.
Over the past 7 days, Ryan Vilade’s Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 6.7% up to 20%.
In the last week, Ryan Vilade’s 20% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 6.7%.
As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Alejandro Kirk ranks in the 81st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
Alejandro Kirk has seen a sizeable gain in his exit velocity this season; just compare his 90.5-mph average to last season’s 87.5-mph average.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Leo Jimenez in the 79th percentile when estimating his batting average skill.
When it comes to his home run skill, Daulton Varsho ranks in the 88th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Danny Jansen in the 87th percentile when it comes to his home run ability.
As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Riley Greene ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
When estimating his strikeout skill, the leading projection system (THE BAT) forecasts Yusei Kikuchi in the 91st percentile among all SPs in the league.
Yusei Kikuchi will benefit from the home field advantage today, which ought to bolster all of his stats in all categories.
Saturday Series Game 2 player match stat slumps with Tigers vs Blue Jays Matchup
Justyn-Henry Malloy has been pulled from the game early 26% of the time when starting against a left-handed pitcher this year.
The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Rogers Centre as the 7th-worst ballpark in the majors for right-handed batting average.
Among every team playing today, the 3rd-strongest infield defense belongs to the Toronto Blue Jays.
Justyn-Henry Malloy will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player today.
Justyn-Henry Malloy has been cold recently, with his seasonal exit velocity of 87-mph dropping to 84.4-mph in the last 14 days.
Among all major league parks, the 8th-highest fence height (on average) are at Rogers Centre.
Considering Jack Flaherty’s large platoon split, Vladimir Guerrero Jr. will be at a gigantic disadvantage batting from the same side of the plate today.
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.’s launch angle this year (6.1°) is quite a bit worse than his 10.2° mark last year.
Compared to his seasonal mark of 5.7°, Vladimir Guerrero Jr.’s average launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls has dropped significantly in recent games (0.6° in the past 14 days).
Alejandro Kirk is penciled in 7th in the lineup in this matchup.
Jack Flaherty will have the handedness advantage over Alejandro Kirk today… and it’s an even larger mismatch considering Flaherty’s large platoon split.
Alejandro Kirk has recorded a .280 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) this year, grading out in the 20th percentile.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jake Rogers in the 9th percentile when it comes to his batting average talent.
Jake Rogers is projected to bat 6th in the lineup in today’s game.
This year, Jake Rogers has been pinch hit for in 11% of his appearances when starting against lefty on the mound.
When estimating his home run skill, Wenceel Perez ranks in the 19th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Wenceel Perez will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today’s matchup.
The Detroit Tigers projected batting order profiles as the weakest on the slate today in terms of overall offensive ability.
Nestor Ceja projects as a Pitchers Umpire and is anticipated to be umping in this game.
The #8 ballpark in the majors for suppressing batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Rogers Centre.
When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Kevin Kiermaier ranks in the 13th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
Kevin Kiermaier is projected to bat 9th on the lineup card in this matchup.
24% of the time that Kevin Kiermaier has started against a right-handed starter this year, he has been lifted for a pinch-hitter.
The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Rogers Centre as the 7th-worst ballpark in the league for LHB batting average.
This year, Andy Ibanez has been pinch hit for in 43% of his appearances when starting against left-handed starter.
Playing on the road typically weakens batter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Andy Ibanez in today’s game.
Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (.276) implies that Andy Ibanez has been lucky this year with his .330 actual wOBA.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Daulton Varsho in the 5th percentile when estimating his BABIP ability.
Daulton Varsho is penciled in 6th in the batting order in this game.
Daulton Varsho has struggled with his Barrel% of late; his 6.1% seasonal rate has fallen off to 0% over the past two weeks.
As it relates to his home run ability, Gio Urshela ranks in the 13th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Gio Urshela has primarily hit in the top-half of the batting order this season (54% of the time), but he is projected to bat 8th in the lineup in this matchup.
12% of the time that Gio Urshela has started against a left-handed starter this year, he has been lifted for a pinch-hitter.
Gio Urshela will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today’s game.
