Todays Game 3 Matchup Details

Player match stat positives for Kansas City at Chicago Game 3 Matchup Today

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Guaranteed Rate Field as the 7th-best stadium in Major League Baseball for righty home runs.

Guaranteed Rate Field has the 4th-smallest outfield among all parks — generally good for long-balls.

The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.7-mph in this match-up, the 4th-strongest of the day for bats.

Korey Lee will possess the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which should boost all of his stats.

As it relates to his batting average, Korey Lee has suffered from bad luck this year. His .216 BA falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .236.

When assessing his batting average skill, Bobby Witt Jr. is projected as the 6th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Bobby Witt Jr. is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup.

Bobby Witt Jr. has an 89th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.5%) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting them out towards MLB’s 9th-shallowest RF fences in today’s matchup.

Guaranteed Rate Field projects as the #7 park in baseball for left-handed home runs, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Kyle Isbel will hold the platoon advantage over Drew Thorpe in today’s matchup.

In the last two weeks’ worth of games, Kyle Isbel’s 60% rate of hitting balls at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 41.1%.

Riley Baldwin pulls a lot of his flyballs (34.2% — 81st percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards MLB’s 9th-shallowest RF fences in today’s matchup.

Riley Baldwin will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today’s game, which should improve all of his stats.

Notching a 92.6-mph average exit velocity over the past week, Riley Baldwin has been in great form in recent games.

Nicky Lopez is projected to hit 1st in the lineup today, which would be an upgrade from his 63% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this season.

Nicky Lopez will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Brady Singer in today’s game… and the cherry on top, Singer has a large platoon split.

Nicky Lopez has a 100th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (44.3%) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league’s 5th-shallowest LF fences today.

Home field advantage typically improves batter metrics across the board, and Nicky Lopez will hold that advantage in today’s game.

Gavin Sheets is projected to hit 5th in the lineup today.

Gavin Sheets will have the handedness advantage against Brady Singer today… and moreover, Singer has a large platoon split.

Gavin Sheets pulls many of his flyballs (33.8% — 80th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting them towards MLB’s 9th-shallowest RF fences in today’s matchup.

Riley Baldwin has been lifting the ball well recently, putting up a 32.5° launch angle over the past 14 days.

Tallying 93.5 adjusted pitches per outing this year on average, Brady Singer falls in the 85th percentile.

Because groundball hitters struggle against groundball pitchers, Brady Singer (48.3% GB% via the leading projection system, THE BAT) is well-situated in today’s game with 2 GB hitters in the opposing club’s projected batting order.

Brady Singer’s sinker utilization has dropped by 11% from last season to this one (51.1% to 40.1%) .

Brady Singer has put up a 24.8% strikeout rate this year, grading out in the 78th percentile.

When assessing his overall offensive ability, Salvador Perez ranks in the 81st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Salvador Perez is projected to hit 4th in the lineup today.

Salvador Perez pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (36.4% — 93rd percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the game’s 5th-shallowest LF fences in today’s matchup.

There has been a significant improvement in Salvador Perez’s launch angle from last year’s 15.3° to 19° this season.

Hunter Renfroe pulls a lot of his flyballs (40.3% — 98th percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting them towards the league’s 5th-shallowest LF fences in today’s game.

Hunter Renfroe has seen a sizeable gain in his exit velocity on flyballs in recent games; just compare his 95.5-mph average over the last 14 days to his seasonal figure of 92.1-mph.

There has been a significant improvement in Hunter Renfroe’s launch angle from last season’s 14.9° to 18.7° this year.

Hitting from the opposite that Drew Thorpe throws from, Adam Frazier will have the upper hand today.

Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Batting Average (.244) suggests that Adam Frazier has experienced some negative variance this year with his .197 actual batting average.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Luis Robert in the 95th percentile as it relates to his BABIP ability.

Luis Robert is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in today’s game.