In terms of his wOBA and overall offense, Justyn-Henry Malloy has been very fortunate this year. His .315 rate has been significantly inflated relative to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .269.
This year, Spencer Horwitz has been replaced by a pinch-hitter in 10% of his appearances when starting against righty hurler.
Spencer Horwitz has negatively regressed with his Barrel% in recent games; his 9.3% seasonal rate has decreased to 0% in the past 7 days.
Spencer Horwitz’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has fallen off in recent games, going from 18.6% on the season to 0% over the past 7 days.
Despite posting a .392 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Spencer Horwitz has experienced some positive variance given the .071 disparity between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .321.
Jack Flaherty will hold the platoon advantage over Justin Turner in today’s matchup… and it’s an even larger mismatch considering Flaherty’s large platoon split.
Justin Turner’s average exit velocity has decreased this season; his 89.5-mph figure last season has fallen off to 87-mph.
In the last two weeks’ worth of games, Justin Turner has recorded a mere a 0% Barrel%, indicating a decline in power ability.
Davis Schneider is penciled in 7th in the batting order in today’s game, which would be a downgrade from his 63% rate of hitting in the top-half of the lineup this year.
Jack Flaherty will have the handedness advantage over Davis Schneider in today’s game… and it’s an even bigger mismatch considering Flaherty’s large platoon split.
Davis Schneider’s exit velocity on flyballs has declined this year; his 96.5-mph average last season has dropped off to 93.3-mph.
In notching a .228 Expected Batting Average (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) utilizing Statcast data) this year , Davis Schneider is ranked in the 22nd percentile.
Mark Canha will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player today.
Mark Canha’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has fallen off from last year to this one, going from 14.4% to 10.1%.
Colt Keith has primarily hit in the top-half of the lineup this season (53% of the time), but he is projected to bat 7th in the batting order in this matchup.
Yusei Kikuchi will hold the platoon advantage over Colt Keith in today’s matchup.
Among every team playing today, the 5th-strongest infield defense belongs to the Toronto Blue Jays.
Playing on the road typically lessens batter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Colt Keith in today’s matchup.
This year, Matt Vierling has been replaced by a pinch-hitter in 18% of his appearances when starting against lefty hurler.
Playing on the road typically lowers batter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Matt Vierling today.
Colt Keith’s 88.5-mph exit velocity on flyballs (an advanced stat to assess power) is in the 10th percentile this year.
In the last two weeks, Kevin Kiermaier’s average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls (-5.5°) has significantly dropped compared to his seasonal mark of 9.9°.
By putting up a .225 Expected Batting Average (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) based on Statcast data) this year , Mark Canha is ranked in the 18th percentile.
Via the leading projection system (THE BAT X), the offense with the least strikeout-heavy lineup on the slate today is the Toronto Blue Jays with a 21.1% underlying K%.
Playing on the road typically diminishes pitcher stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Reese Olson today.
Jack Flaherty will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against George Springer in today’s matchup… and it’s a particular mismatch considering Flaherty’s large platoon split.
George Springer has taken a step back with his Barrel% lately; his 8.4% seasonal rate has lowered to 0% in the past 7 days.
Over the past week, George Springer’s 0% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 15.8%.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ernie Clement in the 17th percentile when it comes to his home run talent.
Ernie Clement is projected to hit 7th on the lineup card in today’s game.
Jack Flaherty will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Ernie Clement in today’s matchup… and it’s an even larger mismatch considering Flaherty’s large platoon split.
Ernie Clement’s exit velocity on flyballs has declined lately; his 90.9-mph seasonal average has fallen to 85.6-mph over the past 7 days.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Danny Jansen in the 2nd percentile when assessing his BABIP talent.
Jack Flaherty will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Danny Jansen in today’s game… and it’s an even bigger mismatch considering Flaherty’s large platoon split.
This year, there has been a decline in Danny Jansen’s quickness with his Statcast Sprint Speed dropping from 27.12 ft/sec last year to 26.62 ft/sec currently.
In notching a .249 BABIP this year, George Springer is ranked in the 13th percentile.