Luis Robert pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (33.5% — 77th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the game’s 5th-shallowest LF fences in today’s matchup.

When estimating his home run ability, Salvador Perez ranks in the 91st percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects MJ Melendez in the 88th percentile when it comes to his home run ability.

MJ Melendez is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in this matchup.

Batting from the opposite that Drew Thorpe throws from, MJ Melendez will have an advantage in today’s game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Guaranteed Rate Field as the 7th-worst stadium in the game for base hits.

Home field advantage generally bolsters pitcher stats in all categories, and Andrew Thorpe will hold that advantage in today’s game.

Andrew Thorpe’s high usage rate of his secondary pitches (67% this year) should work in his favor since they are typically much more effective than fastballs.

Kansas City has performed as the #29 club in the majors when it comes to hitting balls between -4° and 26°, the launch angle range that tends to result the most in base hits (41.1% rate this year).

With a 1.53 deviation between Andrew Thorpe’s 5.72 K/9 and his 7.25 estimated true talent K/9 (via the leading projection system, THE BAT), it’s safe to say he’s been one of the unluckiest pitchers in the majors this year as it relates to strikeouts and should see better results in the future.

Maikel Garcia has a 96th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (39.2%) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards baseball’s 9th-shallowest RF fences today.

Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (.311) suggests that Maikel Garcia has experienced some negative variance this year with his .278 actual wOBA.

As it relates to his overall offensive talent, MJ Melendez ranks in the 77th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

MJ Melendez pulls a lot of his flyballs (35% — 86th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards baseball’s 9th-shallowest RF fences in today’s matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Maikel Garcia in the 91st percentile when assessing his BABIP talent.

As it relates to his batting average, Maikel Garcia has had bad variance on his side this year. His .238 rate falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .279.

Home field advantage generally boosts batter stats across the board, and Nick Senzel will hold that advantage today.

Nick Senzel’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better from last year to this one, going from 11.4% to 22.1%.

When estimating his overall offensive talent, Vinnie Pasquantino ranks in the 88th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Vinnie Pasquantino is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in this game.

Batting from the opposite that Drew Thorpe throws from, Vinnie Pasquantino will have an advantage in today’s matchup.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Bobby Witt Jr. ranks as the 13th-best hitter in Major League Baseball.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Andrew Vaughn in the 86th percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent.

Andrew Vaughn is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in this matchup.

Andrew Vaughn has a 75th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.6%) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting them out towards MLB’s 9th-shallowest RF fences in today’s matchup.

Home field advantage typically improves batter stats across the board, and Andrew Vaughn will hold that advantage today.

Hunter Renfroe’s ability to hit the ball at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has increased lately, rising from 35.1% on the season to 60% in the last week.

Bobby Witt Jr. has seen a substantial increase in his exit velocity this year; just compare his 92.9-mph average to last season’s 90.7-mph EV.

Michael Massey is projected to bat 1st in the batting order in this matchup.

Hitting from the opposite that Drew Thorpe throws from, Michael Massey will have an edge in today’s game.

Michael Massey pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (38.2% — 96th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards baseball’s 9th-shallowest RF fences in today’s matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Luis Robert in the 93rd percentile when assessing his home run skill.

As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Miguel Vargas ranks in the 81st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Miguel Vargas has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this season (95% of the time), but he is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup.

Gavin Sheets will benefit from the home field advantage today, which figures to bolster all of his stats.

Adam Frazier has experienced some negative variance in regards to his wOBA this year; his .257 mark is deflated compared to his .301 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

Home field advantage typically boosts hitter stats in all categories, and Luis Robert will hold that advantage in today’s game.

Extreme flyball batters like Miguel Vargas generally hit better against extreme groundball pitchers like Brady Singer.

It may be best to expect better numbers for the Chicago White Sox offense going forward, given that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) sees them as the 2nd-unluckiest offense in the game this year.

As it relates to his batting average, Nick Senzel has suffered from bad luck this year. His .196 rate falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .240.

Vinnie Pasquantino pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (36.4% — 93rd percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the game’s 9th-shallowest RF fences today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Hunter Renfroe in the 80th percentile as it relates to his home run talent.

Michael Massey has made significant improvements with his Barrel% recently, improving his 8.1% seasonal rate to 14.3% in the last two weeks.

Compared to his seasonal average of 7.9°, Kyle Isbel has significantly improved his launch angle recently, posting a 20.5° figure over the last two weeks.

In his last game started, Andrew Thorpe conceded a whopping 8 earned runs.

Wednesday Game 3 player match stat slumps with Royals vs White Sox Matchup

When assessing his overall offensive ability, Korey Lee ranks in the 5th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Korey Lee is projected to bat 9th in the batting order today.

Given Brady Singer’s large platoon split, Korey Lee will be at a tremendous disadvantage hitting from the same side of the dish in today’s game.

Based on Statcast data, Korey Lee ranks in the 16th percentile for hitting ability via the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) this year at .281.

Ranked in the 20th percentile, Korey Lee’s average exit velocity of 87 mph ranks among the lowest in Major League Baseball this year.

Hitting from the same side that Drew Thorpe throws from, Bobby Witt Jr. has a tough challenge in today’s matchup.

Bobby Witt Jr. will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today’s game.

Compared to his seasonal angle of 15.5°, Bobby Witt Jr. has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (5°) in the last two weeks.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kyle Isbel in the 25th percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability.

Kyle Isbel is penciled in 9th in the lineup in this game.

17% of the time that Kyle Isbel has started against a righty hurler this year, he has been pulled from the game early.

Kyle Isbel will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today’s matchup.

Kyle Isbel’s average exit velocity has fallen off in recent games; his 88.8-mph seasonal EV has dropped to 79-mph over the past week.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Riley Baldwin in the 25th percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent.

Riley Baldwin is projected to bat 6th on the lineup card in this game.

The switch-hitting Riley Baldwin will be at a disadvantage batting from his bad side (0) today against Brady Singer… and it’s an over-sized mismatch considering Singer’s large platoon split.

With a .237 wOBA in the past two weeks, Riley Baldwin has been struggling at the plate.

When assessing his overall offensive talent, Nicky Lopez ranks in the 8th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Nicky Lopez has been pinch hit for 11% of the time when starting against a northpaw this year.

Typically, hitters like Nicky Lopez who hit a lot of flyballs usually hit worse when facing pitchers who also induce a lot of flyballs such as Brady Singer.

Nicky Lopez’s exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off recently; his 87.5-mph seasonal figure has dropped off to 80.5-mph over the past 14 days.

Nicky Lopez’s launch angle of late (-6.5° over the last week) is significantly lower than his 6.9° seasonal figure.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Gavin Sheets in the 12th percentile as it relates to his BABIP ability.

When starting against a righty on the mound this year, Gavin Sheets has been replaced by a pinch-hitter 13% of the time.

Gavin Sheets has negatively regressed with his Barrel% of late; his 5.7% seasonal rate has dropped off to 0% over the last 14 days.

In the last 14 days, Gavin Sheets’s exit velocity on flyballs has lowered from his seasonal EV of 89.5 mph to 83.3 mph.

When it comes to power, Gavin Sheets grades out in the 23rd percentile, having hit 11.2 home runs per 600 plate appearances this year.

It is anticipated that we will see a Hitters Umpire (Clint Vondrak) behind the plate in this game.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT), Salvador Perez (the Royals’s expected catcher in today’s game) profiles as a weak pitch framer.

Guaranteed Rate Field profiles as the #23 ballpark in the game for strikeouts, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Brady Singer will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today’s game.

Drew Thorpe will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Salvador Perez in today’s matchup.

Salvador Perez will be at a disadvantage playing away from home today.

Salvador Perez’s exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off of late; his 94.6-mph seasonal mark has fallen off to 89-mph in the last week.