Wenceel Perez has been cold in recent games, with his seasonal exit velocity of 87.4-mph dropping to 80-mph over the past 7 days.
In the past week, Wenceel Perez’s 0% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 14%.
Javier Baez is projected to bat 7th on the lineup card today.
This year, Javier Baez has been lifted for a pinch-hitter in 11% of his appearances when starting against southpaw.
Playing on the road generally weakens hitter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Javier Baez today.
Javier Baez’s exit velocity on flyballs has decreased this year; his 91.5-mph EV last year has decreased to 88.7-mph.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Leo Jimenez in the 13th percentile as it relates to his home run skill.
Leo Jimenez is projected to bat 8th in the lineup in today’s game.
Given Jack Flaherty’s large platoon split, Leo Jimenez will be at a huge disadvantage batting from the same side of the plate in this game.
Sporting a .229 Expected Batting Average (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) utilizing Statcast data) this year , Danny Jansen grades out in the 24th percentile.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Carson Kelly in the 11th percentile when estimating his BABIP ability.
Carson Kelly is penciled in 6th in the lineup in today’s game.
Carson Kelly will be at a disadvantage playing on the road today.
Carson Kelly’s average exit velocity has declined recently; his 89.6-mph seasonal mark has lowered to 87.4-mph in the past two weeks’ worth of games.
Hitting from the same side that Yusei Kikuchi throws from, Riley Greene will not have the upper hand in today’s matchup.
Riley Greene will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today’s matchup.
Sporting a 11.800 Expected Home Runs per 600 plate appearances (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) based on Statcast data) this year , Justin Turner grades out in the 22nd percentile for power.
The Toronto Blue Jays have been the 7th-unluckiest offense in the majors this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to perform better in future games, Matt Vierling has taken a step back with his Barrel% recently; his 10.3% seasonal rate has decreased to 0% in the past week.
In terms of his home runs, Carson Kelly has had some very good luck this year. His 22.3 HR per 600 plate appearances figure has been quite a bit higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected HR/600 at 16.2.
Jake Rogers will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today’s matchup.
Using Statcast data, Jake Rogers grades out in the 11th percentile for offensive ability per the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) this year at .273.
Leo Jimenez has exhibited some bad exit velocity metrics lately, averaging just 104-mph on the top 5% of his batted balls in the last two weeks’ worth of games.
Daulton Varsho has had positive variance on his side thus far when it comes to with his wOBA this year; his .297 mark is a fair amount higher than his .282 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.
When assessing his overall offensive skill, Ryan Vilade ranks in the 17th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
Ryan Vilade is penciled in 9th in the lineup today.
Grading out in the 7th percentile for power, Alejandro Kirk has paced 6 long-balls per 600 plate appearances this year.
Matt Vierling’s exit velocity on flyballs has decreased of late; his 91-mph seasonal figure has lowered to 84.6-mph in the past week’s worth of games.
Riley Greene has struggled with his Barrel% in recent games; his 13.4% seasonal rate has dropped off to 0% in the last 7 days.
Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected HR per 600 plate appearances (8.7) implies that Mark Canha has had some very good luck this year with his 12.2 actual HR/600.
Mark Canha’s 3.5% Barrel% (an advanced stat to study power) ranks in the 12th percentile this year.
The standard deviation of Leo Jimenez’s launch angle has been very inconsistent recently (19.2° over the past 14 days), which is a proxy for poor bat control and not seeing the ball well.
Playing on the road generally lowers batter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Ryan Vilade today.
Placing in the 8th percentile, the hardest ball Danny Jansen has connected with this year reached a maximum exit velocity of 106.7 mph — a reliable indication of underlying power ability.
Riley Greene’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has decreased recently, falling from 18.2% on the season to 0% in the past 7 days.
Ernie Clement’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has dropped off lately, going from 21% on the season to 0% in the past 7 days.
Ryan Vilade has been cold lately, with his seasonal exit velocity of 89.5-mph dropping to 83.8-mph over the last week.
Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Batting Average (.218) may lead us to conclude that Andy Ibanez has experienced some positive variance this year with his .288 actual batting average.