In the past 7 days, Salvador Perez’s 33.3% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 44%.

Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Batting Average (.257) suggests that Salvador Perez has had positive variance on his side this year with his .276 actual batting average.

Hunter Renfroe’s BABIP talent is projected in the 4th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Hunter Renfroe is projected to hit 6th on the lineup card in this matchup.

Hitting from the same side that Drew Thorpe throws from, Hunter Renfroe will not have the upper hand in today’s game.

Hunter Renfroe will be at a disadvantage playing on the road today.

When it comes to his batting average, Hunter Renfroe has been lucky this year. His .234 mark has been a good deal higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .209.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nicky Lopez in the 0th percentile when it comes to his home run talent.

When estimating his home run skill, Adam Frazier ranks in the 4th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Adam Frazier is projected to hit 7th in the lineup in today’s game.

32% of the time that Adam Frazier has started against a righty hurler this year, he has been lifted for a pinch-hitter.

Adam Frazier will be at a disadvantage playing away from home today.

Adam Frazier’s exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off this season; his 87.2-mph average last year has fallen off to 84.7-mph.

Considering Brady Singer’s large platoon split, Luis Robert will be at a huge disadvantage hitting from the same side of the dish today.

Luis Robert’s ability to hit the ball at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has fallen off from last year to this one, decreasing from 45.5% to 40.3%.

In terms of his home runs, Luis Robert has had some very good luck this year. His 32.1 HR per 600 plate appearances mark has been quite a bit higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected HR/600 at 27.8.

Luis Robert has notched a .211 Expected Batting Average this year, checking in at the 7th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

With a 4.12 K/BB rate this year, Luis Robert has displayed weak plate discipline, placing in the 18th percentile.

MJ Melendez has been lifted for a pinch-hitter 18% of the time when starting against a northpaw this year.

MJ Melendez will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today’s game.

MJ Melendez’s average exit velocity has fallen off this year; his 93.2-mph EV last year has decreased to 90.9-mph.

MJ Melendez ranks in the 17th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between -4° and 26°, the launch angle range that tends to best-produce base hits (39.4% rate this year).

MJ Melendez has been very bad at hitting the ball to all fields (a crucial skill for batting average), placing in the 6th percentile in THE BAT X’s Spray Score this year.

Andrew Thorpe has averaged 14.8 outs per game per started this year, ranking in the 18th percentile.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT), Korey Lee (the White Sox’s expected catcher in today’s matchup) projects as a weak pitch framer.

The 5th-shallowest LF dimensions in the league are found in Guaranteed Rate Field.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), the offense with the 5th-least strikeout-prone lineup on the slate today is the Kansas City Royals with a 20.5% underlying K%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Maikel Garcia in the 11th percentile as it relates to his home run talent.

Maikel Garcia has primarily hit in the top-half of the lineup this season (87% of the time), but he is penciled in 8th in the batting order in this matchup.

Hitting from the same side that Drew Thorpe throws from, Maikel Garcia has a tough challenge today.

Maikel Garcia will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today’s game.

Maikel Garcia’s exit velocity on flyballs has decreased this year; his 92.7-mph mark last season has dropped off to 90-mph.

In the past 7 days, Maikel Garcia’s exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 90.2-mph over the course of the season to 97.6-mph of late.

Nick Senzel is penciled in 7th on the lineup card in this matchup.

Brady Singer will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Nick Senzel in today’s matchup… and it’s an over-sized mismatch considering Singer’s large platoon split.

Nick Senzel’s average exit velocity has dropped off this year; his 87.4-mph figure last year has lowered to 84.1-mph.

With a .280 wOBA (a leading indicator of offensive ability) this year, Nick Senzel is ranked in the 17th percentile.

Nick Senzel has put up a .338 Slugging Percentage (SLG) this year, ranking in the 15th percentile.

Playing on the road generally lowers hitter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Vinnie Pasquantino in today’s matchup.

Vinnie Pasquantino has struggled with his Barrel% lately; his 7% seasonal rate has fallen off to 0% over the past 7 days.

Vinnie Pasquantino’s average exit velocity has dropped off in recent games; his 90.9-mph seasonal mark has lowered to 84.5-mph in the past week.

Placing in the 17th percentile, Vinnie Pasquantino has notched a .262 BABIP this year.

Nick Senzel’s speed has fallen off this season. His 28.29 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last year sits at 27.32 ft/sec now.

Brady Singer will have the handedness advantage over Andrew Vaughn today… and it’s an even bigger mismatch considering Singer’s large platoon split.

Andrew Vaughn has struggled with his Barrel% recently; his 8.9% seasonal rate has fallen off to 0% in the last two weeks’ worth of games.

In the past 7 days, Andrew Vaughn’s exit velocity on flyballs has decreased from his seasonal average of 92.2 mph to 81.4 mph.

Andrew Vaughn’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has dropped off lately, going from 17.7% on the season to 0% in the past week.

Andrew Vaughn has shown bad plate discipline this year, checking in at the 25th percentile with a 3.65 K/BB rate.

Despite posting a .412 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Bobby Witt Jr. has been lucky given the .041 deviation between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .371.

Michael Massey will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today’s game.

Michael Massey’s launch angle this year (14.2°) is considerably lower than his 19.6° angle last year.

Michael Massey has had positive variance on his side thus far when it comes to his home runs this year; his 25.4 HR per 600 plate appearances mark is a good deal higher than his 22.9 Expected HR/600, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

Sporting a 4.62 K/BB rate this year, Michael Massey has displayed bad plate discipline, placing in the 23rd percentile.

Luis Robert’s average launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls this season (13.1°) is considerably worse than his 17.6° angle last year.

Brady Singer will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Miguel Vargas today… and it’s an even larger mismatch considering Singer’s large platoon split.

Miguel Vargas’s 87-mph average exit velocity is one of the worst in MLB since the start of last season: 17th percentile.

The standard deviation of Miguel Vargas’s launch angle since the start of last season (29.9°) is in the 15th percentile. A high deviation like this tends to lead to a lower batting average on balls in play.

Miguel Vargas has put up a .202 batting average since the start of last season, ranking in the 4th percentile.

Posting a .224 batting average this year, Gavin Sheets has performed in the 23rd percentile.

Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (.297) may lead us to conclude that Miguel Vargas has experienced some positive variance this year with his .317 actual wOBA.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Michael Massey in the 18th percentile when estimating his BABIP ability.

Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (.298) suggests that Luis Robert has had positive variance on his side this year with his .314 actual wOBA.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Adam Frazier in the 20th percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT)’s estimation, Brady Singer’s overall pitching skill grades out in the 78th percentile out of all starting pitchers in the majors right now.

The Chicago White Sox projected batting order grades out as the weakest of the day in terms of overall hitting ability.

Brady Singer is an extreme groundball pitcher (48.3% GB% via the leading projection system, THE BAT), which should make him somewhat immune to the dangers of pitching in Guaranteed Rate Field — the #9 HR venue among all major league stadiums — in this game.

In the last two weeks’ worth of games, Hunter Renfroe’s average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls (4.6°) has significantly dropped compared to his seasonal mark of 11°.

In terms of his wOBA and overall offense, Hunter Renfroe has been very fortunate this year. His .318 figure has been considerably higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .296.

Placing in the 14th percentile, MJ Melendez sports a .274 wOBA (widely regarded as the top indicator of overall offense) this year.

Sporting a .242 BABIP this year, Michael Massey grades out in the 25th percentile.

In terms of his home runs, Korey Lee has been very fortunate this year. His 20.7 HR per 600 plate appearances rate has been significantly inflated relative to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected HR/600 at 18.7.

Kyle Isbel’s average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls this year (3.3°) is significantly lower than his 7° mark last year.